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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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203405608810 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for probability distribution metric

Quantum probability metrics improve distribution comparison in high dimensions.

problem Challenges in comparing probability distributions, especially in high-dimensional and non-compact domains.
method Quantum probability metrics (QPMs) derived from quantum state spaces, overcoming limitations of MMD.
result QPMs offer enhanced sensitivity to subtle distributional differences in high dimensions and improve performance in generative modeling.

The Wasserstein metric is an important measure of distance between probability distributions, with applications in machine learning, statistics, probability theory, and data analysis. This paper provides upper and lower bounds on statistical minimax rates for the problem of estimating a probability distribution under W…

2018-02-24abs ↗pdf ↗

A new pseudo-metric uses data depth to compare probability distributions.

problem Designing a metric between probability distributions for machine learning applications.
method Extension of univariate quantiles to multivariate spaces, using data depth and Hausdorff distance.
result The pseudo-metric is robust, factorizes translations, and has good behavior under transformations.

Study optimizes tree-based models for better alignment of predicted scores and actual probabilities.

problem Traditional calibration metrics fail to align predicted scores with actual probabilities when score distributions deviate from the underlying data.
method Optimizes tree-based models (Random Forest, XGBoost) using Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence to minimize the difference between predicted and true probability distributions.
result Optimized tree-based models yield superior alignment between predicted scores and actual probabilities without significant performance loss.

We consider three different approaches to define natural Riemannian metrics on polytopes of stochastic matrices. First, we define a natural class of stochastic maps between these polytopes and give a metric characterization of Chentsov type in terms of invariance with respect to these maps. Second, we consider the Fish…

2014-04-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a new divergence framework that combines ff-divergences and IPMs.

problem Comparing distributions that are not absolutely continuous.
method Introduces (f,Γ)(f,Γ)-divergences as a two-stage mass-redistribution/mass-transport process.
result Improves estimation, learning, and uncertainty quantification in GANs for heavy-tailed distributions.

A new distance metric compares probability distributions using kernel covariance operators.

problem Comparing probability distributions in machine learning tasks.
method Introduces a novel distance metric based on Schatten norm of kernel covariance operators.
result The new distance metric is more discriminative and robust to hyperparameters.

A new method estimates multi-dimensional value distributions using Hilbert space embeddings.

problem Estimating value distributions in complex, multi-dimensional reinforcement learning settings.
method Hilbert space mappings and kernel mean embeddings to estimate the kernel mean embedding of multi-dimensional value distributions.
result Uniform convergence guarantees and robust off-policy evaluation demonstrated in simulations.

Proposes DWMD for better matching of hidden representations across domains.

problem Measuring data distribution discrepancy between semantically related domains for feature representation matching.
method DWMD, a moment-based probability distribution metric that explicitly orders and weights higher-order moments.
result DWMD is error-free and can strictly reflect distribution differences without feature distribution assumptions.

This study analyzes how well GANs approximate distributions from small samples.

problem Understanding how well GANs approximate distributions from limited data.
method Analysis of GANs using integral probability metrics and Hölder classes.
result GANs can adaptively learn low-dimensional structures or Hölder densities.

A nonparametric two-sample test using a parametric integral probability metric

problem Detecting distributional differences between two independent samples
method Propose a new two-sample test statistic based on a newly introduced integral probability metric (IPM)
result Establish theoretical guarantees for the associated two-sample testing procedure

A new Wasserstein KK-means method for clustering probability distributions.

problem Clustering probability distributions using the Wasserstein metric.
method Distance-based KK-means with SDP relaxation for Wasserstein barycenters.
result Distance-based KK-means outperforms centroid-based KK-means for clustering probability distributions.

Deep neural networks can approximate any target probability distribution given certain conditions.

problem Approximating complex probability distributions with deep neural networks.
method Proving the existence of a deep neural network mapping that approximates a target distribution under various integral probability metrics.
result Upper bounds on the size of the neural network in terms of dimension and approximation error for different metrics.

A new metric for comparing probability measures on graphs, scalable and negative definite.

problem Optimal transport's high complexity and indefiniteness for kernel machines.
method Sobolev transport metric for graph metrics, closed-form formula, negative definiteness.
result Sobolev transport yields a scalable and negative definite metric.

A new IPM uses ReLU networks to measure probability discrepancies.

problem Measuring the difference between two probability distributions in high dimensions.
method Proposes a new parametric IPM using ReLU neural networks to optimize and distinguish between distributions.
result The proposed IPM has good convergence rates and can be used as a surrogate for other IPMs.

The paper reinterprets Bayesian priors and posteriors using Riemannian manifolds.

problem The dependence of maximum a posteriori estimates on parametrization.
method Assuming a Riemannian manifold with Fisher metric, the paper reinterprets priors and posteriors as distributions over probability distributions, making estimates independent of parametrization.
result A maximum a posteriori estimate independent of parametrization is defined.

New metrics avoid high-dimensional analysis challenges, proving convergence without 'curse of dimensionality'.

problem High-dimensional analysis challenges in empirical measure convergence.
method Proposed a new class of probability metrics free of the curse of dimensionality.
result Convergence of empirical measures is free of the curse of dimensionality.

Paper introduces GSPMs for robust probability metrics.

problem Lack of well-established convergence behavior for probability metrics.
method Introduces Generalized Sliced Probability Metrics (GSPMs) based on generalized Radon transform.
result GSPMs converge to global optimum under mild assumptions for generative modeling.

Geometric Variational Inference improves efficiency in complex probability distributions.

problem Efficiently accessing information in non-linear and high-dimensional probability distributions.
method Geometric Variational Inference (geoVI) uses Riemannian geometry and the Fisher information metric to construct a coordinate transformation.
result geoVI provides a more efficient variational approximation by a normal distribution, demonstrated on various problems.

A Hilbert space embedding for probability measures has recently been proposed, with applications including dimensionality reduction, homogeneity testing, and independence testing. This embedding represents any probability measure as a mean element in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). A pseudometric on the spac…

2009-07-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Survey on closed-form Fisher-Rao distance expressions.

problem Finding closed-form expressions for Fisher-Rao distance.
method Collect and present examples of closed-form expressions for Fisher-Rao distance of discrete and continuous distributions.
result Presentation of closed-form expressions for Fisher-Rao distance of various distributions.

Jordan algebras in information geometry linked to metrics on probability distributions.

problem Understanding Jordan algebras in information geometry.
method Inspired by Kirillov's coadjoint orbits, a pseudo-Riemannian metric is constructed on Jordan algebra leaves.
result Not all points in the dual space lie on a leaf, and the metric structure depends on the cone of positive functionals.

A new metric HCP distance for comparing distributions.

problem Comparing high-dimensional probability distributions efficiently.
method Hilbert curve projection to low-dimensional coupling, followed by transport distance calculation.
result HCP distance is a proper metric for probability measures with bounded supports.

Previous studies have used a specific success metric within an algorithmic search framework to prove machine learning impossibility results. However, this specific success metric prevents us from applying these results on other forms of machine learning, e.g. transfer learning. We define decomposable metrics as a categ…

2020-01-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Gradient flows on distributions of distributions for machine learning tasks.

problem Designing gradient flows for datasets of probability distributions.
method Representing classes as conditional distributions, modeling datasets as mixture distributions, using Wasserstein over Wasserstein (WoW) distance and gradients.
result Demonstrated gradient flows for dataset transfer and distillation tasks.

Deep neural networks forecast financial return distributions accurately.

problem Forecasting probability distributions of financial returns.
method Used 1D CNN and LSTM architectures with custom loss functions to optimize distribution parameters.
result LSTM with skewed Student's t distribution outperformed classical models in multiple evaluation metrics.

New algorithms for efficient return distribution approximation in reinforcement learning.

problem Efficiently approximating unknown return distributions in reinforcement learning.
method Introduced novel distributional dynamic programming algorithms for arbitrary probabilistic reward mechanisms.
result Proved error bounds for the algorithms in Wasserstein and Kolmogorov--Smirnov distances.

Flow-based models use ODEs to generate complex data distributions.

problem Generating high-dimensional data with complex probability distributions.
method Flow-based models use invertible mappings governed by ODEs to capture these distributions.
result Flow-based models provide exact likelihood estimation and efficient sampling.

Paper explores how text generation quality and diversity metrics relate to distribution fitting.

problem Unclear relation between text generation quality and diversity metrics and distribution fitting.
method Theoretical approach to prove a linear combination of quality and diversity metrics can be a divergence metric.
result CR/NRR proposed as a better substitute for BLEU/Self-BLEU metrics.

Paper introduces S3W distance for spherical probability distributions.

problem Comparing spherical probability distributions efficiently and accurately.
method S3W distance using stereographic projection and generalized Radon transform.
result Extensive theoretical analysis and evaluation of S3W performance.

Proposes an energy-based sliced Wasserstein distance for improved probability measure comparison.

problem Inefficiencies and limitations in existing sliced Wasserstein distance approaches.
method Introduces an energy-based slicing distribution for better performance and stability.
result Demonstrates superior performance of the EBSW distance in various applications.

This paper studies gradient flows for sampling using various metrics and their affine invariance.

problem Sampling from probability distributions with unknown normalizations.
method Gradient flows in the space of probability measures, focusing on Kullback-Leibler divergence and affine invariance of metrics.
result Gradient flows of Kullback-Leibler divergence do not depend on the normalization constant, and affine invariance is achieved for certain metrics.

New Fourier metrics equivalent to Wasserstein distances in image processing.

problem Equivalence of Fourier-based and Wasserstein metrics in imaging problems.
method Extensions of Fourier-based metrics to handle different centers of mass and discrete measures, showing equivalence to Wasserstein distances.
result New Fourier metrics are equivalent to Wasserstein distances with explicit constants, improving runtime in image processing.

This research improves demand forecasting by predicting complete probability density functions using machine learning.

problem Forecasting complete probability density functions for better operational decision making.
method Supervised machine learning method 'Cyclic Boosting' for explainable predictions.
result Predicted probability density functions are fully explainable and avoid 'black-box' models.

This paper studies clustering of data sequences using the k-medoids algorithm. All the data sequences are assumed to be generated from \emph{unknown} continuous distributions, which form clusters with each cluster containing a composite set of closely located distributions (based on a certain distance metric between di…

2018-07-31abs ↗pdf ↗

New statistical methods for analyzing distributions using Wasserstein metric.

problem Statistical analysis of probability distributions on the real line.
method Projected methods exploiting Wasserstein metric and Riemannian structure.
result Projected PCA and regression methods are faster and more flexible.

This paper explores gradient flows for sampling distributions without normalization constants.

problem Sampling from distributions with unknown normalization constants.
method Gradient flows in the space of probability measures, focusing on Kullback-Leibler divergence, Fisher-Rao metric, and affine invariance.
result Gradient flows derived from Kullback-Leibler divergence do not depend on the normalization constant.

New findings show fixed-kernel discriminators are weaker than feature-learning ones.

problem Comparing performance of fixed-kernel and feature-learning discriminators.
method Using function classes F2\mathcal{F}_2 and F1\mathcal{F}_1, constructing pairs of distributions, and linking IPMs with sliced Wasserstein distances.
result Fixed-kernel IPM and SD cannot discriminate certain distributions that feature-learning IPM and SD can.

Convolutional Bayesian filtering generalizes state estimation by incorporating inequality conditions.

problem Standard Bayesian filtering assumes exact conditional probabilities, limiting its applicability.
method Introducing inequality conditions transforms conditional probabilities into convolutional forms, expanding the filtering framework.
result Convolutional Bayesian filtering encompasses standard Bayesian filtering and allows for more nuanced model consideration.

Paper finds robust ΛΛ-quantiles equal to extremal distributions.

problem Investigating robust models for ΛΛ-quantiles with partial loss information.
method Extending classical quantiles using ΛΛ-quantiles and applying results from robust quantiles.
result Robust ΛΛ-quantiles equal to ΛΛ-quantiles of extremal distributions.

Euclidean embeddings of data are fundamentally limited in their ability to capture latent semantic structures, which need not conform to Euclidean spatial assumptions. Here we consider an alternative, which embeds data as discrete probability distributions in a Wasserstein space, endowed with an optimal transport metri…

2019-05-08abs ↗pdf ↗