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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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197394590787 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for probability mass functions

Evidential clustering is an approach to clustering in which cluster-membership uncertainty is represented by a collection of Dempster-Shafer mass functions forming an evidential partition. In this paper, we propose to construct these mass functions by bootstrapping finite mixture models. In the first step, we compute b…

2019-12-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a method to reconcile count time series forecasts.

problem No formal framework for probabilistic reconciliation of count time series.
method Generalizes Bayes' rule for reconciling real-valued and count variables.
result Improves forecast accuracy for count variables compared to Gaussian reconciliation.

Identifies conditions for multiple invariant probabilities in Markov kernels.

problem Global irreducibility and recurrence do not guarantee uniqueness of invariant probabilities.
method Uses Jordan decomposition of the difference of two invariant probabilities.
result A Markov kernel has more than one invariant probability if and only if it admits a visible absorbing decomposition.

Local mappings relate dual and primal factor graphs for efficient marginal probability estimation.

problem Efficient estimation of marginal probabilities in statistical physics models.
method Local mappings based on Fourier transform of local factors, applied to Ising, Potts, and clock models.
result Local extrema of fixed points are at phase transition points, and the mapping facilitates efficient estimation.

Novel concentration inequalities are obtained for the missing mass, i.e. the total probability mass of the outcomes not observed in the sample. We derive distribution-free deviation bounds with sublinear exponents in deviation size for missing mass and improve the results of Berend and Kontorovich (2013) and Yari Saeed…

2015-03-20abs ↗pdf ↗

The study uses statistical methods to analyze nuclear mass models.

problem Understanding the information content of nuclear masses from models.
method Bayesian calibration, Bayesian model averaging, chi-square correlation analysis, principal component analysis.
result A dramatic parameter reduction can be achieved in both 4-parameter and 14-parameter models.

New method calibrates classifier probabilities with guaranteed coverage.

problem Inaccurate probability estimates by classifiers in high-risk applications.
method Adaptive temperature scaling algorithm for conformal prediction.
result Improves calibration error measures and standard metrics across various tasks.

This paper shows that one cannot learn the probability of rare events without imposing further structural assumptions. The event of interest is that of obtaining an outcome outside the coverage of an i.i.d. sample from a discrete distribution. The probability of this event is referred to as the "missing mass". The impo…

2015-03-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Solves probabilistic Lambert problem connecting astrodynamics with optimal mass transport.

problem Determining spacecraft velocity for given positions with probabilistic constraints.
method Generalized optimal mass transport (OMT) and Schrödinger bridge (SBP) connections.
result Existence and uniqueness of solution for probabilistic Lambert problem.

Given nn samples from a population of individuals belonging to different types with unknown proportions, how do we estimate the probability of discovering a new type at the (n+1)(n+1)-th draw? This is a classical problem in statistics, commonly referred to as the missing mass estimation problem. Recent results by Ohannes…

2018-06-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified definition of mass aspect function for weakly regular hyperbolic manifolds.

problem Ambiguity in mass definition for asymptotically hyperbolic manifolds.
method Introduced an ADM-style mass aspect function for broad asymptotics and low regularity.
result Unified mass aspect function exhibits favorable covariance properties.

Study on residual Monge-Ampère mass for symmetric plurisubharmonic functions.

problem Estimating the residual Monge-Ampère mass of symmetric plurisubharmonic functions with isolated singularities.
method Utilized Sasakian geometry to derive estimates on the residual mass in relation to Lelong numbers.
result Partially resolved the zero mass conjecture by Guedj and Rashkovskii.

New method for summarizing ranking distributions using consensus ranking distributions.

problem Summarizing ranking distributions efficiently and accurately.
method Introducing consensus ranking distributions and a top-down tree-structured statistical algorithm.
result Optimal distortion can be expressed as a function of pairwise probabilities, enabling efficient learning methods.

Study on residual Monge-Ampère mass for symmetric plurisubharmonic functions.

problem Analyzing the residual Monge-Ampère mass of symmetric plurisubharmonic functions.
method Proved zero mass for functions with zero Lelong number at origin and S1S^1-invariance.
result Zero mass conjecture answered for symmetric functions.

In this article, we classify the set of asymptotic mass-like invariants for asymptotically hyperbolic metrics. It turns out that the standard mass is just one example (but probably the most important one) among the two families of invariants we find. These invariants are attached to finite-dimensional representations o…

2016-03-25abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper connects mass, harmonic functions, and capacity in asymptotically flat 3-manifolds.

problem Connections among ADM mass, harmonic functions, and capacity in asymptotically flat 3-manifolds.
method New formulae for ADM mass via harmonic functions, monotone quantities, and geometric inequalities.
result The mass-to-capacity ratio is bounded below by 1 - sqrt(normalized Willmore functional of the boundary).

A new method for averaging probability distributions based on optimal weak mass transport.

problem Averaging probability distributions in a geometric way.
method Weak barycenters based on optimal weak mass transport.
result Extracts common geometric information shared by all input distributions.

Global existence and geometry of constant mass aspect function foliation in perturbed Schwarzschild spacetime studied.

problem Null Penrose inequality on a null hypersurface.
method Global existence of constant mass aspect function foliation on a nearly spherically symmetric incoming null hypersurface in a vacuum perturbed Schwarzschild spacetime.
result Geometry of the constant mass aspect function foliation compared to the spherically symmetric foliation in the Schwarzschild spacetime.

Proves Green function rigidity for specific operators and obtains new ADM mass formula.

problem Proving Green function rigidity for specific operators and obtaining new ADM mass formula.
method Positive mass theorem and positive energy theorem for Paneitz operator.
result Obtained new formula for the ADM mass of asymptotically flat hypersurfaces.

Study on residual Monge-Ampère mass of complex functions with directional Lipschitz continuity.

problem Estimating the residual Monge-Ampère mass of plurisubharmonic functions.
method General decomposition formula under Sasakian structure, L1L^{1}-apriori estimate, upper-bound estimate on residual mass.
result Upper-bound estimate on residual mass for uniformly directional Lipschitz continuity confirmed.

New positive mass theorem for hyperbolic 3-manifolds using Green functions.

problem Proving a positive mass theorem for asymptotically hyperbolic 3-manifolds.
method Using a monotonicity formula for the Green function of the Laplace operator.
result Established a new positive mass theorem for three-dimensional manifolds.

Unified framework for analyzing gradient flows of measures with exponential decay of entropy.

problem Analyzing exponential decay of entropy functionals in gradient flows of measures.
method Characterization of global exponential decay behaviors using Hellinger-Kantorovich geometry, shape-mass decomposition, and Polyak-Łojasiewicz-type inequalities.
result Unified theoretical framework for gradient flows with complete analysis of exponential decay behaviors.

We are concerned with obtaining novel concentration inequalities for the missing mass, i.e. the total probability mass of the outcomes not observed in the sample. We not only derive - for the first time - distribution-free Bernstein-like deviation bounds with sublinear exponents in deviation size for missing mass, but …

2015-03-10abs ↗pdf ↗

New formulae identify discrete probability laws without needing normalization constants.

problem Characterizing non-normalized discrete probability distributions.
method Derive explicit formulae for mass functions using Stein's method.
result Developed tools for solving statistical problems without normalization constants.

We derive a positive mass theorem for asymptotically flat manifolds with boundary whose mean curvature satisfies a sharp estimate involving the conformal Green's function. The theorem also holds if the conformal Green's function is replaced by the standard Green's function for the Laplacian operator. As an application,…

2018-12-10abs ↗pdf ↗

A mass-type invariant for smooth metric measure spaces and its relation with the fractional Yamabe problem

problem Defining and analyzing a mass-type invariant for smooth metric measure spaces
method Defining a mass-type quantity and showing its geometric invariance properties
result The mass-type quantity has a close relation with the fractional Yamabe problem and the relevant Green's function

Proposes a new framework for uncertainty evaluation in ML classification models.

problem Uncertainty evaluation for ML classification models not addressed by existing metrological guidelines.
method Develops a metrological framework based on probability mass functions and summary statistics.
result Extends the GUM to uncertainty for nominal properties, applicable to ML classification models.

Derives monotonic quantities for pp-harmonic functions on manifolds.

problem Understanding pp-harmonic functions on manifolds with nonnegative scalar curvature.
method Derives local and global monotonic quantities associated with pp-harmonic functions.
result Establishes inequalities relating mass, capacity, and Willmore functional.

The Riemannian center of mass was constructed in [GrKa] (1973). In [GKR1, GKR2, Gr, Ka, BuKa] (1974-1981) it was successfully applied with more refined estimates. Probably in 1990 someone renamed it without justification into karcher mean and references to the older papers were omitted by those using the new name. As a…

2014-07-03abs ↗pdf ↗

The mass, or binding energy, is the basis property of the atomic nucleus. It determines its stability, and reaction and decay rates. Quantifying the nuclear binding is important for understanding the origin of elements in the universe. The astrophysical processes responsible for the nucleosynthesis in stars often take …

2018-06-01abs ↗pdf ↗

GT estimator shows convergence for Markov samples, improving i.i.d. results.

problem Estimating missing mass in Markov samples.
method Analyzed convergence of Good-Turing estimator for Markov samples, considering spectral properties of transition matrices.
result The convergence of the GT estimator for Markov samples depends on the spectral properties of the transition matrices, leading to a new minimax rate of 1/(nβ5)1/(nβ^5) for rank-2 Markov chains.

The paper proves a discrete positive mass theorem for graphs.

problem Formulating and proving a discrete positive mass theorem for graphs.
method Introducing asymptotically flat graphs, defining ADM mass, and using discrete harmonic functions.
result An asymptotically flat graph with non-negative Ricci curvature is isomorphic to the standard grid graph.

The paper calculates mass and volume of Einstein metrics in four dimensions.

problem Calculating mass and volume of Einstein metrics in four dimensions.
method Using Green's function and conformal laplacian, the paper expresses ADM mass as an integral and proves a mass-volume inequality.
result Proves a lower bound for the mass of a metric in terms of its volume, and various mass gap theorems.