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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for quantile-focused squared error loss

Bayesian method improves quantile estimation and subset selection.

problem Estimating specific percentiles of the response distribution.
method Bayesian decision analysis perspective, optimal point estimates, interpretable uncertainty quantification, scalable subset selection.
result Substantial gains in quantile estimation accuracy, inference, and variable selection over competitors.

This work investigates square loss in overparametrized neural networks, revealing its advantages in robustness and calibration.

problem Theoretical understanding of square loss in overparametrized neural networks.
method Systematic investigation of square loss in the NTK regime for both separable and non-separable classes.
result Square loss shows fast convergence rates and robustness guarantees for overparametrized neural networks.

Artificial neural network training with stochastic gradient descent can be destabilized by "bad batches" with high losses. This is often problematic for training with small batch sizes, high order loss functions or unstably high learning rates. To stabilize learning, we have developed adaptive learning rate clipping (A…

2019-06-21abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes error bounds and KL properties for noisy matrix recovery problems.

problem Noisy low-rank matrix recovery problems.
method Squared F-norm regularization, accelerated alternating minimization method.
result Established error bounds and KL properties for critical points and global minimizers.

The paper studies the loss landscape of regularized deep matrix factorization, revealing unique and sharp minimizers.

problem Understanding the loss landscape and minimizers of regularized deep matrix factorization problems.
method Theoretical analysis of 2\ell^2-regularized deep matrix factorization/deep linear network training problems with squared-error loss.
result The unique end-to-end minimizer exists for all target matrices except for a set of Lebesgue measure zero.

Paper establishes a universal growth rate for smooth surrogate losses in classification.

problem Analyzing growth rates of consistency bounds for various surrogate losses.
method Proves square-root growth rate for smooth margin-based losses; extends to multi-class classification.
result Demonstrates a universal square-root growth rate for smooth comp-sum and constrained losses.

Transformer-based models overfit financial time series data, leading to increased prediction variance.

problem Forecast collapse of transformer-based models under squared loss in financial time series.
method Theoretical analysis and numerical experiments on high-frequency EUR/USD exchange rate data.
result Increased model expressivity in Transformer-based models leads to spurious fluctuations without reducing bias, resulting in higher prediction variance.

K-fold cross-validation (CV) with squared error loss is widely used for evaluating predictive models, especially when strong distributional assumptions cannot be taken. However, CV with squared error loss is not free from distributional assumptions, in particular in cases involving non-i.i.d. data. This paper analyzes …

2019-04-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved speech enhancement using diffusion models with MSE loss.

problem Efficient incorporation of noisy speech in generative speech enhancement.
method Augmented diffusion-based generative model with a MSE loss for enhanced speech.
result Proposed method improves speech enhancement performance compared to original diffusion model.

Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is a very successful dimensionality reduction technique, widely used in predictive modeling. A key factor in its widespread use in this domain is the fact that the projection of a dataset onto its first KK principal components minimizes the sum of squared errors between the original …

2017-05-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Cross-validation pitfalls in change-point regression are addressed with new approaches.

problem Cross-validation's prediction error-based criterion may lead to under- or over-estimation of change-points.
method Proposes two approaches: absolute error loss and modified holdout sets.
result Consistent estimation of the number of change-points under certain conditions.

This study explains gradient flow dynamics in neural networks for small initialisation.

problem Understanding the training dynamics of neural networks for small initialisation.
method Analysis of gradient flow dynamics for one-hidden layer ReLU networks with orthogonal inputs.
result Gradient flow converges to zero loss and characterizes implicit bias towards minimum variation norm.

In this work we propose an adversarial learning approach to generate high resolution MRI scans from low resolution images. The architecture, based on the SRGAN model, adopts 3D convolutions to exploit volumetric information. For the discriminator, the adversarial loss uses least squares in order to stabilize the traini…

2018-12-29abs ↗pdf ↗

The Nyström method improves learning efficiency for convex losses.

problem Improving computational efficiency in empirical risk minimization.
method Using random subspaces to approximate hypothesis spaces in convex loss functions.
result Computational gains can be achieved without sacrificing learning performance for general convex Lipschitz losses.

Paper develops estimators for unbounded density ratios with applications in error control.

problem Estimating density ratios with unbounded domains and ranges.
method Least squares and logistic regression loss functions for density ratio estimation.
result Established upper bounds on estimation errors with optimal rates for unbounded density ratios.

This paper presents a learning method for convolutional autoencoders (CAEs) for extracting features from images. CAEs can be obtained by utilizing convolutional neural networks to learn an approximation to the identity function in an unsupervised manner. The loss function based on the pixel loss (PL) that is the mean s…

2018-06-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Super learner with Huber loss improves cost prediction and causal effect estimation in healthcare expenditure data.

problem Challenges in modeling healthcare expenditure distributions with standard super learning methods.
method Proposes a super learner using Huber loss, a robust loss function that down-weights outliers.
result Demonstrates appreciable finite-sample gains in cost prediction and causal effect estimation.

Analyzes double descent in binary classification models with different losses.

problem Understanding the double descent phenomenon in binary classification models.
method Analytic study of gradient descent with logistic and square losses on binary linear classification models.
result The double descent phenomenon persists but with differences compared to logistic loss.

In this paper, we explore ordinal classification (in the context of deep neural networks) through a simple modification of the squared error loss which not only allows it to not only be sensitive to class ordering, but also allows the possibility of having a discrete probability distribution over the classes. Our formu…

2016-12-02abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the error landscape of deep linear and nonlinear neural networks with the squared error loss. Minimizing the loss of a deep linear neural network is a nonconvex problem, and despite recent progress, our understanding of this loss surface is still incomplete. For deep linear networks, we present necessary and s…

2017-07-08abs ↗pdf ↗

DEQGAN uses GANs to solve differential equations without supervision.

problem Solving differential equations with neural networks.
method Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) to learn the loss function.
result DEQGAN achieves lower mean squared errors and competitive solution accuracy compared to traditional methods.

Two new algorithms improve Q* approximation in batch RL with linear error propagation.

problem Improving Q* approximation in batch reinforcement learning.
method Two novel algorithms that estimate Bellman error directly, without quadratic dependence.
result Linear-in-horizon error propagation for batch RL algorithms.

The paper explores MAE as a loss function for DNN vector-to-vector regression, proving its advantages over MSE.

problem Improving loss function for deep neural network based vector-to-vector regression.
method Presenting performance bounds and new properties of MAE, deriving generalized upper bounds, and interpreting MAE as a Laplacian distribution.
result MAE is a more suitable loss function than MSE for DNN based vector-to-vector regression, especially when errors follow a Laplacian distribution.

Mack's estimator improves chain ladder prediction for large exposure insurance models.

problem Uncertainty quantification in compound Poisson loss models.
method Large exposure asymptotics applied to Mack's estimator.
result Chain ladder prediction uncertainty can be quantified without model assumptions.

Hard to learn ReLU with Gaussian data, but can approximate efficiently.

problem Learning a ReLU with Gaussian marginals under arbitrary labels.
method Proved hardness and developed an efficient approximation algorithm.
result Efficient approximation algorithm for best-fitting ReLU with error O(opt2/3)O(\mathsf{opt}^{2/3}).

Given a task of predicting YY from XX, a loss function LL, and a set of probability distributions ΓΓ on (X,Y)(X,Y), what is the optimal decision rule minimizing the worst-case expected loss over ΓΓ? In this paper, we address this question by introducing a generalization of the principle of maximum entropy. Applying t…

2016-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Least Squares Estimators are suboptimal for 5D convex functions.

problem Suboptimality of Least Squares Estimators in estimating multidimensional convex functions.
method Analysis of natural subclasses of convex functions in random and fixed design settings.
result Risk of LSE is n2/dn^{-2/d} while minimax risk is n4/(d+4)n^{-4/(d+4)} for d5d \geq 5.

We introduce a novel semi-supervised version of the least squares classifier. This implicitly constrained least squares (ICLS) classifier minimizes the squared loss on the labeled data among the set of parameters implied by all possible labelings of the unlabeled data. Unlike other discriminative semi-supervised method…

2015-07-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently removes specific data subsets without retraining for GDPR compliance.

problem Efficiently removing specific data subsets to comply with GDPR regulations.
method Statistical framework for machine unlearning with minimax optimality for squared loss.
result Developed Unlearning Least Squares (ULS) achieving minimax optimality for estimating model parameters.