Variable selection for Gaussian process models is often done using automatic relevance determination, which uses the inverse length-scale parameter of each input variable as a proxy for variable relevance. This implicitly determined relevance has several drawbacks that prevent the selection of optimal input variables i…
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Trend · papers per month
System detects relevant financial news and predictions from unstructured text.
Study evaluates relevance metrics for similarity-based model explanations.
New method selects relevant dimensions for better prediction in mixtures.
Proposes a new hyperprior and predictive criterion for weakly informative hyperprior in relevance vector machine.
New method explains GNN predictions using walks.
InteractionNet models noncovalent protein-ligand interactions with GNNs and explains predictions.
Novel metrics improve machine learning models for ICU patient care.
A method to assess variable importance in complex predictive models.
Paper aims to improve relevance of e-commerce search results.
The increasing occurrence of ordinal data, mainly sociodemographic, led to a renewed research interest in ordinal regression, i.e. the prediction of ordered classes. Besides model accuracy, the interpretation of these models itself is of high relevance, and existing approaches therefore enforce e.g. model sparsity. For…
Providing accurate predictions is challenging for machine learning algorithms when the number of features is larger than the number of samples in the data. Prior knowledge can improve machine learning models by indicating relevant variables and parameter values. Yet, this prior knowledge is often tacit and only availab…
Online purchase decisions in organizations can go through a complex journey with multiple agents involved in the decision making process. Depending on the product being purchased, and the organizational structure, the process may involve employees who first conduct market research, and then influence decision makers wh…
Recently, several methods have been proposed to explain the predictions of recurrent neural networks (RNNs), in particular of LSTMs. The goal of these methods is to understand the network's decisions by assigning to each input variable, e.g., a word, a relevance indicating to which extent it contributed to a particular…
Relevance vector machine (RVM) can be seen as a probabilistic version of support vector machines which is able to produce sparse solutions by linearly weighting a small number of basis functions instead using all of them. Regardless of a few merits of RVM such as giving probabilistic predictions and relax of parameter …
Our interest in this paper is in the construction of symbolic explanations for predictions made by a deep neural network. We will focus attention on deep relational machines (DRMs, first proposed by H. Lodhi). A DRM is a deep network in which the input layer consists of Boolean-valued functions (features) that are defi…
Bayesian neural network improves feature selection and prediction.
Recently, a technique called Layer-wise Relevance Propagation (LRP) was shown to deliver insightful explanations in the form of input space relevances for understanding feed-forward neural network classification decisions. In the present work, we extend the usage of LRP to recurrent neural networks. We propose a specif…
We introduce a novel latent grouping model for predicting the relevance of a new document to a user. The model assumes a latent group structure for both users and documents. We compared the model against a state-of-the-art method, the User Rating Profile model, where only users have a latent group structure. We estimat…
It is becoming increasingly important for machine learning methods to make predictions that are interpretable as well as accurate. In many practical applications, it is of interest which features and feature interactions are relevant to the prediction task. We present a novel method, Selective Bayesian Forest Classifie…
Layer-wise relevance propagation (LRP) is a recently proposed technique for explaining predictions of complex non-linear classifiers in terms of input variables. In this paper, we apply LRP for the first time to natural language processing (NLP). More precisely, we use it to explain the predictions of a convolutional n…
Acute kidney injury (AKI) commonly occurs in hospitalized patients and can lead to serious medical complications. In order to optimally predict AKI before it develops at any time during a hospital stay, we present a novel framework in which AKI is continually predicted automatically from EHR data over the entire hospit…
Paper introduces MCRP for estimating feature relevance uncertainty in neural networks.
Predicting unscheduled breakdowns of plasma etching equipment can reduce maintenance costs and production losses in the semiconductor industry. However, plasma etching is a complex procedure and it is hard to capture all relevant equipment properties and behaviors in a single physical model. Machine learning offers an …
Layer-wise Relevance Propagation (LRP) and saliency maps have been recently used to explain the predictions of Deep Learning models, specifically in the domain of text classification. Given different attribution-based explanations to highlight relevant words for a predicted class label, experiments based on word deleti…
The Nonlinear autoregressive exogenous (NARX) model, which predicts the current value of a time series based upon its previous values as well as the current and past values of multiple driving (exogenous) series, has been studied for decades. Despite the fact that various NARX models have been developed, few of them ca…
Proposes a new SPVM model for RVM with more flexible priors.
Finding relevant information from large document collections such as the World Wide Web is a common task in our daily lives. Estimation of a user's interest or search intention is necessary to recommend and retrieve relevant information from these collections. We introduce a brain-information interface used for recomme…
Efficiently computes embeddings for large graphs using coarsening.
New measures for prediction validity and consonant plausibility introduced.
Feature selection with high-dimensional data and a very small proportion of relevant features poses a severe challenge to standard statistical methods. We have developed a new approach (HARVEST) that is straightforward to apply, albeit somewhat computer-intensive. This algorithm can be used to pre-screen a large number…
Blood lactate concentration is a strong indicator of mortality risk in critically ill patients. While frequent lactate measurements are necessary to assess patient's health state, the measurement is an invasive procedure that can increase risk of hospital-acquired infections. For this reason we formally define the prob…
Proposes a new stability measure for model fitting on similar feature data sets.
Estimates latent dimensionality for prediction tasks using mutual information.
Machine learning approaches have been effective in predicting adverse outcomes in different clinical settings. These models are often developed and evaluated on datasets with heterogeneous patient populations. However, good predictive performance on the aggregate population does not imply good performance for specific …
XR improves search advertising relevance predictions.
Data coarse graining improves model performance by filtering out less relevant features.
Providing explanations along with predictions is crucial in some text processing tasks. Therefore, we propose a new self-interpretable model that performs output prediction and simultaneously provides an explanation in terms of the presence of particular concepts in the input. To do so, our model's prediction relies so…
This paper proposes a cost-sensitive feature acquisition method.
Study proposes explainable analytics for manufacturing process planning.
New method predicts activity coefficients for binary mixtures without using physical descriptors.
Jointly learns feature and sample relevancies for robust sparse recovery.
XGBoost fails to accurately identify relevant features, while interpretable methods do.
Mild Traumatic Brain Injury (mTBI) is a significant public health problem. The most troubling symptoms after mTBI are cognitive complaints. Studies show measurable differences between patients with mTBI and healthy controls with respect to tissue microstructure using diffusion MRI. However, it remains unclear which dif…
Databases are widespread, yet extracting relevant data can be difficult. Without substantial domain knowledge, multivariate search queries often return sparse or uninformative results. This paper introduces an approach for searching structured data based on probabilistic programming and nonparametric Bayes. Users speci…
The paper introduces a new method for interpreting model predictions by considering both direct and indirect effects.
Machine learning models predict US economic recessions using Treasury term spreads.
Automatic detection of emotion has the potential to revolutionize mental health and wellbeing. Recent work has been successful in predicting affect from unimodal electrocardiogram (ECG) data. However, to be immediately relevant for real-world applications, physiology-based emotion detection must make use of ubiquitous …