Generative model identifies temporal count data components with regime-dependent contributions.
problem Modeling temporal count data with regime-dependent dynamics.
method Generative framework combining regime-adaptive dynamics with Poisson log-normal emissions.
result Established identifiability of the model and revealed co-variation patterns and regime shifts.
New path-gradient estimator for continuous normalizing flows.
problem Limitation of simple Gaussian variational distributions in complex applications.
method Proposed a path-gradient estimator for continuous normalizing flows.
result Empirical evidence of superior performance of the new estimator.
Study optimal stopping times under regime-switching models with constraints.
problem Optimal stopping times for discounted payoffs on a regime-switching geometric Brownian motion.
method Solve variational inequality to find value functions and optimal thresholds.
result Existence and expressions of optimal stopping times under specific conditions.
Foundation for learning in changing conditions.
problem Learning under varying conditions and states.
method Admissible transport, protected-core preservation, and evaluator-aware learning evolution.
result Established first theorem-supporting layer for regime-varying learning.
Constructs surfaces with conical singularities using variational methods.
problem Creating Hamiltonian Stationary Surfaces with specific singularities.
method Variational methods and convergence process similar to Ginzburg-Landau analysis.
result Obtained surfaces with prescribed conical singularities related to optimal Wente constants.
Enhances classification accuracy on low data sets using synthetic data.
problem Low sample size in data augmentation.
method Variational Autoencoder and manifold sampling.
result Significant improvement in classification accuracy (e.g., 88.6% vs 80.7%).
New model identifies regimes in non-stationary data.
problem Identifying latent regimes in non-stationary systems with instantaneous effects.
method Identifiable Markov Switching Models with exponential family noise.
result Established identifiability of latent regimes and causal structures.
New framework estimates treatment effects in extreme data.
problem Hindered by unavailability of counterfactual outcomes and rarity of extreme data.
method Proposes a new framework based on extreme value theory.
result Quantifies treatment effects using tail decay rates of potential outcomes.
This paper studies the optimal VIX futures trading problems under a regime-switching model. We consider the VIX as mean reversion dynamics with dependence on the regime that switches among a finite number of states. For the trading strategies, we analyze the timings and sequences of the investor's market participation,…
The paper proposes a method to cluster data and estimate regression parameters using VI for financial forecasting.
problem Learning relationships between input and output with different parameters in different regions of the input space.
method Cluster-based regression using Variational Inference (VI).
result The approach can predict the expected value and full distribution of predicted output.
Study on stock trading model with uncertain market status, proving free boundaries and optimal strategies.
problem Optimal trading strategies in a stock market with uncertain market status.
method Free boundary problem, variational inequality system, degenerate operator, C^∞-smoothness.
result All four switching free boundaries are no-overlapping, monotonic, and C^∞-smooth, and their relative localities are completely determined.
The paper examines VI for overparameterized BNNs, revealing a trade-off between likelihood and KL terms.
problem Critical issue in mean-field VI training for overparameterized BNNs.
method Theoretical and empirical study of overparameterized two-layer BNNs using VI.
result A trade-off between likelihood and KL terms in overparameterized regime, with KL scaling crucial.
BCD Nets use variational inference to estimate DAGs with uncertainty.
problem Uncertainty in inferring causal graphs from limited data.
method Variational inference framework for Bayesian DAG estimation.
result BCD Nets outperform maximum-likelihood methods in low data regimes.
Develops identifiability theory for multi-lag regime-switching models.
problem Ensuring interpretability of deep latent variable models with multi-lag dependencies.
method Formulates a general theoretical framework for multi-lag Regime-Switching Models (RSMs), proving identifiability of number of regimes and multi-lag transitions.
result Establishes identifiability conditions for multi-lag regime-switching models, including Markov Switching Models and Switching Dynamical Systems.
DeRegiME forecasts with regime structure, improving probabilistic predictions across various time series.
problem Probabilistic forecasting discards residual uncertainty, and distribution shifts are hard to capture.
method DeRegiME uses a sparse variational Gaussian process with a nonstationary regime-mixing kernel to separate latent uncertainty regimes.
result DeRegiME improves NLPD by 20.3% on average across benchmarks, with gains on CRPS and MSE.
Study compares L1 and VG sparsity priors in inverse problems.
problem Sparse regularization in inverse problems with incomplete or corrupted measurements.
method Compared L1 regularization with Variational Garrote (VG), a probabilistic method approximating L0 sparsity.
result VG often achieves lower minimum generalization error and improved stability in strongly underdetermined regimes.
DIVI clusters noisy high-dimensional data with stable feature gating.
problem Challenging clustering in high-dimensional noisy data.
method Data-informed variational clustering framework combining global feature gating and adaptive structure growth.
result DIVI performs competitively under severe feature noise and remains computationally feasible.
New stabilization found in planar elasticae with degenerate diffusion.
problem Existence of local minimizers in degenerate p-elasticae. method Analysis of pinned planar p-elasticae with degenerate diffusion. result Uncountably many local minimizers with diverging energy in degenerate regime.
Quantum method detects financial stress regimes from market data.
problem Detecting financial stress regimes from market data.
method Adapted Pauli Correlation Encoding to quantum topological data analysis.
result Quantum method can recover Betti numbers exactly at every scale.
New method accelerates energetic variational inference using particle dynamics.
problem Efficiently solving variational inference problems with reduced computational cost.
method Particle-based variational inference with implicit scheme, inspired by energy quadratization and operator splitting.
result Significantly reduces computational cost compared to existing methods.
A new model captures variability in time series data.
problem Capturing high variability in time series data.
method Temporal latent variables and dynamic weight modifications.
result Demonstrated efficacy on various sequential data.
The paper analyzes high-dimensional linear regression using parametric empirical Bayes methods.
problem Estimation of i.i.d. priors in high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression with random design.
method Parametric empirical Bayes estimation, variational lower bound maximization, phase transition analysis.
result The vEB estimator is information theoretically optimal up to p=o(n2/3) but sub-optimal in higher dimensions. Efficiently identifies important variables in binary outcomes using variational Bayes.
problem Bayesian variable selection for binary outcomes with computational challenges.
method Mean-field variational Bayes approximation with closed-form updates and efficient inference algorithm.
result Successfully identifies important variables and is orders of magnitude faster than MCMC.
VAE improves semi-supervised learning in small data.
problem Limited data in biological samples.
method Applied VAE to capture features in a lower-dimension.
result Improved performance in semi-supervised learning.
We analyze operational risk in terms of a spin glass model. Several regimes are investigated, as a functions of the parameters that characterize the dynamics. The system is found to be robust against variations of these parameters. We unveil the presence of limit cycles and scrutinize the features of the asymptotic sta…
Bayesian method improves online NARMAX model identification.
problem Online identification of nonlinear systems with small sample sizes and low noise.
method Variational Bayesian inference using message passing algorithm for polynomial NARMAX models.
result Variational Bayesian estimator outperforms recursive and offline least-squares methods.
Model for dynamic relational data with regime changes.
problem Handling abrupt changes in dynamic relational data.
method Factorized fusion shrinkage model with global-local shrinkage priors.
result Posterior distribution attains minimax optimal rate up to logarithmic factors.
Derives TAP approximation for Bayesian linear regression.
problem Log-normalizing constant of posterior distribution in high-dimensional linear regression.
method Variational representation and Thouless-Anderson-Palmer approximation.
result Proves TAP approximation for spherical prior in proportional asymptotic regime.
We present new intuitions and theoretical assessments of the emergence of disentangled representation in variational autoencoders. Taking a rate-distortion theory perspective, we show the circumstances under which representations aligned with the underlying generative factors of variation of data emerge when optimising…
This paper analyzes AJIVE for estimating shared subspace across multiple datasets, revealing its strengths and limitations.
problem Estimating shared subspace across multiple datasets with varying degrees of misalignment.
method Angle-based Joint and Individual Variation Explained (AJIVE) method, a two-stage spectral approach.
result AJIVE's performance in high signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) regimes and its non-diminishing error in low-SNR settings.
Quantum neural tangent kernels help understand variational quantum circuits in machine learning.
problem Designing and predicting performance of variational quantum circuits.
method Using quantum neural tangent kernels and dynamical equations for loss functions.
result Analytical solutions for training dynamics in variational quantum circuits.
Paper proposes a method to improve variational inference for sparse networks.
problem Variational inference struggles with sparse networks, leading to inaccurate community detection.
method The method involves hard thresholding the posterior of community assignment after each iteration.
result The proposed method accurately recovers true community labels in sparse networks.
Quantum machine learning faces 'laziness' and 'barren plateaus', but noise can mitigate the latter.
problem Quantum machine learning's loss function landscape issues.
method Theoretical analysis of quantum variational circuits, neural tangent kernels, and noise effects.
result Noise can mitigate barren plateaus in quantum machine learning.
We study an interacting particle system in Rd motivated by Stein variational gradient descent [Q. Liu and D. Wang, NIPS 2016], a deterministic algorithm for sampling from a given probability density with unknown normalization. We prove that in the large particle limit the empirical measure of the particle s…
The problem of feature disentanglement has been explored in the literature, for the purpose of image and video processing and text analysis. State-of-the-art methods for disentangling feature representations rely on the presence of many labeled samples. In this work, we present a novel method for disentangling factors …
Improved continual learning method using variational inference and FiLM layers.
problem Training models on new tasks and datasets in an online fashion.
method Generalized Variational Continual Learning (GVCL) with likelihood-tempering and FiLM layers.
result GVCL outperforms existing baselines in both small and large datasets, providing better calibration.
This study improves UAV identification using RF signals with one-shot generative methods.
problem Limited RF environments and signal variability make traditional RF identification ineffective.
method Introduces one-shot generative methods to augment RF signals for UAV identification.
result One-shot generative methods outperform traditional methods in low-data regimes.
Paper improves variational inference for complex models.
problem Improving statistical accuracy of variational inference in high-dimensional models.
method Developed a general framework for MFVI and proposed a partially grouped VI algorithm.
result Proposed algorithm works and outperforms vanilla MFVI in mixed membership stochastic blockmodel.
Geometric interpretation improves VAE performance and robustness.
problem Improving Variational Autoencoder performance and robustness.
method Introducing a geometric perspective on VAEs, sampling from the Riemannian latent space.
result Improved generation and interpolations with competitive or better performance on benchmark datasets.
New method uses unlabelled data to improve Bayesian Neural Networks.
problem Lack of ability to use unlabelled data in conventional Bayesian Neural Networks.
method Self-supervised Bayesian Neural Networks using contrastive pretraining and variational lower bound optimization.
result Prior predictive distributions capture problem semantics better and improve predictive performance.
New method guarantees global convergence in variational inference.
problem Limited convergence to local optima in variational inference.
method Minimizes inclusive KL divergence using neural networks and neural tangent kernel.
result Gradient descent dynamics converge to a unique solution in function space.
New method relaxes TV distance for two-sample testing without distributional assumptions.
problem Challenges in certifying equality or providing tight bounds on TV distance for two distributions.
method Examined blurred total variation distance, a relaxation of TV distance.
result Provided theoretical guarantees for upper and lower bounds on blurred TV distance.
Study finds existence of Q-curvature metrics on even-dimensional manifolds with conical singularities.
problem Existence of Q-curvature metrics on manifolds with conical singularities. method Blow-up analysis of a 2mth-order PDE and variational min-max argument. result First existence result for supercritical conic manifolds (except spheres).
Adding linear layers to ReLU networks favors functions with low mixed variation.
problem Understanding function space bias in overparameterized neural networks.
method Examined a family of networks with varying depths and same capacity but different representation costs, focusing on the effect of adding linear layers to the input side.
result Adding linear layers to shallow ReLU networks results in a bias towards functions with low mixed variation, which can be well approximated by single- or multi-index models.
We describe and analyze some novel approaches for studying the dynamics of Ising spin glass models. We first briefly consider the variational approach based on minimizing the Kullback-Leibler divergence between independent trajectories and the real ones and note that this approach only coincides with the mean field equ…
Generates consistent IV surfaces using VAEs and SDE models.
problem Creating arbitrage-free IV surfaces from historical data.
method Combining VAEs with SDE models for parameter distribution, sampling, and decoding.
result Superior out-of-sample performance of the refined VAE model.
Bayesian algorithms improve crowdsourcing with label and instance constraints.
problem Efficiently labeling large datasets with additional human annotator information.
method Developed Bayesian algorithms for semi-supervised crowdsourced classification under label and instance constraints.
result Improved performance compared to unsupervised crowdsourcing on various datasets.
Estimates population profile from small random samples.
problem Learning population composition from limited data.
method Minimum distance estimator based on linear programming.
result Consistent estimation of profile in sublinear sample size.