Cryptocurrency markets show similar returns but different volatility responses to infrastructure and regulatory shocks.
problem Understanding how cryptocurrency markets differentiate between infrastructure and regulatory shocks.
method Event-level block bootstrap inference on 31 cryptocurrency events across Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and Cardano (2019-2025).
result No statistically significant difference in cumulative abnormal returns between infrastructure failures and regulatory enforcement.
The paper analyzes how leverage affects manipulation in event-linked markets, offering new insights into regulation.
problem Manipulation and insider information in leveraged event-linked markets.
method Develops a two-axis manipulation taxonomy and analyzes leverage's effects on market-price and outcome manipulation.
result Leverage scales market-price manipulation linearly but shifts the cost-benefit threshold for outcome manipulation.
Study analyzes FIT schemes under market and regulatory uncertainty.
problem Tackles uncertainty in feed-in tariffs and their impact on investment thresholds.
method Uses semi-analytical real options framework to model and compare FIT schemes.
result Increasing regulatory uncertainty lowers investment thresholds for FIT schemes.
Cryptocurrency markets treat infrastructure failures and regulatory shocks differently, but the effect is not statistically significant.
problem Understanding how cryptocurrency markets differentiate between infrastructure failures and regulatory shocks.
method A multi-moment event study using GJR-GARCH-X model with matched dependence-robust inference.
result The differential impact of infrastructure failures and regulatory shocks on cryptocurrency markets is not statistically significant.
GAN improves financial risk prediction by generating synthetic minority events.
problem Data imbalance in financial market supervision.
method Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) to generate synthetic data.
result GAN-generated synthetic data significantly improves prediction accuracy.
A financial data provider shares insights on managing complexity in processing 18 billion daily notifications.
problem Managing complexity in processing 18 billion daily financial notifications.
method Described the volume, variety, velocity, and veracity of data, infrastructure, and architecture.
result Systems were stressed during significant events like Brexit, highlighting the need for scalability and robustness.
In 1999 Robert Fernholz observed an inconsistency between the normative assumption of existence of an equivalent martingale measure (EMM) and the empirical reality of diversity in equity markets. We explore a method of imposing diversity on market models by a type of antitrust regulation that is compatible with EMMs. T…
A new methodology for incorporating LGD correlation effects into the Basel II risk weight functions is introduced. This methodology is based on modelling of LGD and default event with a single loss variable. The resulting formulas for capital charges are numerically compared to the current proposals by the Basel Commit…
Novel graph-based approach segments financial integration eras.
problem Assessing worldwide financial integration using data patterns.
method 3-step approach combining graph-based representations and optimization.
result Endogenous stable eras of world-wide financial integration found.
ASRI index detects crypto market risks with high precision and lead time.
problem Detecting systemic risks in cryptocurrency markets.
method Four weighted sub-indices (Stablecoin, DeFi, Contagion, Regulatory) validated against historical crises.
result ASRI detects significant abnormal signals with high statistical significance and lead time.
Winterization of Texas power system profitable but risky, estimated at $11.74bn over 30 years.
problem Profitability and risk of winterizing Texas power system infrastructure.
method Combined temperature-dependent load and outage estimates over 71 years of climate data.
result Large-scale winterization of gas infrastructure and power plants is profitable, but risks are high due to low-frequency of cold spells.
Study shows SEC crypto classification led to significant market reactions.
problem Impact of SEC classification of crypto assets as securities.
method Event study methodology focusing on explicitly named crypto assets.
result Significant adverse market reactions, with returns plummeting 12% over one week.
Study finds significant price declines and capital reallocation from centralized to decentralized exchanges after FTX collapse.
problem Quantifying trust dynamics and redistribution between centralized and decentralized exchanges.
method Interdisciplinary approach combining causal inference and computational text analysis.
result Significant price declines and capital reallocation from centralized to decentralized exchanges following the FTX collapse.
This paper explains tax policy for crypto assets in a rapidly evolving tech landscape.
problem Rapid technological changes in crypto assets create regulatory and tax policy blind spots.
method Explains principles of crypto assets, their technology, and tax issues.
result Tax policies are lagging behind innovation in blockchain and crypto.
DeFi exploits lead to reduced CP spreads, contrary to contagion hypothesis.
problem Vulnerabilities in DeFi destabilize traditional short-term funding markets.
method Analysis of commercial paper spreads and regulatory segmentation.
result DeFi exploits lead to a 'Flight-to-Quality' pattern, narrowing rather than widening CP spreads.
A new risk measure framework captures multivariate risk in banking.
problem Scalar risk measures fail to capture the multivariate nature of risk in banking.
method A novel multivariate risk measure framework based on the Magnitude-Propensity approach.
result The proposed framework provides a more comprehensive characterization of extreme events.
RECON reconstructs regulatory networks from time-course data, reducing spurious edges and preserving true regulatory edges.
problem Reconstructing regulatory networks from time-course data with minimal spurious edges and preserving true regulatory relationships.
method RECON uses an integral-based additive nonparametric ODE model with five methodological advances to reconstruct regulatory networks.
result RECON consistently outperforms existing methods, reducing spurious edges and preserving true regulatory edges across various scenarios.
Over the last 23 years, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has required over 34,000 companies to file over 165,000 annual reports. These reports, the so-called "Form 10-Ks," contain a characterization of a company's financial performance and its risks, including the regulatory environment in which a company op…
DCK improves air quality index prediction with probabilistic spatial models.
problem Non-Gaussian, complex spatial structure of air quality index.
method Deep classifier kriging (DCK) for non-Gaussian, nonlinear spatial prediction.
result DCK outperforms conventional methods in predictive accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
The largest US banks are required by regulatory mandate to estimate the operational risk capital they must hold using an Advanced Measurement Approach (AMA) as defined by the Basel II/III Accords. Most use the Loss Distribution Approach (LDA) which defines the aggregate loss distribution as the convolution of a frequen…
The regulatory process of Drosophila is thoroughly studied for understanding a great variety of biological principles. While pattern-forming gene networks are analysed in the transcription step, post-transcriptional events (e.g. translation, protein processing) play an important role in establishing protein expression …
Study examines USD exchange rate dynamics using Kramers-Moyal expansion.
problem Understanding and predicting exchange rate instability.
method Kramers-Moyal expansion and Fokker-Planck formalism applied to log-return data.
result Identifies a stabilizing linear drift and nonlinear diffusion term in exchange rate fluctuations.
Study examines cryptocurrency risk spillover effects before and after pandemic.
problem Analyzing risk propagation among cryptocurrencies during extreme events.
method Asymmetric breakpoint approach and network analysis.
result Cryptocurrency risk spillover effect increased during pandemic.
This paper examines market misconduct in DeFi and proposes regulatory solutions.
problem Novel forms of market misconduct in DeFi.
method Comprehensive analysis, comparative study, empirical measurements, and tailored regulatory framework investigation.
result Identification of key areas for regulatory enhancement in DeFi.
Paper develops a framework to discover bioprocessing regulatory mechanisms using symbolic and statistical learning.
problem Challenges in modeling complex intracellular regulation, stochastic system behavior, and limited experimental data.
method Symbolic and statistical learning framework based on stochastic differential equations and Bayesian learning.
result Improved sample efficiency and robust model selection compared to state-of-the-art approaches.
This paper deals with optimally-robust parameter estimation in generalized Pareto distributions (GPDs). These arise naturally in many situations where one is interested in the behavior of extreme events as motivated by the Pickands-Balkema-de Haan extreme value theorem (PBHT). The application we have in mind is calcula…
Filters on order flow improve short-term market directionality.
problem Improving directional signals from order flow in financial markets.
method Structural filters on order lifetime, modification count, and timing applied to BankNifty index futures.
result Filters on parent orders of executed trades show stronger directional association with returns.
regvis.net offers a visual survey of regulatory visualization.
problem Lack of a comprehensive resource for regulatory visualization.
method Collection and manual tagging of 80+ publications, creation of a searchable webpage.
result First publication set tailored for regulatory visualization.
Optimizes insurance profits under regulatory constraints.
problem Maximizing profits while adhering to regulatory and risk policies.
method Developed a formalism for in-force business profit optimisation.
result Identified optimal asset allocation and annual opportunity cost.
TNDE quantifies dynamic gene drivers from single-cell snapshots.
problem Reconstructing time-resolved regulatory effects in biological processes.
method Time-varying Network Driver Estimation (TNDE) using shared graph attention encoder and partial optimal transport.
result TNDE identifies stage-specific driver genes in mouse erythropoiesis.
To meet the Basel II regulatory requirements for the Advanced Measurement Approaches, the bank's internal model must include the use of internal data, relevant external data, scenario analysis and factors reflecting the business environment and internal control systems. Quantification of operational risk cannot be base…
In a market system, regulations are designed to prevent or rectify market failures that inhibit fair exchange, such as monopoly or transactions with hidden costs. Because regulations reduce profits to those possessing unfair advantage, these advantaged corporations (whether individuals, companies, or other collective o…
System tracks regulatory changes for compliance officers.
problem Struggling to keep up with regulatory changes.
method Fetch announcements, classify importance and applicability.
result Simple hierarchical classification works best.
Bayesian method discovers local causal relationships among genes from gene expression data.
problem Discovering gene regulatory relationships from gene expression data.
method Bayesian approach scoring covariance structures for triplets of normally distributed variables, incorporating background knowledge as priors.
result Stable and conservative posterior probability estimates of local causal structures.
Paper constructs a CRRIX index to assess cryptocurrency market risks from regulatory changes.
problem Lack of indices quantifying regulatory risks in cryptocurrencies.
method CRRIX index based on news coverage frequency, using Latent Dirichlet Allocation and Hellinger distance.
result CRRIX successfully captures major policy-changing moments and synchronizes with market volatility.
InfoSEM infers gene regulatory networks without GT labels, improving performance.
problem Inferring GRNs from gene expression data with high accuracy and avoiding biases.
method InfoSEM uses deep generative models with informative priors (textual gene embeddings).
result InfoSEM outperforms existing models by 38.5% across four datasets.
New method constructs confidence bands for ODE models with unknown regulatory effects.
problem Building confidence bands for ODE models with unknown regulatory relations is challenging.
method Localized kernel learning approach combined with de-biasing method.
result The constructed confidence band has the desired asymptotic coverage probability and accurately recovers the regulatory network.
Proposes a new method for determining LGD discount rates based on cost of capital.
problem Determining an appropriate discount rate for LGD estimation.
method Market-consistent pricing of defaulted loan portfolios to infer discount rates.
result Discount rates reflect both undiversifiable risk and time value of money.
Funding is a cost to trading desks that they see as an input. Current FVA-related literature reflects this by also taking funding costs as an input, usually constant, and always risk-neutral. However, this funding curve is the output from a Treasury point of view. Treasury must consider Regulatory-required liquidity bu…
NO-BEARS algorithm speeds up gene network inference from transcriptomic data.
problem Constructing accurate gene regulatory networks from transcriptomic data.
method NO-BEARS algorithm, based on NOTEARS, with new constraint and polynomial regression loss.
result Significantly reduced computational time and improved accuracy in inferring gene regulatory networks.
Simple method calculates WWR for regulatory and accounting purposes.
problem Estimating WWR for regulatory and accounting capital requirements.
method Model-independent approach using integral expressions and component calibration.
result WWR effects for FVA are significantly more material than for CVA.
DASH simplifies neural networks for gene regulatory dynamics using domain knowledge.
problem Pruning neural networks for gene regulatory dynamics lacks biologically meaningful structure learning.
method DASH uses domain-specific structural information to guide network pruning, leading to sparser, better interpretable models.
result DASH outperforms general pruning methods in gene regulatory network inference, yielding deeper insights.
Gene regulatory networks play a crucial role in controlling an organism's biological processes, which is why there is significant interest in developing computational methods that are able to extract their structure from high-throughput genetic data. A typical approach consists of a series of conditional independence t…
Bitcoin's integration with major financial indices intensifies, suggesting a shift from alternative to integrated asset.
problem Understanding Bitcoin's evolving role in financial markets and its correlation dynamics.
method Rolling-window correlation, static correlation coefficients, and event-study framework on daily data from 2018 to 2025.
result Correlation levels between Bitcoin and major indices reached 0.87 in 2024, indicating a more integrated role.
New framework for adaptive clinical trials to address real-world challenges.
problem Real-world challenges in post-regulatory clinical trials.
method RFAN framework integrating regulatory constraints and treatment policy value.
result Empirical evaluation of RFAN's performance.
Efficiently infers gene regulatory networks from spatial data.
problem Inferring spatially-varying gene regulatory networks.
method Proposed an efficient optimization problem for SV-GMRFs.
result Solves large-scale SV-GMRF problems in minutes.
This paper models short rates with jumps using PDEs.
problem Capturing jumps and spikes in interest rates.
method PDE approach for pricing interest rate derivatives.
result Established Feynman-Kač representation and derived solutions.
SHARC explains machine learning risk models for regulatory capital, linking outputs to scenarios.
problem Inability to explain machine learning model outputs to regulatory bodies.
method SHAP-based explainability framework for Hybrid GPR-HS architecture and SVaR stress-testing.
result SHARC links SVaR outputs to scenario inputs, providing auditable traceability.