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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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275380106 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for profitable trading

The paper limits the profitability of technical trading rules and finds they are not better than random trading.

problem The profitability of technical trading rules in stock markets is controversial.
method Proves the upper bound of cumulative return and investigates the profitability of technical trading rules using bootstrap methodology.
result Technical trading rules are not better than random trading and less profitable than the market.

Study improves trading decisions by predicting profit and loss outcomes.

problem Inconsistent profitability of machine learning forecasts in financial markets.
method Developed a novel algorithm for forecasting profit and loss outcomes, integrating with market trend predictions.
result Significantly improved performance of trading strategies, including traditional and algorithmic trading.

Online trading platforms manipulate profits and losses, causing 82% of retail traders to lose money.

problem Manipulation of online trading platforms leading to financial losses for retail traders.
method Independent recording of trade details using REST API responses, comparison with broker reviews.
result 82% of retail traders lose money due to platform technical issues.

The study analyzes trading imbalances from SEC Form 13F-HR filings to identify profitable trading opportunities.

problem Identifying profitable trading opportunities based on SEC Form 13F-HR filings.
method Statistical analysis of holdings variations and imbalances between consecutive reporting periods.
result A profitable trading strategy can be implemented by betting against the sign of imbalances with a 1-2 month time horizon.

VGRSI uses price visibility graphs to generate profitable trading signals.

problem Ineffective traditional technical analysis indicators in financial markets.
method Visibility Graphs Relative Strength Index (VGRSI) based on backward visibility relations in price data.
result VGRSI signals generated substantial profits across different asset classes.

Paper uses Bayesian optimization to find best Supertrend indicator settings.

problem Finding optimal trading parameters for the Supertrend indicator.
method Bayesian optimization to automate parameter selection.
result BO-optimized Supertrend strategy yields higher profits in backtesting.

High-frequency trading strategy boosts battery storage profits.

problem Maximizing revenue for battery energy storage systems in intraday markets.
method Adapted dynamic programming for continuous intraday markets, considering limit order book dynamics.
result Dynamic programming strategy outperforms standard re-optimization methods, increasing profits by 58% and 14% respectively.

Modeling fees impacts on arbitrage profits and LP losses in AMMs.

problem Impact of trading fees on arbitrage profits and LP losses in AMMs.
method Extended model of AMMs with fees and Poisson block generation times, computed instantaneous rate of arbitrage profit.
result Fees scale down arbitrage profits, reducing LP losses with faster block rates and lower gas fees.

The study uses machine learning to predict cryptocurrency market trends and design profitable trading strategies.

problem Predicting cryptocurrency market trends for profitable trading.
method Applied k-Nearest Neighbours, eXtreme Gradient Boosting, and Random Forest classifiers to detect trends.
result High profit factor of 1.60 for unseen data, showing promising results.

Improved stock trading model using feature selection and ensemble learning.

problem Challenges in making profit in the US stock market.
method Feature selection from 148 to 30, dynamic selection of top 25 features, ensemble learning with four classifiers.
result Best model generated 54.35% profit over 18 months.

StockAgent uses AI to simulate real-world stock trading, analyzing external factors and profitability.

problem Investors need to understand how external factors affect stock trading.
method Developed StockAgent, a multi-agent system driven by large language models.
result Identified how external factors impact trading behavior and profitability.

CREDIT learns to master pair trading with risk-aware RL, outperforming existing methods.

problem Challenges in applying RL to pair trading due to temporal correlations and risk considerations.
method Risk-aware recurrent reinforcement learning (RL) with bidirectional GRU and temporal attention.
result CREDIT achieves significant profit in pair trading over five years of U.S. stock data.

Automated trading systems on developed and emerging capital markets are studied in this paper. The standard for developed market is automated trading system with 40-days simple moving average. We tested it for the index SIX Industrial for 1000 and 730 trading days of the slovak emerging capital market. The Buy and Hold…

2005-05-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Article proposes a profitable intraday trading strategy for Chinese stocks.

problem Intraday trading opportunities in Chinese stock market.
method Markowitz optimization and Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) for stock price prediction.
result Validation of Markowitz portfolio optimization and MLP for intraday stock price prediction.

In this paper, we present a multi-period trading model by assuming that traders face not only asymmetric information but also heterogenous prior beliefs, under the requirement that the insider publicly disclose his stock trades after the fact. We show that there is an equilibrium in which the irrational insider camoufl…

2011-05-12abs ↗pdf ↗

A trading system predicts stock prices using DNNs for Abercrombie & Fitch Co. shares.

problem Complexity and unpredictability of stock market prices.
method Feed-forward deep neural networks (DNNs) for price prediction, technical indicators for trade generation.
result Increased profitability with high Sharpe, Sortino, and Calmar ratios.

Novel OTT method for cryptocurrency trading offers high annualized profit.

problem Quantifying and exploiting trading opportunities in cryptocurrency markets.
method Bi-objective convex optimization for balancing profit and risk.
result Annualized profit of 15.49% in cryptocurrency market from 2020 to 2022.

Proposes a framework to reconcile policy learning and profit maximization in CATE estimation.

problem Aligning CATE estimation with profit maximization for optimal customer treatment decisions.
method Optimizes a novel objective function that concentrates learning capacity near the decision boundary, ensuring consistency with the original profit function.
result Consistent CATE estimates can be recovered from existing profit-maximization pipelines, allowing firms to navigate the trade-off between accuracy and profit.

DeepScalper uses RL to capture intraday trading opportunities, balancing risk and profit.

problem Capturing fleeting intraday trading opportunities in high-frequency markets.
method Dueling Q-network, reward function with hindsight bonus, encoder-decoder architecture, risk-aware auxiliary task.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in financial criteria.

An algorithm was recently introduced by INTECH for the purposes of estimating the trading-profit contribution of systematic rebalancing to the relative return of rules-based investment strategies. We apply this methodology to analyze the size factor through the use of equal-weighted portfolios. These strategies combine…

2016-01-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes bidding in hourly and quarter-hourly electricity markets to reduce price impact.

problem Maximizing profit in two consecutive electricity markets with market impact and transaction costs.
method Examined multiple price scenarios, estimated market impact, used trading strategies, provided theoretical results.
result Minimizing price impact is more profitable than maximizing arbitrage in the German EPEX market.

This paper uses feature preprocessing and RRL to automate profitable financial trading.

problem Automating profitable financial trading strategies.
method Feature preprocessing (PCA, DWT) followed by Recurrent Reinforcement Learning (RRL).
result The proposed strategy is effective, robust, and mitigates RRL's drawbacks.

Researchers calibrate an adaptive Farmer-Joshi model to recover stylized facts in financial markets.

problem Recovering stylized facts in financial markets using the Farmer-Joshi model.
method Calibrated an adaptive Farmer-Joshi model using genetic and Nelder-Mead algorithms, incorporating agent adaptation.
result The adaptive model recovers additional stylized facts, including auto-correlations and kurtosis, compared to the original model.

Study identifies Bitcoin arbitrageurs and their trading strategies.

problem Detecting and understanding Bitcoin arbitrageurs on Mt. Gox.
method Analyzing historical trade data from Mt. Gox (2011-2014) to identify and categorize arbitrageurs.
result Expert arbitrageurs have a positive profit margin, while novice users do not.

The profitability of CPMMs is significantly impacted by mint and burn fees.

problem Understanding the profitability of decentralized exchanges.
method Formalized liquidity providers' profitability conditions, studied the effect of mint and burn fees, and compiled a large data set from Uniswap V2 transactions.
result The profitability of liquidity provision is severely affected by mint and burn costs.

Addressing the ongoing examination of high-frequency trading practices in financial markets, we report the results of an extensive empirical study estimating the maximum possible profitability of the most aggressive such practices, and arrive at figures that are surprisingly modest. By "aggressive" we mean any trading …

2010-07-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes profitable bidding strategies for BESS in day-ahead and intraday markets.

problem Optimizing profitability of Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) in day-ahead and intraday markets.
method Employing the rolling intrinsic approach to model continuous intraday markets, accounting for bid-ask spreads and liquidity constraints.
result Multi-market bidding strategies outperform single-market participation, and relaxing daily cycling constraints can unlock additional value.