Assuming that price of the underlying stock is moving in range bound, the Black-Scholes formula for options pricing supports a separation of variables. The resulting time-independent equation is solved employing different behavior of the option price function and three significant results are deduced. The first is the …
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48 results for “range-bound behavior”
Understanding how funding and 4H context regulate crypto markets.
problem Analyzing the chaotic appearance of financial markets.
method Observing interactions between market context and capital conditions in the 4H timeframe.
result Ranges in crypto markets are strategic positioning by informed participants, not indecision.
Traders and investors involved in an option contract having the underlying stock in range bound are likely to lose their initial investment. Timing in buying an option contract is of capital importance. In a recent article [1] the hypothesis of range bound market is used in conjunction to Black-Scholes equation to find…
Applications of Quantum Tunneling effect have long gone beyond the traditional physical meaning. Initially created by Gamow to explain α-decay of nuclear particles, along the time, quantum tunneling found fertile domain of research in chemistry and recently in biology, where the new discipline of Quantum Biology emerge…
The aim of this paper is to construct and analyze solutions to a class of Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations with range bounds on the optimal response variable. Using the Riccati transformation we derive and analyze a fully nonlinear parabolic partial differential equation for the optimal response function. We construct…
Writing the article-Time independent pricing of options in range bound markets; the question in the title came naturally to my mind. It is stated, in the above article, that in certain market conditions the stock price is subjected to an equation that exactly matches a time independent Schrodinger equation. The time in…
Study improves traffic prediction intervals for minor roads.
problem Uncertainty in traffic data for underrepresented minor roads.
method Quantile Random Forest with PCA for interval prediction.
result Achieved 88.22% interval coverage and Winkler Score of 7,468.47.
Uniform stability of a learning algorithm is a classical notion of algorithmic stability introduced to derive high-probability bounds on the generalization error (Bousquet and Elisseeff, 2002). Specifically, for a loss function with range bounded in , the generalization error of a -uniformly stable learning a…
Beta Diffusioncs.LG
Beta diffusion generates bounded data using multiplicative transitions.
problem Generating data within specific ranges.
method Integrates demasking and denoising with scaled and shifted beta distributions.
result KLUBs are more effective for optimizing beta diffusion compared to negative ELBOs.
Develops AMITE for analyzing neural network nonlinearities.
problem Addressing difficulties in verification, explainability, and security in neural network analysis.
method Analytically modified integral transform expansion (AMITE) for neural network nonlinearities.
result First to provide six mutually exclusive desired expansion properties.
Optimizes nonconvex optimization by converting it to static regret minimization.
problem Nonconvex optimization challenges in machine learning.
method Black-box online-to-nonconvex conversion with static regret minimization oracles.
result Achieves optimal convergence rates for nonconvex optimization.
Improved cumulative regret for sequence prediction with limited expert advice.
problem Minimizing cumulative regret in sequence prediction with limited information.
method Convex combination of experts with limited observation, achieving constant regret.
result Strategies achieve constant regret independent of the horizon T, improving over standard bounds.
Model captures neural activity related to behavior while separating internal computations.
problem Capturing neural activity related to behavior from complex brain recordings.
method Behavior-decomposed linear dynamical systems (b-dLDS) model.
result Improves over state-of-the-art models in disentangling behavior-related dynamics.
Behavior modification improves prediction accuracy by nudging user behavior.
problem Improving prediction accuracy using behavior modification techniques.
method Combining prediction and behavior modification with reinforcement learning algorithms.
result Behavior modification can make predictions more certain but may not generalize.
LISBET automates social behavior analysis using machine learning.
problem Manual annotation of social behaviors is time-consuming, biased, and misses subtle interactions.
method Self-supervised learning on body tracking data.
result Automated detection and segmentation of social interactions.
The paper introduces new metrics for evaluating generative models of behavior.
problem Lack of quantitative evaluation criteria for unsupervised behavior discovery.
method Proposed and investigated several metrics for generative models of behavior.
result The proposed metrics correspond with biologists' intuitions and allow for model evaluation and bias understanding.
Mobile phones can record individual's daily behavioral data as a time-series. In this paper, we present an effective time-series segmentation technique that extracts optimal time segments of individual's similar behavioral characteristics utilizing their mobile phone data. One of the determinants of an individual's beh…
Study reveals LLM personality patterns but lacks behavioral consistency.
problem Understanding and validating personality traits in LLMs.
method Characterized LLM personality across three dimensions: training dynamics, self-report validity, and intervention effects.
result Self-reported traits do not reliably predict behavior, and instructional alignment affects trait expression but not behavior.
Herd behavior is an important economic phenomenon, especially in the context of the recent financial crises. In this paper, herd behavior in global stock markets is investigated with a focus on intercontinental comparison. Since most existing herd behavior indices do not provide a comparative method, we propose a new h…
Interactive news recommendation has been launched and attracted much attention recently. In this scenario, user's behavior evolves from single click behavior to multiple behaviors including like, comment, share etc. However, most of the existing methods still use single click behavior as the unique criterion of judging…
Study examines if LLMs' trading styles match real market behavior.
problem Lack of behavioral consistency in LLMs' trading strategies.
method Year-long simulations with LLMs, operationalizing behavioral finance drivers, and comparing with financial theory.
result LLMs' strategy switching is only partially consistent with behavioral finance theories.
A test measures artificial agents' human-like behavior in video games.
problem Measuring the believability of artificial agents' human-like behavior.
method Developed a non-parametric two-sample hypothesis test.
result The -value correlates with human judgment of human-like behavior.
Method uses DNNs to approximate functions with specific asymptotic behavior.
problem Approximating functions with given asymptotic behavior.
method Specifically constructed terms combined with unconstrained DNN.
result Enforcing asymptotic behavior leads to better approximation and faster convergence.
Study models Ricci flow on complex surfaces, showing mixed behavior.
problem Understanding long-time behavior of Ricci flow on complex surfaces.
method BiLipschitz models for 4-manifolds (minimal surfaces of general type).
result Exhibits a combination of expanding and static behavior.
Model predicts human food choices based on demographics.
problem Predicting human food choices from demographic data.
method Non-deterministic model based on NHANES dataset and behavioral studies.
result Generates synthetic data similar to original dataset.
We consider the problem of off-policy evaluation in Markov decision processes. Off-policy evaluation is the task of evaluating the expected return of one policy with data generated by a different, behavior policy. Importance sampling is a technique for off-policy evaluation that re-weights off-policy returns to account…
Paper develops a framework for learning interpretable representations of sequential decision behavior.
problem Obtaining a transparent description of existing behavior.
method Inverse decision modeling framework, formalizing both forward and inverse problems.
result Learning interpretable representations of behavior, including suboptimal actions, biased beliefs, and imperfect knowledge.
Study uses contrastive learning to analyze market order behavior.
problem Understanding diverse market order behaviors.
method Self-supervised learning with triplet loss for order representation.
result Identified distinct behavior types using K-means clustering.
Collective behavior of the complex socio-economic systems is heavily influenced by the herding, group, behavior of individuals. The importance of the herding behavior may enable the control of the collective behavior of the individuals. In this contribution we consider a simple agent-based herding model modified to inc…
Study asymptotic behaviors of solutions near singular boundaries for the Yamabe problem.
problem Boundary behavior of the singular Yamabe problem near singular boundaries.
method Analysis of asymptotic behaviors and derivation of optimal estimates for background metrics.
result Solutions are well approximated by solutions in tangent cones at singular points.
We propose Turing Learning, a novel system identification method for inferring the behavior of natural or artificial systems. Turing Learning simultaneously optimizes two populations of computer programs, one representing models of the behavior of the system under investigation, and the other representing classifiers. …
Study uses ML to analyze financial behavior in big data.
problem Challenges in analyzing financial big data.
method Applied machine learning to financial behavioral data.
result ML models can effectively estimate performance in financial markets.
Revisits behavioral finance option pricing model to align with rational asset pricing theory.
problem Inconsistency between behavioral finance and rational asset pricing models in option pricing.
method Introduces arbitrage transaction costs to modify the behavioral finance option pricing formula.
result Modifies behavioral finance option pricing formula to be consistent with rational asset pricing theory.
KFAtt improves CTR prediction by modeling user behavior with Kalman filtering attention.
problem Improving CTR prediction in personalized e-commerce search engines.
method KFAtt combines Kalman filtering with attention mechanisms to model user behavior.
result KFAtt outperforms existing methods in CTR prediction, achieving better performance in both offline and online settings.
Identifying latent activity behaviors and lifestyles using mobility data to describe urban dynamicsphysics.soc-ph
Study of urban lifestyles from mobility data of 1.2M people in 11 U.S. cities.
problem Lack of interpretability in digital mobility data for understanding urban lifestyles.
method Privacy-enhanced dataset of mobility visitation patterns, latent activity behavior decomposition.
result Detected 12 latent activity behaviors that describe urban lifestyles, not single lifestyles.
Study on manifolds with kinks and Gaussian kernel behavior.
problem Understanding the asymptotic behavior of graph Laplacian on manifolds with singularities.
method Introduced manifolds with kinks, derived asymptotic behavior of Graph Laplacian with Gaussian kernel, and validated results numerically.
result Asymptotic behavior of the Graph Laplacian is determined by the inward sector of the tangent space.
Extends driving model to control agent behavior in simulations.
problem Simulate realistic driving behavior for autonomous systems.
method Introduces Control-ITRA method to influence agent behavior through waypoint assignment and target speed modulation.
result Demonstrates controllable, infraction-free trajectories while preserving realism.
We introduce a new approach for comparing reinforcement learning policies, using Wasserstein distances (WDs) in a newly defined latent behavioral space. We show that by utilizing the dual formulation of the WD, we can learn score functions over policy behaviors that can in turn be used to lead policy optimization towar…
Most animals possess the ability to actuate a vast diversity of movements, ostensibly constrained only by morphology and physics. In practice, however, a frequent assumption in behavioral science is that most of an animal's activities can be described in terms of a small set of stereotyped motifs. Here we introduce a m…
Continuous collection of physiological data from wearable sensors enables temporal characterization of individual behaviors. Understanding the relation between an individual's behavioral patterns and psychological states can help identify strategies to improve quality of life. One challenge in analyzing physiological d…
Comparing the collective behavior of banking industryphysics.soc-ph
The study examines collective behavior in banking sectors across mature and emerging markets.
problem Understanding collective behavior in banking sectors across different market types.
method Applied Random Matrix Theory (RMT) to analyze the banking sectors of 4 world stock markets.
result Mature markets exhibit higher collective behavior compared to emerging markets.
The paper explains why estimating a history-dependent policy can reduce MSE in reinforcement learning.
problem Understanding why history-dependent policies can improve MSE in off-policy evaluation.
method The paper derives a bias-variance decomposition of MSE for various OPE estimators, showing how history-dependent policies can decrease variance and increase bias.
result History-dependent policies can decrease the variance of importance sampling estimators, leading to lower MSE.
DETECT clusters mobility behaviors from trajectories using deep learning.
problem Clustering similar mobility behaviors in large, complex trajectory data.
method DETECT uses deep learning to cluster mobility behaviors from trajectories, transforming and summarizing them to identify similar behaviors.
result DETECT effectively clusters mobility behaviors from real-world datasets.
Probability Weighting Meets Heavy Tails: An Econometric Framework for Behavioral Asset Pricingq-fin.MF
Econometric framework integrates heavy-tailed distributions with behavioral probability weighting for better asset pricing.
problem Underestimation of Value-at-Risk by traditional models in asset pricing.
method Developed an econometric framework combining heavy-tailed Student's distributions with behavioral probability weighting.
result Student's specifications outperform Gaussian models in 88.4% of cases, reducing underestimation of Value-at-Risk by 16.5 percentage points.
We propose a novel approach to train a multi-modal policy from mixed demonstrations without their behavior labels. We develop a method to discover the latent factors of variation in the demonstrations. Specifically, our method is based on the variational autoencoder with a categorical latent variable. The encoder infer…
To detect the irregular trade behaviors in the stock market is the important problem in machine learning field. These irregular trade behaviors are obviously illegal. To detect these irregular trade behaviors in the stock market, data scientists normally employ the supervised learning techniques. In this paper, we empl…
Elephants or Goldfish? An Empirical Analysis of Carrier Reciprocity in Dynamic Freight Marketsq-fin.GN
Empirical study shows carriers ignore past shippers' behavior, focusing only on current actions.
problem Opportunistic behavior by shippers and carriers in dynamic freight markets.
method Empirical analysis of carrier reciprocity in US truckload transportation sector.
result Carriers do not remember shippers' past behaviors but respond to current actions.
Model assesses credit risk using behavioral data from Experian and Bank of Italy.
problem Improving credit risk assessment in financial institutions.
method Statistical and machine learning techniques applied to behavioral data from Experian and Bank of Italy.
result Demonstrates transferability of the model from private to central data.