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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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18365371 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for randomised response

Two modified tests improve the reliability of evaluating explanation methods.

problem Methodological concerns in evaluating explanation methods for saliency maps.
method Proposed modifications to the Model Parameter Randomisation Test (MPRT): Smooth MPRT and Efficient MPRT.
result Enhanced metric reliability, facilitating more trustworthy deployment of explanation methods.

New method uses randomised signatures for generating financial time series data.

problem Generating synthetic financial time series data accurately.
method Introduced a Wasserstein-type distance based on discrete-time randomised signatures.
result Demonstrated universal approximation for randomised signatures on continuous functions.

Randomised classifiers outperform deterministic ones in strategic classification.

problem Strategic modification of features by agents in classification tasks.
method Theoretical analysis of randomised classifiers in strategic classification.
result Randomised classifiers can achieve better accuracy than deterministic ones under certain conditions.

Paper develops a privacy-preserving nonparametric regression method.

problem Nonparametric regression with local differential privacy constraints.
method Privatised discretisation and Laplace noise applied to feature vectors and responses.
result Strongly universally consistent estimator for regression and classification.

New framework for policy gradient methods in continuous time reinforcement learning.

problem Addressing policy gradient methods for continuous time reinforcement learning.
method Control randomisation technique to derive policy gradient representation for various Markovian control problems.
result Demonstrated application to optimal switching problems in the energy sector.

We propose a randomised version of the Heston model-a widely used stochastic volatility model in mathematical finance-assuming that the starting point of the variance process is a random variable. In such a system, we study the small-and large-time behaviours of the implied volatility, and show that the proposed random…

2016-08-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper improves privacy bounds for shuffle model using novel numerical techniques.

problem Improving privacy guarantees in the shuffle model of differential privacy.
method Develops and evaluates numerical techniques for tighter (ε,δ)(\varepsilon,δ)-differential privacy bounds.
result Accurately evaluates privacy loss distribution for adaptive compositions of shufflers.

Randomized exploration in linear bandits achieves optimal regret bounds.

problem Optimizing exploration in high-dimensional linear bandit problems.
method Analysis of Thompson sampling without forced optimism.
result Randomized exploration algorithms achieve an O(dnlog(n))O(d\sqrt{n} \log(n)) regret bound in smooth, strongly convex action spaces.

Improved Bayesian optimisation method using randomised Gaussian process UCB.

problem Improving performance in Bayesian optimisation.
method Developed a modified Gaussian process upper confidence bound (GP-UCB) acquisition function.
result The method achieves better performance than GP-UCB in various problems.

Numerous kinds of uncertainties may affect an economy, e.g. economic, political, and environmental ones. We model the aggregate impact by the uncertainties on an economy and its associated financial market by randomised mixtures of Lévy processes. We assume that market participants observe the randomised mixtures only …

2011-12-09abs ↗pdf ↗

We design a randomised parallel version of Adaboost based on previous studies on parallel coordinate descent. The algorithm uses the fact that the logarithm of the exponential loss is a function with coordinate-wise Lipschitz continuous gradient, in order to define the step lengths. We provide the proof of convergence …

2013-10-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified high-probability regret bounds for online convex optimisation with randomised gradient estimators.

problem Online convex optimisation with randomised gradient estimators for q\ell_q-Lipschitz losses.
method FTRL with randomised two-point finite-difference gradient estimators based on cone-measure sampling from r\ell_r-spheres.
result Unified high-probability regret bounds for all p,q,r[1,]p,q,r \in [1,\infty].

New method improves calibration of BayesCG for better uncertainty quantification.

problem Bayesian conjugate gradient method's poor calibration limits its utility.
method Randomized postiteration strategy to enhance posterior calibration.
result The method improves the distribution of posterior errors and enhances uncertainty quantification.

Discrete time analogues of ergodic stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are one of the most popular and flexible tools for sampling high-dimensional probability measures. Non-asymptotic analysis in the L2L^2 Wasserstein distance of sampling algorithms based on Euler discretisations of SDEs has been recently develop…

2018-08-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved control approach for correlated bandits with better performance.

problem General multi-armed bandit problem with correlated elements.
method Introducing entropy regularisation to obtain a smooth asymptotic approximation of the value function, leading to a semi-index approximation of the optimal decision process.
result Performance of Asymptotic Randomised Control (ARC) algorithm compares favorably with other approaches.

We introduce Bayesian least-squares policy iteration (BLSPI), an off-policy, model-free, policy iteration algorithm that uses the Bayesian least-squares temporal-difference (BLSTD) learning algorithm to evaluate policies. An online variant of BLSPI has been also proposed, called randomised BLSPI (RBLSPI), that improves…

2019-04-06abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose and evaluate alternative ensemble schemes for a new instance based learning classifier, the Randomised Sphere Cover (RSC) classifier. RSC fuses instances into spheres, then bases classification on distance to spheres rather than distance to instances. The randomised nature of RSC makes it ideal for use in en…

2014-09-17abs ↗pdf ↗

EVILL uses randomised perturbations to improve exploration in bandit problems.

problem Improving exploration in structured stochastic bandit problems.
method Solves for the minimiser of a linearly perturbed regularised negative log-likelihood function.
result EVILL matches the performance of Thompson-sampling-style methods in theory and practice.

Novel strategy for federated learning with privacy-preserving predictors and nonvacuous generalization bounds.

problem Privacy-preserving federated learning with nonvacuous generalization bounds.
method Randomized predictors, PAC-Bayesian generalization bound, synchronous and heterogeneous/homogenous cases.
result Achieves comparable predictive performance to batch approach while preserving privacy.

FP uses random projections to train networks without feedback, achieving comparable performance to backpropagation.

problem Training neural networks without feedback from downstream layers.
method Forward Projection (FP) method that uses randomised nonlinear projections and closed-form regression.
result FP achieves comparable generalisation to backpropagation methods with a single forward pass, offering significant speedup.

Study proves value of non-Markovian games with partial, asymmetric info.

problem Value of non-Markovian Dynkin games with partial and asymmetric information.
method Probabilistic and functional analytic approach based on Sion's min-max theorem.
result Existence of optimal strategies for both players in randomised stopping times.

The paper addresses privacy-preserving BAI in clinical trials and user studies.

problem Privacy-preserving Best Arm Identification in adaptive clinical trials and user studies.
method The paper derives lower bounds on sample complexity for BAI algorithms with differential privacy constraints and proposes private variants of Top Two algorithms.
result Private variants of Top Two algorithms achieve asymptotic optimality in terms of sample complexity for BAI problems under differential privacy constraints.

In this paper we propose a Bayesian method for estimating architectural parameters of neural networks, namely layer size and network depth. We do this by learning concrete distributions over these parameters. Our results show that regular networks with a learnt structure can generalise better on small datasets, while f…

2019-01-14abs ↗pdf ↗

An explorative data analysis system should be aware of what the user already knows and what the user wants to know of the data: otherwise the system cannot provide the user with the most informative and useful views of the data. We propose a principled way to do exploratory data analysis, where the user's background kn…

2018-05-20abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the problem of link prediction, based on partial observation of a large network, and on side information associated to its vertices. The generative model is formulated as a matrix logistic regression. The performance of the model is analysed in a high-dimensional regime under a structural assumption. The mi…

2018-03-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper defines saddle points in asymmetric Dynkin games using martingale theory.

problem Tackles saddle point conditions in asymmetric Dynkin games with partial information.
method Uses martingale theory to identify super and submartingales related to equilibrium payoffs.
result Characterizes saddle point strategies in terms of equilibrium payoffs' dynamics and Doob-Meyer decompositions.

We develop a monitoring procedure to detect changes in a large approximate factor model. Letting rr be the number of common factors, we base our statistics on the fact that the (r+1)\left( r+1\right) -th eigenvalue of the sample covariance matrix is bounded under the null of no change, whereas it becomes spiked under cha…

2017-08-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Classical (Itô diffusions) stochastic volatility models are not able to capture the steepness of small-maturity implied volatility smiles. Jumps, in particular exponential Lévy and affine models, which exhibit small-maturity exploding smiles, have historically been proposed to remedy this (see \cite{Tank} for an overvi…

2015-03-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates long-term effects from short-term experiments and observational data with unobserved confounders.

problem Estimating long-term causal effects from short-term experiments and long-term observational data with unobserved confounding.
method Combining regression residuals with short-term experimental outcomes to create an instrumental variable for estimating long-term causal effects.
result The estimator is unbiased and its variance is analytically studied.

The generation of artificial data based on existing observations, known as data augmentation, is a technique used in machine learning to improve model accuracy, generalisation, and to control overfitting. Augmentor is a software package, available in both Python and Julia versions, that provides a high level API for th…

2017-08-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Popular approaches to differential privacy, such as the Laplace and exponential mechanisms, calibrate randomised smoothing through global sensitivity of the target non-private function. Bounding such sensitivity is often a prohibitively complex analytic calculation. As an alternative, we propose a straightforward sampl…

2017-06-08abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes the role of ReLU gates in deep learning networks.

problem Understanding the role of gates in deep learning networks.
method Developed neural path features (NPF) and neural path values (NPV) to characterize the active sub-networks during training.
result The neural path kernel associated with NPFs is a fundamental quantity that characterizes the information stored in the gates of a DNN.

New method uses neural networks for optimal stopping time problems.

problem Optimal stopping time problems in high-dimensional financial models.
method Neural networks and randomisation of discrete variables for direct policy modeling.
result Success in pricing high-dimensional American and swing options.

There are non-vanishing price responses across different stocks in correlated financial markets. We further study this issue by performing different averages, which identify active and passive cross-responses. The two average cross-responses show different characteristic dependences on the time lag. The passive cross-r…

2016-03-04abs ↗pdf ↗