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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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326495127 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for pseudo likelihood

This paper shows how to perform likelihood inference for complex graphical models efficiently.

problem Intractable normalizing constants in fully and partially observed exponential family graphical models.
method Using a technique from Geyer (1991), the paper estimates the normalizing constant and its gradient.
result Full likelihood-based analysis is feasible and computationally efficient for these models.

Bayesian inference in the presence of an intractable likelihood function is computationally challenging. When following a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach to approximate the posterior distribution in this context, one typically either uses MCMC schemes which target the joint posterior of the parameters and some…

2016-07-08abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm detects communities in weighted networks, improving on binary ones.

problem Few methods exist for detecting communities in weighted networks.
method Pseudo-likelihood approach for weighted stochastic block model.
result The method is consistent and works well for both homogeneous and heterogeneous networks.

Undirected graphical models known as Markov networks are popular for a wide variety of applications ranging from statistical physics to computational biology. Traditionally, learning of the network structure has been done under the assumption of chordality which ensures that efficient scoring methods can be used. In ge…

2014-01-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Several machine learning problems arising in natural language processing can be modeled as a sequence labeling problem. We provide Gaussian process models based on pseudo-likelihood approximation to perform sequence labeling. Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a Bayesian approach to learning in a kernel based framework. …

2014-12-25abs ↗pdf ↗

New method improves community detection for large networks.

problem Inefficient community detection for large sparse networks.
method Decouples row and column labels in likelihood function for fast alternating maximization.
result Strongly consistent estimates of communities with provable convergence guarantee.

Pseudo-Likelihood Inference improves ABC for high-dimensional Bayesian inference.

problem Intractable likelihood in Bayesian system identification.
method PLI combines neural approximation with integral probability metrics and adaptive bandwidth.
result PLI outperforms SNPE on challenging tasks, especially with more data.

A new MCMC method for GPs tackles computational burden and intractable likelihoods.

problem High computational burden and intractable likelihoods in Gaussian process models.
method Combines variationally sparse Gaussian processes with pseudo-marginal MCMC.
result Asymptotically exact inference with computational gains for large datasets.

Estimating statistical models within sensor networks requires distributed algorithms, in which both data and computation are distributed across the nodes of the network. We propose a general approach for distributed learning based on combining local estimators defined by pseudo-likelihood components, encompassing a num…

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes MMD-Bayes for robust Bayesian estimation in misspecified models.

problem Inconsistent estimates in Bayesian statistics due to model misspecification.
method Uses Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) to create a robust pseudo-likelihood.
result MMD-Bayes posterior is consistent and robust to model misspecification.

We explain SSL objectives as log-likelihoods in a data curation model.

problem Lack of understanding of SSL objectives as log-likelihoods.
method Formulate SSL objectives as a log-likelihood in a generative model of data curation.
result SSL methods can be understood as lower-bounds on a principled log-likelihood.

Paper proposes a method to handle linear regression with partially shuffled data.

problem Linear regression with mismatched predictors and responses.
method Pseudo-likelihood approach based on two-component mixture densities with EM optimization.
result The method can tolerate larger fractions of mismatches and estimate noise level.

Speeding up Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) for datasets with many observations by data subsampling has recently received considerable attention. A pseudo-marginal MCMC method is proposed that estimates the likelihood by data subsampling using a block-Poisson estimator. The estimator is a product of Poisson estimators,…

2016-03-27abs ↗pdf ↗

StepMix estimates mixture models with covariates for social science applications.

problem Estimating latent classes with covariates in social science models.
method Pseudo-likelihood estimation using one-, two-, and three-step approaches.
result Unified framework for expectation-maximization subroutines.

Optimal downsampling improves GLM performance in imbalanced classification.

problem Improving GLM performance in imbalanced classification.
method Proposed a pseudo maximum likelihood estimator for optimal downsampling.
result The introduced estimator outperforms existing alternatives in both synthetic and empirical data.

Method for factor analysis in short panels without assuming sphericity or Gaussianity.

problem Factor analysis in short panels without assuming sphericity or Gaussianity.
method Pseudo maximum likelihood method and asymptotically uniformly most powerful invariant test.
result Systematic risk explains a large part of cross-sectional total variance in bear markets but is not spanned by observed factors.

The paper presents a new method to represent directed graphs using pseudo-Riemannian manifolds.

problem Representing directed graphs in a compact and meaningful way.
method Combines pseudo-Riemannian metric structure, non-trivial global topology, and a unique likelihood function.
result Low-dimensional cylindrical Minkowski and anti-de Sitter spacetimes produce equal or better graph representations than curved Riemannian manifolds.

Paper proposes an end-to-end learning method for state estimation in robotics.

problem Lack of annotated data for optimising dynamic and measurement models in particle filters.
method End-to-end learning objective based on maximising a pseudo-likelihood function.
result Improves state estimation when large portions of true states are unknown.

The paper improves self-training in semi-supervised learning by selecting more robust pseudo-labeled data.

problem Improving the reliability of pseudo-labeled data selection in self-training for semi-supervised learning.
method Proposes a multi-objective utility function to select pseudo-labeled data that maximizes reliability, considering model selection, accumulation of errors, and covariate shift uncertainties.
result Robustness towards model choice can lead to substantial accuracy gains in self-training.

Study higher-order spin glass models for social network behavior with peer-group effects.

problem Modeling correlation phenomena on social networks with peer-group effects.
method Inference in higher-order Ising models to recover coefficients and peer-group effects.
result Strong concavity of log pseudo-likelihood implies statistical error rate of sqrt(d/n) for MPLE.

We propose Subsampling MCMC, a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) framework where the likelihood function for nn observations is estimated from a random subset of mm observations. We introduce a highly efficient unbiased estimator of the log-likelihood based on control variates, such that the computing cost is much smal…

2014-04-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper presents a new probabilistic approach for high-dimensional quantile prediction.

problem High-dimensional quantile prediction challenges in robust statistical methods.
method Pseudo-Bayesian framework with scaled Student-t prior and Langevin Monte Carlo.
result Demonstrates strong theoretical guarantees and competitive performance in simulations and real-world data.

The Whittle likelihood is a widely used and computationally efficient pseudo-likelihood. However, it is known to produce biased parameter estimates for large classes of models. We propose a method for de-biasing Whittle estimates for second-order stationary stochastic processes. The de-biased Whittle likelihood can be …

2016-05-22abs ↗pdf ↗

We improve likelihood-free inference using distillation of importance sampling.

problem Challenging likelihood-free inference with high-dimensional, dependent posterior.
method Approximate posterior with normalizing flows trained on likelihood-free importance sampling.
result Improved accuracy in inference without needing summary statistics.

Develops first and second-order pseudo-mirror descent methods for nonnegative function estimation.

problem Nonnegative function estimation in settings like MLE and trajectory optimization.
method First and second-order pseudo-mirror descent with pseudo-gradients and projections.
result Establishes tradeoffs and non-asymptotic bounds on model complexity.

A new method learns continuous occupancy fields efficiently using the Ising model.

problem Efficiently learning continuous occupancy fields for robot navigation.
method Generalizes the Ising model to model continuous occupancy fields, using a unique kernel for range measurements.
result The method is computationally efficient and requires only a small number of hyperparameters.

This work optimizes statistical inference with neural networks for high-energy physics data.

problem Optimal dimensionality reduction with minimal loss of information in the presence of systematic uncertainties.
method Neural network optimization based on binned Poisson likelihoods with nuisance parameters.
result Estimates of parameters of interest close to optimal.