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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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6121723 · Feb 202419922001200920172026
48 results for probability-value duality

Modeling financial contagion through bank networks, revealing solvency correlations.

problem Understanding how financial shocks propagate through interconnected banks.
method Simulated financial network of 100 banks, randomly generated with varying link probabilities, and shocks applied to 15 banks.
result Ranges of probability values and banks' solvency are positively correlated.

We present analytical investigations of a multiplicative stochastic process that models a simple investor dynamics in a random environment. The dynamics of the investor's budget, x(t)x(t), depends on the stochasticity of the return on investment, r(t)r(t), for which different model assumptions are discussed. The fat-tail d…

2007-09-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Suppose one buys two very similar stocks and is curious about how much, after some time T, one of them will contribute to the overall asset, expecting, of course, that it should be around 1/2 of the sum. Here we examine this question within the classical Black and Scholes (BS) model, focusing on the evolution of the pr…

2010-05-11abs ↗pdf ↗

We devise a USDCHF trading strategy using the dynamics of gold as a filter. Our strategy involves modelling both USDCHF and gold using a coupled hidden Markov model (CHMM). The observations will be indicators, RSI and CCI, which will be used as triggers for our trading signals. Upon decoding the model in each iteration…

2013-08-05abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the ideal-gas models of trading markets, where each agent is identified with a gas molecule and each trading as an elastic or money-conserving (two-body) collision. Unlike in the ideal gas, we introduce saving propensity λλ of agents, such that each agent saves a fraction λλ of its money and trades with t…

2003-11-11abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the ideal-gas models of trading markets, where each agent is identified with a gas molecule and each trading as an elastic or money-conserving (two-body) collision. Unlike in the ideal gas, we introduce saving propensity λλ of agents, such that each agent saves a fraction λλ of its money and trades with t…

2003-02-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Verma Howe duality connects tensor products of Verma modules to LKB representations.

problem Understanding the relationship between tensor products of Verma modules and LKB representations.
method Established a quantized version of Verma Howe duality and used it to prove the simplicity of LKB representations.
result LKB representations arise from the quantized Verma Howe duality and are shown to be simple modules.

Cohomological and homological spectral sequences are shown to be isomorphic.

problem Cohomological and homological Atiyah-Hirzebruch spectral sequences are not always isomorphic.
method Spanier-Whitehead duality is used to establish an isomorphism between the two spectral sequences.
result Cohomological and homological Atiyah-Hirzebruch spectral sequences are isomorphic for finite spectra.

We give the definition of a duality that is applicable to arbitrary kk-forms. The operator that defines the duality depends on a fixed form ΩΩ. Our definition extends in a very natural way the Hodge duality of nn-forms in 2n2n dimensional spaces and the generalized duality of two-forms. We discuss the properties of …

2011-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimating a large alphabet probability distribution from a limited number of samples is a fundamental problem in machine learning and statistics. A variety of estimation schemes have been proposed over the years, mostly inspired by the early work of Laplace and the seminal contribution of Good and Turing. One of the b…

2018-07-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Geometric duality connects graph isomorphism and knot equivalence.

problem Understanding the equivalence of graph isomorphism and knot equivalence.
method Observation of geometric duality in planar graphs and links.
result The equivalence relation defined by isomorphisms of checkerboard graphs is the same as 2-isomorphisms of checkerboard graphs.

This dissertation explores T-duality between hyperkähler structures and branes on algebraic integrable systems.

problem Investigates T-duality between hyperkähler structures and branes on algebraic integrable systems.
method Uses techniques of generalized geometry and Fourier-Mukai transform to show T-duality between semi-flat hyperkähler structures and generalized branes.
result Shows T-duality between semi-flat hyperkähler structures and generalized branes on algebraic integrable systems.

We study generalized complex structures and TT-duality (in the sense of Bouwknegt, Evslin, Hannabuss and Mathai) on Lie algebras and construct the corresponding Cavalcanti and Gualtieri map. Such a construction is called "Infinitesimal TT-duality". As an application we deal with the problem of finding symplectic stru…

2017-03-22abs ↗pdf ↗

We find the T-duality transformation rules for 2-dimensional (2,1) supersymmetric sigma-models in (2,1) superspace. Our results clarify certain aspects of the (2,1) sigma model geometry relevant to the discussion of T-duality. The complexified duality transformations we find are equivalent to the usual Buscher duality …

2019-01-03abs ↗pdf ↗

We study discrete group actions on coarse Poincare duality spaces, e.g. acyclic simplicial complexes which admit free cocompact group actions by Poincare duality groups. When G is an (n-1) dimensional duality group and X is a coarse Poincare duality space of formal dimension n, then a free simplicial action of G on X d…

1999-11-02abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper shows plentiful non-homotopy finite Poincaré duality spaces.

problem The existence of non-homotopy finite Poincaré duality spaces.
method Constructing a finitely dominated Poincaré space with a non-trivial 2-divisible element in the reduced Grothendieck group.
result The existence of finitely dominated Poincaré spaces that are not homotopy finite.

Structural equation models and Bayesian networks have been widely used to study causal relationships between continuous variables. Recently, a non-Gaussian method called LiNGAM was proposed to discover such causal models and has been extended in various directions. An important problem with LiNGAM is that the results a…

2009-09-16abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithms estimate and test collision probability with near-optimal sample complexity.

problem Estimating and testing collision probability in discrete distributions.
method Developed algorithms for (α,β)(α, β)-local differential privacy and sequential testing.
result Achieved nearly optimal sample complexity for estimating and testing collision probability.

The paper proves a generalized Lefschetz duality for a specific type of manifold.

problem Proving the hard Lefschetz duality for a new class of manifolds.
method Generalizing Kähler identities to prove the duality for locally conformally almost Kähler manifolds.
result The hard Lefschetz duality is established for locally conformally almost Kähler manifolds.