The paper solves an insurance problem using mean-variance and rank-dependent utility theory.
problem Formulating and solving an insurance problem with rank-dependent utility and mean-variance premium principle.
method Formulated as a non-concave maximization problem, then turned into a concave quantile optimization problem, solved using calculus of variations.
result An optimal insurance contract is derived and numerically computed.
Under expected utility the local index of absolute risk aversion has played a central role in many applications. Besides, its link with the "global" concepts of the risk and probability premia has reinforced its attractiveness. This paper shows that, with an appropriate approach, similar developments can be achieved in…
New insights into risk aversion for complex decision models.
problem Understanding risk aversion in non-monotone decision models.
method Characterization of probabilistic risk aversion for generalized rank-dependent functions.
result Probabilistic risk aversion is determined by the distortion function, which is convex or scaled quantile-spread mixtures.
New theory extends rank-dependent utility for risk and ambiguity.
problem Modeling decision-making under risk and ambiguity.
method Axiomatizes a new preference relation with ambiguity index, probability weighting, and utility function.
result Extends rank-dependent utility to risk and ambiguity, reducing to existing models under specific conditions.
New PFPPs based on rank-dependent utility for better performance control.
problem Improving performance prediction in systems with short-term control.
method Introduces rank-dependent PFPPs, solves integral equations via Volterra theory.
result Existence of rank-dependent PFPPs under specific market conditions.
Optimal insurance strategy for maximizing RDEU under various premium principles.
problem Maximizing a risk-averse individual's RDEU with insurance priced by a distortion-deviation principle.
method Proved necessary and sufficient conditions for the optimal solution, considered ambiguity orders, and analyzed specific examples.
result Conditions for no insurance or deductible insurance to be optimal.
Diversification represents the idea of choosing variety over uniformity. Within the theory of choice, desirability of diversification is axiomatized as preference for a convex combination of choices that are equivalently ranked. This corresponds to the notion of risk aversion when one assumes the von-Neumann-Morgenster…
Most decision theories, including expected utility theory, rank dependent utility theory and cumulative prospect theory, assume that investors are only interested in the distribution of returns and not in the states of the economy in which income is received. Optimal payoffs have their lowest outcomes when the economy …
Algorithm samples fair rankings to ensure individual fairness while maintaining group fairness.
problem Fair ranking tasks with group fairness constraints and uncertainty in item utilities.
method Efficient algorithm that samples rankings from an individually-fair distribution ensuring group fairness.
result Expected utility of output ranking is at least α times optimal fair solution, where α depends on utilities and constraints.
Study asymptotic properties of generalized shortfall risk measures for heavy-tailed risks.
problem Understanding risk measures for heavy-tailed risks.
method Derive asymptotic expansions for generalized shortfall risk measures.
result Unified theory for risk measures including distortion and utility-based measures.
Theory integrates loss aversion into expected utility for monetary returns.
problem Modeling loss aversion in expected utility theory.
method Develops state-dependent linear utility functions incorporating loss aversion.
result Contracts from monopolists in insurance markets.
A risk-aware RL approach using RDEU and Wasserstein ball for robust performance.
problem Optimizing risk-aware performance criteria in uncertain environments.
method Rank dependent expected utility (RDEU) for risk assessment, Wasserstein ball for robustness, actor/agent framework.
result Explicit policy gradient formulae for robust optimization.
Object ranking is an important problem in the realm of preference learning. On the basis of training data in the form of a set of rankings of objects, which are typically represented as feature vectors, the goal is to learn a ranking function that predicts a linear order of any new set of objects. Current approaches co…
This paper addresses the problem of rank aggregation, which aims to find a consensus ranking among multiple ranking inputs. Traditional rank aggregation methods are deterministic, and can be categorized into explicit and implicit methods depending on whether rank information is explicitly or implicitly utilized. Surpri…
Investigates portfolio selection for rank-dependent utilities in incomplete markets.
problem Portfolio selection for agents with rank-dependent utility in incomplete financial markets.
method Characterizes deterministic strict equilibrium strategies for constant-coefficient and time-invariant probability weighting functions. Addresses the issue of selecting an optimal strategy from multiple equilibrium strategies for time-variant probability weighting functions.
result Characterizes deterministic strict equilibrium strategies and identifies optimal strategies from multiple equilibrium strategies.
New framework for conditional risk minimization using optimal transport.
problem High-stakes decisions with side information, especially economic conditions.
method Universal framework based on union-ball formulation in optimal transport.
result Offers interpretability, tractability, and scalability for various risk functionals.
Investor maximizes utility from an unknown claim using robust optimization.
problem Maximizing utility from an unknown contingent claim.
method Robust optimization with quantile formulation and variational inequalities.
result Optimal trading strategy and utility indifference price determined.
Investment strategies for rank-dependent utility agents are derived in a continuous-time market.
problem Time inconsistency in rank-dependent utility models.
method Study of consistent planners seeking intra-personal equilibrium strategies.
result Explicit final wealth profile replicating equilibrium strategies, with scaling function derived.
Standardizes weighted ranking correlation coefficients to maintain zero expected value.
problem Measuring correlation between weighted rankings of items.
method Develops a standardization function g(·) that transforms coefficients to zero expected value under randomness.
result A general standardization function g(Γ) that preserves the domain [-1,1] and reduces to the identity for coefficients already satisfying zero-expected-value property.
We provide a general theoretical analysis of expected out-of-sample utility, also referred to as decision-theoretic classification, for non-decomposable binary classification metrics such as F-measure and Jaccard coefficient. Our key result is that the expected out-of-sample utility for many performance metrics is prov…
Study on coskewness under varying dependence uncertainty.
problem Impact of dependence uncertainty on coskewness.
method Explicit bounds and numerical approximation for product expectation; introduction of standardized rank coskewness.
result Introduced standardized rank coskewness as a measure invariant under transformations.
Framework for optimizing search engine rankings using observational data.
problem Optimizing ranking policies for search engines using limited observational data.
method Formulated expected reward optimization problem, estimated context value distribution, trained ranking policy via Bayesian inference.
result Demonstrated trade-offs in ranking policies trained on empirical reward estimates.
Loss-calibrated EP improves Bayesian decision-making by focusing on utility-sensitive posterior approximations.
problem Bayesian decision-making under asymmetric utility functions.
method Loss-calibrated expectation propagation (Loss-EP) that tilts the posterior towards higher utility decisions.
result Loss-EP can capture useful information for decision-making under asymmetric penalties.
Study asset pricing with reference-dependent preferences, finding matching equity premia.
problem Understanding asset pricing under reference-dependent preferences.
method Discrete-time consumption-based capital asset pricing model with reference-dependent preferences.
result Models can generate equity premia matching empirical estimates, showing procyclical price-dividend ratio and countercyclical equity premium.
The paper addresses privacy in rank aggregation using randomized responses.
problem Preserving privacy while aggregating pairwise rankings.
method Adaptive debiasing method for randomized response rankings.
result Established minimax rates for estimation errors and optimal privacy guarantees.
Proposes a new VIX futures trading strategy based on term structure modeling.
problem Optimizing VIX futures trading based on term structure.
method Assumes VIX futures term structure follows a Markov model. Uses a deep neural network to model the functional dependence between VIX futures curve, positions, and expected utility.
result Backtests show reasonable portfolio performance and optimal long/short positions.
It is of increasing importance to develop learning methods for ranking. In contrast to many learning objectives, however, the ranking problem presents difficulties due to the fact that the space of permutations is not smooth. In this paper, we examine the class of rank-linear objective functions, which includes popular…
In this paper we investigate the expected terminal utility maximization approach for a dynamic stochastic portfolio optimization problem. We solve it numerically by solving an evolutionary Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation which is transformed by means of the Riccati transformation. We examine the dependence of the resu…
A classical portfolio theory deals with finding the optimal proportion in which an agent invests a wealth in a risk-free asset and a probabilistic risky asset. Formulating and solving the problem depend on how the risk is represented and how, combined with the utility function defines a notion of expected utility. In t…
Study shows risk-averse investors have consistent ranking of risky assets.
problem Ranking of risky assets in short-term investments.
method Analyzes various decision problems regarding risky assets with continuous returns.
result Risk-averse decision makers have the same ranking over risky assets.
New job recommendation system improves job seekers' welfare through field experiments.
problem Current job recommendation systems focus on clicks and applications, not job seekers' welfare.
method Developed a job-search model with two dimensions: utility and success probability. Conducted field experiments to validate model predictions.
result Welfare-optimal job recommendation algorithms outperform existing approaches and perform close to the benchmark.
A new Bayesian method optimizes time-dependent expensive functions with lookahead.
problem Maximizing a time-dependent, expensive oracle with limited evaluations.
method Recursive, two-step lookahead expected payoff (r2LEY) acquisition function.
result r2LEY outperforms myopic methods in synthetic and real-world datasets.
The paper addresses portfolio allocation with uncertain covariance matrices, finding a logarithmic risk dependence.
problem Portfolio allocation with uncertain covariance matrices.
method Calculates the expected value of CARA utility function over a distribution of covariance matrices, considering uncertainty in future returns and covariances.
result Marginalization introduces a logarithmic dependence on risk, leading to lower allocation levels for higher uncertainties.
The paper defines and characterizes conditional nonlinear expectations.
problem Defining and characterizing conditional nonlinear expectations.
method Embedding in decision theory, using state-dependent preferences, and continuous utility representation.
result Consistent backward conditional projections are characterized by the Sure-Thing Principle.
This paper solves robust utility maximization with unknown claim dependencies.
problem Investor optimizes utility in the presence of an intractable contingent claim.
method Quantile optimization approach, transforming dynamic problem into static concave optimization.
result Optimal payoffs depend on ambiguity attitude, market conditions, and claim characteristics.
New concept of attitude towards probability introduced in risk sharing problems.
problem Risk sharing problems and attitudes towards probability.
method Generalized definition of probability premium, local approximation, rank-dependent utility model, dual theory.
result Attitude towards probability can be first-order or second-order, depending on the model.
The paper tackles optimal policy learning with asymmetric counterfactual utilities in healthcare decisions.
problem Learning optimal policies from observed data with asymmetric counterfactual utilities.
method The approach involves identifying and minimizing the maximum expected utility loss using statistical decision theory and solving intermediate classification problems.
result One can learn minimax loss decision rules from observed data.
We provide foundations for decisions in face of unlikely events by extending the standard framework of Savage to include preferences indexed by a family of events. We derive a subjective lexicographic expected utility representation which allows for infinitely many lexicographically ordered levels of events and for eve…
Optimal reinsurance contracts for multiple dependent risks are derived without specific dependency assumptions.
problem Finding optimal reinsurance contracts for multiple dependent risks without assuming their dependency structure.
method Assumes maximal expected utility criterion and independent negotiation of reinsurance for each risk. Derives optimality conditions and shows that under mild assumptions, optimal contracts are classical (non-randomized) type.
result Optimal reinsurance contracts exist and can be classical (non-randomized) type under mild assumptions.
CRS model improves ranking data modeling with theoretical guarantees.
problem Lack of rich, multimodal models for ranking data.
method Contextual Repeated Selection (CRS) model for multimodal ranking data.
result CRS model significantly outperforms existing methods in various ranking contexts.
This paper studies the problem of maximizing expected utility from terminal wealth in a semi-static market composed of derivative securities, which we assume can be traded only at time zero, and of stocks, which can be traded continuously in time and are modeled as locally-bounded semi-martingales. Using a general util…
Paper proposes a new method to evaluate joint risk under uncertainty.
problem Evaluating joint risk of multiple insurance risks under dependence uncertainty.
method Axiomatic approach to scalar and vector-valued distortion joint risk measures.
result Established a new scalar distortion joint risk measure with positive homogeneity.
Bernard et al. (2015) study an optimal insurance design problem where an individual's preference is of the rank-dependent utility (RDU) type, and show that in general an optimal contract covers both large and small losses. However, their contracts suffer from a problem of moral hazard for paying more compensation for a…
Paper formalizes Simon's satisficing through FFSD, proving its equivalence to expected utility theory.
problem Formalizing Herbert Simon's bounded rationality concept in economic decision-making.
method Developed FFSD framework using Lean 4 theorem prover, proving equivalence to expected utility theory.
result Equivalence theorem linking FFSD to expected utility maximization for approximate indicator functions.
Motivated by recommendation problems in music streaming platforms, we propose a nonstationary stochastic bandit model in which the expected reward of an arm depends on the number of rounds that have passed since the arm was last pulled. After proving that finding an optimal policy is NP-hard even when all model paramet…
Optimizes tensor rank selection for neural network compression.
problem Finding optimal tensor rank for regression models.
method Analyzes population expressions for training-testing discrepancy under Gaussian design.
result Optimal rank minimizes prediction error and aligns with cross-validation.
New algorithm for active bipartite ranking with continuous distributions.
problem Active ranking of bipartite data with continuous conditional distributions.
method Developed a novel algorithm called smooth-rank to minimize the distance between estimated and optimal ROC curves.
result Smooth-rank algorithm is PAC-(ε,δ) and outperforms existing methods in empirical tests. A new framework tightens risk measure confidence bounds.
problem Improving confidence bounds for various risk measures.
method Distribution optimization framework with two estimation schemes based on concentration bounds.
result Consistently tighter confidence bounds compared to previous methods.