We develop constructions for exchangeable sequences of point processes that are rendered conditionally-i.i.d. negative binomial processes by a (possibly unknown) random measure called the base measure. Negative binomial processes are useful in Bayesian nonparametrics as models for random multisets, and in applications …
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,657 papers · 148 categories
Trend · papers per month
48 results for “random processes”
Several important families of computational and statistical results in machine learning and randomized algorithms rely on uniform bounds on quadratic forms of random vectors or matrices. Such results include the Johnson-Lindenstrauss (J-L) Lemma, the Restricted Isometry Property (RIP), randomized sketching algorithms, …
This brief manuscript provides an introduction to Lévy processes and their applications in finance as the random process that drives asset models. Characteristic functions and random variable generators of popular Lévy processes are presented in R.
New self-exciting random evolutions (SEREs) for modeling traffic and transport processes.
problem Modeling self-exciting and clustering effects in traffic and transport processes.
method Introducing a new process based on a superposition of a Markov chain and a Hawkes process, and constructing self-exciting random evolutions (SEREs).
result Developed new models and limit theorems for SEREs, including averaging and diffusion approximation.
Geodesic walks converge to Brownian motion on Finsler manifolds.
problem Understanding random walks on Finsler manifolds.
method Analyzing convergence of geodesic random walks to diffusion processes.
result The Brownian motion on a Riemannian metric is a key result.
Gaussian processes are the leading class of distributions on random functions, but they suffer from well known issues including difficulty scaling and inflexibility with respect to certain shape constraints (such as nonnegativity). Here we propose Deep Random Splines, a flexible class of random functions obtained by tr…
We derive Gaussian approximations for random forest predictions using region-based stabilization.
problem Improving the accuracy of random forest predictions for Poisson process data.
method Region-based stabilization and Malliavin-Stein method for multivariate Gaussian approximation.
result Established Gaussian approximation bounds for random forest predictions under Poisson process.
Proposes FairRR to improve fairness in machine learning models through randomized response.
problem Achieving group fairness in machine learning models.
method Formulates group fairness as optimizing a design matrix in Randomized Response, proposing FairRR.
result Demonstrates FairRR yields excellent model utility and fairness.
Random neural networks with ReLU activations are non-Gaussian processes.
problem Understanding the behavior of neural networks with random initialization and rectified linear units.
method Proving these networks are non-Gaussian processes and deriving their properties.
result These networks can converge to non-Gaussian processes under certain conditions.
A new method for efficient nonlinear process monitoring using random Bernoulli features.
problem High computational demands and real-time responsiveness in online monitoring systems.
method Random Bernoulli principal component analysis to capture nonlinear patterns efficiently.
result The proposed methods offer excellent scalability and reduced computational complexity.
We develop a probabilistic framework for sequential random projection.
problem Challenges of sequential decision-making under uncertainty.
method Novel construction of a stopped process and method of mixtures.
result Achieved a non-asymptotic probability bound for random projection.
FastForest boosts Random Forest speed by 24%.
problem Efficiency in processing speed for Random Forest.
method Subsample Aggregating, Logarithmic Split-Point Sampling, Dynamic Restricted Subspacing.
result Average 24% increase in processing speed with accuracy maintained.
Study of lengths of cycles in large genus random maps converging to Poisson process.
problem Understanding the distribution of cycle lengths in large genus random maps.
method Teichmüller theory approach for uniformly random metric maps (ribbon graphs).
result The length spectrum converges to a Poisson point process with an explicit intensity as genus tends to infinity.
We consider the symmetric exclusion process on suitable random grids that approximate a compact Riemannian manifold. We prove that a class of random walks on these random grids converge to Brownian motion on the manifold. We then consider the empirical density field of the symmetric exclusion process and prove that it …
Abstract: Nonlinear random walk with distributionally robust transition probabilities.
problem Modeling nonlinear random walks with robust transition probabilities.
method Scaling limit and nonlinear semigroup approach.
result Explicit computation of the generator and corresponding PDE.
Data-driven methods link graphon limits to random walks and spectral clustering.
problem Clustering signals evolving over time with graphon limits.
method Transfer operators, Koopman and Perron-Frobenius, for estimating graphon from signal data.
result Spectral clustering can be extended to graphons, reconstructing transition densities and graphons.
The paper analyzes and mitigates biases in scalable Gaussian Process methods.
problem Modeling biases in scalable Gaussian Process methods.
method Randomized truncation estimators to eliminate bias in exchange for increased variance.
result Randomized truncation estimators meaningfully outperform biased counterparts with minimal additional computation.
Random Tessellation Forestsstat.ML
Space partitioning methods such as random forests and the Mondrian process are powerful machine learning methods for multi-dimensional and relational data, and are based on recursively cutting a domain. The flexibility of these methods is often limited by the requirement that the cuts be axis aligned. The Ostomachion p…
Constructive Approximation of Random Process via Stochastic Interpolation Neural Network Operatorsstat.ML
Paper develops SINNOs for approximating stochastic processes.
problem Approximating stochastic processes with neural networks.
method Developed stochastic interpolation neural network operators (SINNOs) with random coefficients.
result Established boundedness, interpolation accuracy, and approximation capabilities of SINNOs.
Paper reinterprets majorizing measure theorem in terms of coding theory.
problem Understanding boundedness of random processes.
method Information-theoretic perspective using variable-length codes.
result Boundedness of random processes linked to efficient coding.
Correlated Random Measuresstat.ML
We develop correlated random measures, random measures where the atom weights can exhibit a flexible pattern of dependence, and use them to develop powerful hierarchical Bayesian nonparametric models. Hierarchical Bayesian nonparametric models are usually built from completely random measures, a Poisson-process based c…
Novel framework for spatio-temporal event analysis using Hawkes processes.
problem Inference of dynamics in spatio-temporal event sequences.
method Randomized Fourier feature-based transformations and gradient descent.
result Improved fitting capability in synthetic and real datasets.
In this work, we propose the kernel Pitman-Yor process (KPYP) for nonparametric clustering of data with general spatial or temporal interdependencies. The KPYP is constructed by first introducing an infinite sequence of random locations. Then, based on the stick-breaking construction of the Pitman-Yor process, we defin…
New random forest method provides optimal rates and confidence bands.
problem Improving random forest regression rates and constructing confidence bands.
method Proposed Ehrenfest centered purely random forests achieve optimal rates; used Gaussian approximation for supremum of empirical processes.
result Explicit asymptotic uniform confidence bands constructed for both random forest types.
Bayesian nonparametric approaches, in particular the Pitman-Yor process and the associated two-parameter Chinese Restaurant process, have been successfully used in applications where the data exhibit a power-law behavior. Examples include natural language processing, natural images or networks. There is also growing em…
New method for ancestral inference in branching processes with random environments.
problem Determining ancestor distribution parameters in branching processes with random environments.
method Generalized method of moments for ancestral inference.
result Limiting distribution of ancestor and offspring estimators decouple and converge to independent Gaussian variables under certain conditions.
Given a graph embedded in an orientable surface, a process consisting of random excitations and random node and face balancing is constructed and analyzed. It is shown that given a priori bounds g' on the genus and n' on the number of nodes, one can determine the genus of the surface from local observations of the proc…
LightOn OPUs accelerate randomized numerical linear algebra, reducing computational costs.
problem Computational bottleneck in randomization step for large-scale linear algebra.
method Near constant-time linear random projections from LightOn OPUs.
result Significant acceleration of RandNLA algorithms with negligible precision loss.
New insights into tail behavior of heavy-tailed random vectors and processes.
problem Understanding tail behavior of aggregates of heavy-tailed random vectors.
method Analyzing multivariate regularly varying random vectors and Lévy processes.
result More than one large jump can determine tail behavior of aggregates.
Theoretical study of random forests for nonlinear time series.
problem Theoretical justification for using random forests in time series modeling.
method Uniform concentration inequality for regression trees and random forests consistency proof.
result Consistency of random forests for nonlinear autoregressive processes.
GCQRF predicts survival quantiles without linearity assumptions.
problem Survival analysis with right censoring and nonlinearity.
method Global Censored Quantile Random Forest (GCQRF) for complex relationships.
result GCQRF outperforms existing methods in predictive accuracy.
A new non parametric approach to the problem of testing the independence of two random process is developed. The test statistic is the Hilbert Schmidt Independence Criterion (HSIC), which was used previously in testing independence for i.i.d pairs of variables. The asymptotic behaviour of HSIC is established when compu…
Effects of Randomness on Power Law Tails in Multiplicatively Interacting Stochastic Processescond-mat.stat-mech
Effects of randomness on non-integer power law tails in multiplicatively interacting stochastic processes are investigated theoretically. Generally, randomness causes decrease of the exponent of tails and the growth rate of processes. Explicit calculations are performed for two examples: uniformly distributed and two p…
We apply random matrix theory to derive spectral density of large sample covariance matrices generated by multivariate VMA(q), VAR(q) and VARMA(q1,q2) processes. In particular, we consider a limit where the number of random variables N and the number of consecutive time measurements T are large but the ratio N/T is fix…
Improved kernel ridge regression for large datasets using weighted random binning.
problem Efficiently approximating kernel matrices for large-scale datasets.
method Introduced weighted random binning features for locality sensitive hashing.
result Weighted random binning features generate Gaussian processes of any desired smoothness.
Proposes logistic-beta process for modeling dependent probabilities with beta marginals.
problem Limited work on flexible and computationally convenient stochastic process extensions for dependent random probabilities.
method Introduces logistic-beta process with logistic transformation and beta marginals, capable of modeling dependence in discrete and continuous domains.
result Logistic-beta processes enable effective posterior inference and design of computationally tractable dependent Bayesian nonparametric models.
Ensembles dynamic models using random feature approximations.
problem Online scalable Bayesian learning with dynamic models and ensembling.
method Random feature approximations and dynamic models using random walks.
result Better performance with alternative basis expansions like Hilbert space Gaussian processes.
Eigenvalue processes in light of Riemannian submersion and gradient flow of isospectral orbitsmath.PR
Unified treatment of eigenvalue processes using Riemannian geometry.
problem Eigenvalue processes in various settings.
method Riemannian submersion and gradient flow of isospectral orbits.
result Eigenvalue processes are projections of Brownian motion through Riemannian submersions.
Beta-Negative Binomial Process and Exchangeable Random Partitions for Mixed-Membership Modelingstat.ME
The beta-negative binomial process (BNBP), an integer-valued stochastic process, is employed to partition a count vector into a latent random count matrix. As the marginal probability distribution of the BNBP that governs the exchangeable random partitions of grouped data has not yet been developed, current inference f…
Study on length spectrum of random hyperbolic 3-manifolds.
problem Understanding the length spectrum of random hyperbolic 3-manifolds.
method Modeling random hyperbolic 3-manifolds using truncated tetrahedra and analyzing their length spectrum as volume tends to infinity.
result The length spectrum converges in distribution to a Poisson point process with a computable intensity λ as volume increases.
New high-order approximations for CIR process using random grids.
problem Approximating the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process with high order.
method Combining discretization schemes on different random grids.
result Weak approximations of order for all .
PCA for Point Processesmath.ST
A new PCA method for analyzing point processes.
problem Analyzing variability in replicated point processes.
method Functional Principal Component Analysis (fPCA) on cumulative mass functions.
result Established convergence and introduced principal measures.
Information Entropy of the Financial Market: Modelling Random Processes Using Open Quantum Systemsq-fin.MF
The financial market entropy is modeled using open quantum systems.
problem Understanding entropy in financial market dynamics.
method Using Open Quantum Systems to model entropy gain in financial markets.
result Interesting non-classical results generated by relaxing assumptions.
Development of metrics for structural data-generating mechanisms is fundamental in machine learning and the related fields. In this paper, we give a general framework to construct metrics on random nonlinear dynamical systems, defined with the Perron-Frobenius operators in vector-valued reproducing kernel Hilbert space…
New method for identifying graph shift operators using vertex-time autoregressive models.
problem Identifying graph shift operators from graph signals.
method Online optimization using vertex-time autoregressive model and stochastic gradient projection.
result Successful recovery of graph shift operators from graph signals.
Intensity Dot Product Graphsstat.ML
IDPGs extend RDPGs with a Poisson process for random latent positions.
problem Modeling randomness in latent positions for graph structure.
method Introduce IDPGs using Poisson point processes on latent Euclidean space.
result Continuous analogues of adjacency matrices link latent structure to observed graphs.
Volatility smile and stochastic arbitrage returnscond-mat.other
The purpose of this work is to explore the role that random arbitrage opportunities play in pricing financial derivatives. We use a non-equilibrium model to set up a stochastic portfolio, and for the random arbitrage return, we choose a stationary ergodic random process rapidly varying in time. We exploit the fact that…
In this paper, we consider the sigmoid Gaussian Hawkes process model: the baseline intensity and triggering kernel of Hawkes process are both modeled as the sigmoid transformation of random trajectories drawn from Gaussian processes (GP). By introducing auxiliary latent random variables (branching structure, Pólya-Gamm…