GBS uses machine learning to design products based on consumer preferences.
problem Designing products to meet consumer preferences.
method GBS is a discrete choice experiment that uses machine learning to adaptively construct paired comparison questions.
result GBS outperforms existing methods in accuracy and sample efficiency.
We consider the problem of identifying the most profitable product design from a finite set of candidates under unknown consumer preference. A standard approach to this problem follows a two-step strategy: First, estimate the preference of the consumer population, represented as a point in part-worth space, using an ad…
Develops a two-layer model to design mortgage assistance products.
problem Designing effective mortgage assistance products to improve household resilience.
method Two-layer approach: simulation and optimization.
result Shows how the approach can design and evaluate mortgage assistance products.
This communication is based on an original approach linking economical factors to technical and methodological ones. This work is applied to the decision process for mix production. This approach is relevant for costing driving systems. The main interesting point is that the quotation factors (linked to time indicators…
The authors characterize flexibility in power and energy markets considering time, spatiality, resource, and risk.
problem Evaluating and maximizing flexibility in power systems and markets.
method Characterization of flexibility dimensions (time, spatiality, resource, risk) and their interrelations with flexibility assets, products, and services.
result Flexibility should be evaluated based on multiple dimensions for efficient power systems and markets.
Quantitative structuring is a rigorous framework for the design of financial products. We show how it incorporates traditional investment ideas while supporting a more accurate expression of clients' views. We touch upon adjacent topics regarding the safety of financial derivatives and the role of pricing models in pro…
We propose a new low-cost machine-learning-based methodology which assists designers in reducing the gap between the problem and the solution in the design process. Our work applies reinforcement learning (RL) to find the optimal task-oriented design solution through the construction of the design action for each task.…
Quality-designed consumer products are easy to recognize. Wouldn't it be great if the quality of financial products became just as apparent? This paper is addressed to financial practitioners. It provides an informal introduction to Quantitative Structuring -- a technology of manufacturing quality financial products (i…
Designs efficient factorial experiments for product design under budget constraints.
problem Designing effective experiments for product design with limited traffic and overlapping experiments.
method Two-stage design: first stage samples and infers performance, second stage selects a final policy.
result The method outperforms one-shot tensor completion and unstructured best-arm benchmarks.
Study analyzes climate-tech investments across 14 sectors.
problem Accelerating climate-tech innovation in nascent value chains.
method Analysis of 4,172 firms and 12,929 investments over 15 years.
result Only 15% of firms develop end products, 59% support them, and 26% develop services.
New approach infers object type from physical data and functional requirements.
problem Classical design theory treats object type as a given, but this paper argues it should be inferred.
method C-DMBD, a constrained extension of Dynamic Markov Blanket Detection algorithm, models product surface as a Markov blanket.
result Requirement-steered inference is computationally tractable and models different object types with different parameterizations.
Optimizes e-commerce traffic sales by incorporating hidden costs into auction mechanisms.
problem Hidden costs from unexpected advertising items in search results.
method Dynamic reserve price design with distributed solving algorithm.
result Ensures a balanced relationship between revenue and user experience.
Geometric structure reveals optimal investment and hedging products.
problem Optimal design of investment and hedging products.
method Investigation of geometric structure in risks and returns using a simple formula.
result Duality between hedging and investment with geometric interpretation of rationality.
In the early phases of the product life cycle, the costs controls became a major decision tool in the competitiveness of the companies due to the world competition. After defining the problems related to this control difficulties, we will present an approach using a concept of cost entity related to the design and real…
Paper proposes efficient AL algorithms for optimizing product performance under environmental variability.
problem Optimizing product performance under varying environmental conditions.
method Formulated as Bayesian Quadrature Optimization problems for probabilistic threshold robustness measure using Gaussian Process model.
result Proposed algorithms provide credible intervals for probabilistic threshold robustness measure and demonstrate efficiency in real-world applications.
A new framework designs experiments for better decision-making.
problem Suboptimal experimental designs for downstream decision-making.
method Amortized decision-aware Bayesian Experimental Design (BED) with Transformer Neural Decision Process (TNDP).
result TNDP effectively designs experiments and facilitates accurate decision-making.
Aesthetics are critically important to market acceptance. In the automotive industry, an improved aesthetic design can boost sales by 30% or more. Firms invest heavily in designing and testing aesthetics. A single automotive "theme clinic" can cost over $100,000, and hundreds are conducted annually. We propose a model …
Discovering new physical products and processes often demands enormous experimentation and expensive simulation. To design a new product with certain target characteristics, an extensive search is performed in the design space by trying out a large number of design combinations before reaching to the target characteris…
Paper proposes new gradient codes for robust distributed machine learning.
problem Robustness against slow machines (stragglers) in distributed machine learning.
method Constructs gradient codes based on probabilistic and Kronecker product methods.
result Gradient codes exist for a wide range of system parameters with comparable error performance.
Optimal probing framework for scalable network monitoring.
problem Efficiently monitor growing cloud networks with limited budgets.
method A- and E-optimal experimental designs, Frank-Wolfe algorithm approximations.
result Significant reduction in probing budget with low estimation errors.
Financial markets provide a natural quantitative lab for understanding some of the most advanced human behaviours. Among them is the use of mathematical tools known as financial instruments. Besides money, the two most fundamental financial instruments are bonds and equities. More than 30 years ago Mehra and Prescott f…
The recent crisis and the following flight to simplicity put most derivative businesses around the world under considerable pressure. We argue that the traditional modeling techniques must be extended to include product design. We propose a quantitative framework for creating products which meet the challenge of being …
Comparison Lift uses bandit algorithms to optimize online ad testing.
problem Optimizing online ad testing to maximize click-through rates.
method Bandit-based experimentation algorithm that adapts to test results.
result Ad click-through rates increased by 46% on average.
ProductNet is a collection of high-quality product datasets for better product understanding. Motivated by ImageNet, ProductNet aims at supporting product representation learning by curating product datasets of high quality with properly chosen taxonomy. In this paper, the two goals of building high-quality product dat…
Two-stage mechanism designs reduce regret in recommender systems with stochastic covariates.
problem Designing effective recommender systems with user covariates sampled online.
method Two-stage algorithm integrating incentivized exploration with offline learning methods.
result Achieves sublinear regret while maintaining incentive compatibility.
Optimized biopharmaceutical seed train design reduces variability and saves time.
problem Designing robust biotechnological processes with cell cultures.
method Coupling uncertainty-based upstream simulation and Bayes optimization using Gaussian processes.
result Optimized seed train design results in lower cell density variability and reduced process duration.
Study copyright's impact on creative industries using AI-generated fonts.
problem Estimating supply and demand in creative industries with AI-generated content.
method Neural network embeddings, spatial regression, event-study analyses, structural model of supply and demand.
result Copyright can raise consumer welfare by encouraging product relocation.
TXtract extracts structured knowledge from thousands of product categories.
problem Extracting structured knowledge from diverse product categories in e-commerce.
method TXtract uses a taxonomy-aware model with category conditional self-attention and multi-task learning.
result TXtract outperforms state-of-the-art approaches by up to 10% in F1 and 15% in coverage across all categories.
NeuroPMD estimates densities on complex product manifolds.
problem Density estimation on high-dimensional product manifolds.
method Neural network directly parameterizes density, trained with manifold differential operators.
result NeuroPMD outperforms traditional methods in density estimation.
Federated Learning is a distributed machine learning approach which enables model training on a large corpus of decentralized data. We have built a scalable production system for Federated Learning in the domain of mobile devices, based on TensorFlow. In this paper, we describe the resulting high-level design, sketch s…
Bayesian model estimates feature values of premium products.
problem Understanding the monetary value of product features.
method Bayesian Hierarchical Logit Model
result Successfully recovers true feature valuations from data.
Optimizes biomanufacturing processes with a new digital twin calibration method.
problem Lack of interpretability and sample efficiency in traditional DoE methods.
method Developed a computational approach to calibrate Bio-SoS digital twin model.
result Guides sample-efficient and interpretable DoEs by quantifying sub-model parameter estimation errors.
New method uses product embeddings to predict bundle success.
problem Designing effective product bundles in large retail settings.
method Leverage historical purchases and clickstream data to generate product embeddings, then use heuristics for complementarity and substitutability.
result Embeddings-based heuristics predict bundle success, robust across categories and retailers.
TensorSketch is an oblivious linear sketch introduced in Pagh'13 and later used in Pham, Pagh'13 in the context of SVMs for polynomial kernels. It was shown in Avron, Nguyen, Woodruff'14 that TensorSketch provides a subspace embedding, and therefore can be used for canonical correlation analysis, low rank approximation…
While biomanufacturing plays a significant role in supporting the economy and ensuring public health, it faces critical challenges, including complexity, high variability, lengthy lead time, and very limited process data, especially for personalized new cell and gene biotherapeutics. Driven by these challenges, we prop…
Improved sales forecasting for new products using transfer learning.
problem Insufficient training data for new products leads to inaccurate sales forecasts.
method Network-based Transfer Learning approach for deep neural networks.
result Deep neural networks' prediction accuracy for food sales forecasting can be effectively increased.
E-commerce system predicts customer interest in sequentially ordered products.
problem Modeling customer interest in sequentially ordered products.
method Embed purchased items with Word2Vec and model the sequence with LSTM RNN.
result The recommender system outperforms its predecessor in click-through rate.
New proof shows how to fill a square with Fibonacci curve.
problem How to fill a square with a space-filling curve.
method Used Cartesian product of Fibonacci substitution with itself.
result Different proof of space-filling curve construction.
Proposes PKG embedding for e-commerce products.
problem Learning product intrinsic relations for e-commerce applications.
method Self-attention-enhanced distributed representation learning model from raw data.
result Compared favorably to baselines in knowledge completion and downstream tasks.
We consider dynamic pricing with many products under an evolving but low-dimensional demand model. Assuming the temporal variation in cross-elasticities exhibits low-rank structure based on fixed (latent) features of the products, we show that the revenue maximization problem reduces to an online bandit convex optimiza…
Adaptive time decay functions improve financial product recommendation accuracy.
problem Inaccurate recommendations due to static historical data in finance.
method Time-dependent collaborative filtering with personalized decay functions.
result Significant improvements over state-of-the-art benchmarks in financial product recommendation.
Financial derivatives have often been criticized as casino-style betting instruments. It turns out that many naive ways of making them are indeed equivalent to gambling. Fortunately, this inadvertent effect can be understood and prevented. We present a theory of product design which achieves that.
Deep learning model forecasts PV power production with high accuracy.
problem Accurate forecasting of photovoltaic power production is needed for electricity infrastructure.
method Sequence to sequence model with attention mechanism using weather predictions and historical data.
result The model outperforms existing methods in forecast skill score.
ART automates synthetic biology design with machine learning.
problem Long development times in synthetic biology due to ad-hoc engineering.
method Machine learning and probabilistic modeling for systematic design.
result ART provides optimized strain recommendations and production levels.
A new method for creating derivatives without oracles.
problem Lack of trust in external oracles for derivatives pricing.
method Using Replicating Market Makers (RMMs) to create derivative instruments.
result Demonstrated the feasibility of on-chain expiring options without oracles.
LineFlow is a framework for training RL agents to control production lines.
problem Designing control systems for production lines is challenging.
method Introduces LineFlow, an extensible Python framework for simulating and training RL agents.
result RL agents approach optimal performance in well-understood scenarios but face challenges in complex industrial lines.
Local logarithmic export distributions show non-zero skewness that changes with exporter and destination characteristics.
problem Identifying the skewness in local logarithmic export distributions and its relationship with exporter and destination characteristics.
method Analyzing directed links weighted by the logarithm of export values, studying the skewness of local exports, and formulating quantitative relations.
result Non-zero skewness in local logarithmic export distributions changes with exporter and destination characteristics.
New algorithm reduces cold-start costs in multi-armed bandits for many products.
problem High burn-in costs in multi-armed bandits for new products.
method Two-phase bandit algorithm using subsampling and low-rank matrix estimation.
result Reduces burn-in costs and expedites experiment in large product sets.