A new geometric metric identifies true data changes from parametrization artifacts in high-dimensional representations.
problem Quantifying representation drift in high-dimensional data using Euclidean or cosine distances can misattribute changes due to arbitrary parametrizations.
method Introducing the Fubini Study metric to identify representations that differ only by gauge transformations.
result The Fubini Study metric isolates intrinsic evolution by remaining invariant under gauge-induced fluctuations, providing a diagnostic for meaningful structural changes.
DRIFT uses neural flows to replace distributional regression models.
problem Lack of neural network representations for distributional regression models.
method Inverse flow transformations (DRIFT) for distributional regression.
result Neural representations in DRIFT match classical statistical methods in performance.
Detects drifts in data for classification tasks using constrained embeddings.
problem Drifts in data affect model performance; unsupervised methods ignore label information.
method Task-sensitive semi-supervised drift detection with constrained low-dimensional embedding.
result Successfully detects real drifts affecting classification performance.
DRIFT uses RL to automate functional software testing efficiently.
problem Efficient and reliable automated software testing.
method DRIFT employs Q-learning with Graph Neural Networks on symbolic UI representations.
result DRIFT can robustly test software functionalities in a fully automated manner.
TALBO optimizes latent spaces for evolving design objectives.
problem Temporal drift in design objectives.
method GP-prior variational autoencoder for time-varying latent space.
result Consistently outperforms LSBO baselines across varying drift speeds and objectives.
ZDP detects drift in large language models without labels, proving key theorems and metrics.
problem Detecting drift in large language models without task labels or output evaluations.
method Zero-Direction Probing (ZDP) framework based on null directions of transformer activations, proving theoretical guarantees.
result Proves the Variance--Leak Theorem, Fisher Null-Conservation, Rank--Leak bound, and logarithmic-regret guarantee.
Detects data drift and outliers affecting ML model performance over time.
problem Detecting distribution changes between training and deployment datasets for machine learning models.
method Nonparametrically tests model prediction confidence distributions for changes using Change Point Models (CPMs). Also uses nonparametric outlier methods.
result Demonstrates robustness of the method under various levels of drift class contamination.
In this paper, we study the mean-variance portfolio selection problem under partial information with drift uncertainty. First we show that the market model is complete even in this case while the information is not complete and the drift is uncertain. Then, the optimal strategy based on partial information is derived, …
Geometric stability predicts steerability and detects drift in language models.
problem Predicting steerability and detecting drift in language models.
method Supervised and unsupervised geometric stability measures.
result Supervised geometric stability predicts steerability with high accuracy and detects drift earlier.
This paper tackles continuous domain adaptation with a new approach.
problem Learning in non-stationary environments, especially domain drift.
method Variational domain-agnostic feature replay, composed of inference, generative, and solver modules.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed approach for practical usage.
Framework quantifies financial NLP robustness under regime shifts.
problem Semantic and causal drift in financial news narratives.
method Four metrics: FCAS, PCS, TSV, NLICS.
result Transformer models are more affected by semantic drift.
This paper identifies drift Lipschitz budget K as key to diffusion policy expressivity and statistical trade-offs.
problem Understanding and maximizing the expressivity of diffusion policies while managing statistical limitations.
method Identifying drift Lipschitz budget K as central, quantifying expressivity and statistical behavior, proving lower bounds, and providing practical implementation guidelines.
result Balancing expressivity and statistical complexity yields a finite-sample performance gap, with rates depending on sample size and drift type.
SYNC learns time-aware causal representations to improve model generalization in evolving domains.
problem Spurious correlations and shortcut learning in existing EDG methods hinder model generalization.
method SYNC integrates dynamic causal factors and causal mechanism drifts into a sequential VAE framework.
result SYNC achieves superior temporal generalization performance on synthetic and real-world datasets.
This review covers learning under concept drift, including detection, understanding, and adaptation.
problem Unforeseeable changes in data distribution over time impact machine learning performance.
method Reviews and analyzes methodologies and techniques for concept drift detection, understanding, and adaptation.
result Establishes a framework for learning under concept drift with three main components.
Study S-shaped utility maximization with VaR constraint and unobservable drift.
problem Maximizing utility with a Value at Risk (VaR) constraint and unknown drift.
method Bayesian filter, concavification principle, change of measure, semi-closed integral representation, algorithms (Lagrange, simulation, deep neural network).
result Critical wealth level determining solution feasibility and optimal solution existence.
Online learning rbfnet improves multi-horizon returns forecasts for financial time series.
problem Nonstationarity and concept drift in financial time series.
method Combines feature representation transfer with sequential optimisation.
result Online learning rbfnet outperforms random-walk and batch learners.
In this paper we investigate a utility maximization problem with drift uncertainty in a multivariate continuous-time Black-Scholes type financial market which may be incomplete. We impose a constraint on the admissible strategies that prevents a pure bond investment and we include uncertainty by means of ellipsoidal un…
Identifies features most relevant to concept drift in data.
problem Identifying features most relevant to concept drift.
method Distinguishing between drift inducing and faithfully drifting features; deriving minimal subsets of features to characterize drift.
result Derives a detection algorithm for concept drift.
Language evolves over time in many ways relevant to natural language processing tasks. For example, recent occurrences of tokens 'BERT' and 'ELMO' in publications refer to neural network architectures rather than persons. This type of temporal signal is typically overlooked, but is important if one aims to deploy a mac…
Simulates risk-neutral markets using neural spline flows.
problem Creating realistic risk-neutral market simulations.
method Developed a low-dimensional martingale representation and used neural spline flows for sampling.
result The calibrated simulator is closest to historical data with respect to Kullback-Leibler divergence.
New method detects when models influence their own drift in real-time data streams.
problem Models can induce concept drift in real-time data streams.
method CheckerBoard Performative Drift Detection (CB-PDD)
result CB-PDD effectively detects performative drift in real-time data streams.
This research identifies flaws in drift detection methods and creates adversarial data streams to exploit them.
problem The challenge of detecting data distribution changes (drift) in real-time systems.
method Developed adversarial data streams to show weaknesses in existing drift detection schemes.
result Demonstrated that common drift detection methods can be fooled by adversarial data streams.
The notion of drift refers to the phenomenon that the distribution, which is underlying the observed data, changes over time. Albeit many attempts were made to deal with drift, formal notions of drift are application-dependent and formulated in various degrees of abstraction and mathematical coherence. In this contribu…
A new drift detection method based on autoregressive models.
problem Concept drift in real-world data leads to decreased model performance.
method Autoregressive based drift detection method (ADDM).
result ADDM outperforms state-of-the-art drift detection methods.
Adaptive sampling detects local concept drift with limited labels.
problem Detecting local concept drift in dynamic environments with scarce labels.
method Combines residual-based exploration and exploitation with EWMA monitoring.
result Superior performance in label efficiency and drift detection accuracy.
Algorithm detects concept drift and adapts models in streaming data.
problem Concept drift in streaming data renders models inaccurate.
method Adaptive learning algorithm that detects drifts and reacts to them.
result Risk competitive to an algorithm with perfect drift knowledge.
Novel drift detection method using deformation analysis in ML models.
problem Detecting subtle changes in data that affect model performance.
method Quantifying deformation using eigenvalue analysis, KDE, KL divergence, and strain tensor analogy.
result Demonstrated effectiveness in detecting context shifts in Generative AI and healthcare.
Classifiers operating in a dynamic, real world environment, are vulnerable to adversarial activity, which causes the data distribution to change over time. These changes are traditionally referred to as concept drift, and several approaches have been developed in literature to deal with the problem of drift handling an…
In this report we investigate fundamental requirements for the application of classifier patching on neural networks. Neural network patching is an approach for adapting neural network models to handle concept drift in nonstationary environments. Instead of creating or updating the existing network to accommodate conce…
A geometric theory explains loss functions for robust representation learning.
problem Treats robustness, domain adaptation, and sensor drift as separate literatures.
method Estimates covariance Sigma_task and uses it to pin Jacobian penalties.
result Proves optimality and necessity of range coverage for penalty matrices.
Classifies polynomial growth solutions to drift-harmonic equations on asymptotically paraboloidal manifolds.
problem Classifying polynomial growth solutions to drift-harmonic equations on specific types of manifolds.
method Inductive argument that alternates between constructing and asymptotically controlling drift-harmonic functions.
result All drift-harmonic functions with polynomial growth asymptotically separate variables and dimensions of spaces are computed.
This paper investigates a financial market where stock returns depend on a hidden Gaussian mean reverting drift process. Information on the drift is obtained from returns and expert opinions in the form of noisy signals about the current state of the drift arriving at the jump times of a homogeneous Poisson process. Dr…
New method detects drift in high-dimensional data.
problem Understanding and localizing concept drift in learning systems.
method Conformal predictions for drift localization.
result Our approach outperforms existing methods on image datasets.
Concept drift is formally defined as the change in joint distribution of a set of input variables X and a target variable y. The two types of drift that are extensively studied are real drift and virtual drift where the former is the change in posterior probabilities p(y|X) while the latter is the change in distributio…
PDD detects concept drift using explainable AI, improving model performance in dynamic environments.
problem Detecting and adapting to concept drift in predictive models.
method Profile Drift Detection (PDD) using Partial Dependence Profiles (PDPs).
result PDD outperforms existing methods in detecting concept drift and maintaining high predictive performance.
This paper studies concept drift detectors for financial time series.
problem Improving accuracy on financial time series with concept drifts.
method Three simple concept drift detectors tailored to financial time series.
result Two of the detectors are as effective as state-of-the-art detectors.
We solve continuous-time latent SDE identifiability using diffusion shifts.
problem Identifiability of latent SDEs in continuous-time time series.
method Environment-induced shifts in diffusion covariance for additive-noise latent SDEs.
result Two diagonal diffusion regimes with distinct variance ratios identify latent coordinates up to permutation and scaling.
Paper proposes a framework to detect adversarial concept drifts under poisoning attacks.
problem Adversarial concept drift in data streams.
method Augmented Restricted Boltzmann Machine with improved gradient computation and energy function.
result High robustness and efficacy of the proposed drift detection framework in adversarial scenarios.
Kernel-Gradient Drifting improves generative modeling for non-Euclidean data.
problem Challenges in generative modeling for non-Euclidean data.
method Replaces Euclidean displacement with kernel-induced directions, exposing score-based structure.
result Kernel-gradient drifting enables state-of-the-art one-step generation for non-Euclidean data.
A framework for evaluating and benchmarking concept drift detection methods
problem Data stream mining challenged by concept drift
method A novel benchmarking framework
result Fair comparisons of drift detection methods
Improved generative models for rare events using nonlinear diffusion.
problem Challenges in modeling rare conditional distributions with linear diffusion models.
method Adapting data representation and forward scheme for nonlinear drift term.
result Significant improvement in capturing extreme tail events.
A new method detects concept drift in streaming data using k-means space partitioning.
problem Detecting distribution changes in streaming data.
method Equal intensity k-means space partitioning (EI-kMeans) and heuristic sensitivity improvement.
result EI-kMeans improves drift detection accuracy and sensitivity.
Visual analytics tool detects and corrects concept drift in data streams.
problem Concept drift causes inaccurate predictions in evolving data.
method DriftVis combines drift detection and visualization.
result Visual analytics supports detection, examination, and correction of concept drift.
CURIE uses cellular automata to detect concept drift in data streams.
problem Detecting changes in data distribution (concept drift) in data streams.
method CURIE represents data stream distribution in a cellular automata grid and uses its neighborhood rule to detect changes.
result CURIE, when hybridized with base learners, performs competitively in detection metrics and classification accuracy.
Gradient-based methods for games suffer from discrete update steps that cause drift, affecting performance.
problem Gradient-based methods for two-player games suffer from drift due to discrete update steps.
method Derived modified continuous dynamical systems to closely follow the discrete dynamics of games.
result Identified distinct components of discretization drift that can alter or destabilize game performance.
Paper introduces a method to explain concept drift using counterfactual explanations.
problem Understanding the features where concept drift occurs for better model adjustment.
method Formal definition and algorithm based on counterfactual explanations.
result Demonstrates usefulness of the method in various examples.
Estimates drift functions in SDEs using denoising diffusion models.
problem Estimating time-homogeneous drift functions in multivariate SDEs.
method Formulates drift estimation as a denoising problem, trains a conditional diffusion model.
result Proposed estimator matches classical methods in low dimensions and remains competitive in higher dimensions.
Combines expert models using Kullback-Leibler divergence to create a combined model.
problem Combining expert views on stochastic processes.
method Minimizes weighted Kullback-Leibler divergence to create a barycentre model.
result Existence and uniqueness of the barycentre model with explicit representation.