PCGs encompass a broader range of neural networks.
problem Understanding the broader scope of neural network models.
method Proving PCGs as a superset of feedforward neural networks.
result PCGs represent a wider class of neural network models.
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48 results for “probabilistic predictive coding”
A new predictive coding algorithm improves machine learning performance.
problem Improving performance of variational inference algorithms in high-dimensional, structured problems.
method Divide-and-Conquer Predictive Coding (DCPC) that respects generative model correlation structure and performs maximum-likelihood updates.
result DCPC achieves better numerical performance and accurate inference in structured generative models.
PPC detects anomalies in high-dimensional data efficiently.
problem Scalability issues and reduced performance with high-dimensional data.
method Probabilistic Predictive Coding (PPC) learns latent representations and predicts uncertainties.
result PPC achieves linear time complexity and high adaptability.
This study introduces PV-RNN, a novel variational RNN inspired by the predictive-coding ideas. The model learns to extract the probabilistic structures hidden in fluctuating temporal patterns by dynamically changing the stochasticity of its latent states. Its architecture attempts to address two major concerns of varia…
LambdaNet infers TypeScript types using graph neural networks.
problem Automatic inference of TypeScript type annotations.
method Graph Neural Network for type dependency graph analysis.
result LambdaNet outperforms existing methods by 14%.
PFP-BNNs offer a fast, deterministic approach to Bayesian neural networks.
problem Limited uncertainty handling in traditional neural networks restricts their use in safety-critical settings.
method Probabilistic Forward Pass (PFP) approximates Stochastic Variational Inference (SVI) for efficient BNNs.
result PFP-BNNs achieve up to 4200x speedup over SVI-BNNs while maintaining similar accuracy and uncertainty.
Predictive coding networks use inference learning for efficient AI modeling.
problem Traditional AI methods struggle with complex neural patterns.
method Inference learning for hierarchical Bayesian inference models.
result PCNs outperform traditional BP methods in efficiency and flexibility.
In order to submit a claim to insurance companies, a doctor needs to code a patient encounter with both the diagnosis (ICDs) and procedures performed (CPTs) in an Electronic Health Record (EHR). Identifying and applying relevant procedures code is a cumbersome and time-consuming task as a doctor has to choose from arou…
While supervised learning has enabled great progress in many applications, unsupervised learning has not seen such widespread adoption, and remains an important and challenging endeavor for artificial intelligence. In this work, we propose a universal unsupervised learning approach to extract useful representations fro…
New scheme optimizes BMI through probabilistic and geometric shaping.
problem Optimizing bit-wise mutual information (BMI) for coded modulation.
method Joint optimization of BMI through probabilistic and geometric shaping.
result Joint optimization enables a continuum of constellation geometries and probability distributions.
Paper proposes new gradient codes for robust distributed machine learning.
problem Robustness against slow machines (stragglers) in distributed machine learning.
method Constructs gradient codes based on probabilistic and Kronecker product methods.
result Gradient codes exist for a wide range of system parameters with comparable error performance.
ProHOC detects OOD samples in class hierarchies, predicting them to correct internal nodes.
problem Binary OOD detection ignores semantic relationships between OOD and ID classes.
method Probabilistic hierarchical model using multi-depth networks trained for ID classification.
result ProHOC effectively classifies OOD samples to their correct internal nodes in class hierarchies.
It is time-consuming and error-prone to implement inference procedures for each new probabilistic model. Probabilistic programming addresses this problem by allowing a user to specify the model and having a compiler automatically generate an inference procedure for it. For this approach to be practical, it is important…
Probabilistic inference procedures are usually coded painstakingly from scratch, for each target model and each inference algorithm. We reduce this effort by generating inference procedures from models automatically. We make this code generation modular by decomposing inference algorithms into reusable program-to-progr…
Synergetic Learning of Heterogeneous Temporal Sequences for Multi-Horizon Probabilistic Forecastingcs.LG
Proposes a model for multi-horizon probabilistic forecasting of time series influenced by asynchronous events.
problem Forecasting time series influenced by asynchronous events is challenging.
method Introduces Variational Synergetic Multi-Horizon Network (VSMHN), a deep conditional generative model combining deep point processes and variational recurrent neural networks.
result Produces accurate, sharp, and realistic probabilistic forecasts.
ScoreGrad predicts multivariate time series with energy-based models, achieving state-of-the-art results.
problem Predicting multivariate time series with generative models while considering noise and distribution.
method ScoreGrad uses continuous energy-based generative models with a feature extraction and score matching module.
result ScoreGrad achieves state-of-the-art results on six real-world datasets.
New entropy-based objective for sparse coding improves learning.
problem Sparse coding with probabilistic priors and non-Gaussian observables.
method Derive a solely entropy-based learning objective for sparse coding parameters.
result Fully analytical ELBO objective for sparse coding with non-trivial posterior approximations.
Probabilistic techniques are central to data analysis, but different approaches can be difficult to apply, combine, and compare. This paper introduces composable generative population models (CGPMs), a computational abstraction that extends directed graphical models and can be used to describe and compose a broad class…
In this article, we discuss a probabilistic interpretation of McShane's identity as describing a finite measure on the space of embedded paths though a point.
Probabilistic NDVI forecasting from sparse satellite data.
problem Challenges in short-term NDVI forecasting due to sparse and irregular satellite data.
method Probabilistic forecasting framework using historical NDVI and meteorological observations, with temporal-distance weighted quantile loss and extreme-weather feature engineering.
result The proposed method outperforms baselines on pointwise and probabilistic evaluation metrics.
We present the first general purpose framework for marginal maximum a posteriori estimation of probabilistic program variables. By using a series of code transformations, the evidence of any probabilistic program, and therefore of any graphical model, can be optimized with respect to an arbitrary subset of its sampled …
While deep learning-based classification is generally tackled using standardized approaches, a wide variety of techniques are employed for regression. In computer vision, one particularly popular such technique is that of confidence-based regression, which entails predicting a confidence value for each input-target pai…
We present PROPS, a lightweight transfer learning mechanism for sequential data. PROPS learns probabilistic perturbations around the predictions of one or more arbitrarily complex, pre-trained black box models (such as recurrent neural networks). The technique pins the black-box prediction functions to "source nodes" o…
Grad-TTS models speech from text using diffusion probabilistic techniques.
problem Creating high-quality speech from text input.
method Score-based decoder with stochastic differential equations for noise-to-speech transformation.
result Grad-TTS produces mel-spectrograms from text input with competitive quality.
Unlike traditional programs (such as operating systems or word processors) which have large amounts of code, machine learning tasks use programs with relatively small amounts of code (written in machine learning libraries), but voluminous amounts of data. Just like developers of traditional programs debug errors in the…
Proposes an accuracy-preserving calibration method for DNNs.
problem Calibration of deep neural networks (DNNs) to measure prediction reliability.
method Uses Concrete distribution on the probability simplex to calibrate DNNs without accuracy loss.
result The proposed method outperforms previous methods in accuracy-preserving calibration tasks.
Paper defines ε-Safe Decision Regions for exponential family distributions and approximates them for unbalanced data.
problem Need probabilistic guarantees for reliable predictions in machine learning.
method Formalizes ε-Safe Decision Regions, proves their form for exponential family distributions, and develops Multi Cost SVM for unbalanced data.
result Formal definition and analytical determination of ε-Safe Decision Regions for exponential family distributions.
Models of complex systems are often formalized as sequential software simulators: computationally intensive programs that iteratively build up probable system configurations given parameters and initial conditions. These simulators enable modelers to capture effects that are difficult to characterize analytically or su…
Transformer models waste resources on long-context tasks.
problem Redundant attention computations in Transformer models for long-context tasks.
method Reformulate sequence modeling as supervised learning, analyze attention sparsity, formulate attention optimization as linear coding problem, propose Dynamic Group Attention.
result DGA reduces computational costs while maintaining performance.
Forward inference techniques such as sequential Monte Carlo and particle Markov chain Monte Carlo for probabilistic programming can be implemented in any programming language by creative use of standardized operating system functionality including processes, forking, mutexes, and shared memory. Exploiting this we have …
Improved model for multivariate time series prediction with simpler architecture.
problem Multivariate probabilistic time series prediction challenges.
method Simplified transformer-based attentional copulas (TACTiS) with linearly scalable parameters.
result Significantly better training dynamics and state-of-the-art performance.
The paper introduces a knowledge score for GPR predictions to assess their reliability.
problem Uncertainty in probabilistic predictions from Gaussian process regression models.
method A knowledge score quantifying the reduction of uncertainty in GPR predictions.
result The knowledge score improves prediction accuracy in various tasks.
VIR model improves regression accuracy and uncertainty estimation for imbalanced data.
problem Imbalanced regression datasets lead to poor model accuracy and uncertainty estimation.
method VIR model uses probabilistic smoothing and reweighting to estimate latent representations and uncertainty.
result VIR model outperforms state-of-the-art models in accuracy and uncertainty estimation.
Model infers latent variables in sparse coding models using Langevin dynamics.
problem Sampling posterior distribution in sparse coding models.
method Langevin dynamics for inference and simultaneous learning of parameters.
result Langevin dynamics efficiently sample from 'L0 sparse' posterior distribution.
ProSub uses angles in feature space to classify data as in- or out-of-distribution.
problem Open-set semi-supervised learning with unknown classes.
method Probabilistic approach based on angles in feature space, estimating conditional distributions of scores.
result ProSub achieves state-of-the-art performance on benchmark problems.
New method improves self-supervised representation learning using probabilistic modeling and Monte Carlo integration.
problem Improving self-supervised representation learning for multimodal data.
method Discriminative probabilistic modeling with multiple importance sampling (MIS) for robust Monte Carlo integration.
result Proposes a novel non-parametric method for approximating conditional probability densities through convex optimization.
Probabilistic deep learning uses neural networks and models to handle uncertainty.
problem Handling uncertainty in deep learning models.
method Two approaches: probabilistic neural networks and deep probabilistic models.
result TensorFlow Probability library supports both approaches.
We present sparse topical coding (STC), a non-probabilistic formulation of topic models for discovering latent representations of large collections of data. Unlike probabilistic topic models, STC relaxes the normalization constraint of admixture proportions and the constraint of defining a normalized likelihood functio…
Proposes a sample-efficient method for uncertainty estimation in deep learning.
problem Inaccurate uncertainty estimation in deep learning models, especially with limited data.
method Probabilistic Neighbourhood Component Analysis (PCA) for sample-efficient uncertainty estimation.
result Demonstrates superior uncertainty quantification compared to state-of-the-art methods.
Generative AI tasks analyzed for text, images, audio, video, code, and molecules.
problem What is the core question when using generative AI?
method Survey of generative model families, probabilistic framework, game-theoretic setup, post-training modifications, socially responsible considerations.
result Generative AI is a distinct machine learning task with connections to prediction, compression, and decision-making.
The literature on structured prediction for NLP describes a rich collection of distributions and algorithms over sequences, segmentations, alignments, and trees; however, these algorithms are difficult to utilize in deep learning frameworks. We introduce Torch-Struct, a library for structured prediction designed to tak…
Characterization of a patient clinical phenotype is central to biomedical informatics. ICD codes, assigned to inpatient encounters by coders, is important for population health and cohort discovery when clinical information is limited. While ICD codes are assigned to patients by professionals trained and certified in c…
New scoring rules compare probabilistic top lists in classification.
problem Evaluation of probabilistic top lists in classification.
method Elicitability through symmetric proper scoring rules.
result Brier score provides a well-suited metric for comparison.
Probabilistic programming languages represent complex data with intermingled models in a few lines of code. Efficient inference algorithms in probabilistic programming languages make possible to build unified frameworks to compute interesting probabilities of various large, real-world problems. When the structure of mo…
ProSper is a python library containing probabilistic algorithms to learn dictionaries. Given a set of data points, the implemented algorithms seek to learn the elementary components that have generated the data. The library widens the scope of dictionary learning approaches beyond implementations of standard approaches…
We present ErasureHead, a new approach for distributed gradient descent (GD) that mitigates system delays by employing approximate gradient coding. Gradient coded distributed GD uses redundancy to exactly recover the gradient at each iteration from a subset of compute nodes. ErasureHead instead uses approximate gradien…
Study investigates predictive coding models for phonemic learning.
problem Understanding how predictive coding models generalize to different languages and dataset sizes.
method Investigated Autoregressive Predictive Coding and Contrastive Predictive Coding models in phoneme discrimination tasks for two languages with varying dataset sizes.
result Contrastive Predictive Coding model converges rapidly and outperforms Autoregressive Predictive Coding on both languages.
In this paper we study output coding for multi-label prediction. For a multi-label output coding to be discriminative, it is important that codewords for different label vectors are significantly different from each other. In the meantime, unlike in traditional coding theory, codewords in output coding are to be predic…