Paper proposes a deep hedging method for Bermudan swaptions to manage residual profit and loss.
problem Real-world market conditions differ from ideal assumptions in traditional hedging methods, leading to residual profit and loss.
method Deep hedging framework applied to Bermudan swaptions, allowing flexible risk measures and hedge strategies.
result Effective residual profit and loss management demonstrated through numerical analysis.
Fair market valuations ignore future worker profits in employee-owned firms.
problem Ignoring future worker profits in fair market valuations for employee-owned firms.
method Analyzing property rights and residual claimants in employee-owned firms.
result Fair market valuations are inappropriate for employee-owned firms.
Equations track profits and losses in trading algorithms.
problem Evaluating the performance of trading algorithms.
method Formal equations incorporating spread.
result Evaluate trading model algorithms' performance.
This paper finds a new method for decomposing insurer profits and losses.
problem Nonlinear balance sheets make it hard to attribute changes to risk factors.
method An axiomatic approach leading to infinitesimal sequential updating (ISU) decompositions.
result ISU decompositions are more general and applicable beyond insurance.
Online trading platforms manipulate profits and losses, causing 82% of retail traders to lose money.
problem Manipulation of online trading platforms leading to financial losses for retail traders.
method Independent recording of trade details using REST API responses, comparison with broker reviews.
result 82% of retail traders lose money due to platform technical issues.
Study analyzes factors affecting profits in crypto liquidity provision.
problem Liquidity providers lack guidance for developing profitable strategies.
method Developed a measurement model based on impermanent loss to analyze key parameters.
result Uncovered influences of key parameters on LPs' profits.
Study shows AMM liquidity providers lose more than they earn, with varying profitability across pairs.
problem Arbitrage losses by liquidity providers on AMMs exceed fees earned.
method Empirical study of losses and profitability across different AMM pools and block times.
result Uniswap v2 pools are more profitable for passive LPs than Uniswap v3.
Study improves trading decisions by predicting profit and loss outcomes.
problem Inconsistent profitability of machine learning forecasts in financial markets.
method Developed a novel algorithm for forecasting profit and loss outcomes, integrating with market trend predictions.
result Significantly improved performance of trading strategies, including traditional and algorithmic trading.
Optimizes liquidity provision intervals for profitable AMM participation.
problem Financial losses from poor liquidity provision intervals and reallocation costs.
method Developed a tractable stochastic optimization problem.
result Computes optimal liquidity provision intervals for profitable liquidity concentration.
The paper defines fair profit sharing ratios in Islamic PL contracts.
problem Determining fair profit sharing ratios in Islamic PL contracts.
method Introduces c-fair profit sharing ratios and uses econometrics models to compute or approximate them. result Elucidates the relation between profit sharing ratios and economic factors.
New method decomposes profits and losses continuously, avoiding discrete reporting issues.
problem Analyzing profits and losses at discrete dates ignores detailed paths.
method Constructs a large class of continuous-time decompositions using extended Itô's formula.
result Identifies a preferred decomposition from exactness, symmetry, and normalization axioms.
The paper explains the fair basis in bond-CDS trading during financial crises.
problem Large basis trading losses during financial crises are not explained by reduced form models.
method Dynamic spread model with bond repo financing, economic capital approach.
result Unhedged and unhedgeable residual jump to default risk exists, affecting fair basis level.
Corporate transparency reduces investors' disposition effect by increasing confidence in holding profitable and losing stocks.
problem Irrational disposition effect in investors selling profitable assets too soon and holding onto losing assets for too long.
method Examined the impact of corporate transparency on individual investors' disposition effect.
result Increased corporate transparency significantly reduces the disposition effect.
Modeling fees impacts on arbitrage profits and LP losses in AMMs.
problem Impact of trading fees on arbitrage profits and LP losses in AMMs.
method Extended model of AMMs with fees and Poisson block generation times, computed instantaneous rate of arbitrage profit.
result Fees scale down arbitrage profits, reducing LP losses with faster block rates and lower gas fees.
Multi-output is essential in machine learning that it might suffer from nonconforming residual distributions, i.e., the multi-output residual distributions are not conforming to the expected distribution. In this paper, we propose "Wrapped Loss Function" to wrap the original loss function to alleviate the problem. This…
Study shows OAT decomposition generates unexplained profit and loss, while SU decompositions depend on risk factor order.
problem Understanding profit and loss attribution in financial markets.
method Used financial market data from 2003 to 2022 to compare OAT, SU, and ASU decompositions.
result SU decompositions are sensitive to risk factor order and cannot identify all relevant risk factors.
PRISMA uses PDE residuals for fast, robust, and accurate inference.
problem Slow gradient-based optimization and instability in PDE residual-based methods.
method Integrates PDE residuals directly into the model's architecture via attention mechanisms in the spectral domain.
result Competitive accuracy with significantly lower inference costs and faster speeds.
Credit risk may be warehoused by choice, or because of limited hedging possibilities. Credit risk warehousing increases capital requirements and leaves open risk. Open risk must be priced in the physical measure, rather than the risk neutral measure, and implies profits and losses. Furthermore the rate of return on cap…
Paper explores connections between loss functions and consistency in binary classification and regression.
problem Consistency in binary classification and regression applications.
method Characterization of conformable loss functions and derivation of a new Huber-type loss function.
result Margin-based loss functions are equivalent to loss functions of squared standardized logistic regression residuals.
A method for predicting profit and loss distributions of complex financial portfolios using neural networks.
problem Predicting profit and loss distributions for portfolios with non-linear and path-dependent derivatives.
method Least Square Monte Carlo algorithm with a feed forward neural network for interpolation of continuation values.
result Flexible and automatic accounting of multiple assets in financial portfolios.
Traders buy and sell financial instruments in hopes of making profit, and brokers are responsible for the transaction. There are several hypotheses and conspiracy theories arguing that in some situations, brokers want their traders to lose money. For instance, a broker may want to protect the positions of a privileged …
The paper analyzes how to combine self-protection and self-insurance for risk reduction.
problem Combining self-protection and self-insurance for risk reduction when market insurance is absent.
method The approach uses Value-at-Risk and Tail Value-at-Risk to evaluate residual risk and solves the problem using isoquant geometry based on marginal-balance curves.
result The analysis identifies the conditions under which self-protection and self-insurance behave as substitutes or complements.
This paper proposes a Residual Convolutional Neural Network (ResNet) based on speech features and trained under Focal Loss to recognize emotion in speech. Speech features such as Spectrogram and Mel-frequency Cepstral Coefficients (MFCCs) have shown the ability to characterize emotion better than just plain text. Furth…
RFRBoost uses random features to boost deep residual neural networks, improving performance and computational efficiency.
problem Improving performance of deep residual neural networks (RFNNs) while preserving convex optimization benefits.
method Random Feature Representation Boosting (RFRBoost) using boosting theory and random features at each layer.
result RFRBoost significantly outperforms RFNNs and end-to-end trained MLP ResNets in small- to medium-scale tabular datasets.
Inverse depth scaling found in LLMs due to similar layers averaging error.
problem Understanding how depth affects loss in large language models.
method Analysis of LLMs and toy residual networks.
result Loss scales inversely proportional to depth in LLMs.
Deviance Voronoi residuals improve earthquake insurance risk assessment.
problem Assessing earthquake insurance risk using spatio-temporal point process models.
method Extended Voronoi residuals and created simulation-based approach.
result Proposed formula for country-wide minimum capital test.
Study uses deep learning for pairs trading in Polish equities, achieving profits in 2017-2019.
problem Statistical arbitrage in Polish equities market using traditional methods.
method Deep learning (LSTMs) for asset replication, PCA for risk factor analysis, Ornstein Uhlenbeck process for residual modeling.
result Deep learning methods, especially LSTMs, show promise for profitable trading in Polish equities.
We use a continuous-time random walk (CTRW) to model market fluctuation data from times when traders experience excessive losses or excessive profits. We analytically derive "superstatistics" that accurately model empirical market activity data (supplied by Bogachev, Ludescher, Tsallis, and Bunde)that exhibit transitio…
This paper introduces a Bayesian framework for optimizing online experiments to maximize profit.
problem Statistical flaws and reliance on proxy metrics in A/B tests compromise their effectiveness.
method Hierarchical Bayesian model for estimating conversion probability and monetary value, decision-theoretic stopping rule.
result The framework ensures experiments conclude when no variant offers a significant profit improvement, conserving resources.
Developing an Agent-Based Model to Mitigate Adverse Selection in Uniswap v3 Liquidity Providers
problem Adverse selection in Uniswap v3 liquidity providers
method Agent-Based Model incorporating blockchain microstructure and volatility dynamics
result Dynamic fee schedules improve hedged Profit and Loss for liquidity providers
Study shows how deep residual networks can be analyzed as shallow network ensembles for optimization.
problem Understanding why deep neural networks can be trained to zero loss despite non-convex optimization landscapes.
method Mean-field analysis of deep residual networks, focusing on their continuum limit as a two-layer network.
result Derives the first global convergence result for multilayer neural networks in the mean-field regime.
We present an analytical study of an insurance company. We model the company's performance on a statistical basis and evaluate the predicted annual income of the company in terms of insurance parameters namely the premium, total number of the insured, average loss claims etc. We restrict ourselves to a single insurance…
The paper proves ADL mechanisms face a trilemma and optimizes them for fairness, revenue, and exchange solvency.
problem The impossibility of a perpetual futures exchange achieving solvency, revenue, and fairness.
method Formal model of ADL, proving trilemma, and analyzing three ADL mechanisms.
result Optimized ADL mechanisms can reduce trader losses while maintaining exchange solvency.
Unified ODE model explains residual and non-residual networks.
problem Unclear relationship between residual and non-residual networks.
method Introducing a damping term in an ODE model to interpolate between ResNet and CNN architectures.
result Unified framework for understanding residual and non-residual networks.
We introduce a modular framework for market making. It combines cost-function based automated market makers with bandit algorithms. We obtain worst-case profits guarantee's relative to the best in hindsight within a class of natural "overround" cost functions . This combination allow us to have distribution-free guaran…
Study compact Willmore surfaces without complex structure convergence, computing energy loss and geodesic lengths.
problem Compactness of Willmore surfaces without complex structure convergence.
method Compute energy loss in neck and geodesic lengths in Grassmannian G(2,n). result Limit of Gauss map image is a geodesic in G(2,n) with computable length. We introduce a quantitative approach to comparative statics that allows to bound the maximum effect of an exogenous parameter change on a system's equilibrium. The motivation for this approach is a well known paradox in multimarket Cournot competition, where a positive price shock on a monopoly market may actually redu…
We investigate how price variations of a stock are transformed into profits and losses (P&Ls) of a trend following strategy. In the frame of a Gaussian model, we derive the probability distribution of P&Ls and analyze its moments (mean, variance, skewness and kurtosis) and asymptotic behavior (quantiles). We show that …
Winterization of Texas power system profitable but risky, estimated at $11.74bn over 30 years.
problem Profitability and risk of winterizing Texas power system infrastructure.
method Combined temperature-dependent load and outage estimates over 71 years of climate data.
result Large-scale winterization of gas infrastructure and power plants is profitable, but risks are high due to low-frequency of cold spells.
Second-order optimizers retain residual information after data deletion, affecting machine unlearning.
problem Residual information in second-order optimizers after data deletion.
method Comparison of first-order and second-order learners, eigendecomposition analysis.
result Second-order optimizers retain residual information, not detectable by first-order analysis.
This paper evaluates various loss functions for Transformer models in stock ranking.
problem Evaluating loss functions for Transformer models in stock ranking.
method Systematic evaluation of advanced loss functions (pointwise, pairwise, listwise) on S&P 500 data.
result Different loss functions impact a model's ability to discern profitable relative orderings among assets.
Lattice investment projects support process model with corruption is formulated and analyzed. The model is based on the Ising lattice model of ferromagnetic but takes deal with the social phenomenon. Set of corruption agents is considered. It is supposed that agents are placed in sites of the lattice. Agents take decis…
Paper proves using historical trading info improves trading strategies.
problem Improving trading strategies through historical data.
method Develops a new strategy using self-generated historical trading information.
result A new strategy consistently outperforms existing ones.
Residual Continual Learning prevents forgetting in sequential tasks.
problem Preventing catastrophic forgetting in sequential learning of multiple tasks.
method ResCL reparameterizes network parameters by combining original and fine-tuned networks, keeping network size constant.
result ResCL achieves state-of-the-art performance in various continual learning scenarios.
Paper defines AI-specific loss reconstruction problem and introduces CER framework.
problem Reconstructing AI-generated losses, especially in agentic systems.
method CER framework: C (control boundary), E (evidence reconstruction), R (insurance response).
result Defines AI-specific reconstruction problem and operationalizes it.
We establish an energy quantization result for sequences of Willmore surfaces when the underlying sequence of Riemann surfaces is degenerating in the moduli space. we notably exhibit a new residue which quantifies the potential loss of energy in collar regions. Thanks to these residues, we also prove compactness of Wil…
AAS optimizes neural network PDE approximations by adaptively sampling.
problem Statistical errors from random samples in neural network PDE approximations.
method Minmax formulation to optimize neural network and training set samples.
result Reduces Monte Carlo approximation error for a given sample size.
Optimizes Iron Condor portfolios for better risk and profit management.
problem Transient value process of Iron Condor portfolios not well studied.
method Formulated as a stochastic optimal control problem, using bounded martingale assumption.
result Optimal stopping time aligns with expiration for submartingale value process.