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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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127255382509 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for provably correct bounds

Proposes a method for obtaining interval bounds in off-policy evaluation.

problem Provides provably correct upper and lower bounds for off-policy evaluation.
method Searches for the maximum and minimum values of the expected reward among Lipschitz Q-functions.
result Introduces a Lipschitz value iteration method to monotonically tighten interval bounds.

PatchGuard defends against localized adversarial patches with provable robustness.

problem Localized adversarial patches induce misclassification in machine learning models.
method PatchGuard uses CNNs with small receptive fields and robust masking to detect and mask corrupted features.
result PatchGuard achieves state-of-the-art provable robust accuracy and clean accuracy.

Prediction suffix trees (PST) provide an effective tool for sequence modelling and prediction. Current prediction techniques for PSTs rely on exact matching between the suffix of the current sequence and the previously observed sequence. We present a provably correct algorithm for learning a PST with approximate suffix…

2018-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper describes a suite of algorithms for constructing low-rank approximations of an input matrix from a random linear image of the matrix, called a sketch. These methods can preserve structural properties of the input matrix, such as positive-semidefiniteness, and they can produce approximations with a user-speci…

2016-08-31abs ↗pdf ↗

One-step Bellman alignment improves online RL by reducing task mismatch.

problem Online RL struggles with task similarity defined by rewards or transitions.
method One-step Bellman alignment and re-weighted targeting (RWT) to correct task mismatch.
result Regret bounds show task shift complexity, not target MDP, affects performance.

Guaranteed bounds for posterior inference in probabilistic programs.

problem Approximating the posterior distribution of probabilistic programs with provable correctness.
method Interval-based trace semantics, soundness and completeness proofs, weight-aware interval type system.
result Guaranteed bounds on the posterior distribution of probabilistic programs are computed and proven to be correct.

The Cheap Gradient Principle (Griewank 2008) --- the computational cost of computing the gradient of a scalar-valued function is nearly the same (often within a factor of 55) as that of simply computing the function itself --- is of central importance in optimization; it allows us to quickly obtain (high dimensional) …

2018-09-23abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper addresses bias in fraud detection models by improving label recovery in payment networks.

problem Systematic bias in chargeback labels in payment networks.
method Formalizes the observation pipeline as a sequential missing-data problem with three stages and a corruption layer. Constructs the Sequential Triply Robust (STR) estimator to correct for all four impairments simultaneously.
result Achieves the semiparametric efficiency bound and provably dominates naive chargeback-based training in mean squared error.

Verifying correctness of deep neural networks (DNNs) is challenging. We study a generic reachability problem for feed-forward DNNs which, for a given set of inputs to the network and a Lipschitz-continuous function over its outputs, computes the lower and upper bound on the function values. Because the network and the …

2018-05-06abs ↗pdf ↗

This research improves online learning by correcting for target shift in machine learning.

problem Online learning struggles with distributional shift, especially in target values.
method Derives closed-form expressions for online and offline learning, and target correction.
result Online kernel-based learning can learn the same predictor as offline learning with target correction.

This work explores test-time scaling strategies for LLMs, improving sample efficiency and expressiveness.

problem Understanding the sample efficiency and expressiveness of test-time scaling strategies for LLMs.
method Established separation and expressiveness results for self-consistency, best-of-nn, and self-correction strategies.
result Self-correction enables Transformers to simulate online learning over multiple tasks without prior knowledge.

New bounds for neural networks on curved manifolds improve generalization.

problem Existing generalization theories fail to account for non-Euclidean manifold structures.
method Derive covering number bounds incorporating manifold-specific properties like curvature.
result Sharp Rademacher complexity bounds for neural networks on compact manifolds.

We study the problem of subspace tracking in the presence of missing data (ST-miss). In recent work, we studied a related problem called robust ST. In this work, we show that a simple modification of our robust ST solution also provably solves ST-miss and robust ST-miss. To our knowledge, our result is the first `compl…

2018-10-06abs ↗pdf ↗

In reinforcement learning, we can learn a model of future observations and rewards, and use it to plan the agent's next actions. However, jointly modeling future observations can be computationally expensive or even intractable if the observations are high-dimensional (e.g. images). For this reason, previous works have…

2020-02-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Supervised topic models simultaneously model the latent topic structure of large collections of documents and a response variable associated with each document. Existing inference methods are based on variational approximation or Monte Carlo sampling, which often suffers from the local minimum defect. Spectral methods …

2016-02-19abs ↗pdf ↗

New method extends low-rank MDPs to continuous action spaces.

problem Limited applicability of current low-rank MDP methods to continuous action spaces.
method Extending FLAMBE algorithm to continuous action spaces with Hölder smoothness conditions.
result Similar PAC bound achieved for continuous actions with polynomial dependence on smoothness order.

Develops a new tensor model for clustering with degree correction.

problem Clustering with unknown degree heterogeneity in multiway data.
method Degree-corrected tensor block model with estimation guarantees.
result Demonstrates an intrinsic statistical-to-computational gap for tensors of order three or greater.

A neural framework corrects bias in estimating individual treatment effects.

problem Estimating individual treatment effects from observational data.
method An anchored neural architecture and precision-corrected intersection-bound inference.
result Corrected bias and maintained nominal coverage in high-dimensional settings.

Efficient RL algorithm for multinomial logistic MDPs with provable guarantees.

problem Model-based RL for episodic MDPs with unknown transition probabilities.
method Upper confidence bound-based algorithm for exploration-exploitation balance.
result Achieves ildeO(dH3T) ilde{O}(d \sqrt{H^3 T}) regret bound for multinomial logistic models.

Method estimates treatment effects with continuous values, correcting for confounding.

problem Estimating treatment effects with continuous values, dealing with confounding.
method Two-stage kernel ridge regression: first stage learns response, second stage corrects for distribution shift.
result Optimal learning bounds achieved without estimating treatment density, adapts to unknown overlap and kernel spectral decay.

We introduce the speculate-correct method to derive error bounds for local classifiers. Using it, we show that k nearest neighbor classifiers, in spite of their famously fractured decision boundaries, have exponential error bounds with O(sqrt((k + ln n) / n)) error bound range for n in-sample examples.

2014-10-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Graph-based framework for provably robust adversarial training.

problem Adversarial robustness of machine learning models.
method Formulates adversarial robustness as loss minimization with a Lipschitz constraint, using graph-based discretization and primal-dual algorithms.
result Establishes a connection between elliptic operators and adversarial learning, and proves fundamental lower bounds on adversarial sensitivity.

Contrastive UCB improves RL by learning feature representations efficiently.

problem Improving feature learning in RL for online decision making.
method Proposes UCB-based contrastive learning algorithms for RL in MDPs and MGs.
result Proves sample efficiency in learning optimal policies and Nash equilibria.

Most existing algorithms for dictionary learning assume that all entries of the (high-dimensional) input data are fully observed. However, in several practical applications (such as hyper-spectral imaging or blood glucose monitoring), only an incomplete fraction of the data entries may be available. For incomplete sett…

2018-04-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep Partition Aggregation defends against poisoning attacks with provable certificates.

problem Adversarial poisoning attacks corrupt classifier test-time behavior.
method Deep Partition Aggregation (DPA) is an ensemble method using hash partitions and base models trained on these partitions.
result DPA can certify >= 50% of test images against over 500 poison image insertions on MNIST, and nine insertions on CIFAR-10.

Optimal self-distillation improves generative models' velocity risk and mode recovery.

problem Improving generative models' velocity risk and mode recovery.
method Proved optimal self-distillation for rectified flow via linear probing, derived mixing coefficient, and provided validation tuning.
result Optimal self-distillation improves velocity risk and mode recovery.

We consider settings in which the right notion of fairness is not captured by simple mathematical definitions (such as equality of error rates across groups), but might be more complex and nuanced and thus require elicitation from individual or collective stakeholders. We introduce a framework in which pairs of individ…

2019-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Topic models provide a useful method for dimensionality reduction and exploratory data analysis in large text corpora. Most approaches to topic model inference have been based on a maximum likelihood objective. Efficient algorithms exist that approximate this objective, but they have no provable guarantees. Recently, a…

2012-12-19abs ↗pdf ↗

The construction of Mapper has emerged in the last decade as a powerful and effective topological data analysis tool that approximates and generalizes other topological summaries, such as the Reeb graph, the contour tree, split, and joint trees. In this paper, we study the parallel analysis of the construction of Mappe…

2017-12-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Improves neural network verification by merging abstract domains and Lagrangian methods.

problem Prove provable bounds for neural network outputs given input ranges.
method Uses zonotopes within a Lagrangian decomposition to verify deep neural networks.
result Yields bounds that improve upon existing techniques in both time and tightness.