We develop a machine learning approach to represent and analyze the underlying spatial structure that governs shot selection among professional basketball players in the NBA. Typically, NBA players are discussed and compared in an heuristic, imprecise manner that relies on unmeasured intuitions about player behavior. T…
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48 results for “professional basketball”
We study the problem of training sequential generative models for capturing coordinated multi-agent trajectory behavior, such as offensive basketball gameplay. When modeling such settings, it is often beneficial to design hierarchical models that can capture long-term coordination using intermediate variables. Furtherm…
The paper tackles calibrating long-term behaviors with multiple styles using programmatic style-consistency.
problem Generating long-term sequential behaviors with multiple styles simultaneously.
method Leverage programmatic labeling functions to specify controllable styles and derive style-consistency as a learning objective.
result Learned policies can be calibrated for up to 1024 distinct style combinations.
Study predicts Euroleague basketball games with simple models, less accurate than crowds.
problem Predicting Euroleague basketball games with machine learning.
method Extracted features from Euroleague data, applied supervised machine learning techniques.
result Simple machine learning models achieve accuracy of less than 67% on test sets, outperformed by crowds.
Probabilistic matrix factorization (PMF) is a powerful method for modeling data associated with pairwise relationships, finding use in collaborative filtering, computational biology, and document analysis, among other areas. In many domains, there is additional information that can assist in prediction. For example, wh…
Probabilistic matrix factorization (PMF) is a powerful method for modeling data associ- ated with pairwise relationships, Finding use in collaborative Filtering, computational bi- ology, and document analysis, among other areas. In many domains, there are additional covariates that can assist in prediction. For example…
In this paper, we predict the likelihood of a player making a shot in basketball from multiagent trajectories. Previous approaches to similar problems center on hand-crafting features to capture domain specific knowledge. Although intuitive, recent work in deep learning has shown this approach is prone to missing impor…
MOVDA improves skill ratings by considering margin of victory deviations.
problem Traditional rating systems discard valuable performance data.
method Margin of Victory Differential Analysis (MOVDA) learns a non-linear function to predict expected MOV and uses the difference between true and expected MOV for rating updates.
result MOVDA significantly outperforms standard ELO and Bayesian baselines in NBA basketball data.
Investigates sports betting strategies using modern portfolio theory and Kelly criterion.
problem Mitigating risk in sports betting investments.
method Modern portfolio theory and Kelly criterion, with modifications for practical risk control.
result Adaptive fractional Kelly method is suitable across various sports settings.
The Chain-of-Decision approach improves forecasting of financial professionals' trading decisions.
problem Challenges in forecasting professionals' behaviors, especially in trading decisions.
method Integrates an opinion-generator-in-the-loop to provide subjective analysis based on news items.
result Promising improvements in the proposed tasks' performance.
The paper proposes using experts' insights in machine learning tasks.
problem Lack of reliance on experts' opinions in machine learning tasks.
method A three-step framework for integrating experts' insights into machine learning models.
result Proposed models achieve more stable and lower log loss results compared to top solutions.
The professional services sector is at a turning point, with some industries showing growth opportunities.
problem Identifying growth opportunities in the professional services sector after decades of growth.
method A simple framework applied to the US economic context to diagnose growth opportunities.
result The professional services sector is expected to stall at a national level, but some industries still offer growth opportunities.
Mapping and translating professional but arcane clinical jargons to consumer language is essential to improve the patient-clinician communication. Researchers have used the existing biomedical ontologies and consumer health vocabulary dictionary to translate between the languages. However, such approaches are limited b…
The goal of this article is to inspire data scientists to participate in the debate on the impact that their professional work has on society, and to become active in public debates on the digital world as data science professionals. How do ethical principles (e.g., fairness, justice, beneficence, and non-maleficence) …
Develops a framework to estimate NBA player salary ROI.
problem Measuring the relative return of player salaries in NBA.
method Five-part framework: GCP measure, SGV calculation, cash flow series, ROI calculation.
result Illustrates framework with 2022-2023 NBA data, showing top and bottom performers.
Injuries have a great impact on professional soccer, due to their large influence on team performance and the considerable costs of rehabilitation for players. Existing studies in the literature provide just a preliminary understanding of which factors mostly affect injury risk, while an evaluation of the potential of …
We present a method that learns to integrate temporal information, from a learned dynamics model, with ambiguous visual information, from a learned vision model, in the context of interacting agents. Our method is based on a graph-structured variational recurrent neural network (Graph-VRNN), which is trained end-to-end…
Multimodal analysis assesses job interview performance and provides feedback.
problem Assessing candidate performance in interviews for professional roles.
method Multimodal analytical framework using video, audio, and text data.
result The proposed methodology achieved promising results in predicting behavioral cues.
Welfare effects of information and rationality in portfolio decisions under parameter uncertaintyq-fin.MF
We analyze and quantify, in a financial market with parameter uncertainty and for a Constant Relative Risk Aversion investor, the utility effects of two different boundedly rational (i.e., sub-optimal) investment strategies (namely, myopic and unconditional strategies) and compare them between each other and with the u…
The semantic map calibrates uncertainty from language model probabilities.
problem Uncertainty in language model probabilities for professional decisions.
method Prespecified semantic map linking probabilities of verbal responses to probabilities of declared states.
result Language-derived probabilities outperform printed numerical probabilities and recover valid uncertainty coverage.
Enhanced word embedding creates new consumer-friendly health terms.
problem Laymen's health terms are often jargon and hard to understand.
method Developed an enhanced GloVe word embedding technique to generate new consumer-friendly terms.
result New CHV terms generated from consumer-generated text.
Multiplayer Online Battle Arena (MOBA) games are among the most played digital games in the world. In these games, teams of players fight against each other in arena environments, and the gameplay is focused on tactical combat. Mastering MOBAs requires extensive practice, as is exemplified in the popular MOBA Defence o…
Wearable devices have the potential to enhance sports performance, yet they are not fulfilling this promise. Our previous studies with 6 professional tennis coaches and 20 players indicate that this could be due the lack of psychological or mental state feedback, which the coaches claim to provide. Towards this end, we…
Building machine translation (MT) test sets is a relatively expensive task. As MT becomes increasingly desired for more and more language pairs and more and more domains, it becomes necessary to build test sets for each case. In this paper, we investigate using Amazon's Mechanical Turk (MTurk) to make MT test sets chea…
Over the last few decades, the player recruitment process in professional football has evolved into a multi-billion industry and has thus become of vital importance. To gain insights into the general level of their candidate reinforcements, many professional football clubs have access to extensive video footage and adv…
Many natural systems, such as neurons firing in the brain or basketball teams traversing a court, give rise to time series data with complex, nonlinear dynamics. We can gain insight into these systems by decomposing the data into segments that are each explained by simpler dynamic units. Building on switching linear dy…
Peer review is the foundation of scientific publication, and the task of reviewing has long been seen as a cornerstone of professional service. However, the massive growth in the field of machine learning has put this community benefit under stress, threatening both the sustainability of an effective review process and…
DefogGAN: Predicting Hidden Information in the StarCraft Fog of War with Generative Adversarial Netscs.LG
DefogGAN predicts hidden RTS game information to aid strategic decision-making.
problem Predicting hidden information in real-time strategy games like StarCraft.
method Conditional Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) with pyramidal reconstruction loss.
result DefogGAN predicts enemy buildings and combat units as accurately as professional players.
Professional sports are developing towards increasingly scientific training methods with increasing amounts of data being collected from laboratory tests, training sessions and competitions. In cycling, it is standard to equip bicycles with small computers recording data from sensors such as power-meters, in addition t…
Digital tools in occupational health, brakes or levers for building multidisciplinary dynamics?stat.ML
Digital tools may hinder or facilitate multidisciplinary collaboration in occupational health.
problem Challenges in multidisciplinary collaboration in occupational health.
method Study of a precursor SPSTI's digital tools and their impacts.
result Digital tools can act as both brakes and levers for multidisciplinary dynamics.
The goal of this thesis is to investigate the potential of predictive modelling for football injuries. This work was conducted in close collaboration with Tottenham Hotspurs FC (THFC), the PGA European tour and the participation of Wolverhampton Wanderers (WW). Three investigations were conducted: 1. Predicting the rec…
Method predicts NBA players' multi-modal movement trajectories.
problem Understanding NBA players' decision-making during games.
method LSTM-based architecture with multi-modal loss function.
result Method outperforms state-of-the-art in predicting realistic trajectories.
Virtual reality (VR) offers immersive visualization and intuitive interaction. We leverage VR to enable any biomedical professional to deploy a deep learning (DL) model for image classification. While DL models can be powerful tools for data analysis, they are also challenging to understand and develop. To make deep le…
Dynamics of fintech terms in news and blogs and specialization of companies of the fintech industryphysics.soc-ph
Study analyzes fintech terms in news and blogs, revealing specialized attributes of fintech companies.
problem Understanding specialized attributes of fintech companies through term analysis.
method Large scale analysis of fintech terms in news and blogs, using complex networks and statistically validated networks.
result Companies with fintech terms have over-expressions of specific attributes related to geography and economy.
Competence Assessment as an Expert System for Human Resource Management: A Mathematical Approachcs.CY
Mathematical approach assesses human resource competences accurately.
problem Accurate assessment and representation of human resource competences.
method Detailed quantification scheme and mathematical approach.
result Flexible tools for optimal job assignment and recruitment.
Human decision making by professionals trading daily in the stock market can be a daunting task. It includes decisions on whether to keep on investing or to exit a market subject to huge price swings, and how to price in news or rumors attributed to a specific stock. The question then arises how professional traders, w…
The study evaluates forecast risk-adjusted performance using various metrics.
problem Evaluating forecast reliability beyond accuracy.
method Risk-adjusted performance measures (Sharpe, Sortino, Omega ratios) and Edge Ratio.
result Machine learning models often offer attractive risk profiles but not necessarily higher reliability.
Graph2Diff neural network predicts precise code changes for build errors.
problem Fixing build errors in software development.
method Represented code and errors as graphs, used Graph Neural Network to predict precise diffs.
result Graph2Diff achieves over double the accuracy of DeepDelta in predicting precise code changes.
Reasoning models outperform LLMs on CFA exams.
problem Previous research showed LLMs failing CFA exams; reasoning models show promise.
method Evaluated state-of-the-art reasoning models on CFA exams using pass/fail criteria.
result Most reasoning models pass all three CFA levels; Gemini 3.0 Pro achieves highest scores.
Variational inference (VI) is widely used as an efficient alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo. It posits a family of approximating distributions and finds the closest member to the exact posterior . Closeness is usually measured via a divergence from to . While successful, this approach al…
Much has been said lately about entrepreneurship, so it seems important to leave here some personal analysis on this topic. The issues outlined here result from a work in about a year in which because a personal and professional obligations it was doing some research on these issues. This is an interesting topic that h…
Improves neural relational inference for dynamic multi-agent trajectories.
problem Limited accuracy of NRI in short output sequences for relational inference in multi-agent trajectories.
method Proposes DYnamic multi-AgentRelational Inference (DYARI) model to handle changing interactions over time.
result DYARI model outperforms NRI in dynamic relational inference tasks.
Big data, data science, deep learning, artificial intelligence are the key words of intense hype related with a job market in full evolution, that impose to adapt the contents of our university professional trainings. Which artificial intelligence is mostly concerned by the job offers? Which methodologies and technolog…
We introduce a new dataset of 293,008 high definition (1360 x 1360 pixels) fashion images paired with item descriptions provided by professional stylists. Each item is photographed from a variety of angles. We provide baseline results on 1) high-resolution image generation, and 2) image generation conditioned on the gi…
We propose a method to model multi-agent behaviors with limited observation and mechanical constraints.
problem Modeling real-world multi-agent behaviors with limited observation and mechanical constraints.
method Decentralized generative models with partial observation and mechanical constraints based on hierarchical variational recurrent neural networks.
result Our method effectively models and predicts biologically plausible behaviors with minimal constraint violations.
In this paper we propose a method for a quantitative estimation of the decision maker's knowledge in the context of the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) in cases, where the judgment matrix is inconsistent. We show that the matrix of deviation from the transitivity condition corresponds to the rate matrix for transactio…
A Poisson convolution model for characterizing topical content with word frequency and exclusivitycs.LG
An ongoing challenge in the analysis of document collections is how to summarize content in terms of a set of inferred themes that can be interpreted substantively in terms of topics. The current practice of parametrizing the themes in terms of most frequent words limits interpretability by ignoring the differential us…
In-game win probability models, which provide a sports team's likelihood of winning at each point in a game based on historical observations, are becoming increasingly popular. In baseball, basketball and American football, they have become important tools to enhance fan experience, to evaluate in-game decision-making,…