Considering a lead-time-and price-sensitive demand, we investigate whether a client rejection policy, modeled as M/M/1/K system, can be more profitable than an all-client acceptance policy, modeled as M/M/1 system. We provide analytical insights for the cases with and without holding and penalty costs by comparing M/M/…
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,742 papers · 148 categories
Trend · papers per month
48 results for “rejection policy”
New policy tackles evolving externalities in contextual bandits.
problem Difficulty in recovering from wrong decisions over time.
method Rejection-based policy to achieve low regret.
result Low regret achieved regardless of reward matrix structure.
We study the problem of policy evaluation and learning from batched contextual bandit data when treatments are continuous, going beyond previous work on discrete treatments. Previous work for discrete treatment/action spaces focuses on inverse probability weighting (IPW) and doubly robust (DR) methods that use a reject…
Formalizes weak and strong verification for LLMs, controlling errors without assumptions.
problem Balancing cost and reliability in reasoning with LLMs.
method Formalizes weak-strong verification policies, introduces metrics, develops online algorithm.
result Optimal policies admit a two-threshold structure, and calibration and sharpness govern value of weak verifiers.
A dealer manages quotes and rejection rules to control slippage risk in FX markets.
problem Managing inventory risk and latency risk in OTC FX market making.
method Dynamic programming and adiabatic-quadratic approximation to optimize quotes and rejection rules.
result Developed a method to optimize quotes and rejection rules for managing slippage risk.
A minimalist approach improves LLM reasoning by filtering incorrect responses.
problem Improving large language model (LLM) reasoning on complex tasks.
method Revisit GRPO from a reinforce-like algorithm perspective, proposing Reinforce-Rej.
result RAFT, a simple rejection sampling baseline, outperforms GRPO and PPO.
TabNAS improves neural architecture search for tabular datasets by rejecting suboptimal architectures.
problem Finding optimal neural architectures for tabular datasets with resource constraints.
method Develops a reinforcement learning controller motivated by rejection sampling to handle resource constraints.
result TabNAS finds better models that obey resource constraints compared to previous methods.
Pliable rejection samplingstat.ML
PRS improves rejection sampling by learning better proposals.
problem High rejection rate in traditional rejection sampling.
method PRS uses a kernel estimator to learn better sampling proposals.
result PRS guarantees a low number of accepted samples.
Paper tackles regression with cost-based rejection, balancing prediction and rejection costs.
problem Regression with cost-based rejection, balancing prediction and rejection costs in a continuous target space.
method Formulated expected risk, derived Bayes optimal solution, proposed surrogate loss function.
result Bayes optimal solution can be recovered by the proposed surrogate loss function.
We provide a method for approximating Bayesian inference using rejection sampling. We not only make the process efficient, but also dramatically reduce the memory required relative to conventional methods by combining rejection sampling with particle filtering. We also provide an approximate form of rejection sampling …
Algorithmic trading systems on DEXs reject most candidate tokens, but the counterfactual outcome of rejected candidates is rarely measured.
problem Measuring the counterfactual outcome of rejected tokens in algorithmic trading systems on decentralized exchanges.
method Post-Rejection Follow-up Sampling (PRFS) introduces a methodology for collecting and analyzing the data needed to evaluate filter precision against actual market outcomes of rejected candidates.
result PRFS produces the data needed to evaluate filter precision against actual market outcomes of rejected candidates, not against synthetic backtest reconstructions.
RMT-Net tackles biased credit scoring data by learning from both default/non-default and rejection/approval tasks.
problem Missing-not-at-random selection bias in financial credit scoring data.
method Reject-aware Multi-Task Network (RMT-Net) that leverages the correlation between default/non-default and rejection/approval tasks.
result RMT-Net improves credit scoring models by learning from both default/non-default and rejection/approval tasks.
Paper addresses RLHF alignment challenges with novel algorithms.
problem Challenges in RLHF alignment, especially in strategic exploration.
method Develops a reverse-KL regularized contextual bandit formulation and proposes efficient algorithms with theoretical guarantees.
result Proposed methods significantly outperform existing RLHF algorithms in real-world experiments.
Success Conditioning as Policy Improvement: The Optimization Problem Solved by Imitating Successcs.AI
Success conditioning optimizes policies by imitating successful trajectories, solving a trust-region optimization problem.
problem Improving policies through random actions that lead to desired outcomes.
method Success conditioning, which involves collecting and updating policies based on successful trajectories.
result Success conditioning solves a trust-region optimization problem, maximizing policy improvement with a divergence constraint.
We present a new approach to the problems of evaluating and learning personalized decision policies from observational data of past contexts, decisions, and outcomes. Only the outcome of the enacted decision is available and the historical policy is unknown. These problems arise in personalized medicine using electroni…
Optimal regression with reject option using conditional variance thresholding.
problem Regression with reject option to handle uncertain predictions.
method Derive optimal rule based on thresholding conditional variance, semi-supervised estimation using labeled and unlabeled data.
result The predictor with reject option is almost as good as the optimal predictor in terms of risk and rejection rate.
In reinforcement learning, policy gradient algorithms optimize the policy directly and rely on sampling efficiently an environment. Nevertheless, while most sampling procedures are based on direct policy sampling, self-performance measures could be used to improve such sampling prior to each policy update. Following th…
A reject option improves partial-label learning's accuracy.
problem Ambiguously labeled data in real-world applications.
method Risk-consistent nearest-neighbor algorithm with a reject option.
result Our method provides the best trade-off between non-rejected predictions' number and accuracy.
Comment on entropy learning for dynamic treatment regimes.
problem Evaluating dynamic treatment regimes using entropy loss.
method Optimization-based alternative to IPW estimate.
result Suggests optimization-based approach for evaluation.
A new approach to model rejection using density ratios.
problem Improving model performance through selective prediction.
method Optimization of a loss's risk with φ-divergence regularization to find an idealized data distribution.
result Model rejection can be made by comparing the density ratio of the idealized distribution to the actual data distribution.
Delayed rejection HMC improves sampling efficiency for multiscale distributions.
problem Hamiltonian Monte Carlo struggles with wide-ranging distributions, especially in high-curvature areas.
method Introduces a delayed rejection variant of HMC, using geometrically smaller step sizes for retries.
result Up to five-fold performance gains in effective sample size per gradient evaluation.
Credit scoring models support loan approval decisions in the financial services industry. Lenders train these models on data from previously granted credit applications, where the borrowers' repayment behavior has been observed. This approach creates sample bias. The scoring model (i.e., classifier) is trained on accep…
Paper connects rejection learning to Bhattacharyya divergence.
problem Learning models to abstain from predictions.
method Developed a link between rejection and thresholding different statistical divergences, focusing on Bhattacharyya divergence.
result Rejector obtained by joint ideal distribution corresponds to thresholding of skewed Bhattacharyya divergence.
Credit scoring models based on accepted applications may be biased and their consequences can have a statistical and economic impact. Reject inference is the process of attempting to infer the creditworthiness status of the rejected applications. In this research, we use deep generative models to develop two new semi-s…
Classification with Reject Option: Distribution-free Error Guarantees via Conformal Predictionstat.ML
A method for making predictions with a reject option using conformal prediction.
problem Uncertainty in machine learning predictions, especially when models are unsure.
method Formalizing ML with reject option, using conformal prediction for distribution-free error guarantees.
result Theoretical guarantees on error rate for prediction sets with distribution-free validity.
New method reduces infinite variance in probabilistic programs with rejection sampling.
problem Infinite variance in naive importance sampling for programs with rejection sampling.
method Developed a new amortized importance sampling estimator with finite variance proof.
result Empirically demonstrated efficiency and correctness compared to existing alternatives.
We consider the problem of selective prediction (also known as reject option) in deep neural networks, and introduce SelectiveNet, a deep neural architecture with an integrated reject option. Existing rejection mechanisms are based mostly on a threshold over the prediction confidence of a pre-trained network. In contra…
A neural framework for learning with rejection for classification and regression.
problem Developing machine learning systems that can abstain from generating predictions when reliability is low.
method A neural framework involving a predictor and a rejecter model for simultaneous training.
result The proposed method performs at par or better than previously proposed methods for both classification and regression.
A novel method for classification with rejection using ensemble of cost-sensitive classifiers.
problem Avoid risky misclassification in error-critical applications.
method Learning an ensemble of cost-sensitive classifiers.
result Improved classification accuracy and flexibility in loss selection.
Rejection Sampling is a fundamental Monte-Carlo method. It is used to sample from distributions admitting a probability density function which can be evaluated exactly at any given point, albeit at a high computational cost. However, without proper tuning, this technique implies a high rejection rate. Several methods h…
GWINs improve classifier accuracy by translating uncertain observations.
problem Improving accuracy of uncertain observations in classifiers.
method Generative network recovers correct observation distributions, reject option allows for uncertain predictions.
result GWINs significantly improve classifier accuracy on benchmark datasets.
Paper learns versatile balancing and recovery motions for humanoid robots.
problem Training humanoid robots to handle unexpected perturbations.
method Hierarchical Deep Reinforcement Learning in a physics simulator.
result Learned skills comparable to preprogrammed controllers but more adaptable.
New particle filter estimates model evidence without bias.
problem Unbiased estimation of marginal likelihood for model comparison.
method Particle filter with rejection control.
result Unbiased estimation of marginal likelihood.
New algorithms reduce rejection sampling complexity for shape-constrained distributions.
problem Generating exact samples from shape-constrained distributions efficiently.
method Sublinear query complexity algorithms for rejection sampling.
result Sublinear complexity algorithms for sampling from shape-constrained distributions.
Proposes a method combining CNFs and rejection-resampling for sampling from unnormalized densities.
problem Sampling from unnormalized probability densities, especially multimodal ones.
method Combines continuous normalizing flows with rejection-resampling steps based on importance weights.
result The method improves sampling accuracy and performance compared to state-of-the-art methods.
RED-2400 is a public benchmark of trading events from a Solana exchange, labeled by algorithmic rejection.
problem Analyzing algorithmically-rejected trading events for insights into market dynamics.
method Public dataset of 6,660 algorithmically-rejected trading events, linked to post-rejection price and liquidity trajectories.
result First window of a planned series of datasets extending the time horizon and enabling regime-stratified analysis.
Generative classifier derived from any discriminative classifier rejects illegal inputs.
problem Detecting and rejecting illegal inputs like adversarial examples and out-of-distribution samples.
method SDIM-logit: learns generative classifier from logits of any discriminative classifier, imposing statistical constraints.
result SDIM-logit inherits performance of base classifier without loss and can reject illegal inputs.
Active learning is an important technique to reduce the number of labeled examples in supervised learning. Active learning for binary classification has been well addressed in machine learning. However, active learning of the reject option classifier remains unaddressed. In this paper, we propose novel algorithms for a…
The paper tackles AI advice giving by considering adherence levels and defer options.
problem Inadequate consideration of human adherence to AI recommendations.
method Sequential decision-making model that considers adherence levels and incorporates a defer option.
result Specialized learning algorithms provide better convergence and empirical performance.
Generation of pseudorandom numbers from different probability distributions has been studied extensively in the Monte Carlo simulation literature. Two standard generation techniques are the acceptance-rejection and inverse transformation methods. An alternative approach to Monte Carlo simulation is the quasi-Monte Carl…
Study finds market inefficiencies vary by time scale, with news uncertainty key.
problem Evaluating scale-dependent informational efficiency of stock markets.
method Tensor-eigenvalue-based Financial Chaos Index, Granger causality, network analysis.
result Semi-strong form of EMH rejected at daily frequency, but not at monthly.
The wide and rapid adoption of deep learning by practitioners brought unintended consequences in many situations such as in the infamous case of Google Photos' racist image recognition algorithm; thus, necessitated the utilization of the quantified uncertainty for each prediction. There have been recent efforts towards…
Trade uncertainty impact on stock-bond correlations: Insights from conditional correlation modelsq-fin.ST
The study shows how trade uncertainty affects stock-bond correlations over time.
problem Impact of trade policy uncertainty on stock-bond correlations.
method Daily data analysis using GARCH-based models (CCC, STCC, DCC) with TPU and political dummy variables.
result Time-varying correlation models better capture the dynamics of stock-bond correlations than constant models.
Accelerated RPCholesky speeds up kernel matrix approximations.
problem Efficiently approximating large kernel matrices.
method Accelerated randomly pivoted Cholesky (RPCholesky) with block matrix computations and rejection sampling.
result Approximates kernel matrices up to 40 times faster.
Framework to mitigate adversarial attacks by allowing classifiers to abstain.
problem Vulnerability of classifiers to adversarial examples.
method Adversarial training with a rejection option.
result ATRO framework improves classifier reliability against adversarial attacks.
Variational inference using the reparameterization trick has enabled large-scale approximate Bayesian inference in complex probabilistic models, leveraging stochastic optimization to sidestep intractable expectations. The reparameterization trick is applicable when we can simulate a random variable by applying a differ…
Improved inference for models with continuous latent variables.
problem Inference accuracy with traditional variational methods is limited.
method Reparameterized Variational Rejection Sampling (RVRS) using a proposal distribution with a reparameterized gradient estimator.
result RVRS offers a better trade-off between computational cost and inference fidelity.
A learning-based algorithm optimizes admission control in a queuing system.
problem Optimizing admission decisions in a queuing system with unknown parameters.
method Proposes a learning-based dispatching algorithm to minimize regret compared to optimal policies.
result Achieves optimal regret bounds for different scenarios of unknown parameters.