A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Machine learning detects type Ia supernovae from photometric data.
New method ensures generated data statistics match real data distributions.
The paper introduces negative controls to evaluate causal discovery algorithms, improving their reliability.
Performing supervised learning from the data synthesized by using Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs), dubbed GAN-synthetic data, has two important applications. First, GANs may generate more labeled training data, which may help improve classification accuracy. Second, in scenarios where real data cannot be release…
Estimates conditional mutual information using a minmax formulation.
The application of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) to the analysis of temporal data has attracted increasing attention, due to their ability to describe complex dynamics with physically interpretable equations. In this paper, we introduce a non-parametric method for estimating the drift and diffusion terms of …
Particle physics or High Energy Physics (HEP) studies the elementary constituents of matter and their interactions with each other. Machine Learning (ML) has played an important role in HEP analysis and has proven extremely successful in this area. Usually, the ML algorithms are trained on numerical simulations of the …
Recently, two-dimensional canonical correlation analysis (2DCCA) has been successfully applied for image feature extraction. The method instead of concatenating the columns of the images to the one-dimensional vectors, directly works with two-dimensional image matrices. Although 2DCCA works well in different recognitio…
The paper develops predictors for functional data on manifolds.
A framework schedules hyperparameters for model-based reinforcement learning, improving performance.
We construct new multivariate copulas on the basis of a generalized infinite partition-of-unity approach. This approach allows - in contrast to finite partition-of-unity copulas - for tail-dependence as well as for asymmetry. A possibility of fitting such copulas to real data from quantitative risk management is also p…
This article investigates the causality structure of financial time series. We concentrate on three main approaches to measuring causality: linear Granger causality, kernel generalisations of Granger causality (based on ridge regression and the Hilbert--Schmidt norm of the cross-covariance operator) and transfer entrop…
Paper develops approximation and statistical theory for signature-based path regression.
This paper provides an entry point to the problem of interpreting a deep neural network model and explaining its predictions. It is based on a tutorial given at ICASSP 2017. It introduces some recently proposed techniques of interpretation, along with theory, tricks and recommendations, to make most efficient use of th…
Probabilistic approach to Boolean matrix factorization can provide solutions robustagainst noise and missing values with linear computational complexity. However,the assumption about latent factors can be problematic in real world applications.This study proposed a new probabilistic algorithm free of assumptions of lat…
Paper develops methods for semi-supervised Fréchet regression.
The paper presents a framework to quantify the trade-off between synthetic and real data.
Proposes a new simulator for complex arrival processes.
Kan extensions help in data science extrapolation and learning.
Clustering is an essential data mining tool that aims to discover inherent cluster structure in data. As such, the study of clusterability, which evaluates whether data possesses such structure, is an integral part of cluster analysis. Yet, despite their central role in the theory and application of clustering, current…
There is a need for the development of models that are able to account for discreteness in data, along with its time series properties and correlation. Our focus falls on INteger-valued AutoRegressive (INAR) type models. The INAR type models can be used in conjunction with existing model-based clustering techniques to …
Evaluation of the marginal likelihood plays an important role in model selection problems. The widely applicable Bayesian information criterion (WBIC) and singular Bayesian information criterion (sBIC) give approximations to the log marginal likelihood, which can be applied to both regular and singular models. When the…
RealUID distills matching models using real data without GANs.
Ensemble of regression trees have become popular statistical tools for the estimation of conditional mean given a set of predictors. However, quantile regression trees and their ensembles have not yet garnered much attention despite the increasing popularity of the linear quantile regression model. This work proposes a…
We analyze the theory of optimal investment in risky assets, developed recently by Marsili, Maslov and Zhang [Physica A 253 (1998) 403]. When the real data are used instead of abstract stochastic process, it appears that a non-trivial investment strategy is rarely possible. We show that non-zero transaction costs make …
In this paper, we consider the variational regularization of manifold-valued data in the inverse problems setting. In particular, we consider TV and TGV regularization for manifold-valued data with indirect measurement operators. We provide results on the well-posedness and present algorithms for a numerical realizatio…
We consider the problem of reconstructing signals and images from periodic nonlinearities. For such problems, we design a measurement scheme that supports efficient reconstruction; moreover, our method can be adapted to extend to compressive sensing-based signal and image acquisition systems. Our techniques can be pote…
Synthetic data improves financial models without real data.
Measuring conditional dependence is an important topic in statistics with broad applications including graphical models. Under a factor model setting, a new conditional dependence measure based on projection is proposed. The corresponding conditional independence test is developed with the asymptotic null distribution …
Novel tests for genetic independence in high-dimensional data.
SFM generates smooth functional data without exposing real data.
In this paper, we introduce Anomaly Contribution Explainer or ACE, a tool to explain security anomaly detection models in terms of the model features through a regression framework, and its variant, ACE-KL, which highlights the important anomaly contributors. ACE and ACE-KL provide insights in diagnosing which attribut…
Improves synthetic-to-real generalization without real data.
Two new regularization methods improve neural network performance and complexity control.
The paper tackles uncertainty in multi-objective decision-making.
Clustering is one of the most common unsupervised learning tasks in machine learning and data mining. Clustering algorithms have been used in a plethora of applications across several scientific fields. However, there has been limited research in the clustering of point patterns - sets or multi-sets of unordered elemen…
Independent Component Analysis (ICA) is a technique for unsupervised exploration of multi-channel data that is widely used in observational sciences. In its classic form, ICA relies on modeling the data as linear mixtures of non-Gaussian independent sources. The maximization of the corresponding likelihood is a challen…
We propose a methodology for clustering financial time series of stocks' returns, and a graphical set-up to quantify and visualise the evolution of these clusters through time. The proposed graphical representation allows for the application of well known algorithms for solving classical combinatorial graph problems, w…
A method is developed to estimate the parameters of a Levy copula of a discretely observed bivariate compound Poisson process without knowledge of common shocks. The method is tested in a small sample simulation study. Also, the method is applied to a real data set and a goodness of fit test is developed. With the meth…
Proposes a neural density estimator that adapts to low-dimensional structures and integrates into generative models.
Generative moment matching networks (GMMNs) are introduced for generating quasi-random samples from multivariate models with any underlying copula in order to compute estimates under variance reduction. So far, quasi-random sampling for multivariate distributions required a careful design, exploiting specific propertie…
Spectral methods of moments provide a powerful tool for learning the parameters of latent variable models. Despite their theoretical appeal, the applicability of these methods to real data is still limited due to a lack of robustness to model misspecification. In this paper we present a hierarchical approach to methods…
New methods reduce bias in synthetic data for machine learning.
Develops robust learning framework under distributional perturbations.
Machine learning (ML) has become a vital part in many aspects of our daily life. However, building well performing machine learning applications requires highly specialized data scientists and domain experts. Automated machine learning (AutoML) aims to reduce the demand for data scientists by enabling domain experts to…
Bayesian online changepoint detection (BOCPD) (Adams & MacKay, 2007) offers a rigorous and viable way to identify changepoints in complex systems. In this work, we introduce a Stein variational online changepoint detection (SVOCD) method to provide a computationally tractable generalization of BOCPD beyond the exponent…
We propose a variable metric framework for minimizing the sum of a self-concordant function and a possibly non-smooth convex function, endowed with an easily computable proximal operator. We theoretically establish the convergence of our framework without relying on the usual Lipschitz gradient assumption on the smooth…
GAIF enhances online multiple testing with feedback, improving statistical power.