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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for random volumes

Study on volumes of random inscribed polytopes in projective geometries.

problem Estimating volumes of random inscribed polytopes in projective geometries.
method Central limit theorems and normal approximation for volumes and dual volumes of random inscribed polytopes.
result Established central limit theorems and normal approximation for volumes and dual volumes of random inscribed polytopes.

Markowitz simplified portfolio returns assuming constant trade volumes.

problem Understanding portfolio returns and variance in markets with variable trade volumes.
method Investor observes market trades, models portfolio as single security, derives portfolio return and variance.
result Markowitz's equation for portfolio returns and variance is a simplified approximation of real markets with constant trade volumes.

We prove a law of large numbers for the volumes of families of random hyperbolic mapping tori and Heegaard splittings providing a sharp answer to a conjecture of Dunfield and Thurston.

2019-05-13abs ↗pdf ↗

We describe a model of random links based on random 4-valent maps, which can be sampled due to the work of Schaeffer. We will look at the relationship between the combinatorial information in the diagram and the hyperbolic volume. Specifically, we show that for random alternating diagrams, the expected hyperbolic volum…

2016-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper sets limits on the accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts based on statistical moments and trade volumes.

problem Uncertainty in predicting macroeconomic variables like prices and returns.
method Defines theoretical lower bounds of uncertainty and upper limits on forecast accuracy based on statistical moments and trade volumes.
result Accuracy of forecasts of probabilities of macroeconomic variables doesn't exceed Gaussian approximations.

Study on length spectrum of random hyperbolic 3-manifolds.

problem Understanding the length spectrum of random hyperbolic 3-manifolds.
method Modeling random hyperbolic 3-manifolds using truncated tetrahedra and analyzing their length spectrum as volume tends to infinity.
result The length spectrum converges in distribution to a Poisson point process with a computable intensity λ as volume increases.

Market-based asset price probability depends on trade volumes and values, improving forecasts and reliability.

problem Limited accuracy of frequency-based asset price statistical moments.
method Derive market-based variance and 3rd statistical moment from trade values and volumes, accounting for trade volume randomness.
result Market-based statistical moments improve price probability forecasts and reliability.

We study the volume distribution of nodal domains of random band-limited functions on generic manifolds, and find that in the high energy limit a typical instance obeys a deterministic universal law, independent of the manifold. Some of the basic qualitative properties of this law, such as its support, monotonicity and…

2016-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper examines how market trade values and volumes affect price autocorrelation.

problem Understanding the impact of market trade values and volumes on price autocorrelation.
method Derives the dependence of price statistical moments and volatility on trade values and volumes, and assesses statistical moments and correlations by conventional frequency-based probabilities.
result Highlights the impact of market trade randomness on price statistical moments and autocorrelation.

Consider a d×dd\times d matrix MM whose rows are independent centered non-degenerate Gaussian vectors ξ1,...,ξdξ_1,...,ξ_d with covariance matrices Σ1,...,ΣdΣ_1,...,Σ_d. Denote by Ei\mathcal{E}_i the location-dispersion ellipsoid of ξi:Ei=xRd:xΣi1x1ξ_i:\mathcal{E}_i={\mathbf{x}\in\mathbb{R}^d : \mathbf{x}^\topΣ_i^{-1} \mathbf{x}\leqslant1}. We sh…

2012-06-02abs ↗pdf ↗

New method calculates Ricci curvature from distances between weighted volumes.

problem Calculating Ricci curvature for weighted Riemannian manifolds.
method Asymptotic retrieval of generalized Ricci tensor from scaled metric derivatives of Wasserstein 1-distances.
result Limiting coarse curvature of random graphs converges to generalized Ricci tensor.

Market-based portfolio variance measures risks using trade data.

problem Measuring portfolio risks using traditional methods ignores trade volume randomness.
method Uses time series of trades with securities and portfolio to assess variance.
result Portfolio variance can be decomposed into securities' contributions, accounting for trade volume randomness.

Study of large-nn asymptotics for Weil-Petersson volumes of hyperbolic surfaces with cusps.

problem Understanding the geometry and spectral properties of random hyperbolic surfaces with many cusps.
method Large-nn asymptotic analysis, spectral theory, and moduli space volumes.
result Linear number of small Laplacian eigenvalues and relative frequency of simple vs. non-simple closed geodesics.

We prove Poisson approximation results for the bottom part of the length spectrum of a random closed hyperbolic surface of large genus. Here, a random hyperbolic surface is a surface picked at random using the Weil-Petersson volume form on the corresponding moduli space. As an application of our result, we compute the …

2017-10-26abs ↗pdf ↗

We generalize the recently discovered relationship between JT gravity and double-scaled random matrix theory to the case that the boundary theory may have time-reversal symmetry and may have fermions with or without supersymmetry. The matching between variants of JT gravity and matrix ensembles depends on the assumed s…

2019-07-07abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper calculates large genus limits for quadratic differential volumes and constants.

problem Large genus asymptotics for intersection numbers and principal strata volumes of quadratic differentials.
method Combining recursive relations (Virasoro constraints) and asymmetric simple random walk jump probabilities.
result Confirm predictions about Masur-Veech volumes and area Siegel-Veech constants.

The paper finds lower bounds for volumes of complex geometric structures.

problem Estimating the volume of complex geometric structures.
method Reduction to a counting problem in the unit tangent bundle, solved using exponential multiple mixing for the geodesic flow.
result First known lower bound for the volume of these manifolds in terms of curve length.

Interesting data often concentrate on low dimensional smooth manifolds inside a high dimensional ambient space. Random projections are a simple, powerful tool for dimensionality reduction of such data. Previous works have studied bounds on how many projections are needed to accurately preserve the geometry of these man…

2016-07-14abs ↗pdf ↗

On a sub-Riemannian manifold we define two type of Laplacians. The \emph{macroscopic Laplacian} ΔωΔ_ω, as the divergence of the horizontal gradient, once a volume ωω is fixed, and the \emph{microscopic Laplacian}, as the operator associated with a sequence of geodesic random walks. We consider a general class of rando…

2015-03-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Software finds ideal polyhedra with rational dihedral angles and volume maxima.

problem Finding ideal convex polyhedra with maximal volume in hyperbolic 3-space.
method Rivin's variational characterization and combinatorial optimization algorithms.
result Maximal volume ideal polyhedra have dihedral angles that are rational multiples of π.

New volume functions for random hyperbolic surfaces link to spectral gaps.

problem Analyzing spectral gaps in random hyperbolic surfaces.
method Introduced new volume functions VgT(l)V_g^T(l), derived their asymptotic expansions, and linked them to spectral gaps.
result Coefficients in the asymptotic expansion of VgT(l)V_g^T(l) are Friedman-Ramanujan functions.

The study examines how market trade randomness influences price and return volatility.

problem The accuracy of predicting market-based volatilities and macroeconomic variables is limited.
method Analyzes time series of trade values and volumes, and develops econometric methodologies for predicting volatilities.
result Current macroeconomic models underestimate the accuracy of predicting market-based volatilities and macroeconomic variables.

A bijection proves a polynomial volume for genus-0 hyperbolic surfaces with boundaries.

problem Proving the Weil-Petersson volume polynomial in boundary lengths for genus-0 surfaces.
method Generalizing a tree bijection to handle geodesic boundaries, extending spine construction.
result Explicit formula for three-point function in Weil-Petersson random surfaces.

Study on variance of Laplace eigenfunctions on manifolds.

problem Investigating the variance of Laplace eigenfunctions on compact manifolds.
method Combining Kac-Rice formula, Wiener-Itô chaos decompositions, and pointwise Weyl law analysis.
result Established a quantitative bound for the fluctuations of nodal volumes, improving existing results.

We introduce Gaussian-type measures on the manifold of all metrics with a fixed volume form on a compact Riemannian manifold of dimension 3\geq 3. For this random model we compute the characteristic function for the L2L^2 (Ebin) distance to the reference metric. In the Appendix, we study Lipschitz-type distance betwee…

2013-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

We empirically analyze the price and liquidity responses to trade signs, traded volumes and signed traded volumes. Utilizing the singular value decomposition, we explore the interconnections of price responses and of liquidity responses across the whole market. The statistical characteristics of their singular vectors …

2017-11-21abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a model for price formation in financial markets based on clearing of a standard call auction with random orders, and verify its validity for prediction of the daily closing price distribution statistically. The model considers random buy and sell orders, placed following demand- and supply-side valuation di…

2019-04-16abs ↗pdf ↗

New chaos formula simplifies variance calculation for Gaussian nodal volumes.

problem Analyzing the variance of Gaussian nodal volumes on Riemannian manifolds.
method Explicit Wiener-Itô chaos decomposition, reducing complexity from 2+2n2+2n to 4 Hermite polynomials.
result New exact formula for variance and bounds, valid for arbitrary manifolds.

The problem of determining the volume of a tubular neighbourhood has a long and rich history. Bounds on the volume of neighbourhoods of algebraic sets have turned out to play an important role in the probabilistic analysis of condition numbers in numerical analysis. We present a self-contained derivation of bounds on t…

2012-10-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Characterizes nodal volumes of Gaussian fields on manifolds, extending previous work.

problem Understanding the law and regularity of nodal volumes for Gaussian fields on manifolds.
method Gaussian measures, Morse theory, Malliavin-Sobolev spaces, ray absolute continuity.
result Extension and generalization of previous work on stationary fields to arbitrary dimensions.

Study on systole of random hyperbolic 3-manifolds, proving limit exists and calculating it.

problem Understanding the systole of random hyperbolic 3-manifolds.
method Modeling random hyperbolic 3-manifolds using truncated tetrahedra, calculating expected systole limit as volume increases.
result Closed formula and numerical approximation for the limit of the expected systole as volume tends to infinity.

The immense amount of daily generated and communicated data presents unique challenges in their processing. Clustering, the grouping of data without the presence of ground-truth labels, is an important tool for drawing inferences from data. Subspace clustering (SC) is a relatively recent method that is able to successf…

2017-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗

The call auction is a widely used trading mechanism, especially during the opening and closing periods of financial markets. In this paper, we study a standard call auction problem where orders are submitted according to Poisson processes, with random prices distributed according to a general distribution, and may be c…

2014-07-16abs ↗pdf ↗