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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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255176101 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for reliability diagram

Improves reliability diagrams for probabilistic forecasts.

problem Lack of stability in reliability diagrams hampered their use.
method CORP approach using non-parametric isotonic regression and PAV algorithm.
result Improved reliability diagrams with statistical consistency and reproducibility.

Plots show miscalibration directly as slopes of secant lines.

problem Detecting discrepancies between probabilistic predictions and actual outcomes.
method Cumulative differences between observed and expected values displayed as slopes of secant lines.
result Directly shows miscalibration without binning or kernel density estimation.

New methods for better uncertainty prediction in ML.

problem Insufficient calibration in machine learning regression.
method Conditional calibration with respect to input features (adaptivity).
result Consistency and adaptivity are complementary, and good consistency does not guarantee good adaptivity.

Study detects P-type bifurcations in single system realizations using unreliable kernel density estimates.

problem Detecting P-type bifurcations in signals with unreliable kernel density estimates.
method Create persistence diagrams from single system realization, statistically analyze resulting set, compare point process modeling methods.
result Subsampling outperforms other point process modeling methods in predicting P-type bifurcations.

Reassesses calibration metrics in machine learning models.

problem Inconsistent reporting of calibration metrics in recent literature.
method Calibration-based decomposition of Bregman divergences, visualization of calibration and generalization error.
result New visualization technique for detecting trade-offs between calibration and generalization.

A quantum model classifies financial sentiment by mapping text chunks to quantum circuits.

problem Classifying financial texts with high accuracy and preserving semantic information.
method Chunked diagrams are mapped to quantum circuits, with a Transformer encoder and type embeddings added for context.
result The hybrid model improves sentiment classification over a simple averaging baseline.

This study revisits UQ validation methods based on consistency and adaptivity concepts.

problem Lack of comprehensive validation methods for UQ metrics across input feature ranges.
method Revisit and extend common validation methods for UQ metrics based on consistency and adaptivity concepts.
result Improved understanding and capabilities of UQ metrics validation methods.

EBM improves car insurance claim severity and frequency prediction while maintaining interpretability.

problem Balancing predictive accuracy and interpretability in insurance claim modeling.
method Combines GAM and cyclic gradient boosting, providing interpretable predictions.
result EBM outperforms benchmark models in claim severity and frequency prediction.

The paper refines transformations of lattice diagrams and introduces dotted diagrams.

problem Investigating transformations and deformations of lattice diagrams and their associated dotted diagrams.
method Introducing dotted diagrams and investigating deformations of these diagrams, relating them to transformations of lattice diagrams.
result Refined results on the relation between deformations of admissible dotted diagrams and transformations of lattice diagrams.

New method estimates causal effects in complex spaces using topological structures.

problem Challenges in estimating causal effects in non-Euclidean spaces.
method Developed a topological causal inference framework using power-weighted silhouette functions of persistence diagrams.
result Successfully quantifies topological treatment effects across various complex outcomes.

Kernelized Taylor diagram visualizes data populations with fewer assumptions.

problem Limitations of Taylor diagram in capturing non-linear relationships and sensitivity to outliers.
method Proposes a kernelized version of the Taylor diagram that uses maximum mean discrepancy and kernel mean embedding.
result Kernelized Taylor diagram visualizes data populations with minimal assumptions of data distributions.

A virtual link diagram is called normal if the associated abstract link diagram is checkerboard colorable, and a virtual link is normal if it has a normal diagram as a representative.In this paper, we introduce a method of converting a virtual link diagram to a normal virtual link diagram by use of the double covering …

2016-06-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Study categorizes knots and links as rigid or shaky based on Reidemeister moves.

problem Classifying knots and links as rigid or shaky based on adaptability to Reidemeister moves.
method Categorization of hard diagrams as rigid or shaky, investigation of rigid and shaky hard diagrams for specific knots and links.
result Every link has a rigid hard diagram, and there is an upper limit for the number of crossings in such diagrams.

Twisted graph diagrams are virtual graph diagrams with bars on edges. A bijection between abstract graph diagrams and twisted graph diagrams is constructed. Then a polynomial invariant of Yamada-type is developed which provides a lower bound for the virtual crossing number of virtual graph diagrams.

2007-06-19abs ↗pdf ↗

A virtual link diagram is called normal if the associated abstract link diagram is checkerboard colorable, and a virtual link is normal if it has a normal diagram as a representative. Normal virtual links have some properties similar to classical links.In this paper, we introduce a method of converting a virtual link d…

2017-12-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Problems on region choices for knot and link diagrams solved using Alexander numbering.

problem Existence of solutions for region choice problems on knot and link diagrams.
method Alexander numbering for regions, alternative proofs, necessary and sufficient conditions.
result Existence of solutions for region choice problems on link diagrams.

The presence of slipknots in configurations of proteins and DNA has been shown to affect their functionality, or alter it entirely. Historically, polymers are modeled as polygonal chains in space. As an alternative to space curves, we provide a framework for working with subknots inside of knot diagrams via knotoid dia…

2018-03-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Probabilistic classifiers output a probability distribution on target classes rather than just a class prediction. Besides providing a clear separation of prediction and decision making, the main advantage of probabilistic models is their ability to represent uncertainty about predictions. In safety-critical applicatio…

2019-02-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Bankwitz characterized an alternating diagram representing the trivial knot. A non-alternating diagram is called almost alternating if one crossing change makes the diagram alternating. We characterize an almost alternaing diagram representing the trivial knot. As a corollary we determine an unknotting number one alter…

2006-04-30abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper explores when specific knot operations simplify diagrams.

problem Understanding when arc crossing changes simplify knot diagrams.
method Examined two types of arc crossing changes on link diagrams and determined when they are unknotting operations.
result Any two crossing points in an alternating knot diagram are arc crossing change admissible.

Gauss diagrams' properties can change with Hamiltonian cycle choice.

problem The impact of Hamiltonian cycle choice on Gauss diagrams.
method Examined realizable and unrealizable Gauss diagrams, and proved preservation of realizability under certain Hamiltonian cycle changes.
result Properties of Gauss diagrams can vary with Hamiltonian cycle choice.

New estimate of semimeander complexity for knots with more than 10 crossings.

problem Estimating the complexity of semimeander diagrams of knots.
method Proved a new upper bound on the number of crossings for semimeander diagrams of knots with more than 10 crossings.
result For knots with more than 10 crossings, semimeander diagrams have no more than 0.311.558cr(K)0.31 \cdot 1.558^{\operatorname{cr}(K)} crossings.

There is a well-known way to describe a link diagram as a (signed) plane graph, called its Tait graph. This concept was recently extended, providing a way to associate a set of embedded graphs (or ribbon graphs) to a link diagram. While every plane graph arises as a Tait graph of a unique link diagram, not every embedd…

2010-07-23abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper introduces triple grid diagrams to construct Lagrangian surfaces in complex projective space.

problem Constructing Lagrangian surfaces in complex projective space.
method Defining and analyzing triple grid diagrams to determine Lagrangian caps and surfaces.
result Triple grid diagrams can determine closed Lagrangian surfaces in CP2\mathbb{CP}^2 under certain conditions.

Complete criterion for VoI in multi-decision influence diagrams established.

problem Analyzing safety and fairness properties of AI systems using influence diagrams.
method Introduced ID homomorphisms and Tree of Systems to prove properties of multi-decision influence diagrams.
result First complete graphical criterion for VoI in influence diagrams with multiple decisions.

A virtual link diagram is called mod mm almost classical if it admits an Alexander numbering valued in integers modulo mm, and a virtual link is called mod mm almost classical if it has a mod mm almost classical diagram as a representative. In this paper, we introduce a method of constructing a mod mm almost class…

2019-03-08abs ↗pdf ↗

For an oriented virtual link, L.H. Kauffman defined the f-polynomial (Jones polynomial). The supporting genus of a virtual link diagram is the minimal genus of a surface in which the diagram can be embedded. In this paper we show that the span of the f-polynomial of an alternating virtual link L is determined by the nu…

2004-12-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Study shows that splitting links requires an arbitrarily large number of extra crossings.

problem The problem is to determine the minimum number of extra crossings needed to transform a diagram of a split link into a split diagram.
method The approach uses Reidemeister moves and the framework of bubble tangles, along with techniques from Riemannian geometry.
result There exist split links with diagrams requiring an arbitrarily large number of extra crossings.