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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for randomized model selection

Exact selective inference with randomization for Gaussian regression models.

problem Exact selective inference in Gaussian regression models.
method Introduces a pivot for exact selective inference with randomization, reducing the problem to a bivariate truncated Gaussian distribution.
result Our pivot leads to exact inference and produces narrower confidence intervals than related methods.

The paper examines how insurers can select claims for fraud investigation, proposing a randomized approach.

problem Inconsistent learning from biased claim selection.
method Formalizes selection in binary regression, proposes a randomized alternative, and defines consistency.
result The randomized selection strategy is consistent, while the traditional strategy is not.

Selective inference for group lasso estimators across various distributions and covariates.

problem Developing selective inference methods for group lasso estimators.
method Randomized group-regularized optimization problem with post-selection likelihood.
result Selective point estimator and Wald-type confidence regions for regression parameters.

A new feature selection method using random forest and Kolmogorov filter.

problem Ultra-high dimensional data feature selection.
method Fused Kolmogorov filter with random forest based recursive feature elimination.
result Selection and L2L_2 consistency under weak conditions.

Develops a forward variable selection method for interpretable random forest models.

problem Interpreting high-dimensional non-parametric models like random forests.
method Forward variable selection using CRPS as loss function, with hypothesis testing at each step.
result Method selects a smaller set of variables that optimizes predictive performance.

A new feature selection method for cost-sensitive classification in Random Forests.

problem Feature selection in Random Forests is challenging due to the complexity of ensemble trees.
method Shallow Tree Selection method for feature selection from small tree structures, adapted for cost-sensitive learning.
result BCR criterion improves performance of feature selection methods.

The paper introduces a framework to select efficient datasets for preserving model rankings.

problem Efficient evaluation of machine learning models on small, representative datasets.
method Bootstrap aggregation, clustering, design criteria, random baselines, and greedy farthest-first (FAFI).
result Several selection strategies improve rank preservation compared to random subsets, especially in time series classification.

This paper proposes a framework for certifying neural network defenses against data poisoning attacks.

problem Vulnerability of neural networks to data poisoning attacks.
method Random selection based defenses that average predictions on sub-datasets sampled from the training set.
result The certified radius of bagging derived by the framework is tighter than previous work.

Proposes a few-shot learning method for feature selection without labeled data.

problem Feature selection in unlabeled data with limited instances.
method Uses Concrete random variables and permutation-invariant neural networks to select features from multiple source tasks.
result Outperforms existing methods in feature selection performance.

MOMENT selects and estimates mixed-effects models using moment identities.

problem Selecting and estimating random-effects covariance matrix and fixed-effects coefficients in multiresponse linear mixed-effects models.
method MOMENT is a stage-wise moment-based framework that reduces the random-effects selection problem to a smooth constrained convex optimization problem.
result MOMENT performs competitively and can outperform separate univariate analyses for correlated responses.

We propose a new method for input variable selection in nonlinear regression. The method is embedded into a kernel regression machine that can model general nonlinear functions, not being a priori limited to additive models. This is the first kernel-based variable selection method applicable to large datasets. It sides…

2018-04-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Study optimal portfolios in a non-Markovian regime-switching model with random time horizon.

problem Optimal portfolio selection in a market with non-Markovian regime-switching and random time horizon.
method Formulated as a constrained stochastic linear-quadratic optimal control problem, derived closed-form expressions for optimal portfolios and efficient frontier.
result Closed-form expressions for optimal portfolios and efficient frontier derived under non-Markovian regime-switching and random time horizon.

New insights into how randomization affects greedy model selection.

problem Understanding the impact of feature subsampling on greedy model selection.
method Investigated greedy forward selection with feature subsampling, proving effects on bias and variance.
result Ensembling with feature subsampling reduces both bias and variance, unlike convex base learners.

The study improves the perceptron's storage capacity by optimizing variable selection.

problem Distinguishing genuine structure from random correlations in high-dimensional data.
method Replica method from statistical mechanics for optimal variable selection.
result Optimal variable selection can surpass the Cover--Gardner bound for pattern classification.

This paper improves volatility forecasting using dynamic subset selection in genetic programming.

problem Improving accuracy of implied volatility forecasting.
method Dynamic training-subset selection methods applied to genetic programming.
result Dynamic subset selection improves predictive accuracy of genetic programming models.

New model uses interval-valued CVaR for better risk assessment in finance.

problem Measuring tail risk in rapidly changing financial markets.
method Employing random intervals to describe asset returns and using ICVaR as a risk measure.
result Optimal portfolio selection models show better risk assessment in real data.

This paper proposes a method to select relevant features for multi-label learning.

problem Feature selection in multi-label learning to retain important information with minimal features.
method Random manifold sampling and joint sparse regularization to solve multicollinearity and obtain sparse feature sets.
result The proposed method outperforms other methods in selecting relevant features for multi-label learning.

Optimizes tensor rank selection for neural network compression.

problem Finding optimal tensor rank for regression models.
method Analyzes population expressions for training-testing discrepancy under Gaussian design.
result Optimal rank minimizes prediction error and aligns with cross-validation.

We study the effectiveness of non-uniform randomized feature selection in decision tree classification. We experimentally evaluate two feature selection methodologies, based on information extracted from the provided dataset: (i)(i) \emph{leverage scores-based} and (ii)(ii) \emph{norm-based} feature selection. Experimenta…

2014-03-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Study optimal portfolios for many players in a market model with random coefficients.

problem Optimal portfolio selection for many players under relative performance criteria in a market model with random coefficients.
method Game theory and stochastic optimal control, focusing on CARA and CRRA risk preferences, and extending to continuum of players.
result Existence of forward Nash equilibrium and mean field equilibrium for the n-agent game and corresponding mean field stochastic optimal control problem.

New method aggregates GDS analyses of randomly selected interaction models to identify important factors in screening experiments.

problem Erroneous conclusions from main-effects models in screening experiments.
method Gauss-Dantzig Selector Aggregation over Random Models (GDS-ARM).
result Identifies important factors by aggregating GDS analyses of randomly selected interaction models.

FREEtree improves tree-based methods for correlated longitudinal data.

problem Poor performance of Random Forests in high dimensional longitudinal data with correlated features.
method FREEtree uses a piecewise random effects model and clustering with WGCNA to select features and maintain interpretability.
result FREEtree outperforms other tree-based methods in prediction and feature selection accuracy.

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods provide an elaborate approach to Bayesian inference on complex models, including model choice. Both theoretical arguments and simulation experiments indicate, however, that model posterior probabilities may be poorly evaluated by standard ABC techniques. We propose a novel…

2014-06-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Adaptive Prespecification improves precision in randomized trials.

problem Selecting optimal covariates for precision in randomized trials.
method Adaptive Prespecification using V-fold cross-validation and influence curve-squared loss function.
result Substantial gains in precision, equivalent to 20-43% reductions in sample size for the same power.

Paper develops a consistent model selection framework for learning Hypotheses Space from data.

problem Avoiding overfitting in complex spaces with limited data.
method Develops a model selection framework based on Learning Spaces, selecting a Hypotheses Space from data.
result The method converges with probability one to a target Hypotheses Space, providing a consistent framework for model selection.

Proposes a framework to balance supervised and unsupervised learning using random matrix theory.

problem Balancing supervised and unsupervised learning in high-dimensional data.
method QLDS model with quadratic margin maximization under low density separation assumption.
result Establishes a smooth bridge between supervised and unsupervised learning methods.

Proposes a method to estimate functional graphical models from multivariate random functions.

problem Estimating conditional independence structure of multivariate random functions.
method Neighborhood selection approach combining function-on-function regression and graph recovery.
result Statistical consistency of the method in high-dimensional settings.

This paper analyzes and improves convergence in federated learning with biased client selection.

problem Analyzing convergence in federated learning with biased client selection.
method First convergence analysis of federated optimization for biased client selection strategies, proposing Power-of-Choice framework.
result Power-of-Choice strategies converge up to 3 times faster and give 10% higher test accuracy than random selection.