In many real-world applications of machine learning classifiers, it is essential to predict the probability of an example belonging to a particular class. This paper proposes a simple technique for predicting probabilities based on optimizing a ranking loss, followed by isotonic regression. This semi-parametric techniq…
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A Novel Approach in Solving Stochastic Generalized Linear Regression via Nonconvex Programmingstat.ML
Improves logistic regression performance with nonconvex programming.
problem Stochastic generalized linear regression with chance constraints.
method Nonconvex programming techniques, clustering, quantile estimation.
result Over 1 to 2 percent improvement in model performance.
This paper explores alternative regression techniques in pricing American put options and compares to the least-squares method (LSM) in Monte Carlo implemented by Longstaff-Schwartz, 2001 which uses least squares to estimate the conditional expected payoff to the option holder from continuation. The pricing is done und…
Kernel ridge regression imputation with consistent variance estimation for handling missing data.
problem Handling missing data in statistical analysis.
method Kernel ridge regression imputation combined with entropy method for variance estimation.
result Root-n consistency of the imputation estimator in a Sobolev space setting.
Secure Multiparty Computation protects data privacy in Symbolic Regression.
problem Data privacy in Symbolic Regression models.
method Secure Multiparty Computation for vertical partitioning.
result Comparable performance to centralized model while preserving privacy.
Accelerating Non-Negative and Bounded-Variable Linear Regression Algorithms with Safe Screeningcs.LG
The paper accelerates regression algorithms by identifying saturated coordinates.
problem Non-negative and bounded-variable linear regression problems.
method Safe screening technique to identify saturated coordinates.
result The approach provides theoretical guarantees for identifying saturated coordinates.
Develops experimental design for discovering missing physics in bioreactors.
problem Discovering missing physics in incomplete model structures of process systems.
method Combines universal differential equations and symbolic regression with sequential experimental design.
result Successfully recovered true model structure of a bioreactor using machine learning techniques.
New ensemble SVM model reduces prediction error without choosing best kernel.
problem Reducing prediction error in regression problems.
method Bagged-weighted support vector regression model with random machines.
result Regression Random Machines achieve lower generalization error.
Paper tackles selective regression using uncertainty estimation.
problem Selective regression for machine learning models to avoid predictions when uncertain.
method Model-agnostic non-parametric uncertainty estimation.
result Superior performance compared to state-of-the-art selective regressors.
R2T hybrid model improves robust regression for asymmetric noise.
problem Least-squares regression fails with asymmetric structured noise.
method Transformer encoder, compression NN, fixed symbolic equation.
result Median regression MSE of 6e-6 to 3.5e-5 on synthetic data.
Unified framework SVAM learns GLMs robustly to adversarial label corruption.
problem Learning GLMs under adversarial label corruption.
method SVAM framework based on variance reduction technique.
result Provable model recovery guarantees superior to state-of-the-art.
Improved KernelSHAP via linear regression for ML model interpretation.
problem Efficiently estimating Shapley values in model-agnostic settings.
method Revisiting KernelSHAP via linear regression, developing techniques for convergence and uncertainty.
result Original KernelSHAP incurs negligible bias for significant variance reduction.
Paper proposes a new combined regression strategy for conditional survival prediction.
problem Improving survival prediction accuracy using conditional survival function.
method Uses regression-based weak learners with area-norm proximity measure to create an ensemble technique.
result The proposed model outperforms Random Survival Forest and selects important variables effectively.
New algorithm for contextual bandits with linear constraints using regression.
problem Contextual bandits with packing and covering constraints.
method Modular Lagrangian approach via regression.
result First vanishing-regret guarantees for CBwLC (or CBwK).
Least Angle Regression is a promising technique for variable selection applications, offering a nice alternative to stepwise regression. It provides an explanation for the similar behavior of LASSO (-penalized regression) and forward stagewise regression, and provides a fast implementation of both. The idea has…
Improves demand forecasting accuracy through recurrent transform learning.
problem Challenging task of building demand forecasting.
method Developed two versions of recurrent transform learning (RTL and R2TL) for feature extraction and regression.
result Both RTL and R2TL techniques outperform state-of-the-art methods.
New methods for sketching non-PSD matrices improve regression and optimization tasks.
problem Efficiently handling non-PSD matrices in computations.
method Developed novel matrix sketching techniques for non-PSD and complex matrices.
result Improved performance in convex and non-convex optimization, regression, and vector-matrix-vector queries.
The paper compares traditional regression with modern neural network methods for financial hedging and risk compression.
problem Finding optimal hedge ratios and managing portfolio risk using traditional regression methods has limitations.
method The paper introduces regularization techniques and common factor analyses using neural networks to improve upon regression methods.
result Neural network methods provide better performance in hedge ratio estimation and risk compression compared to traditional regression.
A new method combines experts' opinions to train regression models with noisy labels.
problem Training regression models with noisy labels from multiple experts.
method Estimate each labeler's expertise and combine opinions using learned weights.
result Empirically outperforms existing techniques on simulated and real data.
A new Gaussian process regression method infers implicit manifold structure from data.
problem Scaling Gaussian process regression to high-dimensional data.
method Proposes a fully differentiable Gaussian process regression technique that infers implicit manifold structure from data.
result Improves predictive performance and calibration of standard Gaussian process regression in high-dimensional settings.
Randomized algorithm solves vector-valued regression problems with low-rank operators.
problem Vector-valued regression problems involving infinite-dimensional spaces.
method Randomized Reduced Rank Regression (R4) using Gaussian sketching for optimization.
result R4 estimators are efficient and accurate, with empirical risk close to optimal.
The article compares neural networks and logistic regression for credit scoring and introduces a new probability calibration technique.
problem Improving credit scoring accuracy using machine learning techniques.
method Comparison of logistic regression and neural networks, feature importance assessment, temporal feature inclusion, and SURE probability calibration.
result Neural networks can slightly improve credit scoring performance, and SURE calibration technique enhances probability calibration.
Reduces survival analysis to common regression tasks.
problem Applying standard machine learning tools to survival analysis.
method Various reduction techniques to simplify survival analysis.
result Benchmark analysis shows improved predictive performance.
Recovering the support of sparse vectors in underdetermined linear regression models, \textit{aka}, compressive sensing is important in many signal processing applications. High SNR consistency (HSC), i.e., the ability of a support recovery technique to correctly identify the support with increasing signal to noise rat…
The study examines robustness auditing for linear regression, improving existing methods and identifying computational challenges.
problem Detecting small subsets of data that can reverse regression coefficients.
method Empirical study of mixed integer quadratically constrained optimization and exact greedy methods, combined with a spectral algorithm.
result Existing methods largely outperform state of the art, but computational bottlenecks remain, especially for higher dimensions.
We consider a discriminative learning (regression) problem, whereby the regression function is a convex combination of k linear classifiers. Existing approaches are based on the EM algorithm, or similar techniques, without provable guarantees. We develop a simple method based on spectral techniques and a `mirroring' tr…
Paper predicts Indian stocks using news psycholinguistic features.
problem Predicting Indian stock market performance using financial news.
method Hybrid intelligent models using psycholinguistic variables (LIWC and TAALES) from news articles.
result GMDH and GRNN are statistically the best techniques for prediction.
New method extracts aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties from regression-based neural networks.
problem Need for principled uncertainty reasoning in machine learning systems.
method Learning evidential distributions for aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties.
result Allows for the simultaneous extraction of both uncertainties without sampling or out-of-distribution data.
Efficiently private regression for unbounded data.
problem Privacy constraints in regression settings with unbounded covariates.
method Differential privacy techniques on mean and covariance estimation extended to sub-gaussian regime.
result Unbiased estimate of true regression vector learned up to a scaling factor.
fastkqr speeds up kernel quantile regression by up to 10x.
problem Huge computational demands of kernel quantile regression.
method A novel finite smoothing algorithm and spectral technique.
result Significantly faster computation of quantile regression.
The Impact of Feature Scaling In Machine Learning: Effects on Regression and Classification Taskscs.LG
This study evaluates feature scaling across 14 datasets and 12 techniques in ML.
problem Impact of feature scaling on machine learning performance and computational costs.
method Systematic evaluation of 12 scaling techniques across 14 datasets and 16 ML algorithms.
result Wide variation in model performance due to feature scaling, especially for non-ensemble models.
Local Control Regression: Improving the Least Squares Monte Carlo Method for Portfolio Optimizationq-fin.PM
The least squares Monte Carlo algorithm has become popular for solving portfolio optimization problems. A simple approach is to approximate the value functions on a discrete grid of portfolio weights, then use control regression to generalize the discrete estimates. However, the classical global control regression can …
Modelling the term-structure of default risk under IFRS 9 within a multistate regression frameworkq-fin.RM
Study improves loan default risk estimation using advanced regression models.
problem Modeling loan default risk over time is challenging and affects financial reserves.
method Comparative study of three multistate regression techniques: Markov chain, beta regression, and multinomial logistic regression.
result Each successive model outperforms the previous, indicating greater sophistication.
Machine learning improves joint default assessment by capturing non-linear dependencies.
problem Capturing non-linear dependencies among covariates for accurate joint default assessment.
method Application of machine learning techniques to credit card dataset, comparing with logistic regression.
result Machine learning outperforms logistic regression in assessing portfolio riskiness.
Study improves distributional regression evaluation with CRPS, finding optimal rates of convergence.
problem Improving probabilistic forecasts in meteorology using distributional regression.
method Extends theoretical properties of CRPS evaluation to include covariates and finite sample sizes, analyzing convergence rates for different methods.
result Optimal minimax rate of convergence for distributional regression methods is achieved by k-nearest neighbor and kernel methods.
Random forest (RF) methodology is one of the most popular machine learning techniques for prediction problems. In this article, we discuss some cases where random forests may suffer and propose a novel generalized RF method, namely regression-enhanced random forests (RERFs), that can improve on RFs by borrowing the str…
Proposes approximating computationally expensive explainability techniques using conformal regression.
problem Computational expense of score-based explainability techniques limits their applicability in time-critical contexts.
method Uses conformal prediction framework to approximate SHAP and TreeSHAP explanations.
result Significantly improves execution time and produces tight validity guarantees.
Modal regression estimates the local modes of the distribution of given , instead of the mean, as in the usual regression sense, and can hence reveal important structure missed by usual regression methods. We study a simple nonparametric method for modal regression, based on a kernel density estimate (KDE) of …
Interpreting a nonparametric regression model with many predictors is known to be a challenging problem. There has been renewed interest in this topic due to the extensive use of machine learning algorithms and the difficulty in understanding and explaining their input-output relationships. This paper develops a unifie…
Meta-theorems validate fair regression algorithms under demographic parity constraints.
problem Regression under demographic parity constraints.
method Meta-theorems and post-processing methods.
result Fair minimax optimal regression can be achieved through post-processing.
We analyzed optimism in linear and kernel regression models.
problem Understanding predictive complexity in regression models.
method Derived closed-form asymptotic optimism for linear and kernel regression models.
result Scaled optimism is a useful measure for model complexity.
Regression is widely used by practioners across many disciplines. We reformulate the underlying optimisation problem as a second-order conic program providing the flexibility often needed in applications. Using examples from portfolio management and quantitative trading we solve regression problems with and without con…
The paper bounds the mean absolute error in DNN vector-to-vector regression.
problem Bounding the mean absolute error in deep neural network based vector-to-vector regression.
method Error decomposition techniques in statistical learning theory and non-convex optimization theory were used to derive upper bounds for approximation, estimation, and optimization errors.
result Theoretical upper bounds for mean absolute error in DNN vector-to-vector regression were derived and validated experimentally.
Transformers learn functionals from distributions without losing information.
problem Lack of rigorous mathematical theory supporting Transformer performance.
method Proposed a Transformer learning framework, attention operator, and distribution regression.
result Transformers can compress distributions into function representations without loss of information.
We improve kernel ridge regression for skewed responses using oversampling and adaptive partitioning.
problem Kernel ridge regression struggles with skewed response variables, leading to poor estimates.
method Combines adaptive partitioning with oversampling to address skewed responses in kernel ridge regression.
result The proposed method yields estimates with smaller risk compared to classical methods under mild conditions.
Linear regression models contaminated by Gaussian noise (inlier) and possibly unbounded sparse outliers are common in many signal processing applications. Sparse recovery inspired robust regression (SRIRR) techniques are shown to deliver high quality estimation performance in such regression models. Unfortunately, most…
Proposes a transfer learning method for high-dimensional quantile regression.
problem Inadequate handling of heterogeneity and heavy tails in transfer learning.
method High-dimensional quantile regression framework with double transfer learning estimator.
result Established error bounds and valid confidence intervals for high-dimensional quantile regression coefficients.
Survey of extreme value modeling techniques for insurance.
problem Modeling of insurance industry's extreme events.
method Truncation, tempering, censoring, regression techniques.
result Adapted techniques for insurance applications.