New method for CMS derivatives pricing using Watanabe's expansions.
problem Pricing CMS derivatives under local and stochastic volatility.
method Malliavin's calculus and Watanabe's expansions applied to quadratic payoffs.
result Generic approximations for CMS derivatives pricing under various volatility models.
Paper learns network games from player actions.
problem Learning network games from observed actions.
method Solves joint optimization for graph structure and marginal benefits.
result Effective in synthetic and real-world experiments.
Investment strategy optimization from discrete to continuous models.
problem Optimizing investment strategies and stopping times in both continuous and discrete settings.
method Characterized value functions via quadratic reflected BSDEs for continuous case, discretized BSDEs for discrete case, and derived uniform convergence rates.
result Uniform convergence and rate from discrete to continuous quadratic reflected BSDEs.
Adaptive populations such as those in financial markets and distributed control can be modeled by the Minority Game. We consider how their dynamics depends on the agents' initial preferences of strategies, when the agents use linear or quadratic payoff functions to evaluate their strategies. We find that the fluctuatio…
The paper solves a utility-based hedging problem with quadratic costs.
problem Optimal trading strategy for hedging European contingent claims with quadratic transaction costs.
method Duality theory applied to exponential utility maximization problem.
result Explicit computation of optimal trading strategy for quadratic payoffs.
In this paper we propose a new robust algorithm to find the optimal static replicating portfolios for general nonlinear payoff functions and give the estimate of the rate of convergence that is absent in the literature. We choose the static replication by minimizing the error bound between the nonlinear payoff function…
In a stochastic volatility framework, we find a general pricing equation for the class of payoffs depending on the terminal value of a market asset and its final quadratic variation. This allows a pricing tool for European-style claims paying off at maturity a joint function of the underlying and its realised volatilit…
We extend a linear version of the liquidity risk model of Cetin et al. (2004) to allow for price impacts. We show that the impact of a market order on prices depends on the size of the transaction and the level of liquidity. We obtain a simple characterization of self-financing trading strategies and a sufficient condi…
We derive the implied volatility estimation formula in European power call options pricing, where the payoff functions are in the form of V=(STα−K)+ and V=(STα−Kα)+ (α>0)respectively. Using quadratic Taylor approximations, We develop the computing formula of implied volatility in European power call op…
Optimizing option exercise policies based on variance optimal martingale measure can lead to unappealing results.
problem Optimizing American option exercise policies under the variance optimal martingale measure can result in unappealing policies.
method Optimizing option exercise policies under the variance optimal martingale measure, then anchoring to the resulting value of this policy.
result Optimizing option exercise policies based on the variance optimal martingale measure can lead to unappealing results.
Signature payoffs price complex derivatives accurately.
problem Pricing complex derivatives like options.
method Signature of price path for continuous payoffs.
result Signature payoffs can price various derivatives accurately.
Method constructs CFMMs matching desired payoffs.
problem Creating CFMMs with specific payoff functions.
method Uses convex analysis and Fenchel conjugacy.
result Every concave, nonnegative, nondecreasing, 1-homogeneous payoff has a corresponding convex CFMM.
Optimal payoff choice constrained by Bregman-Wasserstein divergence.
problem Maximizing utility under a deviation constraint from a benchmark.
method Solving the problem using Bregman-Wasserstein divergence with a convex function φ.
result Provided the optimal payoff choice in this setting.
Study of gamma-hedging using rough paths for European and exotic options.
problem Applying rough paths to gamma-hedging strategies for derivatives.
method Rough-path theory applied to discrete-time gamma-hedging strategy.
result Sure replication of European and exotic derivatives under regular pricing signals.
Optimal portfolio yields a digital option payoff.
problem Portfolio optimization under generalized dual theory of choice.
method Characterized optimal solution and derived it in closed form.
result Payoff is a digital option that yields in-the-money payoff in good market scenarios.
Study finds cheapest possible payoff under ambiguity, linking to maxmin expected utility.
problem Finding cost-efficient payoffs in uncertain market conditions.
method Developed a new concept of robust cost-efficient payoff and linked it to maxmin expected utility.
result Solutions to maxmin robust expected utility are robust cost-efficient.
The paper uncovers the impact of price and payoff autocorrelations in multi-period asset pricing models.
problem Hidden dependence of asset pricing models on price and payoff autocorrelations.
method Obtained approximations of the basic pricing equation describing various parameters.
result Valid results for other pricing models like ICAPM and APM.
New method uses neural networks for better financial hedging.
problem Spanning multi-asset payoffs with vanilla options.
method One-hidden-layer feedforward neural networks for numerical solution.
result Better hedging results with neural networks compared to single-asset approaches.
Paper shows how to replicate payoffs without oracles in CFMMs.
problem Replicating payoffs without oracles in CFMMs.
method Using liquidity provider shares in CFMMs to match any monotonic payoff.
result Explicit method and formula for trading functions and earnings.
The paper models asset pricing with agents having different beliefs and examines the effects of liquidity constraints.
problem Asset pricing with heterogeneous beliefs and illiquidity.
method A tractable model with quadratic costs on inventories and trading rates, characterized by a system of linear parabolic equations.
result The equilibrium price is influenced by holding and liquidity costs, and the asymptotics for small costs provide insights.
Nonparametric pricing and hedging of exotic derivatives using signature payoffs.
problem Pricing and hedging exotic derivatives accurately and efficiently.
method Introducing signature payoffs and using them to approximate and price exotic derivatives nonparametrically.
result Signature payoffs enable accurate and computationally tractable pricing and hedging of exotic derivatives.
In this work, we introduce a Monte Carlo method for the dynamic hedging of general European-type contingent claims in a multidimensional Brownian arbitrage-free market. Based on bounded variation martingale approximations for Galtchouk-Kunita-Watanabe decompositions, we propose a feasible and constructive methodology w…
New algorithm adapts to unknown smoothness in contextual bandits.
problem Adapting to unknown smoothness in non-parametric multi-armed bandits.
method Develops a self-similarity condition-based policy to adapt to unknown smoothness.
result Matches known smoothness case's regret rate for differentiable and non-differentiable payoff functions.
Develops a new method for robust risk measurement by averaging nearby payoffs.
problem Measuring risk under uncertainty with a focus on robustness.
method Averaging nearby payoffs weighted by a chosen metric.
result The method leads to a convex risk measure and provides stability under large neighborhoods.
Agent optimizes perpetual contract liquidation with transaction costs and risk.
problem Optimizing perpetual contract liquidation with transaction costs and risk.
method Solving stochastic control problem for optimal trading strategy.
result Closed-form expression and approximations for optimal strategy.
Multi-armed bandit problems are the most basic examples of sequential decision problems with an exploration-exploitation trade-off. This is the balance between staying with the option that gave highest payoffs in the past and exploring new options that might give higher payoffs in the future. Although the study of band…
New findings show pure strategy equilibria are more robust in a war of attrition game.
problem Analyzing a game of war of attrition under complete information.
method Examined the stability of equilibria in pure and mixed strategies under varying payoffs.
result Pure strategy equilibria are more robust to perturbations of the canonical model.
Algorithm finds near-optimal strategy in changing zero-sum games.
problem Finding near-optimal strategy in changing zero-sum games.
method Designing an algorithm with small NE regret for online matrix games.
result Achieves near-optimal dependence on the number of rounds and number of actions.
We study the use of the multilevel Monte Carlo technique in the context of the calculation of Greeks. The pathwise sensitivity analysis differentiates the path evolution and reduces the payoff's smoothness. This leads to new challenges: the inapplicability of pathwise sensitivities to non-Lipschitz payoffs often makes …
New algorithms for stochastic linear bandits with heavy-tailed payoffs achieve nearly optimal regret.
problem Stochastic linear bandits with heavy-tailed payoffs.
method Median of means and dynamic truncation.
result Sublinear regret bound of O(d21T1+ε1) for ε∈(0,1]. The game-theoretic risk management framework put forth in the precursor work "Towards a Theory of Games with Payoffs that are Probability-Distributions" (arXiv:1506.07368 [q-fin.EC]) is herein extended by algorithmic details on how to compute equilibria in games where the payoffs are probability distributions. Our appr…
Study of 2imes2 zero-sum games with noisy observations and commitments.
problem Analyzing 2imes2 zero-sum games with noisy observations and commitments. method Modeling a 2imes2 zero-sum game with a leader committing to a strategy and a follower observing a noisy version of the leader's action. result Observing the leader's action is either beneficial or immaterial for the follower, and the equilibrium payoff is bounded.
This paper studies robust payoff allocation in submodular games, especially against replication.
problem Payoff allocation in submodular games, especially robustness against replication.
method Systematically studied replication manipulation in submodular games, introduced replication robustness metric, and validated with empirical ML data market.
result Conditions characterizing robustness of semivalues in submodular games.
Study on optimal information acquisition in Kyle model with entropy cost.
problem Optimal information acquisition in Kyle model with entropy cost.
method Continuous signals are optimal, and any signal with a logit posterior distribution yields the same ex-ante value.
result Posterior expected payoff becomes normally distributed as information acquisition cost increases.
We derive a formula for liquidity providers' payoff on DEXs, linking it to volatility.
problem Liquidity providers on DEXs are undercompensated for their service.
method We derive a payoff formula for liquidity providers on DEXs, assuming geometric Brownian price movements and zero arbitrage.
result The payoff from liquidity fees is a near-linear function of volatility.
We derive the price of a spread option based on two assets which follow a bivariate volatility modulated Volterra process dynamics. Such a price dynamics is particularly relevant in energy markets, modelling for example the spot price of power and gas. Volatility modulated Volterra processes are in general not semimart…
In an online contract selection problem there is a seller which offers a set of contracts to sequentially arriving buyers whose types are drawn from an unknown distribution. If there exists a profitable contract for the buyer in the offered set, i.e., a contract with payoff higher than the payoff of not accepting any c…
The paper examines bounds for stop-loss payoffs using transformed random variables.
problem Bounding stop-loss payoffs for a difference of two random variables.
method Analyzes crossing points of cdfs of original and transformed random variables.
result Unique pairwise crossing points for mortality-linked securities under symmetric copulas.
New decision-theoretic calibration error metric improves prediction reliability.
problem Improving the reliability of predictions for decision-making.
method Proposed Calibration Decision Loss (CDL) and an efficient algorithm to achieve near-optimal CDL.
result Near-optimal CDL guarantees vanishing payoff loss from miscalibration.
Quantum Monte Carlo speeds up option pricing for complex payoff functions.
problem Efficiently pricing options with complex payoff functions using quantum computing.
method Developed a quantum Monte Carlo algorithm for multidimensional Black-Scholes PDEs.
result Proved polynomial computational complexity and speed-up over classical methods.
New method uses DistRL to estimate entire payoff distribution for financial derivatives.
problem Traditional methods focus on expected option value; this tackles risk-aware pricing.
method Reinterprets and proposes a framework using Distributional Reinforcement Learning (DistRL).
result Demonstrates enhanced risk-aware pricing and uncertainty quantification on Asian options.
We consider a sequential learning problem with Gaussian payoffs and side information: after selecting an action i, the learner receives information about the payoff of every action j in the form of Gaussian observations whose mean is the same as the mean payoff, but the variance depends on the pair (i,j) (and may…
Novel approach to financial derivatives pricing using rough path theory.
problem No-arbitrage conditions in financial markets necessitating precise integration methods.
method Developed a polynomial-based approximation class for rough path functionals, extending to non-geometric rough paths.
result Motivated a hypothesis for payoff functionals in financial markets, facilitating analysis.
New algorithms improve on bandit feedback in matrix games with unknown payoff matrices.
problem Improving performance in matrix games with unknown payoff matrices and bandit feedback.
method Regret analyses of variants of UCB and K-learning.
result New algorithms achieve lower regret compared to adversarial bandit algorithms.
The paper proposes a method to learn continuous-action graphical games from perturbed equilibria.
problem Learning the exact structure of continuous-action graphical games from limited data.
method A ℓ12− block regularized method to recover the graphical game structure. result The method recovers the exact structure of the graphical game under certain conditions.
Paper defines saddle points in asymmetric Dynkin games using martingale theory.
problem Tackles saddle point conditions in asymmetric Dynkin games with partial information.
method Uses martingale theory to identify super and submartingales related to equilibrium payoffs.
result Characterizes saddle point strategies in terms of equilibrium payoffs' dynamics and Doob-Meyer decompositions.
In this work, we expand the idea of Samuelson[3] and Shepp[2,5,6] for stock optimization using the Bachelier model [4] as our models for the stock price at the money (X[stock price]= K[strike price]) for the American call and put options [1]. At the money (X= K) for American options, the expected payoff of both the cal…
The portfolio optimization problem is a basic problem of financial analysis. In the study, an optimization model for constructing an options portfolio with a certain payoff function has been proposed. The model is formulated as an integer linear programming problem and includes an objective payoff function and a system…