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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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48 results for psychometric methods

Model predicts increased social unrest during COVID-19 using social media data.

problem Detecting rising conflict potential in societies during pandemics.
method Neural implicit motive pattern recognition from social media texts.
result Significant increase in conflict indicators during the pandemic.

Ensemble unsupervised anomaly detection using IRT for hidden ground truth.

problem Challenges in constructing an ensemble from unsupervised anomaly detection methods.
method Use Item Response Theory to compute latent traits and construct an ensemble that downplays noisy methods.
result Demonstrated effectiveness of IRT ensemble on extensive data repository.

RLMM extends psychometric models to larger tasks.

problem Sequential process data from interactive assessments are not well handled by conventional models.
method RLMM decouples person-level choice sensitivity from task-level value representation through a shared parametric action-value function.
result RLMM achieves higher estimation accuracy and lower runtime than MDP-MM in peg-solitaire simulations and AQUALAB gameplay logs.

Bayesian model predicts mental health symptoms from IAT data, improving accuracy over D-score.

problem Limited predictive performance of D-score method for mental health assessment.
method Sparse hierarchical Bayesian model leveraging multi-modal data.
result AUCs of 0.73 (E-IAT) and 0.76 (PSY-IAT) in best modality configurations, significant after FDR correction.

FedIRT enables privacy-preserving psychometric estimation without centralizing data.

problem Privacy and data governance concerns in centralized IRT estimation.
method Federated Item Response Theory (FedIRT) and FedIRT-DP for differentially private estimation.
result FedIRT matches accuracy of centralized estimators while preserving privacy.

Novel method diagnoses large language models' reasoning abilities.

problem Fine-grained evaluation of large language models' reasoning abilities.
method Adapting cognitive diagnosis models to LLMs, estimating mastery profiles and Q-matrix, incorporating textual information.
result Accurate parameter recovery and insights into LLMs' capabilities.

IPGP framework improves psychological assessment by integrating shared and unique traits.

problem Tackles the debate on shared vs unique personality traits across individuals.
method Uses Gaussian process coregionalization model for non-Gaussian ordinal data, with stochastic variational inference for scalability.
result Improves prediction and estimation of individualized factor structures compared to existing methods.

Study reveals LLM personas have two distinct components: frame-robust aggregated traits and frame-dependent geometric features.

problem Evaluation of LLM personas via psychometric questionnaires discards within-instance correlation structure.
method Constructed within-instance correlation matrices from IPIP-50 responses and analyzed geometry on SPD manifolds under manipulated question orderings.
result Persona expression comprises two dissociable components: aggregated features (Big Five scores) and geometric features (SPD manifold).

Saliency maps are a popular approach to creating post-hoc explanations of image classifier outputs. These methods produce estimates of the relevance of each pixel to the classification output score, which can be displayed as a saliency map that highlights important pixels. Despite a proliferation of such methods, littl…

2019-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Continuous vector representations of words and objects appear to carry surprisingly rich semantic content. In this paper, we advance both the conceptual and theoretical understanding of word embeddings in three ways. First, we ground embeddings in semantic spaces studied in cognitive-psychometric literature and introdu…

2015-09-18abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper explores indeterminacy in latent factor projections and its implications for data representation.

problem Indeterminacy in latent factor projections and its implications for data representation.
method Analyzes the fundamental problem of indeterminacy in latent factor projections and discusses its implications for data representation.
result Latent factor determinacy across all facets is achieved when the feature-dimension grows to infinity.

We identify which latent factors change between environments in linear causal models.

problem Identify latent factors that change between environments in linear causal models with fewer than dd interventions.
method Propose a method to identify shifted nodes in a smaller number of environments with coarser interventions.
result It is possible to identify the set of shifted nodes under mild assumptions.

Study finds flipped classrooms improve student self-concept, enjoyment, but not exam scores.

problem Evaluating the impact of flipped classrooms on higher education outcomes.
method Double/debiased machine learning (DML) approach to analyze student data.
result No significant positive effects on exam scores, passing rates, or knowledge retention.

Suppose that we wish to estimate a user's preference vector ww from paired comparisons of the form "does user ww prefer item pp or item qq?," where both the user and items are embedded in a low-dimensional Euclidean space with distances that reflect user and item similarities. Such observations arise in numerous se…

2019-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Study evaluates consistency of LLMs in binary text classification, providing systematic guidance.

problem Lack of reliable methods for evaluating large language model (LLM) binary text classification.
method Adapting psychometric principles, the study determines sample size requirements, develops metrics for invalid responses, and evaluates intra- and inter-rater reliability.
result LLMs demonstrated high intra-rater consistency, achieving perfect agreement on 90-98% of examples, with smaller models outperforming larger counterparts.

Bayesian method improves adaptive testing item selection, ensuring full item exposure.

problem Adaptive testing selects items to estimate ability, but must also ensure diverse item exposure.
method Formulated as Bayesian model averaging, deriving optimal item sampling probabilities.
result Stochastic method achieves full item bank exposure without sacrificing accuracy.

ALINE optimizes Bayesian inference and data acquisition by strategically querying informative data.

problem Strategic acquisition of informative data for Bayesian inference in challenging tasks.
method Unified framework combining amortized Bayesian inference and active data acquisition using a transformer architecture trained via reinforcement learning.
result ALINE delivers both instant and accurate inference along with efficient selection of informative points.

Proposes a test to ensure predictive algorithms predict intended outcomes better than unintended ones.

problem Unintended model behavior leading to prediction of unintended outcomes.
method Falsification framework using nonparametric hypothesis testing to compare prediction losses across outcomes.
result Establishes discriminant validity with respect to gender but not race in an admissions setting.

Global optimization in Bayesian inference yields little additional benefit.

problem Improving psychometric parameter estimation using global optimization strategies.
method Experimental simulations comparing myopic and global strategies in multiple models.
result Global optimization strategies provide negligible additional utility improvement beyond the immediate next steps.

New method for inference on covariates in NMF with random effects.

problem Formal inference for covariate effects in NMF with non-negativity constraints.
method NMF-RE model with random effects, ridge updates, df-based cap, asymptotic linearization, wild bootstrap.
result Valid inference on covariates with non-negativity constraint, avoiding degeneracy.

New estimators improve Rasch model item parameter estimation for sparse data.

problem Estimating item parameters in sparse Rasch model data.
method Random pairing maximum likelihood estimator (RP-MLE) and its bootstrapped variant (MRP-MLE).
result RP-MLE and MRP-MLE are minimax optimal and provide precise item parameter estimates.

Improved IFA with Generative Adversarial Networks for high-dimensional latent variables.

problem Limited expressiveness of traditional VAEs in high-dimensional latent variable modeling.
method Introducing Adversarial Variational Bayes (AVB) and Importance-weighted Adversarial Variational Bayes (IWAVB) algorithms.
result IWAVB demonstrated superior expressiveness and higher likelihood compared to IWAE.

New theory explains how noisy, high-dimensional data can still lead to robust predictions.

problem Modern machine learning models achieve high performance with noisy, high-dimensional data.
method Synthesizes principles from Information Theory, Latent Factor Models, and Psychometrics to clarify predictive robustness.
result Predictive robustness arises from data architecture and model capacity, not just data cleanliness.

We describe a novel optimization method for finite sums (such as empirical risk minimization problems) building on the recently introduced SAGA method. Our method achieves an accelerated convergence rate on strongly convex smooth problems. Our method has only one parameter (a step size), and is radically simpler than o…

2016-02-08abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method combines Laplace and Variational Bayes for scalable inference.

problem Complex models and large datasets make exact inference infeasible.
method Low-Rank Variational Bayes Correction (VBC) using Laplace method and Variational Bayes correction in a lower dimension.
result The method ensures scalability in both model complexity and data size.