Randomization is minimax-optimal for variance in experimental design, even with structure.
problem Designing optimal randomized experiments for variance minimization.
method Analyzing permutation symmetric and non-symmetric sets of outcomes, proposing inference-constrained MSOD.
result Randomization is minimax-optimal for variance, even with structure, and requires uniformity constraints for Fisher's exact test.
As integrated circuits have become progressively more complex, constrained random stimulus has become ubiquitous as a means of stimulating a designs functionality and ensuring it fully meets expectations. In theory, random stimulus allows all possible combinations to be exercised given enough time, but in practice with…
Short proof shows how ridge regression works with random data.
problem Understanding prediction error in ridge regression with random design.
method Combination of exchangeability arguments, matrix perturbation, and operator convexity.
result Elementary proof of prediction error without complex inequalities.
Analyzes biased random walks and corrupted intervals in adversarial settings.
problem Learning thresholds and intervals in adversarial conditions.
method Analyzes biased random walks and corrupted intervals under adversarial design.
result Analyzes the expected behavior of biased random walks and corrupted intervals.
Two-stage nonconvex algorithm and convex relaxation both achieve optimal accuracy in noisy blind deconvolution.
problem Solving bilinear systems of equations with random noise under different designs.
method Two-stage nonconvex algorithm and convex relaxation.
result Both methods achieve minimax-optimal accuracy in the presence of random noise.
We study signal recovery on graphs based on two sampling strategies: random sampling and experimentally designed sampling. We propose a new class of smooth graph signals, called approximately bandlimited, which generalizes the bandlimited class and is similar to the globally smooth class. We then propose two recovery s…
Designs for allocating resources to prioritize needy applicants while estimating treatment effects.
problem Resource allocation under uncertainty with prioritized queues.
method Priority-queue randomization for treatment assignment and estimation of treatment effects.
result Identification of causal effects under different arrival and treatment assignment scenarios.
New method designs fairer transport plans with uncertainty.
problem Designing fair and balanced mass transport plans.
method Hierarchical fully probabilistic design (HFPD) for transport plans.
result Optimal hyperprior for transport plans with uncertain marginals.
This paper explores and analyzes two randomized designs for robust Principal Component Analysis (PCA) employing low-dimensional data sketching. In one design, a data sketch is constructed using random column sampling followed by low dimensional embedding, while in the other, sketching is based on random column and row …
Unified algorithm for any p-norm experimental design problems.
problem Experimental design problems for various p-norm objectives. method Randomized local search approach for all p. result First approximation algorithm for general p-norm objective. This work gives a simultaneous analysis of both the ordinary least squares estimator and the ridge regression estimator in the random design setting under mild assumptions on the covariate/response distributions. In particular, the analysis provides sharp results on the ``out-of-sample'' prediction error, as opposed to…
Modern ML methods show unexpected behaviors that contradict classical statistics.
problem Modern machine learning methods exhibit behaviors at odds with classical statistical intuitions.
method Comparison between fixed and random design settings in ML and statistics.
result Moving from fixed to random designs reveals new insights into bias-variance tradeoffs and overfitting.
New framework minimizes interference and selection bias in network A/B testing.
problem Interference and selection bias in network A/B testing.
method Proposes a principled framework that jointly minimizes interference and selection bias using edge spillover probability and cluster matching.
result Significantly lower error in causal effect estimation compared to existing solutions.
SDRF estimates complex survey designs for conditional distributions.
problem Estimating conditional distributions under complex survey designs.
method Survey-calibrated distributional random forest (SDRF) with pseudo-population bootstrap and MMD split criterion.
result Established design consistency and model consistency for survey designs.
Sharp bounds on ERM's minimal error in regression.
problem Understanding ERM's performance in regression tasks.
method Sharp lower bounds for ERM in random and fixed design settings.
result ERM's performance depends on the global or local complexity of the model.
New algorithm converts data into sub-gaussian designs efficiently.
problem Efficiently converting large datasets into sub-gaussian random designs for robust performance.
method Algorithmic Gaussianization through sketching and averaging, using LESS embeddings.
result Efficient data sketches nearly indistinguishable from sub-gaussian designs.
Gradient estimation techniques applied to programs with randomness in high energy physics.
problem Differentiating programs with discrete randomness in high energy physics.
method Several gradient estimation techniques, including Stochastic AD method, applied to simplified detector design experiments.
result Development of the first fully differentiable branching program.
Proposes rounding method for precise treatment effect estimation under budget constraints.
problem Resource-constrained experimental design for precise treatment effect estimation.
method Dependent randomized rounding procedure to convert assignment probabilities into binary treatment decisions.
result Improved estimator precision through variance reduction and efficient inference.
The paper analyzes sparse high-dimensional linear regression with random design and unknown error variance, providing adaptiveness and concentration rates.
problem Sparse high-dimensional linear regression with random design and unknown error variance.
method Analysis of posterior concentration rates, employing techniques to address model misspecification.
result Adaptiveness and concentration rates of the posterior for sparse high-dimensional linear regression.
New study shows non-adaptive trials can be outperformed by adaptive designs in treatment selection.
problem Determining the best allocation of resources in clinical trials.
method Analysis of batched arm elimination designs and comparison with completely randomized trials.
result Simple adaptive designs universally and strictly dominate non-adaptive completely randomized trials for at least three treatment arms.
This paper introduces a new method for sampling copulas using GANs and space-filling designs.
problem Lack of feasible inference and sampling methods for copulas in high-dimensional situations.
method Generative adversarial networks (GANs) and space-filling designs.
result Significantly enhances sampling accuracy and computational efficiency compared to existing methods.
Reinforcement learning frameworks have introduced abstractions to implement and execute algorithms at scale. They assume standardized simulator interfaces but are not concerned with identifying suitable task representations. We present Wield, a first-of-its kind system to facilitate task design for practical reinforcem…
Study designs for estimating treatment effects in adaptive experiments.
problem Estimating treatment effects under adaptive treatment assignment.
method Propose and analyze IPW and AIPW estimators, establish CLTs under design stability.
result Central limit theorems for IPW and AIPW estimators under design stability.
The paper proposes a method to estimate treatment effects using CAR designs with additional covariates.
problem Estimating distributional treatment effects in CAR designs with additional covariates.
method Flexible distribution regression framework that incorporates additional covariates using machine learning methods.
result The proposed estimator attains the semiparametric efficiency bound for distributional treatment effects under CAR.
The paper tackles robust design selection for online experiments under uncertain interference mechanisms.
problem Designing experiments in ads, recommendations, and member-experience systems when interference mechanisms are unknown.
method Formulates the problem as robust design selection over uncertain exposure mechanisms. Compares designs by worst-case planning risk over an ambiguity set combining various factors.
result Develops a geometry-aware guarantee and robust selector theorem with excess-risk control, exact recovery under separation, and certified shortlists when the risk surface is flat.
We consider the problem of how to assign treatment in a randomized experiment, in which the correlation among the outcomes is informed by a network available pre-intervention. Working within the potential outcome causal framework, we develop a class of models that posit such a correlation structure among the outcomes. …
Double descent refers to the phase transition that is exhibited by the generalization error of unregularized learning models when varying the ratio between the number of parameters and the number of training samples. The recent success of highly over-parameterized machine learning models such as deep neural networks ha…
Meta-algorithm for efficient reinforcement learning from human preferences.
problem Learning from human preference comparisons in Markov decision processes.
method Randomized exploration and experimental design for batch comparison queries.
result Meta-algorithm achieves both regret and last-iterate guarantees with minimal preference queries.
Gradient descent and SGD solve nonlinear inverse problems efficiently.
problem Solving nonlinear inverse problems with random design.
method Gradient descent and SGD with mini-batching, under classical assumptions.
result Achieves optimal convergence rates in RKHS framework.
New MBQC algorithm uses randomness for generative modeling.
problem Designing efficient quantum algorithms for generative modeling.
method Proposes a variational MBQC algorithm that treats randomness as a resource.
result Randomness in MBQC can lead to significant gains in generative modeling performance.
New algorithm learns human preferences from few comparisons efficiently.
problem Learning human preferences from limited comparison feedback.
method Formulated as D-optimal design for Plackett-Luce model, solved using randomized Frank-Wolfe algorithm.
result Proposed algorithm efficiently solves D-optimal design problem for Plackett-Luce objective.
Enhanced ELM reduces randomness in neural network training.
problem Challenges in ELM architecture design and sensitivity to random weight initialization.
method Introduces Effective Non-Random ELM (ENR-ELM) incorporating signal processing concepts.
result ENR-ELM simplifies architecture design and eliminates random weight selection.
Random orthogonalization improves FL in massive MIMO systems without CSI.
problem Efficient model aggregation in FL with minimal channel estimation overhead.
method Combining FL with massive MIMO's channel hardening and favorable propagation, random orthogonalization reduces channel estimation overhead.
result Achieves model aggregation without CSI, significantly reducing channel estimation overhead.
Paper shows ERM's suboptimality due to bias, not variance.
problem Understanding why ERM fails to achieve optimal rates.
method Probabilistic and admissibility proofs for ERM in various settings.
result ERM's suboptimality is due to bias, not variance.
DRE combines DNN with random feature regression for efficient neural network design.
problem Designing and training deep neural networks (DNN) efficiently and effectively.
method DRE architecture with two-layer neural networks, randomly drawn input and output weights trained with linear ridge regression.
result DRE outperforms state-of-the-art DNN in many data sets with lower computational cost.
Study optimal stopping in random exploration, deriving HJB and designing a reinforcement learning algorithm.
problem Optimal stopping problem in continuous time with random exploration.
method Transformed optimal stopping to optimal control problem, derived HJB equation, designed reinforcement learning algorithm.
result Convergence rate of policy iteration and comparison to classical optimal stopping.
The paper develops a theory for random forests, separating variance components and providing methods for estimating prediction intervals.
problem Understanding the variance and uncertainty in random forest predictions.
method Design-based theory, Monte Carlo averaging, PASR resampling.
result The floor of prediction uncertainty is positive and persists even without observation overlap, providing conservative prediction intervals.
We present a powerful general framework for designing data-dependent optimization algorithms, building upon and unifying recent techniques in adaptive regularization, optimistic gradient predictions, and problem-dependent randomization. We first present a series of new regret guarantees that hold at any time and under …
New research shows how preconditioning can solve sparse linear regression problems efficiently.
problem Efficiently solving sparse linear regression problems without restrictive conditions.
method Preconditioned Lasso approach to solve sparse linear regression problems.
result Preconditioning can solve a large class of sparse linear regression problems nearly optimally.
Bayesian DOE accelerates experimental design with improved efficiency.
problem Enhancing experimental design efficiency and reliability.
method Bayesian framework, conditional density estimation, informative data selection.
result Significantly improved computational efficiency of experimental design.
Bayesian optimization reduces materials design costs by 10x.
problem Expensive materials design search space with mixed variables.
method Uncertainty-aware machine learning models for mixed numerical and categorical variables.
result Frequentist and Bayesian models perform differently in mixed-variable BO.
We describe a new technique which minimizes the amount of neurons in the hidden layer of a random recurrent neural network (rRNN) for time series prediction. Merging Takens-based attractor reconstruction methods with machine learning, we identify a mechanism for feature extraction that can be leveraged to lower the net…
The paper tackles auction market design flaws by randomizing closing times and optimizing transaction fees.
problem Strategic traders exploit accumulated information to delay their orders, distorting auction efficiency.
method Randomizing auction closing times and designing optimal transaction fees policies.
result Policies encourage strategic traders to send orders earlier, improving auction market efficiency.
Optimal sensor placement minimizes information loss from simulations.
problem Designing efficient sensor networks for spatiotemporal processes.
method Model-based sensor placement criterion with sparse variational inference and Gauss-Markov priors.
result Our method identifies sensor networks that minimize information loss from simulated data.
New estimators improve efficiency in two-phase designs with coarsened data.
problem Efficient estimation in two-phase designs with incomplete data.
method Developed new estimators within the TMLE framework.
result New estimators are asymptotically equivalent and more efficient.
SBT model uses randomized sharding and sub-models to improve Bayesian Additive Regression Trees.
problem Improving efficiency and accuracy of Bayesian Additive Regression Trees.
method Randomized sharding, sub-models, intersection tree structure, optimal design.
result Theoretical optimal weights and worst-case complexity of SBT model.
Randomized classifiers have been shown to provide a promising approach for achieving certified robustness against adversarial attacks in deep learning. However, most existing methods only leverage Gaussian smoothing noise and only work for ℓ2 perturbation. We propose a general framework of adversarial certificati…
The performance of Orthogonal Matching Pursuit (OMP) for variable selection is analyzed for random designs. When contrasted with the deterministic case, since the performance is here measured after averaging over the distribution of the design matrix, one can have far less stringent sparsity constraints on the coeffici…