This paper explores the information-theoretic limitations of graph property testing in zero-field Ising models. Instead of learning the entire graph structure, sometimes testing a basic graph property such as connectivity, cycle presence or maximum clique size is a more relevant and attainable objective. Since property…
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
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The paper tests properties of trees in graphical models using covariance queries.
The article proposes a deep learning method to test and infer the Markov property in time series data.
The study examines property testing and estimation under non-identically distributed samples, finding necessary and sufficient sample complexities.
Wide class of elliptically contoured distributions is a popular model of stock returns distribution. However the important question of adequacy of the model is open. There are some results which reject and approve such model. Such results are obtained by testing some properties of elliptical model for each pair of stoc…
PG-EVIKAL refines molecular property predictions using neighbor fusion and evidential neural networks.
Polynomial delay algorithm tests causal models with hidden variables.
Paper tests DPPs for diversity models, distinguishing them from other distributions.
We propose a new setting for testing properties of distributions while receiving samples from several distributions, but few samples per distribution. Given samples from distributions, , we design testers for the following problems: (1) Uniformity Testing: Testing whether all the 's are …
Optimal tests developed for sequential experiments with asymptotic properties.
This paper provides a comprehensive survey of Machine Learning Testing (ML testing) research. It covers 144 papers on testing properties (e.g., correctness, robustness, and fairness), testing components (e.g., the data, learning program, and framework), testing workflow (e.g., test generation and test evaluation), and …
New test for conditional independence using GNNs avoids estimating conditional distributions.
Randomization tests rely on simple data transformations and possess an appealing robustness property. In addition to being finite-sample valid if the data distribution is invariant under the transformation, these tests can be asymptotically valid under a suitable studentization of the test statistic, even if the invari…
Financial econometrics has become an increasingly popular research field. In this paper we review a few parametric and nonparametric models and methods used in this area. After introducing several widely used continuous-time and discrete-time models, we study in detail dependence structures of discrete samples, includi…
Paper develops a new test for high-dimensional matrix-valued data.
MCML uses ML to study learnability of Alloy properties, showing simple models can perform well but fail on full input space.
Nonparametric tests via kernel embedding of distributions have witnessed a great deal of practical successes in recent years. However, statistical properties of these tests are largely unknown beyond consistency against a fixed alternative. To fill in this void, we study here the asymptotic properties of goodness-of-fi…
This paper tests yield curve generators for property-casualty insurers.
Optimal testing of discrete distributions with high probability, achieving sample complexity bounds.
This article develops a framework for testing general hypothesis in high-dimensional models where the number of variables may far exceed the number of observations. Existing literature has considered less than a handful of hypotheses, such as testing individual coordinates of the model parameter. However, the problem o…
Develops a two-sample test using projected Wasserstein distance to handle high-dimensional data.
We study the statistical properties of an estimator derived by applying a gradient ascent method with multiple initializations to a multi-modal likelihood function. We derive the population quantity that is the target of this estimator and study the properties of confidence intervals (CIs) constructed from asymptotic n…
We study 'meta-dependence' in conditional independence tests across different empirical distributions.
We derive properties of the cdf of random variables defined as saddle-type points of real valued continuous stochastic processes. This facilitates the derivation of the first-order asymptotic properties of tests for stochastic spanning given some stochastic dominance relation. We define the concept of Markowitz stochas…
We develop a simple test for deviations from power law tails, which is based on the asymptotic properties of the empirical distribution function. We use this test to answer the question whether great natural disasters, financial crashes or electricity price spikes should be classified as dragon kings or 'only' as black…
New algorithm tests model calibration in nearly-linear time.
New method relaxes TV distance for two-sample testing without distributional assumptions.
We introduce new forecast encompassing tests for the risk measure Expected Shortfall (ES). The ES currently receives much attention through its introduction into the Basel III Accords, which stipulate its use as the primary market risk measure for the international banking regulation. We utilize joint loss functions fo…
New test assesses probabilistic model calibration without expensive approximations.
Algorithm distinguishes light-tailed from non-light-tailed distributions.
Improved change point detection using matched filters for non-parametric tests.
The paper proposes a method to align AI models using conformal risk control.
Survey on statistical inference under memory constraints.
We propose procedures for testing whether stock price processes are martingales based on limit order type betting strategies. We first show that the null hypothesis of martingale property of a stock price process can be tested based on the capital process of a betting strategy. In particular with high frequency Markov …
A family of maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) kernel two-sample tests is introduced. Members of the test family are called Block-tests or B-tests, since the test statistic is an average over MMDs computed on subsets of the samples. The choice of block size allows control over the tradeoff between test power and computatio…
We propose a new multivariate dependency measure. It is obtained by considering a Gaussian kernel based distance between the copula transform of the given d-dimensional distribution and the uniform copula and then appropriately normalizing it. The resulting measure is shown to satisfy a number of desirable properties. …
The properties of statistical tests for hypotheses concerning the parameters of the multifractal model of asset returns (MMAR) are investigated, using Monte Carlo techniques. We show that, in the presence of multifractality, conventional tests of long memory tend to over-reject the null hypothesis of no long memory. Ou…
New tests compare regression functions using machine learning, overcoming dimensionality issues.
Develops tests for conditional symmetry under group actions.
This article develops a statistical test for the null hypothesis of strict stationarity of a discrete time stochastic process in the frequency domain. When the null hypothesis is true, the second order cumulant spectrum is zero at all the discrete Fourier frequency pairs in the principal domain. The test uses a window …
Line graph transformation aids graph isomorphism tests by excluding challenging graph properties.
We derive new theoretical results on the properties of the adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (adaptive lasso) for time series regression models. In particular, we investigate the question of how to conduct finite sample inference on the parameters given an adaptive lasso model for some fixed valu…
A test for comparing function samples using MMD.
A new test assesses how well observed networks fit a specified ERGM model.
We introduce a bootstrap procedure for high-frequency statistics of Brownian semistationary processes. More specifically, we focus on a hypothesis test on the roughness of sample paths of Brownian semistationary processes, which uses an estimator based on a ratio of realized power variations. Our new resampling method,…
Drawing on some recent results that provide the formalism necessary to definite stationarity for infinite random graphs, this paper initiates the study of statistical and learning questions pertaining to these objects. Specifically, a criterion for the existence of a consistent test for complex hypotheses is presented,…
Rotationally equivariant convolutions improve molecular property prediction.
Statistical inference based on lossy or incomplete samples is often needed in research areas such as signal/image processing, medical image storage, remote sensing, signal transmission. In this paper, we propose a nonparametric testing procedure based on samples quantized to bits through a computationally efficient…