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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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162324486648 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for probability-generating functions

Exact Bayesian inference for discrete models using probability generating functions.

problem Discrete statistical models with infinite support and continuous priors.
method Probabilistic programming language with automatic differentiation and probability generating functions.
result Genfer tool provides exact solutions for a wide range of inference problems.

New stability framework relaxes boundedness assumptions for generalization bounds.

problem Overly restrictive assumptions for modern learning settings with heavy-tailed or unbounded losses.
method Develops a stability-based framework requiring only finite LpL_p moment conditions.
result Sharp generalization bounds derived for various learning paradigms.

New bounds using samplewise evaluated CMI for deep neural networks.

problem Improving generalization bounds for deep neural networks.
method Introduced a new family of information-theoretic generalization bounds using samplewise evaluated conditional mutual information (CMI).
result The new bounds can be tighter than previous ones for deep neural networks.

In his book with Alan Jolis, Vers un monde sans pauvreté (1997) Yunus gives the example of a microcredit loan of 1000BDT reimbursed via 50 weekly settlements of 22BDT and correctly claims that this corresponds to the annual interest rate of 20%. But this is without taking into account that if the borrower has good reas…

2013-12-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Leveraging algorithmic stability to derive sharp generalization bounds is a classic and powerful approach in learning theory. Since Vapnik and Chervonenkis [1974] first formalized the idea for analyzing SVMs, it has been utilized to study many fundamental learning algorithms (e.g., kk-nearest neighbors [Rogers and Wag…

2020-12-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper improves risk bounds for nonconvex-strongly-concave minimax problems.

problem Achieving sharper risk bounds for nonconvex-strongly-concave minimax problems.
method Using uniform localized convergence to derive high probability generalization error bounds.
result Derives n times faster excess primal risk bounds for popular algorithms.

Efficiently learns disentangled representations using conditional probability differences.

problem Learning disentangled representations with causal mechanisms.
method Approximates difference of conditional probabilities with model's generalization ability.
result 1.9--11.0imes imes more sample efficient and 9.4--32.4 times quicker than previous method.

New framework relaxes independence assumption for graph-mixing dependencies.

problem Tackles limitations of existing generalization results for graph-mixing dependencies.
method Proposes a framework where dependencies decay with graph distance, derives generalization bounds leveraging online-to-PAC framework.
result Derives high-probability generalization guarantees that depend on mixing rate and graph's chromatic number.

Diffusion models improve sample quality with guidance, proving it works for general data distributions.

problem Theoretical understanding of guidance effect in diffusion models for general data distributions.
method Analyzing diffusion guidance under general data distributions, proving improvement in sample quality.
result Guidance improves the average reciprocal of the classifier probability, aligning with its motivation.

Unified stability bounds for noisy SGD across convex and non-convex losses.

problem Deriving generalization bounds for noisy stochastic gradient descent.
method Unified approach using Lyapunov functions and applied probability.
result Time-uniform stability bounds for SGD on various loss functions.

The paper explores the generalization of quantum neural networks using stability theory.

problem Understanding the generalization properties of quantum neural networks.
method The authors use algorithmic stability to establish generalization bounds for quantum neural networks.
result The paper provides practical insights into the design and training of quantum neural networks.

This paper analyzes the stability and generalization of triplet learning algorithms.

problem Lack of theoretical understanding of triplet learning's generalization performance.
method Stability analysis and high-probability generalization bounds for triplet learning algorithms.
result Established general high-probability generalization bound for triplet learning algorithms.

The paper relaxes the stability condition to boost confidence in generalization for randomized learning algorithms.

problem The tension between uniform stability and L2L_2-stability in generalization bounds.
method Establishes in-expectation first moment generalization error bounds for L2L_2-stable randomized learning algorithms and uses subbagging to achieve near-tight exponential bounds.
result Improves generalization bounds for convex and non-convex optimization problems with SGD.

New insights into ridge regression with correlated data, improving risk prediction.

problem Understanding and predicting risk in ridge regression with correlated samples.
method Random matrix theory and free probability for asymptotic analysis; modified GCV estimator (CorrGCV) for unbiased prediction.
result GCV estimator fails for out-of-sample risk with correlated data; CorrGCV provides an unbiased estimator.

This work analyzes CVaR under heavy-tailed data, providing generalization and robustness bounds.

problem Understanding CVaR's behavior under heavy-tailed data and rare high-impact losses.
method Learning-theoretic analysis of CVaR-based empirical risk minimization.
result Sharp, high-probability generalization and excess risk bounds under minimal moment assumptions.

This work improves deep neural network probability estimation methods.

problem Estimating probabilities from high-dimensional data with inherent uncertainty.
method Investigates and compares methods for probability estimation using deep neural networks, proposing a new method that promotes consistent probabilities.
result The new method outperforms existing approaches on most metrics on simulated and real-world data.

Develops methods for selecting and estimating smooth functional coefficients in high-dimensional multivariate functional data.

problem Functional predictor selection and estimation of smooth functional coefficients in high-dimensional multivariate functional data.
method Functional group-sparse regression methods in a generic Hilbert space of infinite dimension.
result Consistency of estimation and selection (oracle property) under infinite-dimensional Hilbert spaces.

FFBO optimizes functions as inputs and outputs, improving on existing BO methods.

problem Optimizing functions as both inputs and outputs in complex systems.
method Function-on-function Gaussian process (FFGP) model with a separable operator-valued kernel, scalar upper confidence bound (UCB) acquisition function, and scalable functional gradient ascent algorithm (FGA).
result FFBO outperforms existing methods in synthetic and real-world data.

Chirped sinosoids and interferometric phase plots are functions that are not periodic, but are the composition of a smooth function and a periodic function. These functions functions factor into a pair of maps: from their domain to a circle, and from a circle to their codomain. One can easily imagine replacing the circ…

2015-01-25abs ↗pdf ↗

The Fridman function is bounded by the injectivity radius for certain hyperbolic manifolds.

problem Bounding the Fridman function for hyperbolic manifolds.
method Analyzing the relationship between the Fridman function and the injectivity radius function.
result The Fridman function is bounded above by the injectivity radius function for certain hyperbolic manifolds.

The paper extends mixability theory to function-valued forecasts, proving various loss functions are mixable.

problem Efficient aggregation of functional and probabilistic forecasts in online prediction games.
method Adapting mixable and exponentially concave loss functions to function-valued forecasts.
result Various loss functions used for probabilistic forecasting are mixable (exp-concave).

The paper proves isoparametric functions on Finsler space forms under specific conditions.

problem Understanding isoparametric functions in Finsler space forms.
method Proving transnormal functions as isoparametric functions and constructing global and local isoparametric functions using the distance function.
result Generalization of Theorem B to Finsler space forms.

Paper introduces a nonparametric functional graphical model for random functions.

problem Estimating probabilistic conditional independence in functional graphical models.
method Functional sufficient dimension reduction to relax Gaussian or copula Gaussian assumptions.
result Enhances estimation accuracy and retains probabilistic conditional independence.

Robustifies elicitable functionals to handle small distribution misspecifications.

problem Determining uniquely optimal forecasts under distributional misspecification.
method Integrates statistical robustness into elicitable functionals using Kullback-Leibler divergence.
result Robust elicitable functionals admit unique solutions at the boundary of uncertainty regions.

The paper characterizes strong Hamel functions using symmetries and proves their preservation properties.

problem Characterizing strong Hamel functions and their symmetries in Finsler spaces.
method Analyzing geodesic spray, strong dual symmetries, and strong dynamical symmetries.
result Strong Hamel functions can be characterized in terms of strong dual symmetries and strong dynamical symmetries.

Two new methods improve forecasting of functional time series data.

problem Forecasting of functional time-dependent data.
method Functional Singular Spectrum Analysis (FSFA) based forecasting methods.
result Our methods outperform existing algorithms for periodic stochastic processes.

The paper connects convex functions to p-subharmonic functions and proves their equivalence.

problem Understanding the relationship between convex functions and p-subharmonic functions.
method Average principle, variational methods, and PDE techniques.
result Convex functions on R^n are p-subharmonic for every p > 1.

Study stabilizers of smooth functions on surfaces, focusing on Morse-Bott functions.

problem Understanding the homotopy type of stabilizers of smooth functions on surfaces.
method Analyzing the homotopy properties of stabilizers for a specific class of smooth functions.
result The homotopy type of the connected component of the identity map of the stabilizer is completely described for Morse-Bott functions.

A new deep neural network tackles nonlinear functional regression with improved dimensionality reduction.

problem Nonlinear functional regression in infinite-dimensional functional data analysis.
method Functional deep neural network with adaptive kernel embedding and projection steps.
result Explicit rates of approximating nonlinear smooth functionals are derived, and the network is shown to be effective in both simulated and real datasets.

New model for network analysis using functional data.

problem Existing network models treat nodes as functions, but this paper introduces functional edges.
method Transform adjacency matrix into functional adjacency tensor, apply Tucker decomposition, regularize basis matrices, and solve tensor completion problem.
result The model effectively captures community structure and handles irregular functional edge data.

The study finds a special type of smooth function on connected sums of manifolds.

problem Finding smooth functions that are Morse on preimages of non-extrema values.
method Investigates internally Morse (I-Morse) and neat with respect to Reeb graph (N-Reeb) functions.
result Constructs an IN-Morse-Reeb function on a connected sum of given manifolds.