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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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137274411548 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for recursive Bayesian classification

The paper analyzes and proposes a new stopping criterion for recursive Bayesian classification.

problem Limitations of conventional stopping criteria in recursive Bayesian classification.
method Geometric interpretation of state posterior progression and analysis of conventional criteria.
result Proposes a new stopping criterion to overcome limitations of conventional methods.

Bayesian fusion improves radar target recognition for UAVs.

problem Improving radar target recognition for UAVs using multistatic radar configurations.
method Proposes a fully Bayesian RATR framework using Optimal Bayesian Fusion (OBF) to aggregate classification probability vectors from multiple radars.
result Empirical results show that the OBF method significantly enhances classification accuracy compared to other fusion methods and single radar configurations.

Bayesian method for multivariate autoregressive models with exogenous inputs.

problem Estimating uncertainties in autoregressive models with exogenous inputs.
method Recursive Bayesian estimation via message passing in a factor graph.
result Produces full posterior distributions for autoregressive coefficients and noise precision.

R2-B2 optimizes game interactions with recursive reasoning.

problem Optimizing interactions between boundedly rational agents with unknown payoff functions.
method Recursive Reasoning-Based Bayesian Optimization (R2-B2) for repeated games.
result R2-B2 achieves faster asymptotic convergence to no regret than non-recursive methods.

Paper introduces IO-NPF for efficient Bayesian experimental design.

problem Efficient Bayesian experimental design in non-exchangeable settings.
method Inside-Out Nested Particle Filter (IO-NPF) for non-Markovian state-space models.
result IO-NPF achieves O(T2)\mathcal{O}(T^2) computational complexity, improving efficiency.

BNN-DP improves robustness analysis of Bayesian Neural Networks.

problem Ensuring robustness of Bayesian Neural Networks against adversarial attacks.
method Dynamic Programming applied to Bayesian Neural Networks as stochastic dynamical systems.
result BNN-DP provides tighter and more efficient bounds on prediction ranges compared to existing methods.

Bayesian method improves online NARMAX model identification.

problem Online identification of nonlinear systems with small sample sizes and low noise.
method Variational Bayesian inference using message passing algorithm for polynomial NARMAX models.
result Variational Bayesian estimator outperforms recursive and offline least-squares methods.

A new Bayesian method optimizes time-dependent expensive functions with lookahead.

problem Maximizing a time-dependent, expensive oracle with limited evaluations.
method Recursive, two-step lookahead expected payoff (r2LEY) acquisition function.
result r2LEY outperforms myopic methods in synthetic and real-world datasets.

Paper proposes a recursive GPSSM for efficient online learning.

problem Efficient online learning for dynamical models with limited prior information.
method Recursive Gaussian Process State-Space Model with adaptive capabilities for domains and hyperparameters.
result Superior accuracy, computational efficiency, and adaptability compared to state-of-the-art methods.

Generates infinite-depth hierarchical clusters from few examples.

problem Inadequate finite-sample clustering methods for fine-scale hierarchical structures.
method Classification fields generated by a local refinement rule, approximated by predictors.
result Learned predictors can approximate infinite-depth hierarchical structures.

QB-Vine extends Quasi-Bayesian methods to high dimensions using vine copulas.

problem Efficiently predicting high-dimensional distributions without sampling.
method Recursive Quasi-Bayesian construction for marginals and vine copulas for dependence modeling.
result QB-Vine is a fully non-parametric density estimator with analytical form and convergence rate independent of dimension.

We address the problem of Bayesian structure learning for domains with hundreds of variables by employing non-parametric bootstrap, recursively. We propose a method that covers both model averaging and model selection in the same framework. The proposed method deals with the main weakness of constraint-based learning--…

2018-09-13abs ↗pdf ↗

The number of possible methods of generalizing binary classification to multi-class classification increases exponentially with the number of class labels. Often, the best method of doing so will be highly problem dependent. Here we present classification software in which the partitioning of multi-class classification…

2014-04-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes Gaussian process hyperparameters using Bayesian autoregression.

problem Optimizing hyperparameters for Matérn kernel temporal Gaussian processes.
method Recursive Bayesian estimation for autoregressive parameters.
result Outperforms traditional optimization methods in runtime and accuracy.

The paper uses tensor decompositions to improve neural network models for tree data.

problem Encoding structural knowledge from tree-structured data efficiently.
method Introduces new aggregation functions using Canonical and Tensor-Train decompositions.
result Proposed models outperform traditional methods on tree classification tasks.

Proposes an active RBI framework using Rényi information measures for more informed decision-making.

problem Optimal latent variable estimates in real-time settings with streaming noisy observations.
method Unified inference and query selection steps through Rényi entropy and α-divergence; new objective called Momentum for exploration.
result Analytically demonstrates superior performance compared to conventional methods like mutual information.

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) process input text sequentially and model the conditional transition between word tokens. In contrast, the advantages of recursive networks include that they explicitly model the compositionality and the recursive structure of natural language. However, the current recursive architectur…

2016-07-15abs ↗pdf ↗

K-Nearest Neighbours (k-NN) is a popular classification and regression algorithm, yet one of its main limitations is the difficulty in choosing the number of neighbours. We present a Bayesian algorithm to compute the posterior probability distribution for k given a target point within a data-set, efficiently and withou…

2017-05-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Channel Pruning, widely used for accelerating Convolutional Neural Networks, is an NP-hard problem due to the inter-layer dependency of channel redundancy. Existing methods generally ignored the above dependency for computation simplicity. To solve the problem, under the Bayesian framework, we here propose a layer-wise…

2018-12-02abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we demonstrate that tempering Markov chain Monte Carlo samplers for Bayesian models by recursively subsampling observations without replacement can improve the performance of baseline samplers in terms of effective sample size per computation. We present two tempering by subsampling algorithms, subsampled…

2014-01-28abs ↗pdf ↗

This study uses neural networks to approximate Bayesian filtering problems.

problem Estimating latent time-series signal statistics from observation sequences.
method Formulated a generic recurrent neural network framework to learn recursive mappings directly.
result Approximation error bounds for filtering in non-compact domains and strong time-uniform bounds.

Adaptive learning of SPDE solutions using score-based diffusion models.

problem Model errors and reduced accuracy in SPDE solutions due to incomplete physical knowledge and environmental variability.
method Score-based diffusion models with recursive Bayesian inference, incorporating simulation data and observational information.
result Accuracy and robustness of the proposed method demonstrated on benchmark SPDEs.

Paper proposes fully Bayesian approach for RVM classification, improving accuracy especially in imbalanced data.

problem Difficulty in conducting RVM classification due to lack of closed-form solution for weight parameter posterior.
method Proposes Generic Bayesian and Fully Bayesian approaches with hierarchical hyperprior structure.
result Improves classification performance, especially in imbalanced data.

New framework improves robust inference in HMMs under model misspecification.

problem Inference in general state-space HMMs under likelihood misspecification.
method Generalized Bayesian Inference (GBI) and Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods.
result Improved performance in object tracking and Gaussian process regression.

Generative Bayesian Filtering improves inference in complex models without explicit density evaluations.

problem Performing posterior inference in complex nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space models.
method Generative Bayesian Filtering (GBF) extends GBC to dynamic settings using deep neural networks for recursive posterior inference. Generative-Gibbs sampler bypasses density evaluations for parameter learning.
result GBF significantly outperforms likelihood-free approaches in accuracy and robustness for intractable state-space models.

This research improves PAC-Bayesian bounds for classification tasks using convexified loss.

problem Deriving generalization bounds for classification tasks with non-convex loss functions.
method Shift focus to misclassification excess risk bounds for PAC-Bayesian classification using convex surrogate loss and leveraging PAC-Bayesian relative bounds in expectation.
result Improved PAC-Bayesian bounds for classification tasks with convex surrogate loss.

The paper introduces new Bayesian network classifiers for better classification accuracy.

problem Improving supervised classification accuracy using Bayesian network classifiers.
method Developed novel classes of generative classifiers based on staged tree models, extending Bayesian networks.
result Data-driven learning routines enhance the accuracy of the new classifiers.

New algorithms for fast online decision making using neural networks and martingale posteriors.

problem Online sequential decision making under uncertainty.
method Martingale posterior neural networks for fast online learning and decision making.
result Achieves competitive performance-speed trade-offs in non-stationary contextual bandits and Bayesian optimization.

New method tackles model uncertainty in stochastic control using Bayesian nonparametrics.

problem Model uncertainty in stochastic control problems.
method Nonparametric Bayesian approach with Dirichlet process for unknown distributions, online learning, and Gaussian process surrogates.
result Demonstrates financial advantages of nonparametric Bayesian over parametric methods.

Bayesian reflex models AI learning like the autonomic nervous system.

problem Online learning in dynamic AI environments.
method Bayesian online algorithms with belief maintenance, sequential updating, and uncertainty-driven action balancing.
result Unified framework for adaptive AI learning.