Regshock visualizes financial risks to help regulators manage systemic shocks.
problem Managing systemic risks in financial networks.
method Risk-island visualization algorithm and regshock visual exploration approach.
result Demonstrated improved risk management and control capabilities.
A new method infers causal gene regulatory networks from parallel CRISPR interventions and transcriptomic data.
problem Learning causal gene regulatory networks from observational data is complicated by lack of identifiability and a combinatorial solution space.
method A continuous optimization framework that leverages observational and interventional data to infer a single causal structure, assuming a linear Structural Equation Model (SEM).
result A provably consistent estimator of the true DAG under mild assumptions.
This paper is concerned with the problem of stochastic control of gene regulatory networks (GRNs) observed indirectly through noisy measurements and with uncertainty in the intervention inputs. The partial observability of the gene states and uncertainty in the intervention process are accounted for by modeling GRNs us…
Expands experimental design for causal discovery from limited data.
problem Challenges in causal discovery from observational and interventional data.
method Bayesian optimal experimental design incorporating recent advances in causal discovery.
result Active causal discovery of large, nonlinear SCMs with both intervention target and value selection.
Accounting fraud is a global concern representing a significant threat to the financial system stability due to the resulting diminishing of the market confidence and trust of regulatory authorities. Several tricks can be used to commit accounting fraud, hence the need for non-static regulatory interventions that take …
Generative Intervention Models predict perturbation effects without knowing the underlying mechanisms.
problem Predicting perturbation effects when the mechanisms are unknown.
method Generative Intervention Models (GIM) that map perturbation features to distributions over atomic interventions in a causal model.
result GIMs achieve robust out-of-distribution predictions and infer underlying perturbation mechanisms.
GO-CBED optimizes experiments for specific causal queries, improving efficiency.
problem Efficiently infer causal relationships with limited resources.
method Goal-oriented Bayesian framework that maximizes expected information gain on user-specified causal quantities.
result GO-CBED outperforms existing methods in various causal tasks, especially with limited budgets.
We study optimal trading in an Almgren-Chriss model with running and terminal inventory costs and general predictive signals about price changes. As a special case, this allows to treat optimal liquidation in "target zone models": asset prices with a reflecting boundary enforced by regulatory interventions. In this cas…
Survey examines agentic AI in finance, highlighting its autonomy and challenges.
problem Autonomous AI systems in finance and their implications.
method Systematic review of research, technical architectures, market applications, and governance frameworks.
result Agentic AI offers enhanced market efficiency but introduces new risks.
Study shows SEC crypto classification led to significant market reactions.
problem Impact of SEC classification of crypto assets as securities.
method Event study methodology focusing on explicitly named crypto assets.
result Significant adverse market reactions, with returns plummeting 12% over one week.
New method infers causal factors from large-scale data without full graph reconstruction.
problem Inferring causal variables from large-scale systems without full causal graph reconstruction.
method Supervised learning on simulated data using a neural network and subsampled-ensemble inference.
result Efficiently identifies causal relationships in large-scale gene regulatory networks.
Feature selection predicts immune state changes in RA mouse model.
problem Predicting the immune state change after RA immunotherapy.
method Feature selection algorithms applied to mouse CIA model data.
result Selected features predict both T cell markers and treatment efficacy.
UK universities pension scheme valuation study shows high dependence on gilt yields.
problem High dependence of UK universities pension scheme on UK government bond yields.
method Analysis of USS valuations from 2014 to 2023, examination of self-sufficiency conditions, and evaluation of metrics.
result Second self-sufficiency condition amplifies gilt yield dependence, leading to inflated liabilities and excessive prudence.
Do we know if a short selling ban or a Tobin Tax result in more stable asset prices? Or do they in fact make things worse? Just like medicine regulatory measures in financial markets aim at improving an already complex system. And just like medicine these interventions can cause side effects which are even harder to as…
Recurring international financial crises have adverse socioeconomic effects and demand novel regulatory instruments or strategies for risk management and market stabilization. However, the complex web of market interactions often impedes rational decisions that would absolutely minimize the risk. Here we show that, for…
This paper explains tax policy for crypto assets in a rapidly evolving tech landscape.
problem Rapid technological changes in crypto assets create regulatory and tax policy blind spots.
method Explains principles of crypto assets, their technology, and tax issues.
result Tax policies are lagging behind innovation in blockchain and crypto.
Over the last 23 years, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has required over 34,000 companies to file over 165,000 annual reports. These reports, the so-called "Form 10-Ks," contain a characterization of a company's financial performance and its risks, including the regulatory environment in which a company op…
This work presents the results of an empirical research with the target of modeling the stylized facts of the daily expost System Marginal Price (SMP) of the Greek wholesale electricity market, using data from January 2004 to December of 2011. SMP is considered here as the footprint of an underline stochastic and nonli…
This paper examines market misconduct in DeFi and proposes regulatory solutions.
problem Novel forms of market misconduct in DeFi.
method Comprehensive analysis, comparative study, empirical measurements, and tailored regulatory framework investigation.
result Identification of key areas for regulatory enhancement in DeFi.
Paper develops a framework to discover bioprocessing regulatory mechanisms using symbolic and statistical learning.
problem Challenges in modeling complex intracellular regulation, stochastic system behavior, and limited experimental data.
method Symbolic and statistical learning framework based on stochastic differential equations and Bayesian learning.
result Improved sample efficiency and robust model selection compared to state-of-the-art approaches.
Inequality persists as wealth concentrates in a few agents.
problem Widening wealth gap in society.
method Modeling wealth exchanges and proposing regulatory policies.
result Simple policies can redistribute wealth and prevent inequality.
regvis.net offers a visual survey of regulatory visualization.
problem Lack of a comprehensive resource for regulatory visualization.
method Collection and manual tagging of 80+ publications, creation of a searchable webpage.
result First publication set tailored for regulatory visualization.
Optimizes insurance profits under regulatory constraints.
problem Maximizing profits while adhering to regulatory and risk policies.
method Developed a formalism for in-force business profit optimisation.
result Identified optimal asset allocation and annual opportunity cost.
TNDE quantifies dynamic gene drivers from single-cell snapshots.
problem Reconstructing time-resolved regulatory effects in biological processes.
method Time-varying Network Driver Estimation (TNDE) using shared graph attention encoder and partial optimal transport.
result TNDE identifies stage-specific driver genes in mouse erythropoiesis.
In a market system, regulations are designed to prevent or rectify market failures that inhibit fair exchange, such as monopoly or transactions with hidden costs. Because regulations reduce profits to those possessing unfair advantage, these advantaged corporations (whether individuals, companies, or other collective o…
Contingent Convertible bonds (CoCos) are debt instruments that convert into equity or are written down in times of distress. Existing pricing models assume conversion triggers based on market prices and on the assumption that markets can always observe all relevant firm information. But all Cocos issued so far have tri…
Paper constructs a CRRIX index to assess cryptocurrency market risks from regulatory changes.
problem Lack of indices quantifying regulatory risks in cryptocurrencies.
method CRRIX index based on news coverage frequency, using Latent Dirichlet Allocation and Hellinger distance.
result CRRIX successfully captures major policy-changing moments and synchronizes with market volatility.
InfoSEM infers gene regulatory networks without GT labels, improving performance.
problem Inferring GRNs from gene expression data with high accuracy and avoiding biases.
method InfoSEM uses deep generative models with informative priors (textual gene embeddings).
result InfoSEM outperforms existing models by 38.5% across four datasets.
Estimates joint causal effects using single-variable interventions on nonlinear models.
problem Estimating joint causal effects from single-variable interventions.
method Identifiability result and practical estimator for decomposing causal effects.
result Joint effects can be inferred without joint interventional data for nonlinear additive models.
New method constructs confidence bands for ODE models with unknown regulatory effects.
problem Building confidence bands for ODE models with unknown regulatory relations is challenging.
method Localized kernel learning approach combined with de-biasing method.
result The constructed confidence band has the desired asymptotic coverage probability and accurately recovers the regulatory network.
Novel framework for systemic risk analysis in financial markets.
problem Systemic risk in financial markets.
method Multi-scale network dynamics, transfer entropy networks, agent-based modeling, wavelet decomposition, Model Context Protocol (MCP).
result Multi-scale approach reveals hidden systemic risk patterns.
This paper tackles CRL for multi-node interventions, achieving identifiability guarantees.
problem CRL under unknown multi-node interventions, focusing on single-node assumptions.
method Establishes identifiability results for general latent causal models under stochastic interventions.
result Identifiability up to ancestors using soft interventions, perfect identifiability using hard interventions.
Proposes a new method for determining LGD discount rates based on cost of capital.
problem Determining an appropriate discount rate for LGD estimation.
method Market-consistent pricing of defaulted loan portfolios to infer discount rates.
result Discount rates reflect both undiversifiable risk and time value of money.
Gene regulatory networks play a crucial role in controlling an organism's biological processes, which is why there is significant interest in developing computational methods that are able to extract their structure from high-throughput genetic data. Many of these computational methods are designed to infer individual …
This work tackles causal graph discovery with stochastic interventions to minimize the number of interventions.
problem Discovering the true causal graph from observational data with limited interventions.
method Proposes a stochastic intervention model and studies verification and search problems with approximation algorithms.
result Provides approximation algorithms with competitive ratios for verification and search problems.
Causal diagrams based on do intervention are useful tools to formalize, process and understand causal relationship among variables. However, the do intervention has controversial interpretation of causal questions for non-manipulable variables, and it also lacks the power to check the conditions related to counterfactu…
Funding is a cost to trading desks that they see as an input. Current FVA-related literature reflects this by also taking funding costs as an input, usually constant, and always risk-neutral. However, this funding curve is the output from a Treasury point of view. Treasury must consider Regulatory-required liquidity bu…
NO-BEARS algorithm speeds up gene network inference from transcriptomic data.
problem Constructing accurate gene regulatory networks from transcriptomic data.
method NO-BEARS algorithm, based on NOTEARS, with new constraint and polynomial regression loss.
result Significantly reduced computational time and improved accuracy in inferring gene regulatory networks.
Our goal is to identify beneficial interventions from observational data. We consider interventions that are narrowly focused (impacting few covariates) and may be tailored to each individual or globally enacted over a population. For applications where harmful intervention is drastically worse than proposing no change…
Simple method calculates WWR for regulatory and accounting purposes.
problem Estimating WWR for regulatory and accounting capital requirements.
method Model-independent approach using integral expressions and component calibration.
result WWR effects for FVA are significantly more material than for CVA.
Paper proposes scalable algorithm to estimate intervention targets in linear models.
problem Estimating intervention targets in linear models from observational and interventional data.
method The paper proposes a scalable algorithm that estimates intervention sites from the difference between precision matrices of observational and interventional datasets.
result The algorithm consistently identifies all intervention targets and updates observational Markov equivalence classes to interventional ones.
DASH simplifies neural networks for gene regulatory dynamics using domain knowledge.
problem Pruning neural networks for gene regulatory dynamics lacks biologically meaningful structure learning.
method DASH uses domain-specific structural information to guide network pruning, leading to sparser, better interpretable models.
result DASH outperforms general pruning methods in gene regulatory network inference, yielding deeper insights.
Gene regulatory networks play a crucial role in controlling an organism's biological processes, which is why there is significant interest in developing computational methods that are able to extract their structure from high-throughput genetic data. A typical approach consists of a series of conditional independence t…
Cryptocurrency markets show similar returns but different volatility responses to infrastructure and regulatory shocks.
problem Understanding how cryptocurrency markets differentiate between infrastructure and regulatory shocks.
method Event-level block bootstrap inference on 31 cryptocurrency events across Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and Cardano (2019-2025).
result No statistically significant difference in cumulative abnormal returns between infrastructure failures and regulatory enforcement.
New method disentangles mixed interventional and observational data in SEMs.
problem Learning causal relationships from mixed interventional and observational data.
method Developed a method to disentangle mixed interventional and observational data in linear SEMs with Gaussian noise.
result The method can identify causal graphs up to their interventional Markov Equivalence Class.
New framework for adaptive clinical trials to address real-world challenges.
problem Real-world challenges in post-regulatory clinical trials.
method RFAN framework integrating regulatory constraints and treatment policy value.
result Empirical evaluation of RFAN's performance.
Efficiently infers gene regulatory networks from spatial data.
problem Inferring spatially-varying gene regulatory networks.
method Proposed an efficient optimization problem for SV-GMRFs.
result Solves large-scale SV-GMRF problems in minutes.
SHARC explains machine learning risk models for regulatory capital, linking outputs to scenarios.
problem Inability to explain machine learning model outputs to regulatory bodies.
method SHAP-based explainability framework for Hybrid GPR-HS architecture and SVaR stress-testing.
result SHARC links SVaR outputs to scenario inputs, providing auditable traceability.