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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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3907801,1701,560 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for proxy causal learning

DFPV improves PCL for confounded bandit policy evaluation.

problem Estimating causal effects in confounded settings with high-dimensional data.
method Deep feature proxy variable method (DFPV) for high-dimensional, nonlinear relationships.
result DFPV outperforms state-of-the-art methods on synthetic benchmarks and confounded bandit problems.

Single proxy variable helps estimate causal effects from confounders.

problem Estimating causal effects from treatment to outcome when unobserved confounders are present.
method Assumes a single, potentially multi-dimensional proxy variable of the unobserved confounder and a known mechanism generating the proxy from the confounder. Proves causal effects are identifiable under completeness assumption.
result Causal effects are identifiable under SPICE assumption.

Proposes a method to create robust linear models with noisy proxies of unobserved variables.

problem Learning robust linear models to handle interventions on unobserved variables with noisy proxies.
method Regularization term that balances in-distribution performance and robustness to interventions.
result Single proxy can create prediction optimal estimators under interventions of bounded strength.

New method combines strengths of two PCL approaches without density ratio estimation.

problem Estimating causal functions in Proxy Causal Learning with unobserved confounders and proxies.
method Kernel-based doubly robust estimators combining treatment and outcome bridges, density ratio-free.
result Outperforms existing methods on PCL benchmarks, including a prior doubly robust method.

Kernel methods estimate causal effects with a single proxy for deterministic confounders.

problem Estimating causal effects with a single proxy for an unobserved confounder.
method Two kernel-based methods: two-stage regression and maximum moment restriction.
result Both kernel methods can consistently estimate the causal effect.

A framework uses proxies to prioritize treatment without estimating causal effects.

problem Prioritizing treatment when causal effects are hard to estimate.
method Decision-focused framework identifying conditions for proxy usefulness.
result Proxies can recover correct effect ordering under specific conditions.

Bayesian method estimates causal effects with proxy networks.

problem Estimating causal effects with only proxy measurements of a latent interference network.
method Structural causal model with Block Gibbs sampler and Locally Informed Proposals.
result Accurately estimates causal effects even with noisy proxy networks.

Paper analyzes self-supervised learning using causal methods and proposes a new objective.

problem Lack of theoretical understanding of self-supervised learning success.
method Uses a causal framework to enforce invariance constraints on proxy classifiers.
result ReLIC objective improves generalization guarantees and outperforms existing methods.

New method identifies causal effects with categorical unobserved confounders.

problem Estimating causal effects in the presence of unobserved confounders.
method Mixture learning and tensor decomposition for consistent estimation.
result Causal effects are identifiable with categorical unobserved confounders under suitable conditions.

Study identifies conditions for proxy adjustment in confounded binary treatment outcomes.

problem Average causal effect estimation with a non-differentially mismeasured binary confounder.
method Identifies conditions for proxy adjustment in the presence of a non-differentially mismeasured binary confounder.
result Adjusting for a non-differentially mismeasured binary proxy can improve estimation of the average causal effect.

We propose strategies to estimate and make inference on key features of heterogeneous effects in randomized experiments. These key features include best linear predictors of the effects using machine learning proxies, average effects sorted by impact groups, and average characteristics of most and least impacted units.…

2017-12-13abs ↗pdf ↗

New method identifies proxies for causal effects on multiple outcomes.

problem Estimating causal effects in scenarios with multiple outcomes and treatments.
method Causal discovery method leveraging multiple outcomes as proxies for each treatment effect.
result Parallel studies of multiple outcomes can assist in causal identification.

Discovering causal relations is fundamental to reasoning and intelligence. In particular, observational causal discovery algorithms estimate the cause-effect relation between two random entities XX and YY, given nn samples from P(X,Y)P(X,Y). In this paper, we develop a framework to estimate the cause-effect relation bet…

2017-02-23abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method learns IV representation from data to estimate causal effects.

problem Inferring causal effects from observational data with latent confounders.
method Disentangled representation learning using Variational AutoEncoder (VAE).
result The proposed method outperforms existing IV-based estimators and VAE-based estimators.

Proposes new method to handle hidden confounders in causal mediation analysis.

problem Break down total effect of treatment on outcome through different causal pathways.
method Combines proxy strategies and deep learning to uncover latent variables and estimate causal effects.
result Validated effectiveness of the proposed method for causal fairness analysis.

Learning individual-level causal effects from observational data, such as inferring the most effective medication for a specific patient, is a problem of growing importance for policy makers. The most important aspect of inferring causal effects from observational data is the handling of confounders, factors that affec…

2017-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper identifies causal effects in latent variable models using higher-order cumulants.

problem Challenges in identifying causal effects in latent variable models with latent confounders.
method Using higher-order cumulants, the paper addresses two challenging setups: a single proxy variable and underspecified instrumental variables.
result Causal effects are identifiable with a single proxy or instrument.

Estimates causal effects with selection bias and confounding using regression.

problem Estimating causal effects in presence of selection bias and confounding.
method Two-step regression estimator (TSR) that corrects for selection bias and accounts for confounding.
result TSR estimator reduces variance and is validated in simulations.

CAPM interpretation is flawed; beta reflects proxy for underlying driver, not causal transmission.

problem Inconsistent interpretation of CAPM regression as contemporaneous causation.
method Formalized CAPM as a structural causal model and analyzed admissible three-node graphs.
result Contemporaneous betas act like proxies rather than mechanisms; genuine market-to-stock channel appears only at a lag.

New method mitigates bias without sensitive data using causal graph and variational autoencoder.

problem Lack of fairness strategies when sensitive attributes are not collected.
method SRCVAE framework based on causal graph for inferring a proxy sensitive attribute.
result Significant improvements in fairness metrics over existing methods.

Dagma-DCE improves causal discovery with interpretable measures and open-source code.

problem Arbitrary proxy measures of causal strength in non-parametric causal discovery.
method Uses weighted adjacency matrices based on an interpretable measure of causal strength.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance in simulated datasets.

A machine learning model may exhibit discrimination when used to make decisions involving people. One potential cause for such outcomes is that the model uses a statistical proxy for a protected demographic attribute. In this paper we formulate a definition of proxy use for the setting of linear regression and present …

2018-10-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified framework for causal inference with reliable uncertainty quantification.

problem Causal inference under unobserved confounding with unreliable uncertainty quantification.
method Deconditional Gaussian Process (DGP) framework for uncertainty-aware causal learning.
result Strong predictive performance and informative uncertainty quantification.

We consider causal inference in the presence of unobserved confounding. We study the case where a proxy is available for the unobserved confounding in the form of a network connecting the units. For example, the link structure of a social network carries information about its members. We show how to effectively use the…

2019-02-11abs ↗pdf ↗

New method identifies causal relationships using proxy variables in the presence of unmeasured confounders.

problem Challenges in inferring causal relationships due to unmeasured confounding.
method Develops a general nonparametric approach using a single negative control outcome (NCO) and negative control exposure (NCE).
result Establishes a new identification result and proposes a kernel-based testing procedure.

Develops a method to estimate treatment effects using noisy proxies over time.

problem Estimating individualized treatment effects from noisy proxies of confounders.
method Deconfounding Temporal Autoencoder (DTA) combining autoencoder and causal regularization.
result Improves treatment effect estimates by leveraging noisy proxies and learning hidden confounders.

ISAHP discovers instance-level causal structures in event sequences.

problem Discovering fine-grained causal relationships in asynchronous, interdependent event sequences.
method ISAHP, a novel deep learning framework using self-attention mechanism.
result ISAHP meets Granger causality requirements and discovers complex causal structures.

New analysis shows surprising results on adaptation speed of causal models.

problem Investigate the adaptation speed of causal models under interventions.
method Use convergence rates from stochastic optimization to measure adaptation speed.
result Surprising findings: anticausal model can be faster than causal model under certain conditions.

DCM uses diffusion models to answer causal queries from observational data.

problem Answering causal queries from observational data alone.
method Diffusion models to learn causal mechanisms and generate latent encodings.
result Significant improvements over existing methods for causal query answering.

New method for causal effect estimation with hidden confounders.

problem Estimating causal effects in the presence of hidden confounders.
method Singular value decomposition of a conditional expectation operator followed by saddle-point optimization.
result Our method outperforms existing methods on common benchmarks.

Combining experimental and observational data for long-term causal effects.

problem Estimating causal effects of treatment on long-term outcomes using mixed data types.
method Three approaches for fusing experimental and observational data: equal confounding, shared confounder, and proxy variables.
result Developed estimators for each approach and analyzed their robustness.

The paper discusses selecting predictive models for causal inference, highlighting the challenges and proposing a solution.

problem Selecting the best predictive models for causal inference from a variety of machine learning models.
method The paper proposes using RextriskR ext{-risk}, flexible estimators, and splitting data to compute risks for model selection.
result The proposed method controls both outcome errors for treated and non-treated individuals, addressing the issue of model selection for causal inference.

New methods for estimating complex causal effects in econometrics.

problem Estimating causal parameters in short panel data models using nested nonparametric instrumental variable regression.
method Introducing techniques to limit ill-posedness in nested NPIV, providing explicit mean square rates and efficient inference.
result Explicit mean square rates for nested NPIV and efficient inference for causal parameters.