Equations track profits and losses in trading algorithms.
problem Evaluating the performance of trading algorithms.
method Formal equations incorporating spread.
result Evaluate trading model algorithms' performance.
The paper limits the profitability of technical trading rules and finds they are not better than random trading.
problem The profitability of technical trading rules in stock markets is controversial.
method Proves the upper bound of cumulative return and investigates the profitability of technical trading rules using bootstrap methodology.
result Technical trading rules are not better than random trading and less profitable than the market.
Study improves trading decisions by predicting profit and loss outcomes.
problem Inconsistent profitability of machine learning forecasts in financial markets.
method Developed a novel algorithm for forecasting profit and loss outcomes, integrating with market trend predictions.
result Significantly improved performance of trading strategies, including traditional and algorithmic trading.
Online trading platforms manipulate profits and losses, causing 82% of retail traders to lose money.
problem Manipulation of online trading platforms leading to financial losses for retail traders.
method Independent recording of trade details using REST API responses, comparison with broker reviews.
result 82% of retail traders lose money due to platform technical issues.
The study analyzes trading imbalances from SEC Form 13F-HR filings to identify profitable trading opportunities.
problem Identifying profitable trading opportunities based on SEC Form 13F-HR filings.
method Statistical analysis of holdings variations and imbalances between consecutive reporting periods.
result A profitable trading strategy can be implemented by betting against the sign of imbalances with a 1-2 month time horizon.
Technical trading rules have been widely used by practitioners in financial markets for a long time. The profitability remains controversial and few consider the stationarity of technical indicators used in trading rules. We convert MA, KDJ and Bollinger bands into stationary processes and investigate the profitability…
VGRSI uses price visibility graphs to generate profitable trading signals.
problem Ineffective traditional technical analysis indicators in financial markets.
method Visibility Graphs Relative Strength Index (VGRSI) based on backward visibility relations in price data.
result VGRSI signals generated substantial profits across different asset classes.
Study validates low latency's impact on trading profits.
problem Determining the impact of low latency on trading profits.
method Agent-based simulation of trading strategies in a controlled environment.
result Latency inversely affects trading profits; latency rank is key.
RL enhances cryptocurrency trading profits.
problem Enhancing cryptocurrency trading profits through dynamic scaling.
method Combining RL with pair trading, using new reward shaping and observation/action spaces.
result RL-based trading achieved 9.94% to 31.53% annualized profits, vs. 8.33% for traditional methods.
Combines deep learning and reinforcement learning for profitable trading.
problem Analytical methods fail to fully capture market dynamics.
method Deep learning on order books combined with reinforcement learning.
result Successful trading models for multiple financial instruments.
Paper uses Bayesian optimization to find best Supertrend indicator settings.
problem Finding optimal trading parameters for the Supertrend indicator.
method Bayesian optimization to automate parameter selection.
result BO-optimized Supertrend strategy yields higher profits in backtesting.
High-frequency trading strategy boosts battery storage profits.
problem Maximizing revenue for battery energy storage systems in intraday markets.
method Adapted dynamic programming for continuous intraday markets, considering limit order book dynamics.
result Dynamic programming strategy outperforms standard re-optimization methods, increasing profits by 58% and 14% respectively.
Modeling fees impacts on arbitrage profits and LP losses in AMMs.
problem Impact of trading fees on arbitrage profits and LP losses in AMMs.
method Extended model of AMMs with fees and Poisson block generation times, computed instantaneous rate of arbitrage profit.
result Fees scale down arbitrage profits, reducing LP losses with faster block rates and lower gas fees.
The study uses machine learning to predict cryptocurrency market trends and design profitable trading strategies.
problem Predicting cryptocurrency market trends for profitable trading.
method Applied k-Nearest Neighbours, eXtreme Gradient Boosting, and Random Forest classifiers to detect trends.
result High profit factor of 1.60 for unseen data, showing promising results.
Improved stock trading model using feature selection and ensemble learning.
problem Challenges in making profit in the US stock market.
method Feature selection from 148 to 30, dynamic selection of top 25 features, ensemble learning with four classifiers.
result Best model generated 54.35% profit over 18 months.
A new trading model combines GARCH and PPO for better stock trading profits.
problem Limited performance of reinforcement learning in stock market trading.
method Parallel-network continuous trading model using GARCH and PPO.
result The model achieves more profit compared to traditional reinforcement learning methods.
VMAT strategy improves multivariate pair trading performance.
problem Leveraging multivariate time series for profitable portfolio management.
method Volatility & Model Adaption Trade-off (VMAT) strategy.
result VMAT strategy outperforms baseline strategies.
Although technical trading rules have been widely used by practitioners in financial markets, their profitability still remains controversial. We here investigate the profitability of moving average (MA) and trading range break (TRB) rules by using the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SHCI) from May 21, 1992 th…
SentARL uses sentiment features to improve trading profits.
problem Improving profit stability in single-asset trading.
method Sentiment-Aware Reinforcement Learning (SentARL) system.
result SentARL consistently outperforms baselines across multiple assets and conditions.
Paper examines costs of using wrong price impact models in trading.
problem Misspecifying price impact models in trading predictions.
method Derives formulas for misspecification costs and applies to trading data.
result Misspecification costs are asymmetric, affecting profits and losses.
StockAgent uses AI to simulate real-world stock trading, analyzing external factors and profitability.
problem Investors need to understand how external factors affect stock trading.
method Developed StockAgent, a multi-agent system driven by large language models.
result Identified how external factors impact trading behavior and profitability.
CREDIT learns to master pair trading with risk-aware RL, outperforming existing methods.
problem Challenges in applying RL to pair trading due to temporal correlations and risk considerations.
method Risk-aware recurrent reinforcement learning (RL) with bidirectional GRU and temporal attention.
result CREDIT achieves significant profit in pair trading over five years of U.S. stock data.
Automated trading systems on developed and emerging capital markets are studied in this paper. The standard for developed market is automated trading system with 40-days simple moving average. We tested it for the index SIX Industrial for 1000 and 730 trading days of the slovak emerging capital market. The Buy and Hold…
Article proposes a profitable intraday trading strategy for Chinese stocks.
problem Intraday trading opportunities in Chinese stock market.
method Markowitz optimization and Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) for stock price prediction.
result Validation of Markowitz portfolio optimization and MLP for intraday stock price prediction.
In this paper, we present a multi-period trading model by assuming that traders face not only asymmetric information but also heterogenous prior beliefs, under the requirement that the insider publicly disclose his stock trades after the fact. We show that there is an equilibrium in which the irrational insider camoufl…
LG algorithm finds profitable trading paths in decentralized exchanges.
problem Identifying optimal trading paths in decentralized exchanges.
method Line-graph-based algorithm (LG) for efficient route discovery.
result LG consistently identifies more profitable paths than DFS with comparable costs.
Reinforcement learning crypto agent achieves high returns on Bitcoin derivatives.
problem Maximizing returns on volatile cryptocurrency markets.
method Online transfer learning with an echo state network and recurrent reinforcement learning.
result Achieves a total return of 350%, net of transaction costs, over five years.
A trading system predicts stock prices using DNNs for Abercrombie & Fitch Co. shares.
problem Complexity and unpredictability of stock market prices.
method Feed-forward deep neural networks (DNNs) for price prediction, technical indicators for trade generation.
result Increased profitability with high Sharpe, Sortino, and Calmar ratios.
Novel OTT method for cryptocurrency trading offers high annualized profit.
problem Quantifying and exploiting trading opportunities in cryptocurrency markets.
method Bi-objective convex optimization for balancing profit and risk.
result Annualized profit of 15.49% in cryptocurrency market from 2020 to 2022.
Proposes a framework to reconcile policy learning and profit maximization in CATE estimation.
problem Aligning CATE estimation with profit maximization for optimal customer treatment decisions.
method Optimizes a novel objective function that concentrates learning capacity near the decision boundary, ensuring consistency with the original profit function.
result Consistent CATE estimates can be recovered from existing profit-maximization pipelines, allowing firms to navigate the trade-off between accuracy and profit.
Paper proves using historical trading info improves trading strategies.
problem Improving trading strategies through historical data.
method Develops a new strategy using self-generated historical trading information.
result A new strategy consistently outperforms existing ones.
RL agent learns to avoid market spoofing.
problem Avoiding subtle non-normative behavior in trading agents.
method Learned recognizer incorporated into RL agent's reward function.
result RL agent avoids spoofing while remaining profitable.
Novel trading strategy for generalized lattice markets ensures positive profits.
problem Trading in markets with serially correlated returns and asset correlation.
method Multi-double linear policies in a generalized lattice market model.
result Proposed policies ensure positive expected profits in a lattice market.
DeepScalper uses RL to capture intraday trading opportunities, balancing risk and profit.
problem Capturing fleeting intraday trading opportunities in high-frequency markets.
method Dueling Q-network, reward function with hindsight bonus, encoder-decoder architecture, risk-aware auxiliary task.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in financial criteria.
Deep RL shows promise in algo trading, but more research needed.
problem Improving profitability in automated stock trading.
method Deep Reinforcement Learning applied to quantitative algo trading.
result Statistically significant improvements in performance, but no profitability.
Developed Forex trading heuristics with high profit potential.
problem Reduced trade opportunities due to technical indicator values.
method Machine learning simulation of 10 years of Forex data.
result Optimized trade parameters for 118 pips daily profit.
An algorithm was recently introduced by INTECH for the purposes of estimating the trading-profit contribution of systematic rebalancing to the relative return of rules-based investment strategies. We apply this methodology to analyze the size factor through the use of equal-weighted portfolios. These strategies combine…
Optimizes trading portfolios considering risk and profit.
problem Balancing risk and profit in trading portfolios.
method Risk-Aware Trading Swarm (RATS) algorithm.
result RATS improves portfolio performance and risk management.
Optimizes bidding in hourly and quarter-hourly electricity markets to reduce price impact.
problem Maximizing profit in two consecutive electricity markets with market impact and transaction costs.
method Examined multiple price scenarios, estimated market impact, used trading strategies, provided theoretical results.
result Minimizing price impact is more profitable than maximizing arbitrage in the German EPEX market.
This paper uses feature preprocessing and RRL to automate profitable financial trading.
problem Automating profitable financial trading strategies.
method Feature preprocessing (PCA, DWT) followed by Recurrent Reinforcement Learning (RRL).
result The proposed strategy is effective, robust, and mitigates RRL's drawbacks.
Researchers calibrate an adaptive Farmer-Joshi model to recover stylized facts in financial markets.
problem Recovering stylized facts in financial markets using the Farmer-Joshi model.
method Calibrated an adaptive Farmer-Joshi model using genetic and Nelder-Mead algorithms, incorporating agent adaptation.
result The adaptive model recovers additional stylized facts, including auto-correlations and kurtosis, compared to the original model.
Study identifies Bitcoin arbitrageurs and their trading strategies.
problem Detecting and understanding Bitcoin arbitrageurs on Mt. Gox.
method Analyzing historical trade data from Mt. Gox (2011-2014) to identify and categorize arbitrageurs.
result Expert arbitrageurs have a positive profit margin, while novice users do not.
The profitability of CPMMs is significantly impacted by mint and burn fees.
problem Understanding the profitability of decentralized exchanges.
method Formalized liquidity providers' profitability conditions, studied the effect of mint and burn fees, and compiled a large data set from Uniswap V2 transactions.
result The profitability of liquidity provision is severely affected by mint and burn costs.
Addressing the ongoing examination of high-frequency trading practices in financial markets, we report the results of an extensive empirical study estimating the maximum possible profitability of the most aggressive such practices, and arrive at figures that are surprisingly modest. By "aggressive" we mean any trading …
We study the relationship between price spread, volatility and trading volume. We find that spread forms as a result of interplay between order liquidity and order impact. When trading volume is small adding more liquidity helps improve price accuracy and reduce spread, but after some point additional liquidity begins …
We present a deep long short-term memory (LSTM)-based neural network for predicting asset prices, together with a successful trading strategy for generating profits based on the model's predictions. Our work is motivated by the fact that the effectiveness of any prediction model is inherently coupled to the trading str…
NoxTrader predicts stock returns using LSTM for profitable trading.
problem Predicting profitable stock returns for quantitative trading.
method LSTM model for time-series analysis of stock data.
result Improved investment return from -60% to 325%.
The paper analyzes profitable bidding strategies for BESS in day-ahead and intraday markets.
problem Optimizing profitability of Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) in day-ahead and intraday markets.
method Employing the rolling intrinsic approach to model continuous intraday markets, accounting for bid-ask spreads and liquidity constraints.
result Multi-market bidding strategies outperform single-market participation, and relaxing daily cycling constraints can unlock additional value.