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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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71142212283 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for receding horizon control

MPC outperforms reactive budgeting in non-stationary return environments.

problem Optimizing budget allocation under non-stationary returns.
method Receding-horizon Model Predictive Control (MPC) compared to reactive policies.
result MPC consistently outperforms reactive budgeting when return dynamics are predictable.

Model learns and plans in real-time under constraints for robotic systems.

problem Challenges in applying reinforcement learning to robotic systems, especially handling continuous state and action spaces, time/resource budget, and hard constraints.
method Combines Gaussian Process regression and Receding Horizon Control. Uses sparse spectrum Gaussian Processes for incremental model updates from sensory data.
result Demonstrates benefits of online learning on autonomous racing tasks and reusability of learned dynamics.

We study an adaptive source seeking problem, in which a mobile robot must identify the strongest emitter(s) of a signal in an environment with background emissions. Background signals may be highly heterogeneous and can mislead algorithms that are based on receding horizon control. We propose AdaSearch, a general algor…

2018-09-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficient learning-based MPC for unknown nonlinear systems with state constraints.

problem Control of discrete-time nonlinear systems with unknown dynamics and state constraints.
method Receding horizon reinforcement learning (r-LPC) using Koopman operator-based prediction model.
result Proven closed-loop recursive feasibility, robustness, and asymptotic stability under function approximation errors.

We examine optimal execution models that take into account both market microstructure impact and informational costs. Informational footprint is related to order flow and is represented by the trader's influence on the flow imbalance process, while microstructure influence is captured by instantaneous price impact. We …

2014-09-09abs ↗pdf ↗

A new approach optimizes weights in DLP for better risk-adjusted performance.

problem Optimizing time-varying weights in Double Linear Policy (DLP) for better risk-adjusted performance.
method Stochastic Model Predictive Control (SMPC) framework to maximize risk-adjusted returns while enforcing constraints.
result Empirical results show improved risk-adjusted performance and drawdown control.

Time dilation 11v2\frac{1}{\sqrt{1-v^2}} and relative velocity vv are observationally indistinguishable in the special theory of relativity, a duality that carries over into the general theory under Fermi coordinates along a curve (in coordinate-independent language, in the tangent Minkowski space along the curve). For …

2005-12-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Modern vehicle fleets, e.g., for ridesharing platforms and taxi companies, can reduce passengers' waiting times by proactively dispatching vehicles to locations where pickup requests are anticipated in the future. Yet it is unclear how to best do this: optimal dispatching requires optimizing over several sources of unc…

2018-04-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Sample-efficient exploration is crucial not only for discovering rewarding experiences but also for adapting to environment changes in a task-agnostic fashion. A principled treatment of the problem of optimal input synthesis for system identification is provided within the framework of sequential Bayesian experimental …

2019-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗

A new ML algorithm solves complex economic control problems.

problem Solving high-dimensional, finite-horizon stochastic control problems in economics.
method Deep neural network representation of optimal policy functions with three key features.
result Efficiently solves various economic control problems including recursive utility and growth models.

Study optimal liquidation strategies with infinite horizon and regime switching.

problem Optimal liquidation with semimartingale strategies in a stochastic environment.
method Characterization of value function and optimal strategy via BSDEs with infinite horizon.
result Existence and uniqueness of optimal control problem solutions.

Action-bisimulation learns long-horizon controllability for reinforcement learning.

problem Learning relevant state features in high-dimensional observations for robust reinforcement learning.
method Action-bisimulation encoding, inspired by bisimulation invariance, extends single-step controllability to multi-step.
result Action-bisimulation pretraining improves sample efficiency in various environments.

New model predicts optimal control for restless bandit problems.

problem Optimizing control in restless bandit problems with minimal assumptions.
method Model Predictive Control with rolling horizon linear programming.
result Sub-optimality gap of O(1/√N) under general conditions, and exp(-Ω(N)) under local-stability condition.

Reward tweaking optimizes behavior for long-term goals by adjusting the reward function.

problem Optimizing behavior for long-term goals in reinforcement learning with unstable long planning horizons.
method Reward tweaking learns a surrogate reward function that induces optimal behavior for the original task.
result Reward tweaking guides agents towards better long-term returns while planning for short horizons.

Solves infinite horizon portfolio problem with path-dependent labor income.

problem Infinite horizon portfolio choice with path-dependent labor income.
method Solves an infinite dimensional stochastic optimal control problem using explicit solutions to the HJB equation.
result Explicit solutions to the optimal controls in feedback form are found.

Study optimal portfolios in a non-Markovian regime-switching model with random time horizon.

problem Optimal portfolio selection in a market with non-Markovian regime-switching and random time horizon.
method Formulated as a constrained stochastic linear-quadratic optimal control problem, derived closed-form expressions for optimal portfolios and efficient frontier.
result Closed-form expressions for optimal portfolios and efficient frontier derived under non-Markovian regime-switching and random time horizon.

Logarithmic regret achieved in continuous-time linear-quadratic reinforcement learning.

problem Optimizing control actions in unknown continuous-time systems over a finite time horizon.
method Least-squares algorithm based on continuous-time observations and controls, with perturbation analysis and parameter estimation error analysis.
result Logarithmic regret bound of order O((lnM)(lnlnM))O((\ln M)(\ln\ln M)).

Study optimal healthcare spending under Epstein-Zin preferences for longevity.

problem Optimizing healthcare spending to extend longevity under Epstein-Zin preferences.
method Formulated Epstein-Zin utilities over a controllable random horizon using backward stochastic differential equations and HJB equations.
result Calibrated model accurately reflects actual mortality data and compares healthcare efficacy between countries.

HiDe learns hierarchical control for complex tasks by separating planning and control.

problem Solving long horizon control tasks with generalization to unseen scenarios.
method Functional decomposition of state-action spaces, RL-based planner, modular transfer of policy layers.
result Generalizes across unseen test environments and scales to longer horizons.

In this paper, we investigate dynamic optimization problems featuring both stochastic control and optimal stopping in a finite time horizon. The paper aims to develop new methodologies, which are significantly different from those of mixed dynamic optimal control and stopping problems in the existing literature, to stu…

2014-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Financial event studies often misestimate causal effects due to misspecified factor models.

problem Misspecification of factor models in financial event studies leads to inconsistent estimates of causal effects.
method Proposed synthetic control methods to construct replicating portfolios from control securities.
result Synthetic control methods provide more accurate estimates of causal effects in event studies.

Study compares nine deep learning architectures for multi-horizon financial forecasting.

problem Evaluating the performance of deep learning architectures for multi-horizon financial forecasting.
method Conducted 918 experiments across cryptocurrency, forex, and equity markets using nine architectures.
result ModernTCN achieves the best mean rank (1.333) with a 75 percent first-place rate.

Framework uses expert intervention to solve long-horizon reinforcement learning tasks.

problem Long horizon robot learning tasks with sparse rewards.
method Option templates and expert intervention to enable high-level task understanding.
result Framework outperforms state-of-the-art approaches by two orders of magnitude.

Proposes a recursive MPC scheme with probabilistic safety guarantees for uncertain dynamic systems.

problem Probabilistic safety guarantees for MPC in dynamic environments with unknown stochastic agents.
method Uses conformal prediction to derive high-confidence prediction regions and gradually relax safety constraints online.
result Ensures recursive feasibility of MPC schemes by relaxing safety constraints over time.

Study cost-driven state representation learning for control from partial observations.

problem Learning state representation for control from partial and high-dimensional observations.
method Cost-driven state representation learning via predicting cumulative costs.
result Established finite-sample guarantees for near-optimal representation and controller.

Study optimal consumption with drawdown limits over a fixed time frame.

problem Maximizing utility with consumption limits during a fixed period.
method Extended utility maximization problem with drawdown constraint, using PDE arguments and dual transform.
result Existence and uniqueness of classical solution to HJB variational inequality, with explicit free boundaries.

Behavior cloning can achieve horizon-independent sample complexity in offline imitation learning.

problem Sample complexity in imitation learning increases with problem horizon.
method New analysis of behavior cloning with logarithmic loss.
result Behavior cloning can achieve linear dependence on horizon in offline IL under dense rewards.

A novel text-independent speaker identification (SI) method is proposed. This method uses the Mel-frequency Cepstral coefficients (MFCCs) and the dynamic information among adjacent frames as feature sets to capture speaker's characteristics. In order to utilize dynamic information, we design super-MFCCs features by cas…

2018-08-02abs ↗pdf ↗

New approach finds solutions to games with unbounded controls.

problem Existence of equilibrium in mean-field games with unbounded controls.
method Weak formulation and new existence/stability results for quadratic-growth generalized McKean-Vlasov BSDEs.
result Existence of equilibrium result for non-Markovian mean-field games with unbounded control space.

Study learns state representations from observations for control, proving guarantees.

problem Learning state representations from high-dimensional observations for control.
method Cost-driven approach, learning latent state model to predict costs.
result Proves finite-sample guarantees for near-optimal state representation and controller.

The paper optimizes portfolios in a financial market with correlated assets using a stochastic volatility model.

problem Optimizing portfolios in a financial market with correlated assets and stochastic volatility.
method Derive a Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation, use approximation methods, analyze value function using expansion of utility function, control error with second-order terms, generate close-to-optimal portfolio.
result Close-to-optimal portfolio generated using first-order approximation of utility function with controlled error.

Reinforcement learning algorithms such as the deep deterministic policy gradient algorithm (DDPG) has been widely used in continuous control tasks. However, the model-free DDPG algorithm suffers from high sample complexity. In this paper we consider the deterministic value gradients to improve the sample efficiency of …

2019-09-09abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes optimal overbetting strategies for a satellite investment account.

problem Optimal control of leverage in a satellite investment account with limited leverage.
method Recursive overbetting strategy to maximize growth rate, solved via HJB equation.
result Optimal overbetting strategy balances growth rate of satellite and composite bankroll.

This paper challenges the conventional wisdom of trend-following by showing that the medium-term horizon adds little value once short- and long-term components are included.

problem The conventional wisdom that more horizons improve diversification and performance is challenged.
method A Bayesian optimization framework reallocates exposure dynamically across horizons, optimizing horizon-level weights at the asset level and applying sparsity and turnover control for dynamic allocation across assets.
result The medium-term horizon contributes little incremental performance or diversification once short- and long-term components are included.