A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
The paper evaluates index-based allocation policies using data from randomized control trials.
problem Evaluating index-based allocation policies in resource-scarce scenarios.
method Using data from randomized control trials, the paper introduces an efficient estimator and methods for computing asymptotically correct confidence intervals.
result Valid statistical conclusions can be drawn for index-based allocation policies.
This paper explains CART random forests using stochastic control theory.
problem Understanding the inner workings of CART random forests.
method Developed a stochastic-control perspective on CART random forests, interpreting feature subsampling as a random feasible action set and the split rule as a policy.
result Established that the CART policy is locally stabilizing but globally suboptimal for the forest objective.
Some online advertising offers pay only when an ad elicits a response. Randomness and uncertainty about response rates make showing those ads a risky investment for online publishers. Like financial investors, publishers can use portfolio allocation over multiple advertising offers to pursue revenue while controlling r…
We consider the problem of how to assign treatment in a randomized experiment, in which the correlation among the outcomes is informed by a network available pre-intervention. Working within the potential outcome causal framework, we develop a class of models that posit such a correlation structure among the outcomes. …
Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for comparing the effectiveness of a new treatment to the current one (the control). Most RCTs allocate the patients to the treatment group and the control group by uniform randomization. We show that this procedure can be highly sub-optimal (in terms of learnin…
In this paper, we study censored Semi-Bandits, a novel variant of the semi-bandits problem. The learner is assumed to have a fixed amount of resources, which it allocates to the arms at each time step. The loss observed from an arm is random and depends on the amount of resources allocated to it. More specifically, the…
We present a consensus Monte Carlo algorithm that scales existing Bayesian nonparametric models for clustering and feature allocation to big data. The algorithm is valid for any prior on random subsets such as partitions and latent feature allocation, under essentially any sampling model. Motivated by three case studie…
We study a multi-armed bandit problem with covariates in a setting where there is a possible delay in observing the rewards. Under some mild assumptions on the probability distributions for the delays and using an appropriate randomization to select the arms, the proposed strategy is shown to be strongly consistent.
The paper introduces new portfolio rules beyond mean-variance, addressing asymmetry and uncertainty.
problem Optimizing portfolios with asymmetric returns and uncertainty in expected returns.
method Derives allocation rules for asymmetric Laplace distributed returns and random normal expected returns. Addresses singular covariance matrices and uncertainty in returns.
result Optimal worst-case scenario solution provides a convex alternative to risk parity, improving portfolio stability.
In our previous paper, "A Unified Approach to Systemic Risk Measures via Acceptance Set" (\textit{Mathematical Finance, 2018}), we have introduced a general class of systemic risk measures that allow for random allocations to individual banks before aggregation of their risks. In the present paper, we prove the dual re…
Developing efficient and scalable algorithms for Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) is of wide interest for many applications. Previous work has developed an O(1) Metropolis-Hastings sampling method for each token. However, the performance is far from being optimal due to random accesses to the parameter matrices and fr…
We characterize the class of exchangeable feature allocations assigning probability Vn,k∏l=1kWmlUn−ml to a feature allocation of n individuals, displaying k features with counts (m1,…,mk) for these features. Each element of this class is parametrized by a countable matrix V…
Register allocation, which is a crucial phase of a good optimizing compiler, relies on graph coloring. Hence, an efficient graph coloring algorithm is of paramount importance. In this work we try to learn a good heuristic for coloring interference graphs that are used in the register allocation phase. We aim to handle …
In this paper, the problem of training federated learning (FL) algorithms over a realistic wireless network is studied. In particular, in the considered model, wireless users execute an FL algorithm while training their local FL models using their own data and transmitting the trained local FL models to a base station …
We present a simulation-and-regression method for solving dynamic portfolio allocation problems in the presence of general transaction costs, liquidity costs and market impacts. This method extends the classical least squares Monte Carlo algorithm to incorporate switching costs, corresponding to transaction costs and t…
This work demonstrates the potential of deep reinforcement learning techniques for transmit power control in wireless networks. Existing techniques typically find near-optimal power allocations by solving a challenging optimization problem. Most of these algorithms are not scalable to large networks in real-world scena…