The Lugannani-Rice formula is a saddlepoint approximation method for estimating the tail probability distribution function, which was originally studied for the sum of independent identically distributed random variables. Because of its tractability, the formula is now widely used in practical financial engineering as …
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48 results for “random formulas”
Algorithm learns CNF formulas from random solutions under specific conditions.
problem Learning a CNF formula from uniform random solutions.
method Revisits Valiant's algorithm and applies Lovász local lemma conditions.
result Significantly reduces sample complexity for learning CNFs.
We study random knots and links in R^3 using the Petaluma model, which is based on the petal projections developed by Adams et al. (2012). In this model we obtain a formula for the distribution of the linking number of a random two-component link. We also obtain formulas for the expectations and the higher moments of t…
We extend Kac-Rice formula to compute expected intersections of random submanifolds.
problem Computing expected intersections of random submanifolds.
method Generalized Kac-Rice formula using measure theory and integration.
result Formula computes expected cardinality of preimages of submanifolds via random maps.
Formula for integrating random variables on hyperbolic surfaces.
problem Integrating random variables on the moduli space of hyperbolic surfaces.
method Integration formula for lengths of closed geodesics.
result Integral of geometric random variables can be expressed as an integral over R.
Knot probabilities in equilateral random polygonscond-mat.stat-mech
Study reveals a universal formula for knotting in random equilateral polygons.
problem Probability of knotting in equilateral random polygons.
method Extensive Monte Carlo simulations with improved algorithms and knot invariants.
result A universal scaling formula for knotting probability with number of edges, involving exponential and power law factors.
Random Differential Topologymath.DG
The study of topological properties of random smooth maps, focusing on Kac-Rice formula and Betti numbers.
problem Topological and geometric properties of random smooth maps.
method Developed a general framework for differential geometric and topological issues of smooth Gaussian Random Fields, generalized Kac-Rice formula, applied to Kostlan random polynomials, and proved an original theorem in Differential Topology.
result The Betti numbers of the solution of a system of regular equations cannot decrease under a -small perturbation of the equations.
Estimates the probability of a random symmetric tensor being close to rank-one.
problem Estimating the probability of a random symmetric tensor being close to rank-one.
method Using Weyl's tube formula and techniques from Random Matrix theory, we study metric invariants of the real Veronese variety.
result Explicit formula for the reach and curvature coefficients of the real Veronese variety with respect to the Bombieri-Weyl metric.
Dividend discount models have been developed in a deterministic setting. Some authors (Hurley and Johnson, 1994 and 1998; Yao, 1997) have introduced randomness in terms of stochastic growth rates, delivering closed-form expressions for the expected value of stock prices. This paper extends such previous results by dete…
Formula found for probability of random triangles on flat tori being homotopically trivial.
problem Calculating the probability of random triangles on flat tori being homotopically trivial.
method Reduced problem to new invariant of measurable sets in the plane unchanged by area-preserving affine transformations.
result Probability is minimized on rectangular tori and maximized on regular hexagonal tori.
Pricing Exchange Rate Options and Quanto Caps in the Cross-Currency Random Field LIBOR Market Modelq-fin.PR
Develops a new model for cross-currency derivatives pricing.
problem Pricing cross-currency derivatives in a complex market model.
method Introduces a random field LIBOR market model to handle uncertainty in forward LIBOR rates.
result Derives exact and approximate pricing formulas for various derivatives.
Extends RL to random stopping times, improving optimization.
problem Real-world applications with random stopping times.
method Extended RL framework to random stopping times, derived new formulas.
result Improves optimization convergence with new formulas.
Efficient inverse -transform and pricing barrier and lookback options with discrete monitoringmath.NA
The paper derives formulas for option pricing and random walk expectations.
problem Calculating the price of barrier and lookback options.
method Inverse Z-transform, Fourier/Laplace inversion, Wiener-Hopf factorization, and numerical methods.
result Efficient numerical methods for option pricing are developed.
Study on spin random fields using chaos decomposition for cosmic microwave background modeling.
problem Modeling polarization of Cosmic Microwave Background using spin random fields.
method Explicit Wiener-Itô chaos decomposition of area measures of level sets.
result Reveals a clear difference between high frequency regime and zero spin case.
We use the Chebyshev knot diagram model of Koseleff and Pecker in order to introduce a random knot diagram model by assigning the crossings to be positive or negative uniformly at random. We give a formula for the probability of choosing a knot at random among all knots with bridge index at most 2. Restricted to this c…
This work estimates edge weights of edge-reinforced random walks using observed data.
problem Statistical estimation of edge weights in edge-reinforced random walks.
method Proposes an estimator based on the generalized method of moments using the magic formula and hyperbolic Gaussian structure.
result Analyzes the sample complexity of the proposed estimator.
Study of random multicurves and square-tiled surfaces on large genus surfaces.
problem Understanding the geometry and combinatorial properties of random multicurves and square-tiled surfaces on surfaces of large genus.
method Combination of combinatorial and geometric analysis, including large genus asymptotic analysis of moduli space volumes and intersection numbers.
result Random multicurves and square-tiled surfaces have well-approximated properties by random permutations, with specific expected values.
We prove a Chern-Lashof type formula computing the expected number of critical points of smooth function on a smooth manifold randomly chosen from a finite dimensional subspace equipped with a Gaussian probability measure. We then use this formula this formula to find the asymptotics of the e…
Super-hedging-pricing formulas and Immediate-Profit arbitrage for market models under random horizonq-fin.MF
The paper develops formulas for hedging and arbitrage in markets with random stopping times.
problem Developing pricing formulas for assets in markets with random stopping times.
method Modeling market with random stopping time, analyzing conditional essential supremum, and describing super-hedging prices.
result Explicit formulas for super-hedging prices and Immediate-Profit arbitrage are derived.
New formula refutes random CSPs with fewer constraints.
problem Refuting random constraint satisfaction problems efficiently.
method Introduced a non-backtracking matrix and proved an Ihara-Bass formula.
result Efficiently refutes random CSPs with fewer constraints.
Paper offers a simple CDS approximation formula with high accuracy.
problem Lack of CDS levels for market appreciation of companies' default risk.
method Developed a global and transparent Equity-to-Credit (E2C) formula using random forest regression.
result Random forest regression with E2C formula achieves 87.3% out-of-sample accuracy in CDS approximations.
Study on random hyperbolic surfaces with many cusps, focusing on tight geodesics.
problem Understanding length statistics of geodesics on random hyperbolic surfaces with cusps.
method Recursion formula for tight Weil-Petersson volumes and generalization of Mirzakhani's integration formula.
result Recovery of Poisson point process in large genus limit for length statistics of tight geodesics.
Eigenvalues of random hyperbolic surface covers converge to hyperbolic plane's.
problem Eigenvalue rigidity of random hyperbolic surface covers.
method Selberg trace formula and polynomial method.
result Distribution of eigenvalues converges to hyperbolic plane's spectral measure.
Two formulae estimate sensitivity of random vectors to distributional parameters.
problem Estimating sensitivity of random vectors to distributional parameters.
method Two analytical formulae and four numerical algorithms.
result Validated numerical algorithms and demonstrated effectiveness.
New formulas derived for variance gamma model option pricing.
problem Option pricing for the variance gamma model.
method Combining randomization method and fractional derivatives.
result Closed-form formulas for European options.
Study on deep neural networks using branching processes and Mehler's formula.
problem Understanding the mathematical role of activation functions in compositional neural networks.
method Connection between compositional kernels and branching processes via Mehler's formula; new random features algorithm.
result Explicit formulas for eigenvalues of compositional kernels quantify complexity.
Develops calculus for random submanifolds using zonoids.
problem Calculating properties of random submanifolds defined by zero sets of vector fields.
method Defines zonoid sections and uses them to compute expected volumes and currents.
result Establishes new inequalities and formulas for random submanifolds.
We study multiple defaults where the global market information is modelled as progressive enlargement of filtrations. We shall provide a general pricing formula by establishing a relationship between the enlarged filtration and the reference default-free filtration in the random measure framework. On each default scena…
Formula removes geometric patterns from random hyperbolic surfaces.
problem Conditioning on tangle-free surfaces to avoid rare geometric patterns.
method Developed a Moebius inversion formula to integrate tangle-free surfaces.
result Significantly reduces the number of local topological types of short geodesics.
On random surface areamath.PR
Consider a random smooth Gaussian field , where is a compact in . We derive a formula for average area of a surface generated by the equation and give some applications. As an auxiliary result we obtain an integral expression for area of a surface induced by zeros of a \e…
A version of indifference valuation of a European call option is proposed that includes statistical regularities of nonstochastic randomness. Classical relations (forward contract value and Black-Scholes formula) are obtained as particular cases. We show that in the general case of nonstochastic randomness the minimal …
We show that integration over a -manifold can be reduced to integration over a minimal section with respect to an induced weighted measure and integration over a homogeneous space . We relate our formula to integration formulae for polar actions and calculate some weight functions. In case of a compact …
Optimal hedging in discrete timeq-fin.PR
Building on the work of Schweizer (1995) and Cern and Kallseny (2007), we present discrete time formulas minimizing the mean square hedging error for multidimensional assets. In particular, we give explicit formulas when a regime-switching random walk or a GARCH-type process is utilized to model the returns. Monte Carl…
We give an asymptotic probabilistic real Riemann-Hurwitz formula computing the expected real ramification index of a random covering over the Riemann sphere. More generally, we study the asymptotic expected number and distribution of critical points of a random real Lefschetz pencil over a smooth real algebraic variety…
A spectral mixture representation of isotropic kernels with application to random Fourier featurescs.LG
New spectral mixture representation for isotropic kernels simplifies random Fourier features.
problem Applying Random Fourier Features to complex kernels.
method Decompose isotropic kernels into scale mixtures of α-stable random vectors.
result Constructive spectral sampling formula for various kernels.
Study on critical points in random neural networks, revealing three regimes based on activation function.
problem Investigating the expected number of critical points in random neural networks.
method Deriving asymptotic formulas for critical points under infinite-width limit and suitable regularity conditions.
result Three distinct regimes of critical points behavior depending on activation function.
Random simple closed curves map Teichmüller space to geodesic currents.
problem Mapping Teichmüller space to geodesic currents.
method Using a formula for intersection numbers of multicurves and Dehn coordinates.
result Proper embedding of Teichmüller space into the space of geodesic currents.
In a previous work, the first and third authors studied a random knot model for all two-bridge knots using billiard table diagrams. Here we present a closed formula for the distribution of the crossing numbers of such random knots. We also show that the probability of any given knot appearing in this model decays to ze…
Formula for critical points of chi fields on manifolds.
problem Computing critical points of chi fields on general manifolds.
method Semi-analytic formula using Kac-Rice argument and Hessian matrix representation.
result Expression for expected value of critical points in high-threshold limit.
Study on Gaussian random fields' singularities on manifolds.
problem Understanding singularities of Gaussian random fields on manifolds.
method Computed expected values of singularities under various conditions.
result Explicit formulae for singularities under different constraints.
An explicit martingale representation for random variables described as a functional of a Levy process will be given. The Clark-Ocone theorem shows that integrands appeared in a martingale representation are given by conditional expectations of Malliavin derivatives. Our goal is to extend it to random variables which a…
Improves efficiency of random feature approximations for dot product kernels.
problem Efficiency of random feature approximations for dot product kernels.
method Generalization of existing random feature approximations using complex-valued random features, theoretical analysis of variances, data-driven optimization approach.
result Complex-valued random features can significantly reduce the variances of approximations.
The study examines Fisher information matrices and neural tangent kernels for simple ReLU networks with random weights.
problem Understanding the relationship between Fisher information matrices and neural tangent kernels for 2-layer ReLU networks.
method Analyzes Fisher information matrices and neural tangent kernels for 2-layer ReLU networks with random hidden weights, focusing on spectral decomposition and eigenfunctions.
result Obtained an approximation formula for functions represented by 2-layer neural networks.
This paper explores how boolean formulas can be learned by deep neural networks.
problem Understanding the learnability of boolean formulas by deep neural networks.
method Analysis of boolean formulas associated with model-sampling benchmarks, combinatorial optimization problems, and random 3-CNFs.
result Neural networks outperform rule-based systems and pure symbolic approaches in learning boolean formulas.
We investigate the distribution of lengths obtained by intersecting a random geodesic with a geodesic lamination. We give an explicit formula for the distribution for the case of a maximal lamination and show that the distribution is independent of the surface and lamination. We also show how the moments of the distrib…
Study on systole of random hyperbolic 3-manifolds, proving limit exists and calculating it.
problem Understanding the systole of random hyperbolic 3-manifolds.
method Modeling random hyperbolic 3-manifolds using truncated tetrahedra, calculating expected systole limit as volume increases.
result Closed formula and numerical approximation for the limit of the expected systole as volume tends to infinity.
We prove that a Gaussian ensemble of smooth random sections of a real vector bundle over compact manifold canonically defines a metric on the bundle together with a connection compatible with it. Additionally, we prove a refined Gauss-Bonnet-Chern theorem stating that if the bundle and the manifold are oriented, then t…
Extends CRR model with q-binomial random walks for asset pricing.
problem Asset pricing with time-varying probabilities and trend parameters.
method Introduces a q-binomial extension of the CRR model with non-self-similar binomial trees.
result Convergence to Black-Scholes formula with rate O(N^(-1/2)).