A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
New algorithm for contextual combinatorial bandits with probabilistic arm triggering.
We study combinatorial multi-armed bandit with probabilistically triggered arms (CMAB-T) and semi-bandit feedback. We resolve a serious issue in the prior CMAB-T studies where the regret bounds contain a possibly exponentially large factor of , where is the minimum positive probability that an arm is trigg…
Paper improves CMAB regret bounds by reducing batch-size dependency.
We analyze the regret of combinatorial Thompson sampling (CTS) for the combinatorial multi-armed bandit with probabilistically triggered arms under the semi-bandit feedback setting. We assume that the learner has access to an exact optimization oracle but does not know the expected base arm outcomes beforehand. When th…
ET-GP-UCB optimizes time-varying functions without knowing change rates.
In this paper, we study the combinatorial multi-armed bandit problem (CMAB) with probabilistically triggered arms (PTAs). Under the assumption that the arm triggering probabilities (ATPs) are positive for all arms, we prove that a class of upper confidence bound (UCB) policies, named Combinatorial UCB with exploration …
Influence maximization, adaptive routing, and dynamic spectrum allocation all require choosing the right action from a large set of alternatives. Thanks to the advances in combinatorial optimization, these and many similar problems can be efficiently solved given an environment with known stochasticity. In this paper, …
We present a probabilistic model of events in continuous time in which each event triggers a Poisson process of successor events. The ensemble of observed events is thereby modeled as a superposition of Poisson processes. Efficient inference is feasible under this model with an EM algorithm. Moreover, the EM algorithm …
Study improves CTS's approximation regret for combinatorial bandits.
Neural backdoor attack is emerging as a severe security threat to deep learning, while the capability of existing defense methods is limited, especially for complex backdoor triggers. In the work, we explore the space formed by the pixel values of all possible backdoor triggers. An original trigger used by an attacker …
Pricing Chinese convertible bonds using Monte Carlo simulation and dynamic programming.
Voice-triggered smart assistants often rely on detection of a trigger-phrase before they start listening for the user request. Mitigation of false triggers is an important aspect of building a privacy-centric non-intrusive smart assistant. In this paper, we address the task of false trigger mitigation (FTM) using a nov…
Paper solves time-inconsistent control problems with BSDEs.
MISA detects Trojan triggers in neural networks at inference time.
Common event-triggered state estimation (ETSE) algorithms save communication in networked control systems by predicting agents' behavior, and transmitting updates only when the predictions deviate significantly. The effectiveness in reducing communication thus heavily depends on the quality of the dynamics models used …
PHAZE framework uses zkML and hashing for fast, verifiable LHC trigger decisions.
Improved voice trigger detection in noisy environments.
PPPD framework extracts physical characterizations from stochastic mechanical systems.
Backdoor attacks make models predict a specific class near triggers, smoothing their decision function.
We introduce a dynamic mechanism for the solution of analytically-tractable substructure in probabilistic programs, using conjugate priors and affine transformations to reduce variance in Monte Carlo estimators. For inference with Sequential Monte Carlo, this automatically yields improvements such as locally-optimal pr…
The need for consistent treatment of uncertainty has recently triggered increased interest in probabilistic deep learning methods. However, most current approaches have severe limitations when it comes to inference, since many of these models do not even permit to evaluate exact data likelihoods. Sum-product networks (…
We consider the problem of building a state representation model for control, in a continual learning setting. As the environment changes, the aim is to efficiently compress the sensory state's information without losing past knowledge, and then use Reinforcement Learning on the resulting features for efficient policy …
BadGD identifies gradient descent vulnerabilities through strategic backdoor attacks.
Corporate defaults may be triggered by some major market news or events such as financial crises or collapses of major banks or financial institutions. With a view to develop a more realistic model for credit risk analysis, we introduce a new type of reduced-form intensity-based model that can incorporate the impacts o…
Graph-Triggered Bandits unify rested and restless bandits with graph-defined arm interactions.
Improved speech recognition for voice assistants by analyzing speech data.
In classical Hawkes process, the baseline intensity and triggering kernel are assumed to be a constant and parametric function respectively, which limits the model flexibility. To generalize it, we present a fully Bayesian nonparametric model, namely Gaussian process modulated Hawkes process and propose an EM-variation…
We describe a methodology for modeling the performance of decision-level data fusion between different sensor configurations, implemented as part of the JIEDDO Analytic Decision Engine (JADE). We first discuss a Bayesian network formulation of classical probabilistic data fusion, which allows elementary fusion structur…
This paper uses advanced math to price special insurance bonds.
The problem of resource allocation of nonlinear networked control systems is investigated, where, unlike the well discussed case of triggering for stability, the objective is optimal triggering. An approximate dynamic programming approach is developed for solving problems with fixed final times initially and then it is…
In this paper we discuss the issue of computation of the bilateral credit valuation adjustment (CVA) under rating triggers, and in presence of ratings-linked margin agreements. Specifically, we consider collateralized OTC contracts, that are subject to rating triggers, between two parties -- an investor and a counterpa…
The commercialization of deep learning creates a compelling need for intellectual property (IP) protection. Deep neural network (DNN) watermarking has been proposed as a promising tool to help model owners prove ownership and fight piracy. A popular approach of watermarking is to train a DNN to recognize images with ce…
In this paper, we propose and analyze SPARQ-SGD, which is an event-triggered and compressed algorithm for decentralized training of large-scale machine learning models. Each node can locally compute a condition (event) which triggers a communication where quantized and sparsified local model parameters are sent. In SPA…
The causal effect of a treatment can vary from person to person based on their individual characteristics and predispositions. Mining for patterns of individual-level effect differences, a problem known as heterogeneous treatment effect estimation, has many important applications, from precision medicine to recommender…
Study combines speaker verification and voice trigger detection in a single network.
Meta-active learning optimizes control of safety-critical systems by efficiently learning dynamics and configurations.
Modyn automates continuous ML model training on growing datasets.
A probabilistic framework is introduced that represents stylized banking networks and aims to predict the size of contagion events. In contrast to previous work on random financial networks, which assumes independent connections between banks, the possibility of disassortative edge probabilities (an above average tende…
We propose a method for downlink coordinated multipoint (DL CoMP) in heterogeneous fifth generation New Radio (NR) networks. The primary contribution of our paper is an algorithm to enhance the trigger of DL CoMP using online machine learning. We use support vector machine (SVM) classifiers to enhance the user downlink…
Transformers learn to use induction heads or shortcuts based on data diversity.
Improved tensor rank learning for CPD models using a generalized hyperbolic prior.
Paper proposes a DRL-based controller for networked AP systems that reduces communication frequency.
Contingent Convertible bonds (CoCos) are debt instruments that convert into equity or are written down in times of distress. Existing pricing models assume conversion triggers based on market prices and on the assumption that markets can always observe all relevant firm information. But all Cocos issued so far have tri…
CLEANN detects and mitigates neural network Trojans without labeled data.
Purpose - Functional bowel diseases, including irritable bowel syndrome, chronic constipation, and chronic diarrhea, are some of the most common diseases seen in clinical practice. Many patients describe a range of triggers for altered bowel consistency and symptoms. However, characterization of the relationship betwee…
We develop a strong diagnostic for bubbles and crashes in bitcoin, by analyzing the coincidence (and its absence) of fundamental and technical indicators. Using a generalized Metcalfe's law based on network properties, a fundamental value is quantified and shown to be heavily exceeded, on at least four occasions, by bu…
New dynamic backdoor attacks bypass current defenses.
Predicts the age of astronomical transients from real-time data.