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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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6361,2721,9072,543 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for profit and loss attribution

Study shows OAT decomposition generates unexplained profit and loss, while SU decompositions depend on risk factor order.

problem Understanding profit and loss attribution in financial markets.
method Used financial market data from 2003 to 2022 to compare OAT, SU, and ASU decompositions.
result SU decompositions are sensitive to risk factor order and cannot identify all relevant risk factors.

An algorithm was recently introduced by INTECH for the purposes of estimating the trading-profit contribution of systematic rebalancing to the relative return of rules-based investment strategies. We apply this methodology to analyze the size factor through the use of equal-weighted portfolios. These strategies combine…

2016-01-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Online trading platforms manipulate profits and losses, causing 82% of retail traders to lose money.

problem Manipulation of online trading platforms leading to financial losses for retail traders.
method Independent recording of trade details using REST API responses, comparison with broker reviews.
result 82% of retail traders lose money due to platform technical issues.

Study improves trading decisions by predicting profit and loss outcomes.

problem Inconsistent profitability of machine learning forecasts in financial markets.
method Developed a novel algorithm for forecasting profit and loss outcomes, integrating with market trend predictions.
result Significantly improved performance of trading strategies, including traditional and algorithmic trading.

Optimizes liquidity provision intervals for profitable AMM participation.

problem Financial losses from poor liquidity provision intervals and reallocation costs.
method Developed a tractable stochastic optimization problem.
result Computes optimal liquidity provision intervals for profitable liquidity concentration.

The paper defines fair profit sharing ratios in Islamic PL contracts.

problem Determining fair profit sharing ratios in Islamic PL contracts.
method Introduces cc-fair profit sharing ratios and uses econometrics models to compute or approximate them.
result Elucidates the relation between profit sharing ratios and economic factors.

Paper presents a machine learning algorithm for hedging ETF options, outperforming static hedging methods.

problem Semi-static hedging of ETF options with transaction costs and varying market conditions.
method Data-driven machine learning algorithm considering transaction costs, automated portfolio management, and PnL attribution analysis.
result The static hedging approach outperforms dynamic hedging methods in terms of profit and loss.

New method decomposes profits and losses continuously, avoiding discrete reporting issues.

problem Analyzing profits and losses at discrete dates ignores detailed paths.
method Constructs a large class of continuous-time decompositions using extended Itô's formula.
result Identifies a preferred decomposition from exactness, symmetry, and normalization axioms.

Corporate transparency reduces investors' disposition effect by increasing confidence in holding profitable and losing stocks.

problem Irrational disposition effect in investors selling profitable assets too soon and holding onto losing assets for too long.
method Examined the impact of corporate transparency on individual investors' disposition effect.
result Increased corporate transparency significantly reduces the disposition effect.

Modeling fees impacts on arbitrage profits and LP losses in AMMs.

problem Impact of trading fees on arbitrage profits and LP losses in AMMs.
method Extended model of AMMs with fees and Poisson block generation times, computed instantaneous rate of arbitrage profit.
result Fees scale down arbitrage profits, reducing LP losses with faster block rates and lower gas fees.

This paper introduces a high frequency trade execution model to evaluate the economic impact of supervised machine learners. Extending the concept of a confusion matrix, we present a 'trade information matrix' to attribute the expected profit and loss of the high frequency strategy under execution constraints, such as …

2017-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

In this work, we address the problem of modifying textual attributes of sentences. Given an input sentence and a set of attribute labels, we attempt to generate sentences that are compatible with the conditioning information. To ensure that the model generates content compatible sentences, we introduce a reconstruction…

2018-11-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Real-Time Bidding is nowadays one of the most promising systems in the online advertising ecosystem. In the presented study, the performance of RTB campaigns is improved by optimising the parameters of the users' profiles and the publishers' websites. Most studies about optimising RTB campaigns are focused on the biddi…

2019-10-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Credit risk may be warehoused by choice, or because of limited hedging possibilities. Credit risk warehousing increases capital requirements and leaves open risk. Open risk must be priced in the physical measure, rather than the risk neutral measure, and implies profits and losses. Furthermore the rate of return on cap…

2014-07-11abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper tackles attributing forecast gaps in complex model suites.

problem Attributing forecast gaps to individual component models in complex model suites.
method Formalized walk analysis, adapted LMDI and Shapley value approaches.
result Developed efficient formulas for gap attribution in practical portfolio-scale examples.

A new method, VIF, calculates influence for non-decomposable losses efficiently.

problem Efficiently calculating influence for complex machine learning models with non-decomposable losses.
method Revisiting influence function from robust statistics, proposing Versatile Influence Function (VIF) for any non-decomposable loss.
result VIF method is up to 10^3 times faster than brute-force methods and closely matches influence results.

A method for predicting profit and loss distributions of complex financial portfolios using neural networks.

problem Predicting profit and loss distributions for portfolios with non-linear and path-dependent derivatives.
method Least Square Monte Carlo algorithm with a feed forward neural network for interpolation of continuation values.
result Flexible and automatic accounting of multiple assets in financial portfolios.

Traders buy and sell financial instruments in hopes of making profit, and brokers are responsible for the transaction. There are several hypotheses and conspiracy theories arguing that in some situations, brokers want their traders to lose money. For instance, a broker may want to protect the positions of a privileged …

2016-04-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper estimates differences in multi-attribute Gaussian graphical models using non-convex penalties.

problem Estimating differences in multi-attribute Gaussian graphical models with similar structure.
method Penalized D-trace loss function with non-convex (log-sum and SCAD) penalties, proximal gradient descent methods.
result Theoretical analysis and numerical examples support consistency in support recovery and estimation.

Proposes VCLANC for attributed network clustering using node and attribute embeddings.

problem Lack of mutual affinity exploitation between nodes and attributes in graph convolution.
method Dual variational auto-encoders for node and attribute embeddings, Gaussian mixture model priors, mutual distance and clustering assignment hardening losses.
result Demonstrates effectiveness on real-world attributed network datasets.

New method optimizes fairness in predictive models for continuous sensitive attributes.

problem Enforcing full statistical independence on continuous sensitive attributes is too restrictive.
method Functional bilevel optimization (FBO) and ITD algorithms.
result Achieves lowest or near-lowest fairness-accuracy regret on synthetic and real datasets.

We consider the problem of learning linear classifiers when both features and labels are binary. In addition, the features are noisy, i.e., they could be flipped with an unknown probability. In Sy-De attribute noise model, where all features could be noisy together with same probability, we show that 00-11 loss ($l_{…

2019-11-18abs ↗pdf ↗

We use a continuous-time random walk (CTRW) to model market fluctuation data from times when traders experience excessive losses or excessive profits. We analytically derive "superstatistics" that accurately model empirical market activity data (supplied by Bogachev, Ludescher, Tsallis, and Bunde)that exhibit transitio…

2015-09-10abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework for optimizing online experiments to maximize profit.

problem Statistical flaws and reliance on proxy metrics in A/B tests compromise their effectiveness.
method Hierarchical Bayesian model for estimating conversion probability and monetary value, decision-theoretic stopping rule.
result The framework ensures experiments conclude when no variant offers a significant profit improvement, conserving resources.

Developing an Agent-Based Model to Mitigate Adverse Selection in Uniswap v3 Liquidity Providers

problem Adverse selection in Uniswap v3 liquidity providers
method Agent-Based Model incorporating blockchain microstructure and volatility dynamics
result Dynamic fee schedules improve hedged Profit and Loss for liquidity providers

The paper optimizes stock portfolios with constraints based on performance attribution.

problem Optimizing stock portfolios with performance attribution constraints.
method Minimizes expected tail loss, constrains asset allocation and selection effect, tests on Dow Jones stocks.
result Imposing constraints on asset allocation and selection effect improves portfolio performance.

Bayesian approach scores influential training examples for model predictions.

problem Enhance interpretability and safety of machine learning models.
method Formulate TDA as a Bayesian information-theoretic problem, scoring subsets by information loss.
result Method aligns with classical influence scores while promoting diversity for subsets.

We present an analytical study of an insurance company. We model the company's performance on a statistical basis and evaluate the predicted annual income of the company in terms of insurance parameters namely the premium, total number of the insured, average loss claims etc. We restrict ourselves to a single insurance…

2002-11-24abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proves ADL mechanisms face a trilemma and optimizes them for fairness, revenue, and exchange solvency.

problem The impossibility of a perpetual futures exchange achieving solvency, revenue, and fairness.
method Formal model of ADL, proving trilemma, and analyzing three ADL mechanisms.
result Optimized ADL mechanisms can reduce trader losses while maintaining exchange solvency.

Paper proposes a deep hedging method for Bermudan swaptions to manage residual profit and loss.

problem Real-world market conditions differ from ideal assumptions in traditional hedging methods, leading to residual profit and loss.
method Deep hedging framework applied to Bermudan swaptions, allowing flexible risk measures and hedge strategies.
result Effective residual profit and loss management demonstrated through numerical analysis.

A new method for disentangled latent spaces in VAEs that can manipulate attributes.

problem Disentangled representation of attributes in latent spaces of VAEs.
method Attribute-based regularization loss to enforce monotonic relationships between attributes and latent codes.
result Manipulation of attributes in latent spaces post-training.

We introduce a modular framework for market making. It combines cost-function based automated market makers with bandit algorithms. We obtain worst-case profits guarantee's relative to the best in hindsight within a class of natural "overround" cost functions . This combination allow us to have distribution-free guaran…

2011-12-01abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce a quantitative approach to comparative statics that allows to bound the maximum effect of an exogenous parameter change on a system's equilibrium. The motivation for this approach is a well known paradox in multimarket Cournot competition, where a positive price shock on a monopoly market may actually redu…

2013-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Winterization of Texas power system profitable but risky, estimated at $11.74bn over 30 years.

problem Profitability and risk of winterizing Texas power system infrastructure.
method Combined temperature-dependent load and outage estimates over 71 years of climate data.
result Large-scale winterization of gas infrastructure and power plants is profitable, but risks are high due to low-frequency of cold spells.

This paper evaluates various loss functions for Transformer models in stock ranking.

problem Evaluating loss functions for Transformer models in stock ranking.
method Systematic evaluation of advanced loss functions (pointwise, pairwise, listwise) on S&P 500 data.
result Different loss functions impact a model's ability to discern profitable relative orderings among assets.