A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
New insights into risk aversion for complex decision models.
The paper solves an insurance problem using mean-variance and rank-dependent utility theory.
New PFPPs based on rank-dependent utility for better performance control.
Under expected utility the local index of absolute risk aversion has played a central role in many applications. Besides, its link with the "global" concepts of the risk and probability premia has reinforced its attractiveness. This paper shows that, with an appropriate approach, similar developments can be achieved in…
New theory extends rank-dependent utility for risk and ambiguity.
Optimal insurance strategy for maximizing RDEU under various premium principles.
Study asymptotic properties of generalized shortfall risk measures for heavy-tailed risks.
Investigates portfolio selection for rank-dependent utilities in incomplete markets.
A risk-aware RL approach using RDEU and Wasserstein ball for robust performance.
Diversification represents the idea of choosing variety over uniformity. Within the theory of choice, desirability of diversification is axiomatized as preference for a convex combination of choices that are equivalently ranked. This corresponds to the notion of risk aversion when one assumes the von-Neumann-Morgenster…
Investment strategies for rank-dependent utility agents are derived in a continuous-time market.
New framework for conditional risk minimization using optimal transport.
Most decision theories, including expected utility theory, rank dependent utility theory and cumulative prospect theory, assume that investors are only interested in the distribution of returns and not in the states of the economy in which income is received. Optimal payoffs have their lowest outcomes when the economy …
New concept of attitude towards probability introduced in risk sharing problems.
Investor maximizes utility from an unknown claim using robust optimization.
Bernard et al. (2015) study an optimal insurance design problem where an individual's preference is of the rank-dependent utility (RDU) type, and show that in general an optimal contract covers both large and small losses. However, their contracts suffer from a problem of moral hazard for paying more compensation for a…
We introduce the concept of forward rank-dependent performance processes, extending the original notion to forward criteria that incorporate probability distortions. A fundamental challenge is how to reconcile the time-consistent nature of forward performance criteria with the time-inconsistency stemming from probabili…
Many investment models in discrete or continuous-time settings boil down to maximizing an objective of the quantile function of the decision variable. This quantile optimization problem is known as the quantile formulation of the original investment problem. Under certain monotonicity assumptions, several schemes to so…
A new framework tightens risk measure confidence bounds.
This paper investigates Pareto optimal (PO, for short) insurance contracts in a behavioral finance framework, in which the insured evaluates contracts by the rank-dependent utility (RDU) theory and the insurer by the expected value premium principle. The incentive compatibility constraint is taken into account, so the …
Study examines risk premium convergence rates in risk sharing contracts.
The paper improves transformer generalization bounds using rank-dependent covering number bounds.
This paper investigates the so-called leakage effect of trading strategies generated functionally from rank-dependent portfolio generating functions. This effect measures the loss in wealth of trading strategies due to renewing the portfolio constituent stocks. Theoretically, the leakage effect of a trading strategy is…
This paper presents a unified approach based on Wasserstein distance to derive concentration bounds for empirical estimates for two broad classes of risk measures defined in the paper. The classes of risk measures introduced include as special cases well known risk measures from the finance literature such as condition…
Unified approach to time-inconsistent problems with distribution-dependent rewards.
Study optimal reward schemes for inducing desired player performance in risky contests.
Theory integrates loss aversion into expected utility for monetary returns.
GBC methods compute expected utility without needing the model's density.
We discuss a natural game of competition and solve the corresponding mean field game with \emph{common noise} when agents' rewards are \emph{rank dependent}. We use this solution to provide an approximate Nash equilibrium for the finite player game and obtain the rate of convergence.
The expected utility operators introduced in a previous paper, offer a framework for a general risk aversion theory, in which risk is modelled by a fuzzy number . In this paper we formulate a coinsurance problem in the possibilistic setting defined by an expected utility operator . Some properties of the optimal …
Study examines how risk tolerance impacts long-term investment returns.
We consider the problem of statistical inference for ranking data, specifically rank aggregation, under the assumption that samples are incomplete in the sense of not comprising all choice alternatives. In contrast to most existing methods, we explicitly model the process of turning a full ranking into an incomplete on…
Active inference minimizes expected free energy for optimal behavior.
Study optimal investment and consumption in incomplete markets with nonlinear expectations.
Investigates conditions for risk or utility functionals to be sensitive to large losses.
The paper confirms a conjecture about optimal expected utility in markets with insider information.
This paper discusses the sensitivity of the long-term expected utility of optimal portfolios for an investor with constant relative risk aversion. Under an incomplete market given by a factor model, we consider the utility maximization problem with long-time horizon. The main purpose is to find the long-term sensitivit…
We demonstrate a limitation of discounted expected utility, a standard approach for representing the preference to risk when future cost is discounted. Specifically, we provide an example of the preference of a decision maker that appears to be rational but cannot be represented with any discounted expected utility. A …
Loss-calibrated EP improves Bayesian decision-making by focusing on utility-sensitive posterior approximations.
Estimating the strength of dependency between two variables is fundamental for exploratory analysis and many other applications in data mining. For example: non-linear dependencies between two continuous variables can be explored with the Maximal Information Coefficient (MIC); and categorical variables that are depende…
Optimal portfolios are found for a wide range of utility functions under hyperbolic returns.
Gambles are random variables that model possible changes in monetary wealth. Classic decision theory transforms money into utility through a utility function and defines the value of a gamble as the expectation value of utility changes. Utility functions aim to capture individual psychological characteristics, but thei…
Study finds cheapest possible payoff under ambiguity, linking to maxmin expected utility.
Possibilistic risk theory starts from the hypothesis that risk is modelled by fuzzy numbers. In particular, in a possibilistic portfolio choice problem, the return of a risky asset will be a fuzzy number. The expected utility operators have been introduced in a previous paper to build an abstract theory of possibilisti…
We examine Kreps' (2019) conjecture that optimal expected utility in the classic Black--Scholes--Merton (BSM) economy is the limit of optimal expected utility for a sequence of discrete-time economies that "approach" the BSM economy in a natural sense: The th discrete-time economy is generated by a scaled -step r…
A classical portfolio theory deals with finding the optimal proportion in which an agent invests a wealth in a risk-free asset and a probabilistic risky asset. Formulating and solving the problem depend on how the risk is represented and how, combined with the utility function defines a notion of expected utility. In t…
We provide an economic interpretation of the practice consisting in incorporating risk measures as constraints in a classic expected return maximization problem. For what we call the infimum of expectations class of risk measures, we show that if the decision maker (DM) maximizes the expectation of a random return unde…
Optimizes portfolios with utility theory, diversification, and leverage.