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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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117234351468 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for resilience analysis

Study reveals clusters of resilient and vulnerable Spanish agri-food firms post-Ukraine-Russia war.

problem Financial resilience of agri-food companies in Spain during the Ukraine-Russia conflict.
method Cluster analysis using centred log-ratios for compositional data of financial ratios.
result Increase in resilient firms by 2023, highlighting sectoral adaptation to economic challenges.

This paper uses robust optimization to analyze supply chain resilience.

problem Supply chain resilience analysis of multi-modal logistics networks.
method Robust optimization with budget-of-uncertainty.
result Interactive effects of network size, disruption scale, and degree on resilience.

We present a large-scale study of commonality in liquidity and resilience across assets in an ultra high-frequency (millisecond-timestamped) Limit Order Book (LOB) dataset from a pan-European electronic equity trading facility. We first show that extant work in quantifying liquidity commonality through the degree of ex…

2014-06-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Framework for efficient statistical estimation with privacy guarantees.

problem Statistical estimation problems with differential privacy constraints.
method High-dimensional Propose-Test-Release (HPTR) framework combining exponential mechanism, robust statistics, and resilience.
result Near-optimal utility guarantees and tight local sensitivity bounds for various statistical problems.

Study finds ESG investments more resilient than traditional equity indices during market turmoil.

problem Resilience of ESG investments during financial instability.
method Daily returns analysis using MGND and EGARCH-in-mean models.
result ESG investments show higher resilience compared to traditional equity indices during crises.

We propose a novel robust aggregation rule for distributed synchronous Stochastic Gradient Descent~(SGD) under a general Byzantine failure model. The attackers can arbitrarily manipulate the data transferred between the servers and the workers in the parameter server~(PS) architecture. We prove the Byzantine resilience…

2018-05-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces a new index to measure financial and workplace resilience of firms.

problem Corporate resilience and its types in turbulent markets.
method Quantitative analysis of earnings expectations and implied discount rates.
result Evidence of workplace resilience amplification by financial status in the COVID-19 era.

Measures financial resilience using BSDEs and their properties.

problem Measuring financial resilience in dynamic risk environments.
method Developed stochastic calculus for BSDEs with jumps, revealing resilience rate as expectation of generator.
result Resilience rate can be represented as expectation of BSDE generator, revealing properties of dynamic risk measures.

Research shows ESG signals lower exposure to market fragility during stress periods.

problem Market fragility often occurs together, and ESG is associated with reduced exposure.
method Monthly data on S&P 500 constituents from 2014 to 2025, analyzing downside returns, volatility, illiquidity, and cofragility states.
result A one-standard-deviation increase in ESG lowers the probability of severe cofragility by 0.92 percentage points during stress periods.

This paper measures financial market resilience in China and identifies key uncertainties.

problem Measuring financial market resilience in China.
method Quantitative analysis of total financial market and sub-markets, Diebold-Yilmaz connectedness approach.
result Financial market resilience in China is event-driven and influenced by geopolitical risks, economic and trade policy uncertainty, and U.S.-China tensions.

Noise-resilient method improves Hurst exponent estimation accuracy in noisy data.

problem Noise degrades accuracy of Hurst exponent estimation methods.
method Noise-Controlled ALPHEE (NC-ALPHEE) using wavelet multi-scale analysis and neural network combination.
result NC-ALPHEE consistently outperforms existing techniques in noisy conditions.

The resilience of low-degree Rademacher chaos is studied, providing probabilistic lower bounds.

problem Understanding how much a Rademacher chaos can withstand adversarial sign-flips without significant probability changes.
method Probabilistic lower-bound guarantees for the resilience of Rademacher chaos of arbitrary degree.
result Probabilistic lower-bound guarantees for the resilience of Rademacher chaos of arbitrary degree, especially meaningful for constant degree.

There has been a surge of interest in using machine learning (ML) to automatically detect malware through their dynamic behaviors. These approaches have achieved significant improvement in detection rates and lower false positive rates at large scale compared with traditional malware analysis methods. ML in threat dete…

2018-12-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes resilience metrics for large blackout costs with logarithmic resilience.

problem Large variations in blackout costs make estimating risk impractical.
method Uses mean of log of large blackout costs, tail slope index, and frequency.
result Solves problems of heavy tail and large variations in blackout costs.

Study examines equity in post-Snow Uri recovery, finds disparities.

problem Disproportionate impacts on vulnerable populations during recovery.
method County and census tract level data analysis, satellite imagery, statistical procedures.
result Negative associations between non-Hispanic whites and outages, positive associations with certain demographic variables.

Bayesian model uses mobile data to assess business resilience after hurricanes.

problem Evaluating economic impact of extreme shocks on businesses.
method Bayesian structural time series model with mobile phone data.
result Estimates business resilience after hurricanes, revealing key characteristics.

Develops a two-layer model to design mortgage assistance products.

problem Designing effective mortgage assistance products to improve household resilience.
method Two-layer approach: simulation and optimization.
result Shows how the approach can design and evaluate mortgage assistance products.

Stocks of more resilient firms outperformed during the pandemic, reflecting disaster risk.

problem The impact of social distancing on firms' operations and stock performance.
method Cross-sectional analysis of firms' resilience and stock performance, controlling for risk factors.
result Stocks of more resilient firms are expected to yield significantly lower returns than less resilient ones, reflecting disaster risk.

Robust statistics traditionally focuses on outliers, or perturbations in total variation distance. However, a dataset could be corrupted in many other ways, such as systematic measurement errors and missing covariates. We generalize the robust statistics approach to consider perturbations under any Wasserstein distance…

2019-09-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Byzantine-resilient federated learning with local iterations and robust mean estimation.

problem Byzantine clients disrupt federated learning with local iterations.
method Local SGD iterations, robust mean estimation, and matrix concentration result.
result Convergence analysis for strongly-convex and non-convex smooth objectives in heterogeneous data settings.

This study develops a dynamic inverse optimization framework to recover hidden, time-varying preferences from observed allocation trajectories.

problem The gap between classical optimization theory and real-world practice, especially in the presence of drift and shocks.
method Dynamic inverse optimization framework using a drift-aware estimator grounded in convex analysis and online learning theory.
result Sharp static and dynamic regret bounds for the framework, demonstrating its responsiveness to gradual drift and sudden shocks.

New method quantifies resilience of electric distribution systems from historical data.

problem Large blackouts caused by extreme winds have significant costs and impacts.
method Formulate large event risk from utility outage data, quantify resilience improvements through investments.
result Investments in wind hardening and faster restoration can reduce the probability of large cost events.

rMCL improves on MCL by preserving diversity in predictions for regression problems.

problem Multimodal density estimation in regression settings with multiple targets.
method rMCL uses a learned scoring scheme based on Voronoi tessellations to maintain diversity among predictions.
result rMCL outperforms existing MCL variants in sound source localization tasks.

New framework for resilient bi-criteria optimization under noisy feedback.

problem Bi-criteria combinatorial optimization with noisy function evaluations.
method Introducing (α,β,δ,extttN)(α,β,δ, exttt{N})-resilience and developing a black-box framework.
result Achieves sublinear regret and constraint violation for bi-criteria bandit problems.

We consider a broker who has to place a large order which consumes a sizable part of average daily trading volume. The broker's aim is thus to minimize execution costs he incurs from the adverse impact of his trades on market prices. By contrast to the previous literature, see, e.g., Obizhaeva and Wang (2005), Predoiu,…

2013-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

CyBeR-0 optimizes federated learning with Byzantine resilience and reduced communication costs.

problem Byzantine attacks and communication inefficiency in federated learning.
method Transformed robust aggregation for zero-order optimization under client heterogeneity.
result CyBeR-0 achieves stable performance with minimal communication costs and reduced memory usage.

New framework boosts neural network performance and resilience.

problem Susceptibility of compact neural network implementations to system disturbances.
method Realistic crossbar simulations and Mosaics framework to re-use synaptic connections.
result Compact neural networks are noise-immune and perform well under disturbances.

We show that wealth processes in the block-shaped order book model of Obizhaeva/Wang converge to their counterparts in the reduced-form model proposed by Almgren/Chriss, as the resilience of the order book tends to infinity. As an application of this limit theorem, we explain how to reduce portfolio choice in highly-re…

2014-09-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Study clusters Kenyan medical insurance companies based on financial performance and reporting consistency.

problem Identifying financial health and reporting consistency in Kenyan medical insurance companies.
method Advanced clustering techniques (KMeans, DTW) on financial ratios and time series data.
result Four distinct clusters identified, each representing different financial performance and reporting consistency combinations.

Outlier detection is a fundamental task in data mining and has many applications including detecting errors in databases. While there has been extensive prior work on methods for outlier detection, modern datasets often have sizes that are beyond the ability of commonly used methods to process the data within a reasona…

2019-07-31abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper defines resilience in knowledge graph embeddings and surveys existing works.

problem Challenges in knowledge graph embedding models, including noise, missing information, distribution shift, and adversarial attacks.
method Unified definition of resilience, formalization in the context of knowledge graphs, systematic survey of existing works.
result Most existing works focus on robustness, leaving other aspects of resilience unexplored.

TensorFI injects faults in TensorFlow programs to assess their reliability.

problem Ensuring reliability of machine learning systems in safety-critical domains.
method TensorFI is a flexible fault injection framework for TensorFlow applications.
result TensorFI evaluates the resilience of 12 ML programs, including autonomous vehicle DNNs.

Global catastrophe risk pools increase financial resilience by diversifying risk and including more countries.

problem Low- to middle-income countries rely heavily on foreign aid for recovery from extreme weather events, which is slow and uncertain.
method Developed a method to form global catastrophe risk pools that maximize risk diversification and select countries with low bilateral correlations or low shares in the pool risk.
result Global pooling increases risk diversification, lowers countries' shares in the pool risk, and increases the number of countries benefiting from risk pooling.