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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,932 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for random base measures

Develops methods to construct exchangeable sequences of random multisets.

problem Creating models for random multisets with unknown base measures.
method Uses exchangeable sequences of point processes and conditional-i.i.d. negative binomial processes.
result Provides constructions for negative binomial processes with random base measures.

We develop correlated random measures, random measures where the atom weights can exhibit a flexible pattern of dependence, and use them to develop powerful hierarchical Bayesian nonparametric models. Hierarchical Bayesian nonparametric models are usually built from completely random measures, a Poisson-process based c…

2015-07-02abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a general construction for dependent random measures based on thinning Poisson processes on an augmented space. The framework is not restricted to dependent versions of a specific nonparametric model, but can be applied to all models that can be represented using completely random measures. Several existing …

2012-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Independent component analysis (ICA) is a method for recovering statistically independent signals from observations of unknown linear combinations of the sources. Some of the most accurate ICA decomposition methods require searching for the inverse transformation which minimizes different approximations of the Mutual I…

2016-09-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Study models market volatility with persistent and temporary impacts.

problem Microstructure of rough volatility models driven by Poisson measures.
method Existence and uniqueness of solutions for stochastic path-dependent Volterra equations.
result Volatility process converges to fractional Heston model with spikes.

Causal discovery algorithms infer causal relations from data based on several assumptions, including notably the absence of measurement error. However, this assumption is most likely violated in practical applications, which may result in erroneous, irreproducible results. In this work we show how to obtain an upper bo…

2018-10-18abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method optimizes robustness measures under input uncertainty using randomized Gaussian process upper confidence bound.

problem Optimizing robustness measures under input uncertainty.
method Randomized robustness measure GP-UCB (RRGP-UCB) that samples β from a chi-squared-based distribution.
result RRGP-UCB provides tight bounds on expected regret.

Study shows how certain stochastic models reach a steady state over time.

problem Understanding long-term behavior of stochastic volatility models.
method Novel coupling technique for Markov chains, applicable to random environments.
result Convergence to an invariant measure for multidimensional fractional models.

Paper presents a new VMBQC model with fewer parameters for better generative modeling.

problem Limited generative power of VMBQC due to more parameters than unitary models.
method Introduces a restricted VMBQC model with a single additional trainable parameter.
result Minimal extension of VMBQC model generates distributions not learnable by unitary models.

Paper proves sufficient conditions for tensor recovery using t-RIP with random measurements.

problem Establish robust recovery guarantees for low-tubal-rank tensors.
method Probabilistic arguments and random sub-Gaussian distributions to ensure t-RIP conditions.
result Minimal number of linear measurements nearly optimal for tensor recovery.

Random Forest permutation importance measure is asymptotically unbiased in sparse regression models.

problem Challenges in selecting informative variables in high-dimensional regression problems.
method Theoretical guarantees and asymptotic unbiasedness of permutation importance measure under specific assumptions.
result Permutation importance measure in Random Forest is asymptotically unbiased.

A new approach models exploration in continuous-time RL using random measures.

problem Modeling exploration in continuous-time reinforcement learning.
method Random measure approach to control execution in continuous-time RL.
result Grid-sampling limit SDE can replace existing models for theoretical analysis and learning algorithms.

We recover phase from intensity measurements using optics-based random projections.

problem Recovering phase from intensity measurements with unknown transmission matrix.
method Our method leverages conjugation of rows in the unknown matrix and interference with reference signals to cast the problem as a Euclidean distance geometry.
result We accurately recover the missing phase and mitigate quantization and sensitivity effects.

Paper justifies ideal point forecasts as measurable, clarifying conditions for their existence.

problem Justifying ideal point forecasts as measurable random variables.
method Clarifying and establishing measurability conditions for a wide class of functionals.
result Ideal point forecasts are shown to be measurable, providing theoretical justification.

A new variable importance measure for DRFs detects broader impacts on output distributions.

problem Estimating full conditional distributions of multivariate outputs given inputs.
method Based on the drop and relearn principle and MMD distance.
result Consistent and high-performing variable importance measure for DRFs.

Normalized compound random measures are flexible nonparametric priors for related distributions. We consider building general nonparametric regression models using normalized compound random measure mixture models. Posterior inference is made using a novel pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings sampler for normalized comp…

2016-08-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Method learns topological states from randomized measurements.

problem Detecting topologically ordered two-dimensional states on quantum processors.
method Variational tensor network tomography with randomized measurements.
result Demonstrated ability to learn ground states of surface code and quantum spin liquid states.

Random walks on Fuchsian Schottky groups have harmonic measures with lower dimension.

problem Understanding the dimensionality of harmonic measures for random walks.
method Analyzing finite range random walks on Fuchsian Schottky groups.
result Harmonic measures have dimension strictly less than the limit set's Hausdorff dimension.

Compressive Sensing (CS) theory asserts that sparse signal reconstruction is possible from a small number of linear measurements. Although CS enables low-cost linear sampling, it requires non-linear and costly reconstruction. Recent literature works show that compressive image classification is possible in CS domain wi…

2018-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

New local MDI variable importances derived from global scores match Shapley values.

problem Local feature relevance in tree-based models.
method Deriving local MDI importance measure from global scores and linking it to Shapley values.
result Local MDI importances have a natural connection with Shapley values.

New model uses interval-valued CVaR for better risk assessment in finance.

problem Measuring tail risk in rapidly changing financial markets.
method Employing random intervals to describe asset returns and using ICVaR as a risk measure.
result Optimal portfolio selection models show better risk assessment in real data.

We propose a modification that corrects for split-improvement variable importance measures in Random Forests and other tree-based methods. These methods have been shown to be biased towards increasing the importance of features with more potential splits. We show that by appropriately incorporating split-improvement as…

2019-03-12abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce the Randomized Dependence Coefficient (RDC), a measure of non-linear dependence between random variables of arbitrary dimension based on the Hirschfeld-Gebelein-Rényi Maximum Correlation Coefficient. RDC is defined in terms of correlation of random non-linear copula projections; it is invariant with respec…

2013-04-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Random Gaussian fields on 4D Riemannian manifolds with conformal invariance.

problem Characterizing and analyzing Gaussian fields on 4D Riemannian manifolds.
method Constructing and analyzing co-biharmonic Gaussian fields with covariance kernels defined by the Paneitz operator.
result Rigorous derivation of quantum Liouville measure for γ<8|γ|<\sqrt8.

This paper reviews random forest methods for analyzing longitudinal data in precision medicine.

problem Analyzing longitudinal data for precision medicine.
method Extensions of random forest for longitudinal data analysis.
result Categorization of random forest methods for different data structures and repeated measurements.

The paper examines random walks on metric spaces and finds commensurable subgroups.

problem Determining commensurable subgroups via stationary measures in metric spaces.
method Analyzing random walks on isometry groups of metric spaces with non-singular stationary measures.
result Subgroups generated by random walks are commensurable under mild conditions.

The paper equidistributes zeros of random polynomials and sections on manifolds.

problem Equidistribution of zeros of random polynomials and sections on manifolds.
method Weighted pluripotential theory, asymptotic Bernstein-Markov measures, variance estimation.
result Equidistribution holds for non-i.i.d. random coefficients and non-homogeneous manifolds.

We propose a new multivariate dependency measure. It is obtained by considering a Gaussian kernel based distance between the copula transform of the given d-dimensional distribution and the uniform copula and then appropriately normalizing it. The resulting measure is shown to satisfy a number of desirable properties. …

2017-08-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Since risky positions in multivariate portfolios can be offset by various choices of capital requirements that depend on the exchange rules and related transaction costs, it is natural to assume that the risk measures of random vectors are set-valued. Furthermore, it is reasonable to include the exchange rules in the a…

2013-01-08abs ↗pdf ↗