Algorithm optimizes electricity procurement costs by 1.65%.
problem Minimizing energy cost while covering forecast consumption.
method Deep learning forecasting and deviation indicator.
result Reduction of 1.65% in costs compared to uniform policy.
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arXiv research
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48 results for “procurement markets”
Network science reveals corruption risk in EU procurement markets.
problem Identifying corruption risk in EU procurement markets.
method Analyzing a large dataset of public procurement contracts using network science.
result Corruption risk is clustered and varies by country, not just by market core or periphery.
In this paper, we formulate a method for minimising the expectation value of the procurement cost of electricity in two popular spot markets: {\it day-ahead} and {\it intra-day}, under the assumption that expectation value of unit prices and the distributions of prediction errors for the electricity demand traded in tw…
This paper proposes a joint energy and data market to handle uncertainty in energy procurement.
problem Handling uncertainty in energy markets through data markets.
method Modeling a day-ahead retailer energy procurement problem with uncertain demand, integrating forecasting and optimisation, and using differential privacy.
result The value of joint energy and data clearing is highlighted through numerical case studies.
For the first time ever, we analyze a unique public procurement database, which includes information about a number of bidders for a contract, a final price, an identification of a winner and an identification of a contracting authority for each of more than 40,000 public procurements in the Czech Republic between 2006…
Study finds public procurement awards, especially NGEU-funded ones, boost new lending.
problem Understanding the impact of public procurement on new lending.
method Panel data local projections model, controlling for various factors.
result Public procurement awards, particularly NGEU-funded ones, significantly increase new lending.
Function Design for Improved Competitive Ratio in Online Resource Allocation with Procurement Costsmath.OC
Improved resource allocation method reduces procurement costs.
problem Online resource allocation with procurement costs.
method Primal-dual algorithm with surrogate function optimization.
result Enhanced competitive ratio through design methods.
Paper introduces PHI to identify structurally distinct payment patterns in UK municipal procurement.
problem Vulnerability of public procurement to error, fraud, and corruption in high-volume transactions.
method Introduces Payment Heterogeneity Index (PHI) using Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) and non-parametric statistics.
result Identifies a significant cohort with structurally distinct payment patterns, improving procurement oversight.
In this paper we study a continuous time stochastic inventory model for a commodity traded in the spot market and whose supply purchase is affected by price and demand uncertainty. A firm aims at meeting a random demand of the commodity at a random time by maximizing total expected profits. We model the firm's optimal …
Smart Contract-Enabled Procurement under Bounded Demand Variability: A Truncated Normal Approachq-fin.GN
Study develops smart contract framework for procurement under demand variability.
problem Operational and economic implications of smart contract adoption under moderate uncertainty.
method Multi-supplier model with endogenized adoption costs, supplier readiness, and inventory penalties; analytical and numerical results.
result Partial adoption strategies support moderate demand variability, while excessive digital investment reduces profitability.
Optimizes renewable energy mix to meet carbon-free targets at lowest cost.
problem Minimizing annual procurement costs while achieving specified carbon-free hourly performance.
method Probabilistic framework with simulation scenarios and probability constraints. Fixed set of renewable generators and load customer.
result Demonstrated that certain renewable energy portfolios can meet carbon-free targets at lower costs compared to others.
Paper assesses the market value of sharing privacy-protected smart meter data.
problem Value of sharing privacy-protected smart meter data between consumers and load serving entities.
method Discounted differential privacy model, ANN-based load forecasting, optimal procurement problem.
result Significant value in sharing smart meter data while retaining individual consumer privacy.
The burgeoning need for kidney transplantation mandates immediate attention. Mismatch of deceased donor-recipient kidney leads to post-transplant death. To ensure ideal kidney donor-recipient match and minimize post-transplant deaths, the paper develops a prediction model that identifies factors that determine the prob…
Paper tackles invoice line item matching in P2P processes using agent feedback.
problem Matching product/service descriptions in invoices with purchase orders.
method Two approaches using agent feedback data: similarity ranking and classification.
result Proposed approaches outperform benchmarks and real-world data sets.
Supply Chain Management often requires independent organizations to work together to achieve shared objectives. This collaboration is necessary when coordinated actions benefit the group more than the uncoordinated efforts of individual firms. Despite the commonly reported benefits that can be gained in close relations…
Study compares two market clearing methods for European power markets.
problem Optimizing market clearing for European power markets considering cost and social welfare.
method Introduces Cost Minimization and Social Welfare Maximization models, and four algorithms to solve the CM model.
result Cost Minimization reduces market power and decreases total procurement cost.
We design mechanisms for online procurement of data held by strategic agents for machine learning tasks. The challenge is to use past data to actively price future data and give learning guarantees even when an agent's cost for revealing her data may depend arbitrarily on the data itself. We achieve this goal by showin…
Deep learning detects bid-rigging cartels with high accuracy.
problem Detecting bid-rigging cartels using pairwise bidding interactions.
method Convolutional neural networks applied to graphs of normalized bid values.
result Convolutional neural networks achieve around 90% accuracy in classifying collusive and competitive bidding interactions.
Well-defined formal definitions for sentiment and opinion are extended to incorporate the necessary elements to provide a formal quantitative definition of reputation. This definition takes the form of a time-based index, in which each element is a function of a collection of opinions mined during a given time period. …
Land use classification of low resolution spatial imagery is one of the most extensively researched fields in remote sensing. Despite significant advancements in satellite technology, high resolution imagery lacks global coverage and can be prohibitively expensive to procure for extended time periods. Accurately classi…
Self-shrinkers are hypersurfaces that shrink homothetically under mean curvature flow; these solitons model the singularities of the flow. It it presently known that an entire self-shrinking graph must be a hyperplane. In this paper we show that the hyperplane is rigid in an even stronger sense, namely: For $2 \leq n \…
The paper introduces deep learning for ALM, enhancing asset and liability management.
problem Optimizing asset and liability management for treasurers and other applications.
method Deep learning applied to ALM for optimal decision making.
result Enhanced ALM approach for better asset and liability management.
We consider the problem of Probably Approximate Correct (PAC) learning of a binary classifier from noisy labeled examples acquired from multiple annotators (each characterized by a respective classification noise rate). First, we consider the complete information scenario, where the learner knows the noise rates of all…
On-chain Peak Shavingecon.EM
Study on-chain peak shaving to reduce Ethereum transaction costs.
problem Reducing transaction costs in blockchain networks, especially during congested periods.
method Analyzing transaction-level data from multiple firms across various industries to understand scheduling responses and cost management strategies.
result Firms' scheduling responses to congestion vary, leading to different fee savings and residual costs.
A review of statistical SSL methods showing improved classifier performance.
problem Forming classifiers from limited labeled data and many unlabeled data.
method Statistical approaches to semi-supervised learning.
result A classifier from partially labeled data can have lower expected error rate.
We develop extensions to auction theory results that are useful in real life scenarios. 1. Since valuations are generally positive we first develop approximations using the log-normal distribution. This would be useful for many finance related auction settings since asset prices are usually non-negative. 2. We formulat…
New framework improves attribution of predictive uncertainties in classification models.
problem Improper attribution of predictive uncertainties in classification tasks.
method Combines path integrals, counterfactual explanations, and generative models.
result Framework outperforms existing alternatives in quantitative evaluations.
We derive valuations of a portfolio of financial instruments from a securities lending perspective, under different assumptions, and show a weighting scheme that converges to the true valuation. We illustrate conditions under which our alternative weighting scheme converges faster to the true valuation when compared to…
Wartime Controls, Political Connections, and the Pricing of Zaibatsu Rents in Japan, 1930-1943econ.GN
The study analyzes how wartime controls influenced zaibatsu stock prices in Japan.
problem How wartime economic controls affected zaibatsu stock prices in Japan.
method Developed a four-portfolio asset-pricing model and used a CAPM-AR(p)-SV event-study framework.
result Wartime economic controls influenced stock prices through financing wedges and zaibatsu affiliation.
We study the problem of training an accurate linear regression model by procuring labels from multiple noisy crowd annotators, under a budget constraint. We propose a Bayesian model for linear regression in crowdsourcing and use variational inference for parameter estimation. To minimize the number of labels crowdsourc…
Study dynamic matching in heterogeneous networks using ODE model.
problem Dynamic matching in heterogeneous networks with compatibility restrictions.
method Introduced an ODE model to evaluate matching algorithms.
result Demonstrated trade-off between quick matching and optimal matching.
Deployment-complete benchmarking assesses if evidence leads to consistent deployment actions.
problem Lack of clear evidence leading to consistent deployment actions.
method Introduces deployment-complete benchmarking to test if benchmark evidence determines deployment actions.
result Benchmark evidence must be complete for a claim to lead to a consistent deployment action.
A model order reduction framework reduces financial risk analysis models efficiently.
problem Simulating high-dimensional financial risk models.
method Adaptive greedy sampling based on POD and surrogate modeling.
result Reduced models provide significant speedup with excellent accuracy.
Deep learning has improved performance on many natural language processing (NLP) tasks individually. However, general NLP models cannot emerge within a paradigm that focuses on the particularities of a single metric, dataset, and task. We introduce the Natural Language Decathlon (decaNLP), a challenge that spans ten ta…
Estimates change point in high-dimensional dynamic graphical models.
problem Detecting change points in high-dimensional graphical models.
method Developed an estimator with rate of convergence, established asymptotic distribution under high-dimensional scaling.
result Asymptotic distribution characterized under vanishing and non-vanishing jump size regimes.
Paper proposes FMore to incentivize edge nodes in federated learning with MEC.
problem Incentivizing edge nodes in federated learning with MEC resources.
method Multi-dimensional procurement auction with K winners.
result FMore improves model accuracy and reduces training rounds for AI tasks.
Learning capacity measures model complexity, correlating with test loss and sample size.
problem Understanding model complexity and its relation to test performance.
method Formal correspondence between thermodynamics and inference; learning capacity as a measure of effective dimensionality.
result Learning capacity correlates with test loss and is a small fraction of model parameters.
Synthetic data mimics real-world demographics for fairness testing.
problem Lack of complete, representative datasets for fairness testing.
method Construct synthetic datasets using overlapping real and separate datasets.
result Synthetic data yields consistent fairness metrics with real data.
SureMap estimates model performance across subpopulations efficiently.
problem Estimating model performance across subpopulations with scarce data.
method Simultaneous Gaussian mean estimation with external data.
result High accuracy in both multi-task and single-task disaggregated evaluations.
Evaluating AI investment strategies
problem Auditing a black-box algorithmic decision-maker
method Exact decomposition of cumulative regret
result Cumulative regret equals sum of per-period covariances
Comprehensive surgical planning require complex patient-specific anatomical models. For instance, functional muskuloskeletal simulations necessitate all relevant structures to be segmented, which could be performed in real-time using deep neural networks given sufficient annotated samples. Such large datasets of multip…
Bayesian method improves segmentation accuracy with noisy labels.
problem Annotation errors in semantic segmentation due to mislabeling and spatial correlations.
method Approximate Bayesian estimation with spatially correlated discrete distributions and variational inference.
result The method achieves performance comparable to clean labels under moderate noise levels.
Optimal Market Making in the Chinese Stock Market: A Stochastic Control and Scenario Analysisq-fin.PM
Study optimizes market making in Chinese stock market with stochastic control and scenario analysis.
problem Limited research on market making in Chinese stock market.
method Optimal market making framework with exponential CARA utility function, accounting for market conditions and risks.
result Impact of volatility and stamp duty on market maker's profit and liquidity.
Open Marketsq-fin.MF
Open markets are a subset of equity markets with fixed top stocks, changing over time.
problem Understanding the dynamics and characteristics of open markets.
method Analyzing the similarities and differences between open markets and closed equity markets, and exploring specific topics like CAPM and portfolio construction.
result The equivalence of market viability and the existence of a numeraire portfolio holds in open markets, similar to closed markets.
Study applies market microstructure to Cuban informal currency market, finding market makers improve liquidity.
problem Understanding dynamics of informal currency markets.
method Modeling bid/ask intentions using Limit Order Book, applying Avellaneda-Stoikov model with Market Maker.
result Market Maker improves market quality and bid/ask dynamics.
Study finds varying market efficiency in prewar and wartime Japanese stock market.
problem Measuring market efficiency in prewar and wartime Japanese stock market.
method Using a new market capitalization-weighted stock price index, the study examines market efficiency over time and historical events.
result The adaptive market hypothesis is supported in the prewar and wartime Japanese stock market, with efficiency varying over time and with historical events.
Study uses Kalman-Filter to assess market efficiency in major stock markets.
problem Assessing market efficiency in major stock markets.
method Utilizes Kalman-Filter in two stages, assuming a trendline representing true market value.
result Significant portfolio returns in emerging and developed markets.
Recent innovations in Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) provide new opportunities and challenges for integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) into the energy supply system as active market players. By increasing integration of DERs, novel market platform should be designed for these new market …