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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

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4998147196 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for professional decisions

The Chain-of-Decision approach improves forecasting of financial professionals' trading decisions.

problem Challenges in forecasting professionals' behaviors, especially in trading decisions.
method Integrates an opinion-generator-in-the-loop to provide subjective analysis based on news items.
result Promising improvements in the proposed tasks' performance.

The semantic map calibrates uncertainty from language model probabilities.

problem Uncertainty in language model probabilities for professional decisions.
method Prespecified semantic map linking probabilities of verbal responses to probabilities of declared states.
result Language-derived probabilities outperform printed numerical probabilities and recover valid uncertainty coverage.

Human decision making by professionals trading daily in the stock market can be a daunting task. It includes decisions on whether to keep on investing or to exit a market subject to huge price swings, and how to price in news or rumors attributed to a specific stock. The question then arises how professional traders, w…

2011-09-30abs ↗pdf ↗

DefogGAN predicts hidden RTS game information to aid strategic decision-making.

problem Predicting hidden information in real-time strategy games like StarCraft.
method Conditional Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) with pyramidal reconstruction loss.
result DefogGAN predicts enemy buildings and combat units as accurately as professional players.

Traders and investors involved in an option contract having the underlying stock in range bound are likely to lose their initial investment. Timing in buying an option contract is of capital importance. In a recent article [1] the hypothesis of range bound market is used in conjunction to Black-Scholes equation to find…

2013-07-23abs ↗pdf ↗

The professional services sector is at a turning point, with some industries showing growth opportunities.

problem Identifying growth opportunities in the professional services sector after decades of growth.
method A simple framework applied to the US economic context to diagnose growth opportunities.
result The professional services sector is expected to stall at a national level, but some industries still offer growth opportunities.

The goal of this article is to inspire data scientists to participate in the debate on the impact that their professional work has on society, and to become active in public debates on the digital world as data science professionals. How do ethical principles (e.g., fairness, justice, beneficence, and non-maleficence) …

2019-01-14abs ↗pdf ↗

RL algorithms with medical integration improve personalized treatment recommendations.

problem Developing effective personalized treatment strategies for chronic diseases.
method Integrating medical knowledge into RL algorithms for DTR.
result Enhanced treatment recommendations with increased confidence.

AI-Interpret transforms opaque policies into simple, interpretable decision rules.

problem Designing effective decision aids for professionals to mitigate decision-making biases.
method Combining imitation learning, program induction, and clustering to transform learned policies into interpretable descriptions.
result Providing interpretable decision rules as flowcharts significantly improves people's planning strategies and decisions.

MCU-Net combines U-Net and Monte Carlo Dropout for uncertainty in medical image segmentation.

problem Lack of uncertainty representation in deep learning methods for patient-centered healthcare decisions.
method MCU-Net framework using U-Net and Monte Carlo Dropout with four uncertainty metrics.
result MCU-Net maximizes automated performance and refers truly uncertain cases.

Method learns evolving policies in healthcare contexts.

problem Understanding non-stationary behavior in evolving decision-making processes.
method Inverse Contextual Bandits (ICB) approach for learning interpretable representations of non-stationary behavior.
result Demonstrated applicability and accuracy of ICB method in liver transplantation policies.

Multimodal analysis assesses job interview performance and provides feedback.

problem Assessing candidate performance in interviews for professional roles.
method Multimodal analytical framework using video, audio, and text data.
result The proposed methodology achieved promising results in predicting behavioral cues.

Supply Chain Management often requires independent organizations to work together to achieve shared objectives. This collaboration is necessary when coordinated actions benefit the group more than the uncoordinated efforts of individual firms. Despite the commonly reported benefits that can be gained in close relations…

2016-10-10abs ↗pdf ↗

AI enhances financial services but humans are irreplaceable for empathy, presence, and ethics.

problem AI's limitations in financial services, especially with small datasets and human judgment.
method EPOCH framework highlighting five irreplaceable human capabilities: Empathy, Presence, Opinion, Creativity, and Hope.
result Humans are essential for trust, innovation, and consumer experience in financial services.

FinRobot opens-source AI for financial tasks, breaking down complex problems.

problem Barriers to AI adoption in finance due to proprietary data and specialized knowledge.
method Develops open-source AI agent platform with four layers: Financial AI Agents, LLM Algorithms, LLMOps/DataOps, and Foundation Models.
result FinRobot democratizes AI access for financial analysis.

Deep RL outperforms traditional MVO in optimal portfolio allocation.

problem Optimizing portfolio allocation to balance returns and risk.
method Training a DRL agent on historical market data to optimize portfolio allocation, comparing against MVO.
result DRL agent outperforms MVO in various metrics including Sharpe ratio, maximum drawdowns, and absolute returns.

Wearable devices have the potential to enhance sports performance, yet they are not fulfilling this promise. Our previous studies with 6 professional tennis coaches and 20 players indicate that this could be due the lack of psychological or mental state feedback, which the coaches claim to provide. Towards this end, we…

2018-03-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Building machine translation (MT) test sets is a relatively expensive task. As MT becomes increasingly desired for more and more language pairs and more and more domains, it becomes necessary to build test sets for each case. In this paper, we investigate using Amazon's Mechanical Turk (MTurk) to make MT test sets chea…

2014-10-20abs ↗pdf ↗

FinMem enhances LLM trading agents with layered memory and character design.

problem Developing purpose-driven LLM agents for financial decision-making.
method Integrates layered memory and character design modules into an LLM framework.
result Significantly enhanced trading performance in financial markets.

Study predicts soccer player market values using machine learning and SHAP for interpretability.

problem Predicting accurate market values for professional soccer players.
method Ensemble machine learning models, SHAP for interpretability, Boruta for feature selection.
result GBDT model achieved high predictive accuracy (R-squared 0.901, RMSE 3,221,632.175).

This paper describes the Pressure Ulcers Online Website, which is a first step solution towards a new and innovative platform for helping people to detect, understand and manage pressure ulcers. It outlines the reasons why the project has been developed and provides a central point of contact for pressure ulcer analysi…

2018-08-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Characterization of a patient clinical phenotype is central to biomedical informatics. ICD codes, assigned to inpatient encounters by coders, is important for population health and cohort discovery when clinical information is limited. While ICD codes are assigned to patients by professionals trained and certified in c…

2018-11-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Peer review is the foundation of scientific publication, and the task of reviewing has long been seen as a cornerstone of professional service. However, the massive growth in the field of machine learning has put this community benefit under stress, threatening both the sustainability of an effective review process and…

2018-12-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Professional sports are developing towards increasingly scientific training methods with increasing amounts of data being collected from laboratory tests, training sessions and competitions. In cycling, it is standard to equip bicycles with small computers recording data from sensors such as power-meters, in addition t…

2018-08-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Digital tools may hinder or facilitate multidisciplinary collaboration in occupational health.

problem Challenges in multidisciplinary collaboration in occupational health.
method Study of a precursor SPSTI's digital tools and their impacts.
result Digital tools can act as both brakes and levers for multidisciplinary dynamics.

Health professionals can use natural language processing (NLP) technologies when reviewing electronic health records (EHR). Machine learning free-text classifiers can help them identify problems and make critical decisions. We aim to develop deep learning neural network algorithms that identify EHR progress notes perta…

2018-09-16abs ↗pdf ↗

The goal of this thesis is to investigate the potential of predictive modelling for football injuries. This work was conducted in close collaboration with Tottenham Hotspurs FC (THFC), the PGA European tour and the participation of Wolverhampton Wanderers (WW). Three investigations were conducted: 1. Predicting the rec…

2016-09-20abs ↗pdf ↗

N-grams have been a common tool for information retrieval and machine learning applications for decades. In nearly all previous works, only a few values of nn are tested, with n>6n > 6 being exceedingly rare. Larger values of nn are not tested due to computational burden or the fear of overfitting. In this work, we pr…

2019-08-01abs ↗pdf ↗