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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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0.3%0.5%0.8%0.2% · Jun 201619922001200920182026
6 results for pseudo-count

The paper explores how state abstraction affects pseudo-count-based exploration bonuses.

problem Understanding the interplay between exploration and approximation in reinforcement learning.
method Quantifying MBIE-EB performance, relating density models to abstractions, and deriving new pseudo-count bonuses.
result A new pseudo-count bonus alleviates the mismatch between implicit and explicit abstractions.

We consider an agent's uncertainty about its environment and the problem of generalizing this uncertainty across observations. Specifically, we focus on the problem of exploration in non-tabular reinforcement learning. Drawing inspiration from the intrinsic motivation literature, we use density models to measure uncert…

2016-06-06abs ↗pdf ↗

New method improves uncertainty calibration in deep learning.

problem Systematic overconfidence in EDL on out-of-distribution inputs.
method Density-Informed Pseudo-count EDL (DIP-EDL) separates class prediction from uncertainty.
result DIP-EDL achieves asymptotic concentration and enhances robustness and uncertainty calibration.

PostNet predicts uncertainty without OOD data, improving OOD detection and calibration.

problem Accurate uncertainty estimation for safe systems.
method PostNet uses Normalizing Flows to learn individual posterior distributions over predicted probabilities.
result PostNet achieves state-of-the-art results in OOD detection and uncertainty calibration.

CUQ-GNN adapts uncertainty quantification for graph data, improving on GPN.

problem Defining meaningful uncertainty on graph data with domain-specific characteristics.
method Combines Graph Neural Networks with Posterior Networks using Normalizing Flows.
result CUQ-GNN produces more flexible and effective uncertainty estimates.

Shared Keyboard design improves phase I clinical trials by borrowing information across doses.

problem Interim decisions based on current dose data may overlook signals from neighboring doses.
method Bayesian model-assisted design using Beta kernel process with kernel-weighted pseudo-counts.
result Significant improvements in identifying maximum tolerated dose and safety.