A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Integrates prediction models into portfolio optimization for better asset allocation.
problem Traditional portfolio optimization ignores prediction models, leading to suboptimal decisions.
method Developed a framework that combines regression prediction with mean-variance optimization, providing analytical solutions and neural-network-based optimization for inequality constraints.
result Demonstrated through simulations that integrating prediction models improves portfolio performance.
Investigates portfolio optimization with and without gearing constraints.
problem Improving portfolio weights for better alignment with expected returns.
method Extends the alpha-weight angle bound to include gearing constraints and uses theoretical arguments and simulations.
result Equally weighted portfolios are not preferable to mean-variance portfolios even with poor forecast ability and a badly conditioned covariance matrix.
Four decades after their invention, quasi-Newton methods are still state of the art in unconstrained numerical optimization. Although not usually interpreted thus, these are learning algorithms that fit a local quadratic approximation to the objective function. We show that many, including the most popular, quasi-Newto…
In this paper, we introduce a novel and robust approach to Quantized Matrix Completion (QMC). First, we propose a rank minimization problem with constraints induced by quantization bounds. Next, we form an unconstrained optimization problem by regularizing the rank function with Huber loss. Huber loss is leveraged to c…
Several portfolio selection models take into account practical limitations on the number of assets to include and on their weights in the portfolio. We present here a study of the Limited Asset Markowitz (LAM), of the Limited Asset Mean Absolute Deviation (LAMAD) and of the Limited Asset Conditional Value-at-Risk (LACV…
We clarify what fairness guarantees we can and cannot expect to follow from unconstrained machine learning. Specifically, we characterize when unconstrained learning on its own implies group calibration, that is, the outcome variable is conditionally independent of group membership given the score. We show that under r…
We propose an online convex optimization algorithm (RescaledExp) that achieves optimal regret in the unconstrained setting without prior knowledge of any bounds on the loss functions. We prove a lower bound showing an exponential separation between the regret of existing algorithms that require a known bound on the los…
Study optimal portfolio management with periodic evaluations in stochastic models, considering convex constraints.
problem Optimal portfolio management under ratio-type periodic evaluations in stochastic factor models with convex trading constraints.
method Transformed infinite horizon optimal control problem into an auxiliary terminal wealth optimization problem. Introduced an auxiliary unconstrained optimization problem in a modified market model. Used martingale duality approach to establish dual minimizer and optimal unconstrained wealth process.
result Derived and verified the optimal constrained portfolio process for the original problem over an infinite horizon.
The Markowitz problem consists of finding in a financial market a self-financing trading strategy whose final wealth has maximal mean and minimal variance. We study this in continuous time in a general semimartingale model and under cone constraints: Trading strategies must take values in a (possibly random and time-de…
We consider a variant of online convex optimization in which both the instances (input vectors) and the comparator (weight vector) are unconstrained. We exploit a natural scale invariance symmetry in our unconstrained setting: the predictions of the optimal comparator are invariant under any linear transformation of th…
A key problem in financial mathematics is the forecasting of financial crashes: if we perturb asset prices, will financial institutions fail on a massive scale? This was recently shown to be a computationally intractable (NP-hard) problem. Financial crashes are inherently difficult to predict, even for a regulator whic…
In this paper, we study two classes of optimal reinsurance models from perspectives of both insurers and reinsurers by minimizing their convex combination where the risk is measured by a distortion risk measure and the premium is given by a distortion premium principle. Firstly, we show that how optimal reinsurance mod…
Random projection (RP) is a classical technique for reducing storage and computational costs. We analyze RP-based approximations of convex programs, in which the original optimization problem is approximated by the solution of a lower-dimensional problem. Such dimensionality reduction is essential in computation-limite…
Neural networks have been used prominently in several machine learning and statistics applications. In general, the underlying optimization of neural networks is non-convex which makes their performance analysis challenging. In this paper, we take a novel approach to this problem by asking whether one can constrain neu…
This article presents a new methodology called deep Theory of Functional Connections (TFC) that estimates the solutions of partial differential equations (PDEs) by combining neural networks with TFC. TFC is used to transform PDEs with boundary conditions into unconstrained optimization problems by embedding the boundar…