A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
End-to-end deep learning detects emotions in real-life emergency calls.
Real-life mobile phone data may contain noisy instances, which is a fundamental issue for building a prediction model with many potential negative consequences. The complexity of the inferred model may increase, may arise overfitting problem, and thereby the overall prediction accuracy of the model may decrease. In thi…
A new model predicts spatio-temporal data using adaptive decision trees and point processes.
Study shows sample noise impacts active learning performance.
We analyze empirical data for 4,000 real-life trading portfolios (U.S. equities) with holding periods of about 0.7-19 trading days. We find a simple scaling C ~ 1/T, where C is cents-per-share, and T is the portfolio turnover. Thus, the portfolio return R has no statistically significant dependence on the turnover T. W…
Physics-informed denoising improves sensor data accuracy without needing clean data.
K-nearest neighbors (KNN) method is used in many supervised learning classification problems. Potential Energy (PE) method is also developed for classification problems based on its physical metaphor. The energy potential used in the experiments are Yukawa potential and Gaussian Potential. In this paper, I use both app…
In medical risk modeling, typical data are "scarce": they have relatively small number of training instances (N), censoring, and high dimensionality (M). We show that the problem may be effectively simplified by reducing it to bipartite ranking, and introduce new bipartite ranking algorithm, Smooth Rank, for robust lea…
The study examines denoising and noisy-input regression under distribution shift, revealing double descent behavior and insights for data augmentation.
Markovian RNN adapts to nonstationary data using HMM for better time series prediction.
Extends deep learning for hierarchical data to improve classification accuracy.
New bound for neural nets on non-iid data.
This paper evaluates six strategies for mitigating imbalanced data: oversampling, undersampling, ensemble methods, specialized algorithms, class weight adjustments, and a no-mitigation approach referred to as the baseline. These strategies were tested on 58 real-life binary imbalanced datasets with imbalance rates rang…
Developing a Brain-Computer Interface~(BCI) for seizure prediction can help epileptic patients have a better quality of life. However, there are many difficulties and challenges in developing such a system as a real-life support for patients. Because of the nonstationary nature of EEG signals, normal and seizure patter…
New method detects communities in hypergraphs by embedding them into a vector space.
Study compares resampling methods for rare event prediction in longitudinal studies.
We introduce a new class of nonstationary kernels, which we derive as covariance functions of a novel family of stochastic processes we refer to as string Gaussian processes (string GPs). We construct string GPs to allow for multiple types of local patterns in the data, while ensuring a mild global regularity condition…
New methods improve insurance data quality for catastrophic events.
Missing data is a significant problem impacting all domains. State-of-the-art framework for minimizing missing data bias is multiple imputation, for which the choice of an imputation model remains nontrivial. We propose a multiple imputation model based on overcomplete deep denoising autoencoders. Our proposed model is…
Python package for estimating intrinsic dimensionality of datasets.
Missing data is an important challenge when dealing with high dimensional data arranged in the form of an array. In this paper, we propose methods for estimation of the parameters of array variate normal probability model from partially observed multiway data. The methods developed here are useful for missing data impu…
Paper optimizes energy trading on DA markets using RL.
We design, conduct and present the results of a highly personalized baseline emotion recognition experiment, which aims to set reliable ground-truth estimates for the subject's emotional state for real-life prediction under similar conditions using a small number of physiological sensors. We also propose an adaptive st…
Enhances kernel regression with network data for better predictions.
When confronted with massive data streams, summarizing data with dimension reduction methods such as PCA raises theoretical and algorithmic pitfalls. Principal curves act as a nonlinear generalization of PCA and the present paper proposes a novel algorithm to automatically and sequentially learn principal curves from d…
A main challenge in mining network-based data is finding effective ways to represent or encode graph structures so that it can be efficiently exploited by machine learning algorithms. Several methods have focused in network representation at node/edge or substructure level. However, many real life challenges such as ti…
Was it fair that Harry was hired but not Barry? Was it fair that Pam was fired instead of Sam? How can one ensure fairness when an intelligent algorithm takes these decisions instead of a human? How can one ensure that the decisions were taken based on merit and not on protected attributes like race or sex? These are t…
Class imbalance classification is a challenging research problem in data mining and machine learning, as most of the real-life datasets are often imbalanced in nature. Existing learning algorithms maximise the classification accuracy by correctly classifying the majority class, but misclassify the minority class. Howev…
Change detection (CD) in time series data is a critical problem as it reveal changes in the underlying generative processes driving the time series. Despite having received significant attention, one important unexplored aspect is how to efficiently utilize additional correlated information to improve the detection and…
Local elasticity in neural networks makes predictions resilient to dissimilar updates.
FONDUE identifies ambiguous nodes in networks for better analysis.
In this paper we propose the first non-parametric Bayesian model using Gaussian Processes to make inference on Poisson Point Processes without resorting to gridding the domain or to introducing latent thinning points. Unlike competing models that scale cubically and have a squared memory requirement in the number of da…
Paper proposes a copula method to generate unfavorable VaR scenarios.
New algorithm predicts spatio-temporal events with improved accuracy.
Early time series classification (eTSC) is the problem of classifying a time series after as few measurements as possible with the highest possible accuracy. The most critical issue of any eTSC method is to decide when enough data of a time series has been seen to take a decision: Waiting for more data points usually m…
This paper studies how to capture dependency graph structures from real data which may not be Gaussian. Starting from marginal loss functions not necessarily derived from probability distributions, we utilize an additive over-parametrization with shrinkage to incorporate variable dependencies into the criterion. An ite…
One of the biggest challenges in the research of generative adversarial networks (GANs) is assessing the quality of generated samples and detecting various levels of mode collapse. In this work, we construct a novel measure of performance of a GAN by comparing geometrical properties of the underlying data manifold and …
This paper evaluates how different imputation methods affect predictive models.
Classification may not be reliable for several reasons: noise in the data, insufficient input information, overlapping distributions and sharp definition of classes. Faced with several possibilities neural network may in such cases still be useful if instead of a classification elimination of improbable classes is done…
A key challenge in developing and deploying Machine Learning (ML) systems is understanding their performance across a wide range of inputs. To address this challenge, we created the What-If Tool, an open-source application that allows practitioners to probe, visualize, and analyze ML systems, with minimal coding. The W…
We develop extensions to auction theory results that are useful in real life scenarios. 1. Since valuations are generally positive we first develop approximations using the log-normal distribution. This would be useful for many finance related auction settings since asset prices are usually non-negative. 2. We formulat…
Enhances classification accuracy on low data sets using synthetic data.
AutoML frameworks outperform human data scientists on 7 out of 12 OpenML tasks.
Deep generative models trained with large amounts of unlabelled data have proven to be powerful within the domain of unsupervised learning. Many real life data sets contain a small amount of labelled data points, that are typically disregarded when training generative models. We propose the Cluster-aware Generative Mod…
New methods assess rankability of datasets for meaningful item rankings.
Paper proposes a new neural machine translation method for wave data.
We propose a deep learning approach for discovering kernels tailored to identifying clusters over sample data. Our neural network produces sample embeddings that are motivated by--and are at least as expressive as--spectral clustering. Our training objective, based on the Hilbert Schmidt Information Criterion, can be o…
Class imbalance problem is commonly faced while developing machine learning models for real-life issues. Due to this problem, the fitted model tends to be biased towards the majority class data, which leads to lower precision, recall, AUC, F1, G-mean score. Several researches have been done to tackle this problem, most…