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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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75151226301 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for recurrent inference

Develops a method for causal inference in recurrent event data with terminal failure.

problem Causal inference in recurrent event data with a terminal event.
method Multiply robust estimation framework for causal inference.
result Proposes an estimator for the expected number of recurrent events and failure survival function.

Proposes a new model for better speech segmentation.

problem Improving speech segmentation accuracy.
method Integrates recurrent explicit duration variables into rSLDS and uses Pólya-gamma augmentation for inference.
result Demonstrates improved segmentation on various datasets.

Recurrent-DBN models dynamic relational data with interpretable latent structures.

problem Interpreting dynamic relational data with hidden structures.
method Recurrent Dirichlet Belief Network framework with hierarchical latent structures and efficient inference strategy.
result Recurrent-DBN discovers interpretable latent structures and improves link prediction.

Develop a variational framework for statistical inference on cyclic interactions.

problem Estimating and comparing large-scale recurrent organization in directed interactions.
method Represent directed interactions as edge flows on a simplicial complex and evolve under an energy-minimizing dynamical system.
result Separate transient interaction components from persistent harmonic flows, yielding a low-dimensional cycle space.

We propose a recurrent extension of the Ladder networks whose structure is motivated by the inference required in hierarchical latent variable models. We demonstrate that the recurrent Ladder is able to handle a wide variety of complex learning tasks that benefit from iterative inference and temporal modeling. The arch…

2017-07-28abs ↗pdf ↗

A new approach to learning in brain-like networks using adversarial algorithms.

problem Complex inter-dependencies in brain-like networks not compatible with conditional independence assumptions.
method Adversarial algorithm for learning models of perceptual processing.
result The approach can mimic known neural phenomena and yields testable hypotheses.

Leveraging advances in variational inference, we propose to enhance recurrent neural networks with latent variables, resulting in Stochastic Recurrent Networks (STORNs). The model i) can be trained with stochastic gradient methods, ii) allows structured and multi-modal conditionals at each time step, iii) features a re…

2014-11-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Stability is a fundamental property of dynamical systems, yet to this date it has had little bearing on the practice of recurrent neural networks. In this work, we conduct a thorough investigation of stable recurrent models. Theoretically, we prove stable recurrent neural networks are well approximated by feed-forward …

2018-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Method generates joint posterior samples of source and foreground mass distributions for gravitational lensing.

problem Challenging inference problem for high-resolution, high signal-to-noise ratio gravitational lensing.
method Combines diffusion-based generative modeling and recurrent inference machines.
result Can model realistic gravitational lensing simulations down to the noise level.

DeepBayes uses neural networks to efficiently estimate parameters in complex dynamical models.

problem Estimating parameters in stochastic, nonlinear dynamical models is challenging.
method DeepBayes leverages deep recurrent neural networks to learn an estimator that minimizes mean-squared error.
result DeepBayes achieves asymptotically equivalent performance to Bayesian estimation methods.

Stochastic recurrent neural networks with latent random variables of complex dependency structures have shown to be more successful in modeling sequential data than deterministic deep models. However, the majority of existing methods have limited expressive power due to the Gaussian assumption of latent variables. In t…

2019-10-28abs ↗pdf ↗

We define Recurrent Gaussian Processes (RGP) models, a general family of Bayesian nonparametric models with recurrent GP priors which are able to learn dynamical patterns from sequential data. Similar to Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), RGPs can have different formulations for their internal states, distinct inference…

2015-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Likelihood-free inference is concerned with the estimation of the parameters of a non-differentiable stochastic simulator that best reproduce real observations. In the absence of a likelihood function, most of the existing inference methods optimize the simulator parameters through a handcrafted iterative procedure tha…

2018-11-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified theory for deep and recurrent networks using Gaussian processes.

problem Understanding capabilities and limitations of different network architectures.
method Unified derivation of mean-field theory from statistical physics of disordered systems.
result Gaussian processes yield identical Gaussian kernels for both architectures at a single time point or layer.

In this work, we attempt to ameliorate the impact of data sparsity in the context of session-based recommendation. Specifically, we seek to devise a machine learning mechanism capable of extracting subtle and complex underlying temporal dynamics in the observed session data, so as to inform the recommendation algorithm…

2017-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

We begin by reiterating that common neural network activation functions have simple Bayesian origins. In this spirit, we go on to show that Bayes's theorem also implies a simple recurrence relation; this leads to a Bayesian recurrent unit with a prescribed feedback formulation. We show that introduction of a context in…

2019-10-24abs ↗pdf ↗

New method identifies latent variables in cognitive models using neural networks.

problem Inference of latent variables in complex cognitive models is limited.
method Recurrent neural networks and simulation-based inference for latent variable sequences.
result Extends neural Bayes estimation to broader classes of cognitive models.

To simultaneously capture syntax and global semantics from a text corpus, we propose a new larger-context recurrent neural network (RNN) based language model, which extracts recurrent hierarchical semantic structure via a dynamic deep topic model to guide natural language generation. Moving beyond a conventional RNN-ba…

2019-12-21abs ↗pdf ↗

How can we efficiently propagate uncertainty in a latent state representation with recurrent neural networks? This paper introduces stochastic recurrent neural networks which glue a deterministic recurrent neural network and a state space model together to form a stochastic and sequential neural generative model. The c…

2016-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

This study compares RNN and CNN for predicting wave propagation using the Saint-Venant equations.

problem Predicting wave propagation over long time periods using deep learning.
method Investigated recurrent and convolutional neural networks for their performance in predicting surface waves governed by the Saint-Venant equations.
result Convolutional networks perform at least as well as recurrent networks in predicting wave propagation.

We present the Video Ladder Network (VLN) for efficiently generating future video frames. VLN is a neural encoder-decoder model augmented at all layers by both recurrent and feedforward lateral connections. At each layer, these connections form a lateral recurrent residual block, where the feedforward connection repres…

2016-12-06abs ↗pdf ↗

TransformerLSR models longitudinal, recurrent, and survival data jointly.

problem Joint modeling of longitudinal measurements, recurrent events, and survival data with dependencies.
method Transformer-based deep learning framework integrating deep temporal point processes and latent structure representation.
result TransformerLSR effectively models all three components simultaneously, demonstrating necessity and effectiveness through simulations and real-world data.

Low dimensional representations of words allow accurate NLP models to be trained on limited annotated data. While most representations ignore words' local context, a natural way to induce context-dependent representations is to perform inference in a probabilistic latent-variable sequence model. Given the recent succes…

2015-02-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Many natural systems, such as neurons firing in the brain or basketball teams traversing a court, give rise to time series data with complex, nonlinear dynamics. We can gain insight into these systems by decomposing the data into segments that are each explained by simpler dynamic units. Building on switching linear dy…

2016-10-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Traditional sequential multi-object attention models rely on a recurrent mechanism to infer object relations. We propose a relational extension (R-SQAIR) of one such attention model (SQAIR) by endowing it with a module with strong relational inductive bias that computes in parallel pairwise interactions between inferre…

2019-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Recurrent neural networks have achieved excellent performance in many applications. However, on portable devices with limited resources, the models are often too large to deploy. For applications on the server with large scale concurrent requests, the latency during inference can also be very critical for costly comput…

2018-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Recurrent neural network grammars (RNNG) are generative models of language which jointly model syntax and surface structure by incrementally generating a syntax tree and sentence in a top-down, left-to-right order. Supervised RNNGs achieve strong language modeling and parsing performance, but require an annotated corpu…

2019-04-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a deep generative model for radar target recognition using HRRP data.

problem Automatic target recognition in radar systems using high-resolution range profiles.
method Recurrent gamma belief network (rGBN) with hybrid stochastic-gradient MCMC and variational inference.
result Efficient and accurate classification with interpretable latent structure.

Bayesian meta-reinforcement learning improves over point estimates with Laplace approximation.

problem Improving meta-reinforcement learning by providing full posterior distributions.
method Augmenting point estimates with Laplace approximation for full posterior distributions.
result Our method performs similarly to variational baselines with fewer parameters.

Many efforts have been devoted to training generative latent variable models with autoregressive decoders, such as recurrent neural networks (RNN). Stochastic recurrent models have been successful in capturing the variability observed in natural sequential data such as speech. We unify successful ideas from recently pr…

2017-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

TriTPP models enable faster and more flexible event data modeling.

problem Inflexibility and slow sampling in traditional TPP models.
method Triangular Maps and Normalizing Flows for parallel sampling and likelihood computation.
result TriTPP models achieve orders of magnitude faster sampling while maintaining flexibility.

We focus on the problem of streaming recommender system and explore novel collaborative filtering algorithms to handle the data dynamicity and complexity in a streaming manner. Although deep neural networks have demonstrated the effectiveness of recommendation tasks, it is lack of explorations on integrating probabilis…

2019-06-11abs ↗pdf ↗

AGCRN forecasts traffic using adaptive graph and recurrent learning.

problem Forecasting traffic dynamics with complex spatial and temporal correlations.
method Adaptive Graph Convolutional Recurrent Network (AGCRN) with Node Adaptive Parameter Learning (NAPL) and Data Adaptive Graph Generation (DAGG).
result AGCRN outperforms state-of-the-art models without pre-defined graphs.