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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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71143214285 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for product priors

In this paper, we introduce a new sparsity-promoting prior, namely, the "normal product" prior, and develop an efficient algorithm for sparse signal recovery under the Bayesian framework. The normal product distribution is the distribution of a product of two normally distributed variables with zero means and possibly …

2017-08-24abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the problem of learning shared structure \emph{across} a sequence of dynamic pricing experiments for related products. We consider a practical formulation where the unknown demand parameters for each product come from an unknown distribution (prior) that is shared across products. We then propose a meta dynami…

2019-02-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Framework for pricing data products in data-poor markets.

problem Challenges in pricing advanced data products due to lack of transaction data.
method Prior-predictive Monte Carlo framework for generating probabilistic price bands.
result Stable probabilistic price bands for data products in data-poor markets.

The class of chain event graph models is a generalisation of the class of discrete Bayesian networks, retaining most of the structural advantages of the Bayesian network for model interrogation, propagation and learning, while more naturally encoding asymmetric state spaces and the order in which events happen. In this…

2009-04-06abs ↗pdf ↗

We discuss theoretical aspects of the product rule for classification problems in supervised machine learning for the case of combining classifiers. We show that (1) the product rule arises from the MAP classifier supposing equivalent priors and conditional independence given a class; (2) under some conditions, the pro…

2013-01-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Quality-designed consumer products are easy to recognize. Wouldn't it be great if the quality of financial products became just as apparent? This paper is addressed to financial practitioners. It provides an informal introduction to Quantitative Structuring -- a technology of manufacturing quality financial products (i…

2015-07-26abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we propose a class of prior distributions on decomposable graphs, allowing for improved modeling flexibility. While existing methods solely penalize the number of edges, the proposed work empowers practitioners to control clustering, level of separation, and other features of the graph. Emphasis is placed…

2010-05-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified sampling approach for Bayesian imaging problems.

problem Sampling from complex prior and posterior distributions in Bayesian imaging.
method Gaussian latent machine model for efficient prior and posterior sampling.
result Unified and generalized sampling algorithms for various imaging problems.

Proposes new priors for neural networks to improve generalization and uncertainty.

problem Improving generalization and uncertainty estimation in neural networks.
method Exploits scalable and structured posteriors as priors with generalization guarantees.
result Improves generalization and uncertainty estimation with non-vacuous bounds.

PIMA autoencoders discover shared features in multimodal scientific data.

problem Discovering shared information in high-throughput scientific datasets.
method Physics-informed multimodal autoencoders (PIMA) with Gaussian mixture prior and product of experts formulation.
result Accurate cross-modal inference between images and mechanical stress-strain response in lattice metamaterials.

The paper examines conditions for linearity in a conditional mean estimator under vector Poisson noise.

problem Conditions for linearity of the conditional mean estimator in vector Poisson noise.
method Analyzes prior distributions and their impact on the conditional mean estimator's linearity.
result The only prior distribution that induces linearity is a product gamma distribution, and non-zero dark current parameter prevents linearity.

We study convergence rates of variational posterior distributions for nonparametric and high-dimensional inference. We formulate general conditions on prior, likelihood, and variational class that characterize the convergence rates. Under similar "prior mass and testing" conditions considered in the literature, the rat…

2017-12-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Convex learning for diverse invariances in semi-inner-product space.

problem Efficiently learning invariant representations for a wide range of invariances.
method Developed a convex representation learning algorithm for generalized invariances modeled as semi-norms, introducing Euclidean embeddings for kernel representers in a semi-inner-product space.
result Accurate invariant representations learned efficiently and effectively, validated by experiments.

The paper studies multi-view representation learning with generalization guarantees and a new regularizer.

problem Distributed multi-view representation learning with correct estimation at a decoder.
method Generalization bounds using relative entropy and MDL, data-dependent Gaussian mixture priors.
result Data-dependent Gaussian mixture priors lead to good performance and outperform existing methods.

Study high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression using variational inference.

problem High-dimensional Bayesian linear regression with product priors.
method Non-linear large deviations theory and variational inference.
result Unique optimizer in variational problem governs posterior distribution under separation condition.

In this paper we present decomposable priors, a family of priors over structure and parameters of tree belief nets for which Bayesian learning with complete observations is tractable, in the sense that the posterior is also decomposable and can be completely determined analytically in polynomial time. This follows from…

2013-01-16abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider a Gaussian process formulation of the multiple kernel learning problem. The goal is to select the convex combination of kernel matrices that best explains the data and by doing so improve the generalisation on unseen data. Sparsity in the kernel weights is obtained by adopting a hierarchical Bayesian approa…

2011-10-24abs ↗pdf ↗

We assume that a high-dimensional datum, like an image, is a compositional expression of a set of properties, with a complicated non-linear relationship between the datum and its properties. This paper proposes a factorial mixture prior for capturing latent properties, thereby adding structured compositionality to deep…

2018-12-18abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider reinforcement learning in parameterized Markov Decision Processes (MDPs), where the parameterization may induce correlation across transition probabilities or rewards. Consequently, observing a particular state transition might yield useful information about other, unobserved, parts of the MDP. We present a…

2014-06-29abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the wave equation on a product cone and find a joint asymptotic expansion for solutions near null and future infinities. The rates of decay seen in the expansion at future infinity are the resonances of a hyperbolic cone and were computed by the authors in a previous paper. The expansion treats an asymptoti…

2019-06-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Adaptive multi-stage density ratio estimation improves learning of latent space EBM.

problem Learning energy-based models in latent space is computationally expensive and challenging.
method Adaptive multi-stage density ratio estimation using NCE to bridge the gap between prior and posterior densities.
result The method enables more expressive prior models and sharpens the latent space EBM.

Production forecasting is a key step to design the future development of a reservoir. A classical way to generate such forecasts consists in simulating future production for numerical models representative of the reservoir. However, identifying such models can be very challenging as they need to be constrained to all a…

2018-11-30abs ↗pdf ↗

PieClam autoencodes graphs into communities, improving graph anomaly detection.

problem Graph anomaly detection and universal graph autoencoding.
method Probabilistic graph model with overlapping inclusive and exclusive communities.
result PieClam is a universal autoencoder that uniformly approximates any graph.

Paper improves SDR estimation speed and conditions.

problem Improving sufficient dimension reduction for multi-index models.
method Estimating expected smoothed gradient outer product.
result Achieves fast parametric convergence rate of Cdn1/2C_d \cdot n^{-1/2}.

We introduce a hierarchical Bayesian approach to tackle the challenging problem of size recommendation in e-commerce fashion. Our approach jointly models a size purchased by a customer, and its possible return event: 1. no return, 2. returned too small 3. returned too big. Those events are drawn following a multinomial…

2019-08-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning models deployed in real-world applications are often evaluated with precision-based metrics such as F1-score or AUC-PR (Area Under the Curve of Precision Recall). Heavily dependent on the class prior, such metrics make it difficult to interpret the variation of a model's performance over different subp…

2019-09-06abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithms adapt to both gradient norms and comparator norms in online learning.

problem Adapting to both gradient norms and comparator norms in online learning.
method Developed parameter-free and scale-free algorithms for unbounded online convex optimization.
result Improved regret bounds for scale-invariant online prediction with linear models.

Imagine that measurements are made at times t0t_0 and t1t_1 of the trajectory of a physical system whose governing laws are given approximately by a class A{\cal A} of so-called {\em prior vector fields}. Because the physical laws are not known precisely, it might be that the measurements are not realised by the integ…

2011-04-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops methods for structured variational inference with star-structured models.

problem Inference in models with interdependent variables.
method Star-structured variational inference, existence, uniqueness, self-consistency proofs, approximation error bounds, gradient-based algorithm.
result First results for existence, uniqueness, and self-consistency of variational approximations in star-structured models.

Enhances CLIP's similarity computation using PMI's linear structure.

problem CLIP's similarity computation misses the optimal linear structure of PMI.
method KME-CLIP, utilizing inner product in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space.
result KME-CLIP approximates PMI with arbitrary accuracy and outperforms CLIP.

We consider the problem of \emph{influence maximization}, the problem of maximizing the number of people that become aware of a product by finding the `best' set of `seed' users to expose the product to. Most prior work on this topic assumes that we know the probability of each user influencing each other user, or we h…

2015-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗