We describe the first known mean-field study of landing probabilities for random walks on hypergraphs. In particular, we examine clique-expansion and tensor methods and evaluate their mean-field characteristics over a class of random hypergraph models for the purpose of seed-set community expansion. We describe paramet…
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
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Multivariate splines linked to infinitely-wide neural networks with improved numerical performance.
Random walks on free groups reveal asymmetric expansion factors.
Recently, the binary expansion testing framework was introduced to test the independence of two continuous random variables by utilizing symmetry statistics that are complete sufficient statistics for dependence. We develop a new test based on an ensemble approach that uses the sum of squared symmetry statistics and di…
Sparse random features improve accuracy in data-scarce settings.
Linear statistics of random zero sets are integrals of smooth differential forms over the zero set and as such are smooth analogues of the volume of the random zero set inside a fixed domain. We derive an asymptotic expansion for the variance of linear statistics of the zero divisors of random holomorphic sections of p…
Study on random representations of surface groups into SU(n), focusing on asymptotic expansions.
Ensembles dynamic models using random feature approximations.
The study improves volatility model pricing accuracy with new statistical expansions.
Probabilistic model for exhaustion in infinite-genus curve complexes.
We provide a theoretical foundation for non-parametric estimation of functions of random variables using kernel mean embeddings. We show that for any continuous function , consistent estimators of the mean embedding of a random variable lead to consistent estimators of the mean embedding of . For Matérn ke…
We investigate the analogy between the large N expansion in normal matrix models and the asymptotic expansion of the determinant of the Hilb map, appearing in the study of critical metrics on complex manifolds via projective embeddings. This analogy helps to understand the geometric meaning of the expansion of matrix m…
Neural networks solve SPDEs using Wiener chaos expansion.
New sampling method for Heston model reduces complexity.
HARFE approximates sparse additive functions using random features and ridge regression.
RSHT algorithm simplifies complex shapes to points.
We introduce closed-form transition density expansions for multivariate affine jump-diffusion processes. The expansions rely on a general approximation theory which we develop in weighted Hilbert spaces for random variables which possess all polynomial moments. We establish parametric conditions which guarantee existen…
Geometric quantization results for Riemann surfaces with semi-positive line bundles.
Enhances random forest performance with exogenous randomness.
In graph theory there are intimate connections between the expansion properties of a graph and the spectrum of its Laplacian. In this paper we define a notion of combinatorial expansion for simplicial complexes of general dimension, and prove that similar connections exist between the combinatorial expansion of a compl…
Paper tackles high-order inference in structured prediction tasks.
Bayesian inference for wide neural networks using Edgeworth expansion.
New volume functions for random hyperbolic surfaces link to spectral gaps.
Maximal concentration bounds for stochastic approximation with heavy-tailed noise.
AL-SPCE improves reliability analysis for complex systems with active learning and SPCE.
Study Nash equilibrium in mean field portfolio games with random market parameters.
Measurements of cosmic microwave background (CMB) anisotropy are ideal experiments for discovering the non-trivial global topology of the universe. To evaluate the CMB anisotropy in multiply-connected compact cosmological models, one needs to compute the eigenmodes of the Laplace-Beltrami operator. Using the direct bou…
The composition of multiple Gaussian Processes as a Deep Gaussian Process (DGP) enables a deep probabilistic nonparametric approach to flexibly tackle complex machine learning problems with sound quantification of uncertainty. Existing inference approaches for DGP models have limited scalability and are notoriously cum…
The paper studies the distribution of random degeneracy sets on complex manifolds.
We consider first order expansions of convex penalized estimators in high-dimensional regression problems with random designs. Our setting includes linear regression and logistic regression as special cases. For a given penalty function and the corresponding penalized estimator , we construct a quantity ,…
The challenges for non-intrusive methods for Polynomial Chaos modeling lie in the computational efficiency and accuracy under a limited number of model simulations. These challenges can be addressed by enforcing sparsity in the series representation through retaining only the most important basis terms. In this work, w…
Improved surrogate model for field-valued QoIs using LF and HF simulations.
The Lugannani-Rice formula is a saddlepoint approximation method for estimating the tail probability distribution function, which was originally studied for the sum of independent identically distributed random variables. Because of its tractability, the formula is now widely used in practical financial engineering as …
Neural Chaos uses neural networks instead of polynomials for stochastic modeling.
In this paper, we address the inverse problem, or the statistical machine learning problem, in Markov random fields with a non-parametric pair-wise energy function with continuous variables. The inverse problem is formulated by maximum likelihood estimation. The exact treatment of maximum likelihood estimation is intra…
Filters in a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) contain model parameters learned from enormous amounts of data. In this paper, we suggest to decompose convolutional filters in CNN as a truncated expansion with pre-fixed bases, namely the Decomposed Convolutional Filters network (DCFNet), where the expansion coefficient…
The paper solves the problem of fitting an ellipsoid to random points efficiently.
We show that kernel-based quadrature rules for computing integrals can be seen as a special case of random feature expansions for positive definite kernels, for a particular decomposition that always exists for such kernels. We provide a theoretical analysis of the number of required samples for a given approximation e…
New method uses sparse random features for crashworthiness analysis.
A new PCA method for analyzing point processes.
Study on zeros of Gaussian sections on semipositive line bundles on punctured Riemann surfaces.
Deep ReLU networks show that 4 layers suffice for unique input recovery.
We review the utility-based valuation method for pricing derivative securities in incomplete markets. In particular, we review the practical approach to the utility-based pricing by the means of computing the first order expansion of marginal utility-based prices with respect to a small number of random endowments.
This paper analyzes DONE, an online optimization algorithm that iteratively minimizes an unknown function based on costly and noisy measurements. The algorithm maintains a surrogate of the unknown function in the form of a random Fourier expansion (RFE). The surrogate is updated whenever a new measurement is available,…
BEGIN network models binary data without parametric assumptions.
We provide a direct proof of Cramér's theorem for geodesic random walks in a complete Riemannian manifold . We show how to exploit the vector space structure of the tangent spaces to study large deviation properties of geodesic random walks in . Furthermore, we reveal the geometric obstructions one runs into …
A new fast method simulates stochastic volatility models.
This work provides a semi-analytic approximation method for decoupled forwardbackward SDEs (FBSDEs) with jumps. In particular, we construct an asymptotic expansion method for FBSDEs driven by the random Poisson measures with σ-finite compensators as well as the standard Brownian motions around the small-variance limit …