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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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169338507676 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for relation prediction

Proposes a new tensor factorization model for better link prediction in knowledge graphs.

problem Lack of information in treating missing and non-existing relations equally in tensor factorization models.
method Introduces a binary tensor factorization model with probit link to address the issue.
result Shows improved prediction accuracy and interpretability compared to existing models.

DanSmp predicts stock movement using a hybrid-relational MKG and dual attention networks.

problem Predicting stock price trends in volatile financial markets.
method Constructs a bi-typed MKG with hybrid-relations and uses DanSmp, a dual attention network, to learn momentum spillover signals.
result DanSmp improves stock prediction accuracy using the MKG.

MDGNN predicts stock prices by capturing multifaceted relations over time.

problem Challenges in predicting stock prices due to dynamic and intricate relations.
method MDGNN uses a discrete dynamic graph and Transformer structure to capture multifaceted relations and temporal evolution.
result MDGNN achieves the best performance in public datasets compared to SOTA methods.

Knowledge graphs store facts using relations between two entities. In this work, we address the question of link prediction in knowledge hypergraphs where relations are defined on any number of entities. While techniques exist (such as reification) that convert non-binary relations into binary ones, we show that curren…

2019-06-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes using diffusion models for probabilistic stock market predictions.

problem Uncertainties in financial data make deterministic models ineffective for stock market predictions.
method Utilizes Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DDPM) and Masked Relational Transformer (MRT).
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance in stock movement prediction and portfolio management.

Stock prediction aims to predict the future trends of a stock in order to help investors to make good investment decisions. Traditional solutions for stock prediction are based on time-series models. With the recent success of deep neural networks in modeling sequential data, deep learning has become a promising choice…

2018-09-25abs ↗pdf ↗

DGRCL integrates dynamic and static graph relations for financial market prediction.

problem Capturing the evolving nature of stock markets while considering both temporal changes and static relational structures.
method Dynamic Graph Representation with Contrastive Learning (DGRCL) framework, including Embedding Enhancement (EE) and Contrastive Constrained Training (CCT) modules.
result DGRCL significantly outperforms state-of-the-art TGL baselines on NASDAQ and NYSE datasets.

Study uses machine learning to predict future health from various health data types.

problem Predicting future health using diverse health data types.
method Applied machine learning (neural networks and XGBoost) to longitudinal data from 6830 individuals.
result Health-related measures were the strongest predictors of future health status, while genetic data performed poorly.

A new framework predicts stock movements using news sentiment and relational data.

problem Predicting stock prices from textual information is challenging due to market uncertainty and natural language complexity.
method Multi-Graph Recurrent Network (MGRN) combining textual sentiment from financial news and relational data.
result The model outperforms benchmarks in predicting stock movements.

Relational data are usually highly incomplete in practice, which inspires us to leverage side information to improve the performance of community detection and link prediction. This paper presents a Bayesian probabilistic approach that incorporates various kinds of node attributes encoded in binary form in relational m…

2017-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

New method improves graph neural networks by considering different types of relations in sampling.

problem Current graph neural networks ignore relation types in biomedical graphs, leading to suboptimal performance.
method Proposes relation-dependent sampling for multi-relational graphs to balance relation frequency and importance.
result State-of-the-art graph neural networks achieve better accuracy and efficiency with relation-dependent sampling.

The paper extends graph embedding models to handle multiple relations.

problem Link prediction in multi-relational networks.
method Generalized pseudo-Riemannian embedding models to multi-relational networks, considering relations as submanifolds.
result Validation of the approach in link prediction tasks, including knowledge graph completion and biological domain analysis.

New method learns graph structure and uncertainty from data.

problem Learning latent graph structures and their uncertainty from data.
method Proposes a sampling-based method to learn latent graph structure and uncertainty simultaneously.
result Proves that suitable loss functions on stochastic model outputs solve both learning latent graph structure and achieving optimal predictions.

We propose the Relational Tucker3 (RT) decomposition for multi-relational link prediction in knowledge graphs. We show that many existing knowledge graph embedding models are special cases of the RT decomposition with certain predefined sparsity patterns in its components. In contrast to these prior models, RT decouple…

2019-02-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper tackles multi-task learning for molecular property prediction with limited data.

problem Limited labeled data for each molecular property task in drug discovery.
method Proposes SGNN-EBM method to utilize relation graph between tasks and improve multi-task learning performance.
result Empirical results show the effectiveness of SGNN-EBM.

Proposes a THGNN for dynamic financial time series prediction.

problem Challenges in predicting stock market price movements.
method Temporal and heterogeneous graph neural network (THGNN) approach.
result Significantly improved prediction performance compared to state-of-the-art methods.

The dominant paradigm for relation prediction in knowledge graphs involves learning and operating on latent representations (i.e., embeddings) of entities and relations. However, these embedding-based methods do not explicitly capture the compositional logical rules underlying the knowledge graph, and they are limited …

2019-11-16abs ↗pdf ↗

DArtNet predicts time series data using graph structure and dynamic attributes.

problem Predicting time series data using graph structure and dynamic attributes.
method DArtNet learns static and dynamic embeddings for graph nodes and encodes history information using RNN for joint link and attribute prediction.
result Improved time series prediction accuracy on five datasets.

Prediction of future observations is an important and challenging problem. The two mainstream approaches for quantifying prediction uncertainty use prediction regions and predictive distributions, respectively, with the latter believed to be more informative because it can perform other prediction-related tasks. The st…

2020-01-24abs ↗pdf ↗

GEN tackles few-shot out-of-graph link prediction in evolving multi-relational graphs.

problem Predicting links between unseen nodes in evolving multi-relational graphs with few edges per node.
method Transductive meta-learning framework (GEN) for inductive and transductive inference.
result GEN significantly outperforms relevant baselines for out-of-graph link prediction tasks.

Key to multitask learning is exploiting relationships between different tasks to improve prediction performance. If the relations are linear, regularization approaches can be used successfully. However, in practice assuming the tasks to be linearly related might be restrictive, and allowing for nonlinear structures is …

2017-05-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes C2RM to mine cross-cryptocurrency relationships for better Bitcoin price prediction.

problem Limited consideration of historical relationships and interactions between cryptocurrencies for Bitcoin price prediction.
method C2RM module using Dynamic Time Warping for lead-lag relationship extraction and aggregation.
result Improves existing price prediction methods by significant performance improvement.

Proposes CAL to learn causal adjacency for better spatiotemporal prediction.

problem Suboptimal performance in spatiotemporal prediction due to out-of-distribution data.
method Causal Adjacency Learning (CAL) method to discover causal relations over graphs.
result Calculated causal adjacency matrix enhances prediction performance on out-of-distribution test data.

The paper investigates non-linear and heavy-tailed predictability in transition-energy financial markets.

problem Incomplete representation of dependence structure in Gaussian-linear forecasting frameworks.
method Develops a hybrid forecasting framework combining Student-t Vector Autoregressions with nonlinear recurrent residual learning architectures.
result The proposed framework consistently improves predictive accuracy relative to conventional models, especially during macro-financial stress.

In statistical relational learning, the link prediction problem is key to automatically understand the structure of large knowledge bases. As in previous studies, we propose to solve this problem through latent factorization. However, here we make use of complex valued embeddings. The composition of complex embeddings …

2016-06-20abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper develops a method to discover causal relations and predict material laws with uncertainty quantification.

problem Discovering causal relations and predicting material laws with uncertainty in civil engineering applications.
method The paper develops a causal discovery algorithm to infer causal relations among time-history data. It uses a deep neural network with dropout layers for uncertainty quantification and propagates predictions through a causal graph.
result The method accurately predicts material laws and quantifies uncertainty, as demonstrated in two numerical examples.

Taxi demand prediction is an important building block to enabling intelligent transportation systems in a smart city. An accurate prediction model can help the city pre-allocate resources to meet travel demand and to reduce empty taxis on streets which waste energy and worsen the traffic congestion. With the increasing…

2018-02-23abs ↗pdf ↗